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Formfactor (FORM)
NASDAQ:FORM
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Formfactor (FORM) AI Stock Analysis

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FORM

Formfactor

(NASDAQ:FORM)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(1.97% Upside)
FormFactor's overall score is driven by financial stability and strategic investments, but is tempered by weak technical indicators and high valuation concerns. The company's efforts to enhance financial flexibility and governance are positive, but profitability and cash flow challenges remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Advanced Packaging Demand
The growing demand of advanced packaging, and especially HBM, is driving ~20% higher probe cards intensity, and FORM is seen as a key beneficiary thanks to its strong position at SK Hynix and differentiated technology.
CPO Leadership
CPO is viewed as a major potential growth catalyst for FORM by extending its leadership position from the labs to the fabs.
HBM Market Expansion
FormFactor announced that it is now ramping HBM probe cards at Micron, which should contribute to incremental growth.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Challenges
FORM's gross margin has been disappointing at sub-40% level, and there is an expectation of more self-help initiatives to reach the 47% target level.
Smartphone and PC Market Pressure
Muted smartphone and PC markets are pressuring both revenue and margins, with FORM's gross margin disappointing at sub-40% level.
Tariff Impact
Guidance includes approximately $5 million of lost revenue from tariffs, mainly affecting customers in China, with an impact on gross margin as a result.

Formfactor (FORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Formfactor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFormFactor, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, metrology systems, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems to semiconductor companies and scientific institutions. It operates in two segments, Probe Cards and Systems. The company offers probe cards to test various semiconductor device types, including systems on a chip products, mobile application processors, microprocessors, microcontrollers, and graphic processors, as well as radio frequency, analog, mixed signal, image sensor, electro-optical, dynamic random access memory, NAND flash memory, and NOR flash memory devices; and analytical probes, which are used for a range of applications, including device characterization, electrical simulation model development, failure analysis, and prototype design debugging for universities, research institutions, semiconductor integrated device manufacturers, semiconductor foundries, and fabless semiconductor companies. It also provides probing systems for semiconductor design engineers to capture and analyze accurate data; surface metrology systems for the development, production, and quality control of semiconductor products; thermal subsystems, such as thermal chucks and other test systems used in probe stations and other applications; and precision cryogenic instruments, semiconductor tests, and measurement systems. In addition, the company offers on-site probe card maintenance and service training, seminars, and telephone support services. The company markets and sells its products through direct sales force, manufacturers' representatives, and distributors in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, China, Japan, Europe, rest of Asia-Pacific, and internationally. FormFactor, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Livermore, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFormfactor generates revenue through the sale of its semiconductor test solutions, including probe cards and related services, which are essential for the testing of integrated circuits during the manufacturing process. The company has a diverse customer base, including major semiconductor manufacturers and foundries, which contributes to its revenue stability. Key revenue streams include direct sales of products, service contracts for maintenance and support, and customized solutions tailored to specific customer needs. Formfactor also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading semiconductor companies, which can lead to collaborative projects and increased sales opportunities.

Formfactor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. On the positive side, FormFactor experienced sequential revenue growth, significant increases in DRAM and HBM revenues, and strategic investments to improve competitiveness. However, these were offset by declines in gross margin, increased tariffs, reduced systems segment revenue, and higher operating expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
FormFactor reported sequentially stronger second quarter revenue of $195.8 million, which exceeded the high end of their outlook range by $0.8 million due to growth in the probe card business.
DRAM and HBM Growth
DRAM revenues were $57.1 million in Q2, 16.8% higher than the first quarter, driven by HBM, which increased from $29.5 million in Q1 to $37 million in Q2.
Foundry and Logic Revenue Increase
Foundry and logic revenues were $100 million, a 16.7% increase from the first quarter, making up 50.8% of total company revenues.
Strategic Investments
FormFactor made strategic investments, including purchasing a manufacturing facility in Texas and a minority equity investment in FICT to improve competitiveness and profitability.
Customer Recognition
FormFactor was recognized as the #1 global supplier in both test subsystems and focused chip-making equipment categories in the TechInsights' 2025 global customer satisfaction survey.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Non-GAAP gross margin fell to 38.5%, at the low end of the outlook range, due to an unfavorable product mix and ramp-up costs for an HBM DRAM customer.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs are expected to reduce gross margins by 1 to 1.5 percentage points, with a potential increase to 1.5 to 2 percentage points if tariffs rise.
Systems Segment Revenue Decrease
Systems segment revenues decreased by $1.1 million from the first quarter, comprising 17.2% of total company revenues, down from 20.3% in the first quarter.
Higher Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses for the second quarter were $52.5 million, $2.3 million higher than the first quarter, mainly due to higher performance-based compensation, increased labor costs, and expenses from the new facility.
Company Guidance
During the FormFactor's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Mike Slessor and CFO Shai Shahar highlighted the company's financial performance and future outlook. FormFactor reported a sequential revenue increase to $195.8 million, surpassing the high end of their outlook, primarily due to significant growth in the probe card business, particularly in the DRAM and HBM sectors. Despite this revenue growth, the non-GAAP gross margin was at the low end of expectations at 38.5%, impacted by product mix shifts, increased tariffs, and ramp-up costs for a second HBM DRAM customer. Looking ahead to the third quarter, FormFactor anticipates revenue to remain stable but expects a slight improvement in gross margin to 40%, albeit with potential tariff-related challenges. The company is also focusing on strategic investments, such as acquiring a new manufacturing facility in Texas, to enhance long-term competitiveness and profitability. Additionally, FormFactor is advancing its capabilities in emerging sectors like generative AI and quantum computing, positioning itself for future growth in the semiconductor industry.

