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Ichor Holdings (ICHR)
NASDAQ:ICHR

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) AI Stock Analysis

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Ichor Holdings

(NASDAQ:ICHR)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(0.69%Upside)
Ichor Holdings faces significant challenges with declining revenue and profitability, affecting its financial performance. Despite strong short-term technical momentum, overbought conditions and poor valuation due to negative earnings weigh heavily. The mixed outlook from the earnings call reflects ongoing challenges, though strategic initiatives may offer long-term improvement potential.
Positive Factors
Demand Visibility
Demand visibility for the dep/etch tool market has improved to 3-5 months, which is a key driver of ICHR's gas panel products.
Market Growth
Management expects that ICHR will grow faster than WFE, and that gross margin will be around 16% for the year.
Technology Transition
Leading edge F/L GAA and HBM DRAM investments are driving strong dep./etch demand; NAND tech transition are progressing well.
Negative Factors
Demand Uncertainty
Revenue is expected to be flat due to softer demand amid tariff uncertainty.
Gross Margin Pressures
Near-term gross margin pressures from inventory charges and higher labor costs could weigh on ICHR's financial results.
Product Mix Challenges
NT GM headwinds from product mix, end of year inventory charge, and higher costs new headcount in the machining business that is not yet fully absorbed.

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ichor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) is a leading provider of fluid delivery subsystems and components for semiconductor capital equipment. The company operates primarily in the semiconductor industry, supplying essential infrastructure that facilitates the manufacturing of integrated circuits. Ichor's core products include gas and chemical delivery systems, which are critical components in the semiconductor fabrication process, ensuring precision and efficiency in the delivery of gases and chemicals used in chip production.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchor Holdings generates revenue through the sale of its fluid delivery subsystems and components to semiconductor capital equipment manufacturers. The company's key revenue streams include the design, engineering, and manufacturing of gas and chemical delivery systems, which are sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the semiconductor industry. Ichor's earnings are significantly influenced by the demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which is driven by the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and technological advancements. Partnerships with leading OEMs and the company's ability to provide customized, high-performance solutions contribute to its revenue generation. Additionally, Ichor may engage in long-term contracts and collaborations to ensure a consistent revenue flow.

Ichor Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook. While there is strong revenue growth and significant achievements in component qualifications, challenges remain with gross margin performance, tariff impacts, and supply chain issues. The exit of the Scotland business and reduced revenue guidance add to the concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
First quarter revenues were up 5% sequentially from Q4 and grew 21% over the same period last year, indicating strong year-over-year growth.
Significant Component Qualifications
Achieved a significant number of new component qualifications in 2024, with expectations to convert these into more meaningful internal supply within the gas panel business through 2025.
Strong Cash Position
Cash and equivalents totaled $109 million at the end of the quarter, with $19 million generated in cash flow from operations.
Global Expansion Plans
Planned CapEx investments for 2025 are expected to be above historical average, supporting global expansion of machining and non-semi-business capabilities.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Challenges
Gross margin for the quarter was 12.4%, below the forecast of 14.5%, primarily due to slower transition from externally supplied products to internally manufactured products.
Tariff and Supply Chain Concerns
Recent tariff announcements and supply chain uncertainties could have transitory impacts on gross margins as costs are mitigated or passed on.
Exit of Refurbishment Business in Scotland
Decision to exit the refurbishment business in Scotland due to low demand, causing a slight impact on both revenue and gross margin in Q1.
Lower Revenue Guidance
Revenue guidance for Q2 is $10 million lower than what visibility indicated a quarter ago, attributed to several small factors including customer demand shifts and tariff uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Ichor's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating modest revenue growth expectations for the year, projecting second-quarter revenues between $225 million and $245 million, slightly lower than previously anticipated due to various small demand shifts and external factors such as tariffs. First quarter revenues were $244.5 million, up 5% sequentially and 21% year-over-year. Gross margins were 12.4%, below expectations due to challenges in transitioning to internally sourced components, resulting in an increased reliance on external supplies. Despite these hurdles, Ichor remains confident in its strategy to improve gross margins through increased internal sourcing, targeting a reduction of external supply to approximately 75% of the bill of materials by the end of 2025. The company also highlighted ongoing tariff negotiations, which could impact gross margins, and noted that its non-GAAP operating expenses for the second quarter are expected to be approximately $23.5 million, with a full-year increase of 4% to 6% compared to 2024.

