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Alpha And Omega Semiconductor (AOSL)
NASDAQ:AOSL
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Alpha and Omega (AOSL) AI Stock Analysis

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AOSL

Alpha and Omega

(NASDAQ:AOSL)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(1.05% Upside)
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's overall stock score reflects mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but profitability challenges. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while valuation is impacted by negative earnings. The earnings call provided positive guidance in key segments, but highlighted ongoing challenges. The strategic sale of a stake in CQJV is a positive move, though its impact is already considered in the earnings analysis.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AOSL delivered solid upside performance to June quarter results and issued a better-than-expected outlook driven by tariff-related pull-ins and sequential growth in AI and graphics demand from the Computing segment.
Strategic Opportunities
The company is capitalizing on key opportunities and executing well in the areas within its control with many new opportunities to drive content and share gains across the AI ecosystem.
Negative Factors
Revenue Trajectory
The price target is being lowered to $32 from $42 to reflect a modestly more cautious revenue trajectory near-term.

Alpha and Omega (AOSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alpha and Omega Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited designs, develops, and supplies power semiconductor products for computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial applications in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers power discrete products, including metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFET), SRFETs, XSFET, electrostatic discharge, protected MOSFETs, high and mid-voltage MOSFETs, and insulated gate bipolar transistors for use in smart phone chargers, battery packs, notebooks, desktop and servers, data centers, base stations, graphics card, game boxes, TVs, AC adapters, power supplies, motor control, power tools, e-vehicles, white goods and industrial motor drives, UPS systems, solar inverters, and industrial welding. The company also provides power ICs that deliver power, as well as control and regulate the power management variables, such as the flow of current and level of voltage. Its power ICs are used in flat panel displays, TVs, Notebooks, graphic cards, servers, DVD/Blu-Ray players, set-top boxes, and networking equipment. In addition, the company offers aMOS5 MOSFET for quick charger, adapter, PC power, server, industrial power, telecom, and datacenter applications; and Transient Voltage Suppressors for laptops, televisions, and other electronic devices. Further, it provides EZBuck regulators; SOA MOSFET for hot swap applications; RigidCSP for battery management; and Type-C power delivery protection switches. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlpha and Omega Semiconductor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors across multiple industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of power MOSFETs, diodes, and power ICs, which are essential components in power management solutions. The company benefits from long-term partnerships with major technology firms, enhancing its market reach and enabling it to secure significant orders. Additionally, AOSL invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product lines, thereby driving sales growth and maintaining competitive advantage in the dynamic semiconductor market.

Alpha and Omega Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in the Computing and Power IC segments, as well as strategic moves with the equity transfer agreement. However, challenges were noted in the Consumer, Communications, and Power Supply segments, along with negative operating cash flow.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Power IC Revenue
Power IC revenue increased 25.8% sequentially and 30.2% year-over-year to a record quarterly high, now representing nearly 40% of total product revenue.
Strong Growth in Computing Segment
Computing segment revenue was up 29.7% year-over-year and 17.9% sequentially, representing 52.6% of total revenue, driven by AI and graphics applications.
Equity Transfer Agreement
AOS announced an equity transfer agreement with a strategic investor to sell approximately 20.3% of outstanding equity interest of its joint venture in Chongqing, China, for $150 million.
AI and Graphics Surge
Revenue from AI and graphics reached a record high in the June quarter, driven by strong initial shipments for a new AI program.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consumer Segment
Consumer segment revenue was down 5.8% year-over-year, driven by declines in gaming and home appliances.
Challenges in Communications Segment
Communications segment revenue was down 1.7% year-over-year and 5.2% sequentially, impacted by a falloff from smartphones in China.
Sequential Decline in Power Supply and Industrial Segment
Revenue was down 9.8% sequentially due to weaker-than-expected demand from power tools and e-mobility.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow was negative $2.8 million, including a $2.7 million repayment of customer deposits.
Company Guidance
During the Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Fiscal Q4 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the September quarter, projecting revenue to be approximately $183 million, plus or minus $10 million. The company expects the GAAP gross margin to be 23.8%, plus or minus 1%, and the non-GAAP gross margin to be 24.4%, plus or minus 1%. Operating expenses on a GAAP basis are anticipated to be $47.5 million, plus or minus $1 million, while non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be $41 million, plus or minus $1 million. The company also forecasts interest income to exceed interest expenses by $0.5 million and income tax expenses to range from $1 million to $1.3 million. The guidance reflects expectations of continued growth in the Computing segment, driven by PCs and AI demand, while also noting a digestion period for recent strong shipments in AI programs. The Consumer segment is forecasted to see a mid-single-digit sequential decline, while the Communications segment is anticipated to grow by over 10% sequentially. The Power Supply and Industrial segment is expected to grow mid-single digits sequentially. Overall, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, particularly in AI and graphics, despite uncertainties in the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape.

