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Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO)
:VECO

Veeco (VECO) AI Stock Analysis

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VECO

Veeco

(NASDAQ:VECO)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(19.78% Upside)
Veeco's overall stock score is driven by strong technical analysis and positive earnings call outcomes, despite challenges in financial performance and valuation. The pending merger with Axcelis Technologies provides a strategic growth opportunity, but high valuation metrics and cash flow concerns temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with Axcelis Technologies is set to create a leading semiconductor equipment company, expanding the addressable market and enhancing R&D capabilities, which could significantly strengthen Veeco's market position and competitive advantage.
Advanced Packaging Growth
Increasing orders for advanced packaging systems highlight Veeco's ability to capitalize on the growing demand in AI and high-performance computing, supporting long-term revenue growth and market expansion.
DRAM Market Expansion
The selection of Veeco's technology for evaluation in DRAM R&D signifies potential penetration into the DRAM market, which could lead to high-volume manufacturing opportunities and long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share and competitive positioning, which could impact long-term financial performance and strategic initiatives.
Gross Margin Pressure
Expected decline in gross margins due to product mix changes could pressure profitability, affecting Veeco's ability to sustain healthy profit margins over the long term.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in free cash flow growth suggests cash generation issues, which may limit Veeco's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.

Veeco (VECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Veeco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVeeco Instruments Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and supports semiconductor and thin film process equipment primarily to make electronic devices worldwide. The company offers laser annealing, ion beam deposition and etch, metal organic chemical vapor deposition, single wafer wet processing and surface preparation, molecular beam epitaxy, and atomic layer deposition and other deposition systems, as well as packaging lithography equipment. Its process equipment systems are used in the production of a range of microelectronic components, including logic, dynamic random-access memory, photonics devices, power electronics, radio frequency filters and amplifiers, magnetic heads for hard disk drives, and other semiconductor devices. In addition, the company markets and sells its products to integrated device manufacturers and foundries; outsourced semiconductor assembly and test, hard disk drive, and photonics manufacturers; and research centers and universities. Veeco Instruments Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Plainview, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVeeco generates revenue primarily through the sale of its specialized manufacturing equipment and systems, which are used by companies in the semiconductor and related industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of new equipment, spare parts, and service contracts for maintenance and support. Additionally, the company benefits from long-term relationships with major technology firms, which can lead to repeat business and the development of customized solutions. The growing demand for advanced materials in emerging technology sectors, such as 5G and electric vehicles, also contributes to Veeco's earnings potential.

Veeco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Veeco's earnings call reflects strong execution with revenue and earnings exceeding expectations and positive momentum from the pending merger with Axcelis Technologies. However, some segments like semiconductor and compound semiconductor experienced revenue declines, and future gross margin is expected to decrease due to product mix changes.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Exceed Expectations
Q3 2025 revenue was $166 million, exceeding the midpoint of prior guidance of $160 million. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.36, above the prior guidance midpoint of $0.28.
Merger with Axcelis Technologies
Veeco announced a definitive agreement to combine with Axcelis Technologies in an all-stock transaction, aiming to create a leading semiconductor equipment company with a combined served available market of over $5 billion on a pro forma 2024 basis.
Strong Demand in Semiconductor Technologies
Continued healthy demand in gate-all-around, high-bandwidth memory, and advanced packaging, driven by investments in AI and high-performance computing.
Significant Growth in Advanced Packaging
Orders for advanced packaging wet processing and lithography systems increased, driven by demand from AI-related markets.
Cash Position and Financial Foundation
Veeco ended the quarter with cash and short-term investments of $369 million, providing a strong operating profile and financial foundation.
Negative Updates
Decline in Semiconductor Revenue
Semiconductor revenue was $118 million, a decline of 5% quarter-over-quarter, representing 71% of total revenue.
Compound Semiconductor Market Downturn
Revenue from the compound semiconductor market was $11 million, down from the prior quarter, totaling 7% of revenue.
Gross Margin Decline Expected
Q4 gross margin is expected to range between 37% and 39%, down from 42% in Q3, due to a shift in product mix and discounted evaluation tool acceptances.
Data Storage Market Revenue Decline
System revenue in the data storage market declined in 2025 compared to 2024 as customers did not add new system capacity.
Company Guidance
During the Veeco Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarter and insights into its strategic initiatives. Veeco reported Q3 revenue of $166 million, surpassing the midpoint of their prior guidance. Non-GAAP operating income was $23 million, with non-GAAP diluted earnings per share at $0.36, exceeding the prior guidance midpoint of $0.28. For Q4 2025, revenue is expected to range between $155 million and $175 million, with gross margins anticipated between 37% and 39%. Operating expenses are projected at approximately $48 million, with net income between $10 million and $19 million, resulting in diluted EPS of $0.16 to $0.32 on 62 million shares. The company highlighted ongoing demand in semiconductor technologies driven by AI and high-performance computing, with significant growth expected in advanced packaging. Veeco also discussed the pending merger with Axcelis Technologies, projecting a combined served available market of over $5 billion on a pro forma 2024 basis and emphasizing potential synergies, including a broader product portfolio, increased R&D scale, and improved financial foundation with over $900 million in combined cash.