Ichor Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ichor Holdings faces declining revenue and profitability, impacting the income statement negatively. Despite these challenges, the balance sheet remains strong with lower leverage and a solid equity base. Cash flow generation is stable, though profitability issues persist. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve revenue growth to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ichor Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue and profitability over recent periods. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is approximately 11.97%, indicating cost pressures. Net Profit Margin is negative due to persistent losses, reflecting challenges in achieving sustainable profitability. Revenue growth has been negative, with a notable decrease from 2022 to 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show a declining trend, signaling operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with an Equity Ratio of approximately 69.6% for TTM, suggesting financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has improved, indicating reduced leverage risk. However, Return on Equity is negative due to recent losses, highlighting the need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company's operating cash flow has shown growth, which is a positive sign. However, the Free Cash Flow growth is modest, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is not meaningful due to negative net income in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is positive, indicating decent cash generation relative to accounting losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue892.12M849.04M811.12M1.28B1.10B914.24M
Gross Profit108.86M103.33M103.40M211.86M177.48M124.89M
EBITDA27.27M21.96M22.88M121.49M106.20M65.28M
Net Income-16.39M-20.82M-42.98M72.80M70.90M33.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B995.56M938.48M1.08B1.02B774.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments109.28M108.67M79.95M86.47M75.50M252.90M
Total Debt169.81M174.21M286.33M341.74M322.74M210.67M
Total Liabilities306.25M297.23M373.80M496.25M520.16M362.48M
Stockholders Equity700.36M698.34M564.68M587.50M500.71M411.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.43M10.24M42.14M2.02M-5.57M27.96M
Operating Cash Flow42.05M27.88M57.63M31.45M15.27M38.26M
Investing Cash Flow-31.63M-17.64M-15.50M-28.93M-289.58M-14.60M
Financing Cash Flow-3.27M18.47M-48.65M8.46M96.91M168.63M

Ichor Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.85
Price Trends
50DMA
18.55
Positive
100DMA
21.99
Negative
200DMA
26.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Negative
RSI
66.15
Neutral
STOCH
89.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.14, above the 50-day MA of 18.55, and below the 200-day MA of 26.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ICHR.

Ichor Holdings Risk Analysis

Ichor Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ichor Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ichor Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$34.07B6.13-11.73%1.80%5.33%-18.31%
63
Neutral
$654.96M18.194.72%4.33%-0.41%-46.38%
63
Neutral
$654.96M18.194.72%4.33%-0.41%-46.38%
57
Neutral
$827.18M-2.55%3.57%-134.36%
57
Neutral
$827.18M-2.55%3.57%-134.36%
54
Neutral
$1.14B40.893.30%20.20%
54
Neutral
$1.14B40.893.30%20.20%
54
Neutral
$1.61B-68.45%50.30%-111.11%
54
Neutral
$1.61B-68.45%50.30%-111.11%
53
Neutral
$775.20M-2.35%13.41%72.56%
49
Neutral
$954.24M-9.87%-30.75%-3668.44%
49
Neutral
$954.24M-9.87%-30.75%-3668.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
21.85
-20.32
-48.19%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
26.57
-11.60
-30.39%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
26.57
-11.60
-30.39%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
18.19
-6.88
-27.44%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
18.19
-6.88
-27.44%
COHU
Cohu
19.78
-15.03
-43.18%
COHU
Cohu
19.78
-15.03
-43.18%
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
24.14
-30.36
-55.71%
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
24.14
-30.36
-55.71%
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
26.44
17.95
211.43%

Ichor Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Ichor Holdings Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting in Fremont
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Ichor Holdings, Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders in Fremont, California, where 32,265,278 outstanding ordinary shares were represented by proxy. During the meeting, shareholders elected directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting, approved the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan, endorsed executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 26, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICHR) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ichor Holdings stock, see the ICHR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025