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Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
NASDAQ:AAOI
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Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) AI Stock Analysis

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AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics

(NASDAQ:AAOI)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▼(-2.04% Downside)
Applied Optoelectronics faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, which weigh heavily on its overall score. While technical indicators and valuation present a mixed picture, recent corporate events and strategic expansions provide some positive outlook. The company's ability to address operational inefficiencies and leverage strategic opportunities will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunities
AAOI's investments in production could enable the company to become the largest on-shore XCVR supplier in the industry.
Market Share Growth
AAOI's market share is likely to meaningfully grow on wins with major Cloud and AI builders.
Revenue Potential
Oracle was a new 10% customer, indicating potential for diversified revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses
Higher than planned operating expenses caused results to be slightly below consensus expectations.
Product Qualification Uncertainty
Management expects 800G to ramp up, but it hasn't been qualified by any hyperscalers yet, which poses uncertainty.
Product Transition Risks
400G demand may start to decay as the industry transitions from Hopper to Blackwell, impacting future growth.

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Optoelectronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Optoelectronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various fiber-optic networking products worldwide. It offers optical modules, lasers, subassemblies, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment, as well as headend, node, and distribution equipment. The company sells its products to internet data center operators, cable television and telecom equipment manufacturers, and internet service providers through its direct and indirect sales channels. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Optoelectronics generates revenue primarily through the sale of optical networking products, including optical transceivers used in data centers and telecommunications infrastructures. The company also earns income from its semiconductor lasers and photodiodes, which are critical components in fiber optic communication systems. Key revenue streams include direct sales to large technology companies and telecommunications providers, as well as partnerships with major data center operators. Additionally, AAOI may benefit from government contracts and collaborations with research institutions, which contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing product development capabilities.

Applied Optoelectronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic production capacity expansions, particularly in the datacenter and CATV segments. However, the company faced challenges with EPS falling below expectations due to increased operating expenses and a decline in telecom revenue. Despite these hurdles, the positive aspects of revenue growth and capacity expansion indicate a promising outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the second quarter was $103 million, which more than doubled year-over-year and increased 3% sequentially.
Datacenter Product Revenue Growth
Revenue for datacenter products was $44.8 million, up 30% year-over-year and 40% sequentially, driven by increased demand for 100G and 400G products.
CATV Segment Expansion
CATV revenue increased more than 8x year-over-year to $56 million, driven by strong demand for 1.8 gigahertz amplifiers.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 30.4%, up from 22.5% in Q2 2024.
Production Capacity Expansion
Significant progress in increasing production capacity for 800G and higher transceivers in both U.S. and Taiwan, with targets to produce over 200,000 pieces per month by mid-2026.
Negative Updates
EPS Below Expectations
Non-GAAP loss per share was $0.16, below the guidance range of a loss of $0.09 to $0.03, due to elevated operating expenses.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total non-GAAP operating expenses rose to $42.1 million, driven by strategic R&D and SG&A investments.
Telecom Revenue Decline
Telecom product revenue was $1.9 million, down 34% year-over-year and 18% sequentially.
Currency Fluctuations
Operating expenses were unfavorably impacted by the rapid strengthening of the Taiwan dollar.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Applied Optoelectronics reported revenue of $103 million, aligning with their guidance range of $100 million to $110 million. The company's non-GAAP gross margin was 30.4%, also within their guidance range of 29.5% to 31%. However, their non-GAAP loss per share of $0.16 fell below the expected range of a loss of $0.09 to $0.03, primarily due to higher-than-anticipated operating expenses. Total revenue from the datacenter products reached $44.8 million, showing a 30% year-over-year increase and a 40% sequential rise, driven by demand for 100G and 400G products. The CATV segment delivered $56 million in revenue, marking an eightfold increase year-over-year, although it decreased 13% sequentially. Looking ahead to Q3, the company expects revenue between $115 million and $127 million and non-GAAP gross margin in the range of 29.5% to 31%, with a non-GAAP net income loss anticipated between $5.9 million and $2 million.

Applied Optoelectronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Optoelectronics is experiencing financial difficulties characterized by declining revenues, high losses, and cash flow deficits. The company's operational inefficiencies and leverage position need addressing to improve financial health and shareholder value.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company has faced declining revenues with a significant negative net income, suggesting profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is modest at 27.4% TTM, and the company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.53 TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. However, the negative return on equity of -55.9% TTM highlights poor profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio of 47.9% TTM suggests a balanced asset financing mix between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow growth is negative, with a substantial free cash flow deficit of -$158 million TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53 TTM, indicating inadequate cash generation relative to losses. This suggests cash flow constraints amid operational challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue368.23M249.37M217.65M222.82M211.56M234.62M
Gross Profit106.35M61.80M58.92M33.63M37.72M50.54M
EBITDA-149.35M-159.26M-26.18M-36.88M-23.17M-20.86M
Net Income-155.72M-186.73M-56.05M-66.40M-54.16M-58.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets796.85M547.03M389.19M408.26M454.46M480.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.70M67.43M45.37M24.68M34.66M43.42M
Total Debt179.11M190.86M121.07M155.53M149.90M154.92M
Total Liabilities371.87M317.92M174.32M223.59M199.89M202.91M
Stockholders Equity424.98M229.11M214.87M184.67M254.57M277.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-243.95M-112.93M-17.60M-18.26M-22.30M-63.57M
Operating Cash Flow-155.44M-69.53M-7.93M-14.02M-11.64M-44.01M
Investing Cash Flow-113.73M-50.70M-14.76M-3.83M-10.55M-19.35M
Financing Cash Flow335.07M142.18M40.58M10.75M14.09M47.44M

Applied Optoelectronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.99
Price Trends
50DMA
25.03
Negative
100DMA
20.62
Positive
200DMA
23.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.77
Neutral
STOCH
32.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAOI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.39, below the 50-day MA of 25.03, and below the 200-day MA of 23.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AAOI.