Alpha and Omega Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alpha and Omega's financial performance is mixed. Despite strong revenue growth, the company faces profitability challenges with negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but negative ROE is concerning. Cash flow generation is strong, but not consistently translating into profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Alpha and Omega's income statement shows significant volatility. The company experienced a dramatic increase in revenue in the latest year, but this was accompanied by negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, reflecting potential cost management issues. Despite the revenue growth, the negative net profit margin and EBIT margin highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity has been negative recently, indicating poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, but the declining ROE and negative net income are concerning for long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow has improved significantly, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash flow is not consistently translating into profitability. The company has shown substantial free cash flow growth, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue680.97M696.16B657.27M691.32M777.55M656.90M
Gross Profit161.15M161.00B171.92M199.54M268.56M204.54M
EBITDA45.70M33.96M50.00M65.74M144.89M116.76M
Net Income-22.65M-96.98M-11.08M12.36M453.16M58.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B1.03B1.15B1.20B1.30B918.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.36M153.50M175.13M195.19M314.35M202.41M
Total Debt54.78M50.91M67.21M78.80M98.77M201.56M
Total Liabilities230.08M210.36M253.41M315.82M444.54M402.25M
Stockholders Equity886.29M822.33M891.61M883.92M854.09M373.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.44M29.67B-11.38M-89.95M80.85M56.04M
Operating Cash Flow39.62M29.67B25.71M20.47M218.87M128.74M
Investing Cash Flow-29.32M-36.44B-35.74M-109.63M-130.82M-72.54M
Financing Cash Flow-15.25M-15.50B-9.90M-29.61M21.85M-18.99M

Alpha and Omega Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.72
Price Trends
50DMA
26.38
Negative
100DMA
23.72
Positive
200DMA
29.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.71
Neutral
STOCH
71.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AOSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.47, above the 50-day MA of 26.38, and below the 200-day MA of 29.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AOSL.

Alpha and Omega Risk Analysis

Alpha and Omega disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alpha and Omega reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alpha and Omega Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥243.52B15.346.64%2.42%9.16%-0.15%
58
Neutral
$548.63M113.030.66%5.42%0.15%-92.08%
54
Neutral
$785.52M-11.32%5.92%-746.07%
54
Neutral
$927.10M-10.09%-21.27%-207.30%
50
Neutral
$541.17M-3.81%7.71%-44.25%
48
Neutral
$1.42B-50.93%77.94%-75.13%
46
Neutral
$633.00M-2.98%15.45%49.82%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
26.72
-9.73
-26.69%
CEVA
Ceva
22.20
-1.70
-7.11%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
15.16
-7.16
-32.08%
COHU
Cohu
19.53
-6.56
-25.14%
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
21.93
12.90
142.86%
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
16.93
-13.63
-44.60%

Alpha and Omega Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alpha and Omega Sells Stake in CQJV for $150M
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited announced an agreement to sell approximately 20.3% of its equity interest in its joint venture CQJV, located in Chongqing, China, to a strategic investor for $150 million. This transaction, expected to close by the end of 2025, will provide AOS with capital to invest in technology and R&D, while maintaining its business relationship with CQJV. The sale aligns with AOS’s strategy to monetize its investments and reinvest in expanding its product portfolio, ensuring continued access to CQJV’s manufacturing capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025