tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
NASDAQ:AAOI
Advertisement

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,973 Followers

Top Page

AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics

(NASDAQ:AAOI)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(2.86% Upside)
Applied Optoelectronics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, recent corporate events and strategic investments offer some positive outlook. The valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses, but strong revenue growth in key segments provides a potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Customer and Revenue Diversification
Oracle was a new 10% customer, indicating potential for diversified revenue streams.
Market Share Growth
AAOI is poised to gain material share in the $12B+ high-speed global optical datacom transceiver market.
Revenue and Financial Performance
AAOI delivered solid results with continued strong Cable segment revenues and broad strength in the Data Center.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses
Higher than planned operating expenses caused results to be slightly below consensus expectations.
Product Qualification Uncertainty
Management expects 800G to ramp up, but it hasn't been qualified by any hyperscalers yet, which poses uncertainty.
Sustainability of Revenue Sources
CATV strength may not be sustainable, raising concerns about future revenue sources.

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Optoelectronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) is a leading provider of advanced optical networking products, primarily serving the data center, cable television, and telecommunications markets. The company specializes in the design and manufacturing of semiconductor lasers and photodiodes, as well as optical transceivers and components that facilitate high-speed data transmission over fiber optic networks. With a focus on innovation and quality, AAOI delivers cutting-edge solutions that enable efficient data communication across various sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Optoelectronics generates revenue primarily through the sale of optical networking products, including optical transceivers used in data centers and telecommunications infrastructures. The company also earns income from its semiconductor lasers and photodiodes, which are critical components in fiber optic communication systems. Key revenue streams include direct sales to large technology companies and telecommunications providers, as well as partnerships with major data center operators. Additionally, AAOI may benefit from government contracts and collaborations with research institutions, which contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing product development capabilities.

Applied Optoelectronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook, with strong year-over-year revenue growth and significant progress in datacenter and CATV segments, offset by higher-than-expected losses per share and increased operating expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-over-Year Growth
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $103 million, more than doubling year-over-year and increasing 3% sequentially. Datacenter product revenue increased by 30% year-over-year.
Significant CATV Segment Growth
CATV segment revenue increased more than 8x year-over-year to $56 million, driven by strong demand for 1.8 gigahertz amplifiers.
Expansion in High-Speed Transceivers
Completed the first volume shipment of 400G datacenter transceivers to a major hyperscale customer, with increasing demand from other hyperscalers.
Strategic Investments in Production Capacity
Progress on adding production capacity for 800G and higher transceivers in the U.S. and Taiwan, with expectations to produce over 200,000 transceivers per month by mid-2026.
Negative Updates
EPS Below Expectations
Non-GAAP loss per share of $0.16 was below the guidance range of a loss of $0.09 to $0.03, primarily due to elevated operating expenses.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose due to strategic investments in R&D and SG&A, with R&D expenses up $2.6 million compared to Q1, impacting the overall financial performance.
Sequential Revenue Decrease in CATV
CATV revenue decreased 13% sequentially due to retooling production to Motorola-style amplifier products after a seasonally strong Q1.
Company Guidance
During Applied Optoelectronics' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong year-over-year top-line growth with total revenue reaching $103 million, aligning with their guidance range of $100 million to $110 million. The datacenter segment contributed $44.8 million to the revenue, marking a 30% increase year-over-year and a 40% sequential rise, primarily driven by 100G and 400G products. CATV revenue soared over eightfold year-over-year to $56 million, although it experienced a 13% sequential decline. The company's non-GAAP gross margin was 30.4%, within the anticipated range of 29.5% to 31%. However, non-GAAP loss per share was $0.16, exceeding the expected loss range due to elevated operating expenses linked to strategic investments in R&D and SG&A. Looking ahead, Applied Optoelectronics anticipates third-quarter revenue between $115 million and $127 million, with a gross margin forecasted to remain stable at 29.5% to 31%.

Applied Optoelectronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Optoelectronics is experiencing financial difficulties characterized by declining revenues, high losses, and cash flow deficits. The company's operational inefficiencies and leverage position need addressing to improve financial health and shareholder value.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company has faced declining revenues with a significant negative net income, suggesting profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is modest at 27.4% TTM, and the company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.53 TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. However, the negative return on equity of -55.9% TTM highlights poor profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio of 47.9% TTM suggests a balanced asset financing mix between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow growth is negative, with a substantial free cash flow deficit of -$158 million TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53 TTM, indicating inadequate cash generation relative to losses. This suggests cash flow constraints amid operational challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue368.23M249.37M217.65M222.82M211.56M234.62M
Gross Profit106.35M61.80M58.92M33.63M37.72M50.54M
EBITDA-149.35M-159.26M-26.18M-36.88M-23.17M-20.86M
Net Income-155.72M-186.73M-56.05M-66.40M-54.16M-58.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets796.85M547.03M389.19M408.26M454.46M480.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.70M67.43M45.37M24.68M34.66M43.42M
Total Debt179.11M190.86M121.07M155.53M149.90M154.92M
Total Liabilities371.87M317.92M174.32M223.59M199.89M202.91M
Stockholders Equity424.98M229.11M214.87M184.67M254.57M277.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-243.95M-112.93M-17.60M-18.26M-22.30M-63.57M
Operating Cash Flow-155.44M-69.53M-7.93M-14.02M-11.64M-44.01M
Investing Cash Flow-113.73M-50.70M-14.76M-3.83M-10.55M-19.35M
Financing Cash Flow335.07M142.18M40.58M10.75M14.09M47.44M