Applied Optoelectronics Risk Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Optoelectronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Optoelectronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.73B16.3712.32%17.53%27.74%
70
Neutral
$1.44B24.187.83%-0.19%-28.72%
66
Neutral
$1.45B19.168.64%4.41%-2.16%-2.77%
62
Neutral
$1.97B460.380.66%2.16%-9.54%
61
Neutral
$35.52B8.84-11.06%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
50
Neutral
$1.45B-50.93%77.94%-75.13%
48
Neutral
$1.35B-37.97%-15.65%-7.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
23.99
10.97
84.25%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
8.39
3.17
60.73%
KLIC
Kulicke & Soffa
38.21
0.27
0.71%
MXL
Maxlinear
15.63
2.30
17.25%
VECO
Veeco
24.51
-4.96
-16.83%
ACMR
ACM Research
27.41
11.81
75.71%

Applied Optoelectronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Optoelectronics Signs 15-Year Lease Agreement
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 1, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics‘ subsidiary, Prime World International Holdings Ltd., entered into a 15-year lease agreement for a property in New Taipei City, which includes a building and land. The lease allows for modifications to accommodate production needs and includes rights such as first refusal for purchase and renewal, ensuring strategic flexibility and operational stability for the company.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Signs Equity Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement with Raymond James & Associates, Inc. and Needham & Company, LLC, allowing the company to issue and sell up to $150 million worth of common stock through these sales agents. This agreement facilitates ‘at the market’ offerings, providing flexibility for the company to raise capital as needed, while also detailing compensation and reimbursement terms for the sales agents. The agreement can be terminated by either party and includes indemnification clauses for the sales agents.

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Optoelectronics Terminates Lease with San Ho Electric
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Prime World International Holdings Ltd., a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., agreed to terminate its lease with San Ho Electric Machinery Industry Co., Ltd., effective August 31, 2025. As part of the termination, Prime World will pay NT$9,400,000 to settle all obligations, ensuring no further claims between the parties, which may impact the company’s operational logistics and financial commitments.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures $35M Credit Line Agreement
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. entered into a Loan and Security Agreement with BOK Financial, securing a $35 million revolving line of credit with a potential increase to $75 million under certain conditions. This credit facility is intended to support the company’s general working capital and business operations, with the loan secured by most of the company’s assets, excluding foreign subsidiaries, and requiring adherence to specific financial covenants.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures Major Credit Line Agreement
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., secured a five-year revolving credit line agreement worth 250,000,000 RMB with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank in Ningbo City, China. This credit line is intended for general corporate and capital investment purposes, with borrowing conditions and interest rates to be mutually agreed upon. The agreement allows the bank to revoke the credit line unilaterally under certain conditions, and Global Technology’s obligations are secured by real property under a mortgage contract.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures New Credit Facility
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 18, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, secured an 82,000,000 RMB credit facility with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank to repay loans and for general corporate purposes. By July 23, 2025, Global Technology utilized this facility to clear its debts with China Zheshang Bank, terminating the previous credit line without penalties.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Secures Major Credit Line Agreement
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., secured a five-year revolving credit line agreement totaling 162,260,000 RMB with China Construction Bank in Ningbo City, China. This credit line, intended for general corporate and capital investment purposes, allows Global Technology to draw funds until June 26, 2030, with each draw subject to bank approval and secured by the company’s real property.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Optoelectronics Settles Credit Line Obligations
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Global Technology, a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, secured a one-year credit facility worth 96,800,000 RMB with China Construction Bank to repay outstanding loans with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank. By June 18, 2025, Global Technology used the credit facility to settle its obligations under a previous revolving credit line with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, terminating the associated agreements without incurring penalties.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Applied Optoelectronics Approves Share Increase at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares of common and capital stock was approved. The amendment, which raised the authorized common stock from 80 million to 120 million shares, was filed and became effective the same day. Additionally, the meeting included the election of directors, ratification of the company’s accounting firm, and approval of executive compensation, reflecting significant shareholder engagement with a 63.06% representation of eligible shares.

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Optoelectronics Signs 15-Year Lease in Taiwan
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 7, 2025, Prime World International Holdings Ltd., a subsidiary of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc., signed a 15-year lease agreement with San Ho Electric Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. for a property in Taoyuan City, Taiwan. This strategic move allows Prime World to modify the building to meet production needs and includes rights such as first refusal to purchase or renew the lease, potentially enhancing the company’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025