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Axcelis (ACLS)
NASDAQ:ACLS
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Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) AI Stock Analysis

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ACLS

Axcelis Technologies

(NASDAQ:ACLS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$163.00
▲(37.29% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (low leverage and solid profitability) and supportive earnings-call signals (improving Q2 guidance, strong CS&I growth, and a healthy backlog). Technicals remain bullish but look overbought, while the high P/E meaningfully drags the score due to elevated valuation risk.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Axcelis' very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04) and $570M of cash and marketable securities provide durable financial flexibility. This capitalization supports cyclical resilience, funds R&D and integration costs for strategic M&A, and reduces refinancing risk across semiconductor cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility
Axcelis' revenue profile is highly cyclical, with a sharp TTM rebound after consecutive annual declines. Dependence on semiconductor capital spending and shifting end-market demand (memory, power, mature nodes) makes revenue forecasting and multi-quarter growth durable risks for planning and investment allocation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Axcelis' very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04) and $570M of cash and marketable securities provide durable financial flexibility. This capitalization supports cyclical resilience, funds R&D and integration costs for strategic M&A, and reduces refinancing risk across semiconductor cycles.
Read all positive factors

Axcelis Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAxcelis Technologies shows a mixed geographical revenue trend. North America and Europe have seen recent declines, while APAC remains a strong revenue driver, supported by robust demand for silicon carbide in China, particularly from the EV sector. Despite a challenging market environment, the company exceeded financial expectations with disciplined cost management and strong margins. The earnings call highlights Axcelis's leadership in high-energy ion implantation and anticipates modest revenue improvements in late 2025, although bookings have softened, reflecting broader market challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axcelis Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Axcelis Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services ion implantation and other processing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips in the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company offers high energy, high current, and...
How the Company Makes Money
Axcelis makes money primarily by selling capital equipment and by generating recurring aftermarket revenue from the installed base of its ion implantation tools. 1) Capital equipment (systems sales): The largest revenue driver is typically the sa...

Axcelis Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and financial strengths — notably >30% YoY CS&I growth, strong memory shipments, a healthy backlog ($453M), solid margins and a robust cash position ($570M) — and provided improved near-term guidance (Q2 revenue ~$205M, EPS ~$0.90, gross margin ~43%). Key challenges include a one-time $5M customer settlement that reduced Q1 results, softness in the general mature market, moderated silicon carbide shipments, flat bookings, and merger timing risk tied to China regulatory approval. On balance the positive performance indicators, strong product momentum, and constructive guidance outweigh the reported headwinds and one-time impacts.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and EPS Beat
Reported Q1 2026 revenue of $199 million and diluted EPS of $0.72, slightly above company expectations. Q1 included a one-time customer settlement that reduced results (see lowlights).
Negative Updates
One-Time Customer Settlement Impact
A $5 million customer settlement in Q1 reduced system revenue by $5 million, pressured gross margin by approximately 70 basis points and lowered EPS by about $0.09 per share; results would have been higher absent this item.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Revenue and EPS Beat
Reported Q1 2026 revenue of $199 million and diluted EPS of $0.72, slightly above company expectations. Q1 included a one-time customer settlement that reduced results (see lowlights).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Axcelis guided second-quarter revenue of approximately $205 million, gross margin near 43%, operating expenses about $59 million, adjusted EBITDA roughly $34 million and diluted EPS of about $0.90; for full-year 2026 the company expects revenue to be roughly flat year-over-year (second-half weighted), full‑year gross margins in the low‑ to mid‑40% range with quarterly mix variability, operating expenses of ~ $60 million per quarter for the balance of the year and an approximate tax rate of 15%, and management continues to expect the Veeco merger to close in H2 2026 pending China approval. Key Q1 metrics: revenue $199 million (systems ≈ $126M, CS&I $73M), EPS $0.72, Q1 gross margin 40.7% (vs outlook 41%), Q1 operating expenses $57.7M, operating margin 11.7%, adjusted EBITDA $27.7M (13.9% margin), other income $2.7M, tax rate 14%, bookings ~$128M, backlog $453M, free cash flow $16M (includes $12M of Veeco transaction cash expenses), cash/cash equivalents/marketable securities $570M (including $203M long‑term securities), a $5M one‑time customer settlement that reduced system revenue by $5M (~70 bps gross margin headwind and ~$0.09 EPS impact), CS&I growth >30% YoY, China revenue 40%, Korea 28%, Europe 16%, U.S. 12%, Taiwan 1%, Japan 1% and RoW 2%.

Axcelis Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial quality anchored by a very low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.04) and consistently positive profitability/cash flow. Offsets include margin compression versus prior peaks (TTM net margin ~12% vs ~22% in 2023) and weaker recent cash conversion (operating cash flow coverage ~0.47 of net income) alongside TTM free-cash-flow decline (-15.6%).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue845.44M839.05M1.02B1.13B920.00M662.43M
Gross Profit368.66M376.85M454.65M491.30M401.79M286.44M
EBITDA133.55M161.23M251.54M297.01M222.07M136.08M
Net Income100.87M120.24M200.99M246.26M183.08M98.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37B1.36B1.35B1.28B1.01B753.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.60M374.25M571.34M506.15M432.17M294.92M
Total Debt41.96M42.33M43.67M45.19M46.41M47.39M
Total Liabilities329.90M326.67M335.99M417.08M346.38M214.28M
Stockholders Equity1.04B1.03B1.01B864.88M667.26M538.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow88.47M107.01M128.64M136.21M204.92M141.47M
Operating Cash Flow96.65M118.31M140.82M156.87M215.61M150.19M
Investing Cash Flow-21.18M29.93M-108.73M-100.86M-257.25M-8.72M
Financing Cash Flow-105.78M-124.49M-71.19M-68.27M-65.48M-52.45M

Axcelis Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price118.73
Price Trends
50DMA
119.12
Positive
100DMA
103.39
Positive
200DMA
93.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.85
Positive
RSI
51.87
Neutral
STOCH
26.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACLS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 118.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.83, below the 50-day MA of 119.12, and above the 200-day MA of 93.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ACLS.

Axcelis Technologies Risk Analysis

Axcelis Technologies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axcelis Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axcelis Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.77B215.302.44%2.27%3.11%-54.05%
75
Outperform
$8.05B3.5420.24%2.22%36.05%80.83%
73
Outperform
$4.49B77.599.79%-11.75%-41.15%
70
Outperform
$4.36B52.384.54%15.97%234.66%
67
Neutral
$9.15B93.476.68%9.60%25.63%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$4.51B764.021.37%9.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies
143.23
80.77
129.31%
DIOD
Diodes
93.75
45.79
95.48%
FORM
Formfactor
117.20
85.29
267.28%
IPGP
IPG Photonics
113.33
46.84
70.45%
POWI
Power Integrations
68.28
16.47
31.78%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
252.92
188.99
295.61%

Axcelis Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Axcelis Shareholders Approve Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
May 6, 2026
Axcelis Technologies held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders at its Beverly, Massachusetts offices on May 5, 2026, with 90.24% of eligible shares represented in person or by proxy. All eight director nominees were elected with strong pluralit...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Axcelis Technologies Announces CFO Transition and Interim Appointment
Neutral
Mar 12, 2026
Axcelis Technologies announced a chief financial officer transition on March 12, 2026, as long-time finance leader James Coogan prepares to depart the company on April 24, 2026, to take a CFO role in another industry. The company emphasized that h...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026