Applied Optoelectronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.36
Price Trends
50DMA
23.60
Negative
100DMA
19.30
Positive
200DMA
23.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.82
Positive
RSI
46.10
Neutral
STOCH
49.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAOI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.57, below the 50-day MA of 23.60, and below the 200-day MA of 23.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AAOI.

Applied Optoelectronics Risk Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Optoelectronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The parties may be unable to satisfy the conditions to the closing of our divestiture and the transaction may not be consummated, and the failure of the divestiture to be completed may adversely affect our business and our common stock price. Q3, 2022

Applied Optoelectronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.64B15.4612.32%17.53%27.74%
69
Neutral
$1.46B23.507.83%-0.19%-28.72%
63
Neutral
$1.31B17.508.64%4.99%-2.16%-2.77%
62
Neutral
$1.95B473.420.66%2.26%-9.54%
62
Neutral
£500.82M27.120.85%2.82%3.88%-21.07%
60
Neutral
$1.35B-37.97%-15.65%-7.18%
49
Neutral
$1.31B-50.93%77.94%-75.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
22.36
13.76
160.00%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
7.42
1.85
33.21%
KLIC
Kulicke & Soffa
36.11
-6.93
-16.10%
MXL
Maxlinear
15.29
2.50
19.55%
VECO
Veeco
23.82
-13.89
-36.83%
ACMR
ACM Research
25.02
4.73
23.31%

Applied Optoelectronics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures $35M Credit Line Agreement
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. entered into a Loan and Security Agreement with BOK Financial, securing a $35 million revolving line of credit with a potential increase to $75 million under certain conditions. This credit facility is intended to support the company’s general working capital and business operations, with the loan secured by most of the company’s assets, excluding foreign subsidiaries, and requiring adherence to specific financial covenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures Major Credit Line Agreement
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., secured a five-year revolving credit line agreement worth 250,000,000 RMB with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank in Ningbo City, China. This credit line is intended for general corporate and capital investment purposes, with borrowing conditions and interest rates to be mutually agreed upon. The agreement allows the bank to revoke the credit line unilaterally under certain conditions, and Global Technology’s obligations are secured by real property under a mortgage contract.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures New Credit Facility
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, secured an 82,000,000 RMB credit facility with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank to repay loans and for general corporate purposes. By July 23, 2025, Global Technology utilized this facility to clear its debts with China Zheshang Bank, terminating the previous credit line without penalties.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures Major Credit Line Agreement
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., secured a five-year revolving credit line agreement totaling 162,260,000 RMB with China Construction Bank in Ningbo City, China. This credit line, intended for general corporate and capital investment purposes, allows Global Technology to draw funds until June 26, 2030, with each draw subject to bank approval and secured by the company’s real property.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Settles Credit Line Obligations
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, secured a one-year credit facility worth 96,800,000 RMB with China Construction Bank to repay outstanding loans with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank. By June 18, 2025, Global Technology used the credit facility to settle its obligations under a previous revolving credit line with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, terminating the associated agreements without incurring penalties.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Applied Optoelectronics Approves Share Increase at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares of common and capital stock was approved. The amendment, which raised the authorized common stock from 80 million to 120 million shares, was filed and became effective the same day. Additionally, the meeting included the election of directors, ratification of the company’s accounting firm, and approval of executive compensation, reflecting significant shareholder engagement with a 63.06% representation of eligible shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Optoelectronics Signs 15-Year Lease in Taiwan
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 7, 2025, Prime World International Holdings Ltd., a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., signed a 15-year lease agreement with San Ho Electric Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. for a property in Taoyuan City, Taiwan. This strategic move allows Prime World to modify the building to meet production needs and includes rights such as first refusal to purchase or renew the lease, potentially enhancing the company’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Signs $100M Equity Distribution Deal
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement with Raymond James & Associates, Inc. and Needham & Company, LLC to issue and sell up to $100 million worth of common stock through the Sales Agents. The agreement allows for ‘at the market’ offerings, with the company maintaining the flexibility to suspend sales and determine the terms of each transaction. The Sales Agents are entitled to a 2% commission on sales, and the agreement includes provisions for reimbursement and indemnification of the Sales Agents. This move could potentially enhance the company’s liquidity and provide financial flexibility, impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAOI) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Optoelectronics stock, see the AAOI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025