Formfactor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FormFactor shows a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. However, there is pressure on margins and cash flows, which have decreased, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and cash generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Formfactor shows a stable Gross Profit Margin of approximately 40% over the periods, indicating efficiency in cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin has seen a decline from the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in EBIT, which has impacted profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate is modest but positive, reflecting steady growth in sales, though the latest TTM shows a slight dip. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA have decreased in the latest TTM, signaling potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio, highlighting financial stability and low leverage. ROE has decreased slightly, aligning with the dip in net income, yet remains healthy. The Equity Ratio indicates a robust capital structure with a high proportion of equity funding the assets, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains positive, although it has decreased compared to the previous year, which could constrain liquidity if the trend continues. Free Cash Flow has decreased in the TTM period, reflecting lower operational efficiency and capital expenditure management. The ratio of Operating Cash Flow to Net Income suggests reasonable cash generation from earnings, albeit with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue764.55M763.60M663.10M747.94M769.67M693.62M
Gross Profit295.75M307.92M258.58M303.43M322.77M287.92M
EBITDA93.12M112.73M127.14M104.64M150.79M140.68M
Net Income43.93M69.61M82.39M50.74M83.92M78.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.15B1.11B1.01B1.02B963.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.33M360.02M328.32M238.13M276.06M255.03M
Total Debt24.27M39.23M48.15M50.37M63.27M69.19M
Total Liabilities191.59M198.45M197.99M199.94M204.74M219.13M
Stockholders Equity990.02M947.77M908.80M808.28M815.78M744.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.63M79.10M8.57M66.53M72.87M113.39M
Operating Cash Flow105.08M117.53M64.60M131.79M139.36M169.26M
Investing Cash Flow-186.73M-33.48M29.05M-75.70M-124.74M-98.92M
Financing Cash Flow-52.36M-64.61M-22.71M-95.93M-47.20M-30.93M

Formfactor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.42
Price Trends
50DMA
32.57
Negative
100DMA
31.14
Negative
200DMA
34.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Negative
RSI
44.88
Neutral
STOCH
64.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FORM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.13, below the 50-day MA of 32.57, and below the 200-day MA of 34.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FORM.

Formfactor Risk Analysis

Formfactor disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Formfactor reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Formfactor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.05B30.4924.28%1.61%27.88%37.85%
70
Outperform
$2.68B32.6910.16%2.52%-0.29%1.47%
70
Neutral
$1.50B24.637.83%-0.19%-28.72%
63
Neutral
$3.00B-18.35%44.54%41.55%
62
Neutral
$2.27B52.284.53%8.30%-63.69%
62
Neutral
$1.96B473.540.66%2.17%-9.54%
61
Neutral
$35.62B8.22-10.94%1.88%8.86%-10.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FORM
Formfactor
29.42
-19.57
-39.95%
CAMT
Camtek
84.83
-7.36
-7.98%
KLIC
Kulicke & Soffa
37.60
-3.76
-9.09%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
79.00
19.01
31.69%
VECO
Veeco
24.77
-10.31
-29.39%
AMBA
Ambarella
70.53
12.13
20.77%

Formfactor Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
FormFactor Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 8, 2025, FormFactor, Inc. announced the resignation of Shai Shahar as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately, with his continued role as Senior Vice President, Executive Advisor until the end of the year. Concurrently, the company appointed Aric McKinnis as the new Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. McKinnis, who has been with FormFactor since 2019, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at MKS Instruments and Deloitte. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive compensation package, reflecting the company’s confidence in his leadership capabilities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FormFactor Secures $150M Credit Facility with Wells Fargo
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, FormFactor, Inc. entered into a Revolving Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, establishing a $150 million credit facility to support working capital and general corporate purposes. This agreement, which includes options for additional loans and various financial covenants, is expected to enhance FormFactor’s financial flexibility. Additionally, FormFactor’s Board of Directors adopted Amended and Restated By-laws on the same date, updating procedures for stockholder meetings and other governance aspects to align with regulatory requirements, potentially improving corporate governance and shareholder engagement.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FormFactor Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

FormFactor, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 16, 2025, where several key proposals were approved. Notably, the stockholders approved an amendment to the 2012 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares of common stock reserved for issuance by 2,200,000 shares. Additionally, all director nominees were elected, the executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025