Veeco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Veeco's financial performance shows a mix of strengths and weaknesses. The company maintains healthy profit margins, but recent declines in revenue growth and profitability metrics suggest potential challenges. The balance sheet is stable with improved leverage, but cash flow metrics indicate areas of concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Veeco's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin of 41.5% TTM, but the net profit margin has decreased to 8.7% TTM from 10.3% in the previous year. Revenue growth has turned negative at -2.7% TTM, indicating a potential slowdown. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined slightly, suggesting pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.31 TTM, indicating reduced leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity has decreased to 7.6% TTM, showing a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. Free cash flow growth is negative at -120.3% TTM, indicating a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.48 TTM, reflecting moderate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74 TTM, showing a reasonable conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue681.41M717.30M666.43M646.14M583.28M454.16M
Gross Profit278.11M304.00M285.06M263.15M242.27M194.30M
EBITDA74.56M105.02M8.40M88.14M82.77M46.97M
Net Income49.24M73.71M-30.37M166.94M26.04M-8.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.25B1.23B1.13B898.98M898.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments369.35M344.31M305.44M302.41M223.93M319.40M
Total Debt262.43M314.27M310.50M311.57M266.71M331.57M
Total Liabilities413.94M480.81M556.60M550.36M461.35M489.69M
Stockholders Equity875.97M770.77M672.44M577.82M437.63M408.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow54.84M45.70M33.74M83.88M27.10M36.22M
Operating Cash Flow72.95M63.81M61.67M108.48M67.74M43.02M
Investing Cash Flow-33.78M-64.55M-53.33M-68.88M44.53M-71.79M
Financing Cash Flow-9.42M-12.58M-4.68M-4.55M-122.03M29.10M

Veeco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.22
Price Trends
50DMA
29.53
Negative
100DMA
27.59
Positive
200DMA
23.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
43.54
Neutral
STOCH
21.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.00, below the 50-day MA of 29.53, and above the 200-day MA of 23.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VECO.

Veeco Risk Analysis

Veeco disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Veeco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Veeco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.03B14.3711.89%-2.04%8.84%
70
Neutral
$1.83B35.246.12%-3.90%-41.66%
69
Neutral
$1.44B23.017.17%4.60%-3.62%-20.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.80B-39.03-19.18%12.05%14.24%
60
Neutral
$1.50B-8.10-35.16%7.53%22.97%
48
Neutral
$1.80B-11.54-33.25%-38.06%-50.14%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VECO
Veeco
29.22
1.63
5.91%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
8.04
0.76
10.44%
MXL
Maxlinear
16.98
-2.21
-11.52%
PLAB
Photronics
32.96
8.55
35.03%
LASR
nLIGHT
34.66
24.78
250.81%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
7.38
4.57
162.63%

Veeco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Veeco Assesses Impact of New Export Rule
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On September 29, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security issued a new rule, known as the Affiliates Rule, which expands export restrictions for companies dealing with certain China-based customers. Veeco has conducted a preliminary review and does not anticipate a material impact on its China-based business operations as a result of this rule.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Veeco Announces Merger with Axcelis Technologies
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Veeco Instruments Inc. and Axcelis Technologies, Inc. entered into a definitive agreement for an all-stock merger, creating a leading semiconductor equipment company with an enterprise value of approximately $4.4 billion. The merger, expected to close in the second half of 2026, will see Veeco shareholders receive 0.3575 Axcelis shares per Veeco share, with Axcelis shareholders owning approximately 58% of the combined company. The merger aims to expand the addressable market to over $5 billion, diversify the technology portfolio, and enhance R&D capabilities, with anticipated annual cost synergies of $35 million within 24 months post-closing. The combined company will be headquartered in Beverly, Massachusetts, and is expected to deliver significant value to stakeholders by capitalizing on complementary technologies and market opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025