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Formfactor (FORM)
NASDAQ:FORM

Formfactor (FORM) AI Stock Analysis

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Formfactor

(NASDAQ:FORM)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(1.16%Upside)
FormFactor's overall score is driven by its solid financial position and positive short-term technical indicators. However, valuation concerns and mixed earnings call sentiment, impacted by geopolitical challenges and profitability issues, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FormFactor reported a beat-and-raise quarter and delivered a rare V-shaped recovery after a disappointing print.
Market Demand
Growing exposure to a 2nd HBM customer is a tailwind, though majority of demand remain centered with the company's biggest customer.
Strategic Partnerships
FormFactor remains focused on, and is making inroads, strengthening its market leadership at strategic customers like AMD and NVIDIA.
Negative Factors
Customer Relations
The company faces challenges with its former top customer, INTC, which is tracking below norms with uncertain recovery timing.
Market Challenges
US BIS shipment restrictions have significantly impacted China's demand for probe cards, contributing to a year-over-year growth headwind.
Revenue Guidance
Mar '25 Q guidance miss with Rev/EPS of $170M/$0.19 below the Street's $193M/$0.33 view.

Formfactor (FORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Formfactor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFormFactor, Inc. is a leading provider of essential test and measurement technologies for the semiconductor industry. The company is headquartered in Livermore, California, and operates in sectors including semiconductor manufacturing and electronic design. FormFactor specializes in designing and manufacturing advanced wafer probe cards, analytical probes, and thermal sub-systems. These products are critical for wafer testing and help semiconductor manufacturers ensure the quality and performance of their products across various applications, from electronics to telecommunications.
How the Company Makes MoneyFormFactor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor testing products, including probe cards and analytical probes. The company's key revenue streams include sales to semiconductor manufacturers and integrated device manufacturers who require precise testing solutions to improve yield and performance. FormFactor also capitalizes on its technological expertise and innovation to maintain long-term partnerships with leading semiconductor companies. Additionally, the company may receive income from service contracts related to the maintenance and support of its testing products. The growing demand for advanced semiconductor devices in various industries, such as consumer electronics and automotive, significantly contributes to FormFactor's earnings.

Formfactor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted expected growth in key areas such as HBM probe cards and new acquisitions, but also noted significant challenges, including revenue declines, tariff impacts, and decreased profitability metrics. The sentiment is mixed with positive outlooks overshadowed by current operational and geopolitical challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Anticipated Double-Digit Sequential Revenue Growth
FormFactor expects double-digit sequential revenue growth in the second quarter, driven by hyperscalers' investments in generative AI and increased demand for high bandwidth memory DRAM probe cards.
Strength in HBM Probe Card Demand
Record-level DRAM probe card revenue is expected in the second quarter, with growth in HBM applications, driven by shipments for existing HBM3e and new HBM4 designs.
Successful Acquisition to Enhance Product Capability
FormFactor, along with MBK Partners, completed the acquisition of FICT Limited, solidifying access to multilayer organic substrates technology needed for advanced foundry and logic probe cards.
Systems Segment Growth Driven by Innovation
The Systems segment expects moderate sequential growth, driven by innovation in areas like quantum computing and co-package optics using silicon photonics.
Completion of Share Buyback Program
FormFactor completed a two-year $75 million share repurchase program, ahead of schedule, and the Board approved a new two-year $75 million program.
Negative Updates
First Quarter Revenue Decline
First quarter revenues decreased 9.6% from the fourth quarter, with a 9.2% decrease in Probe card segment revenues and a 4.4 million decrease in System segment revenues.
Tariff Impact on Revenue and Costs
Anticipated mid-single-digit million-dollar reduction in second-quarter revenues and a one percentage point reduction in gross margins due to tariffs on imports, particularly affecting goods imported from Japan and Germany.
Challenges in China Due to Tariffs and Export Controls
Recent tariff increases and U.S. export controls reduced revenue from China, impacting shipments of probe cards for advanced DRAM designs.
Decreased Gross Margin and Operating Income
Non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 39.2% from 40.2% in the fourth quarter, and non-GAAP operating income decreased by 19.2% due to lower revenues and gross margins.
Decreased Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow decreased to $6.3 million from $28.8 million in the previous quarter, due to lower operating cash flows and higher capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During FormFactor's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance anticipating double-digit sequential revenue growth in Q2, driven by increased demand across all major markets and segments. CEO Mike Slessor highlighted the growth in demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) DRAM probe cards and co-package optics test systems, largely due to hyperscalers investing in generative AI. The guidance also anticipated corresponding increases in gross margin and earnings per share. CFO Shai Shahar presented financial highlights, noting Q1 revenues of $171.4 million and a non-GAAP gross margin of 39.2%. For Q2, the revenue is expected to rise to $190 million, plus or minus $5 million, with a gross margin increase to 40% plus or minus 150 basis points. The company's outlook incorporates potential revenue and gross margin impacts due to tariffs, with an estimated mid-single-digit million-dollar reduction in revenues and a one percentage point decrease in gross margins.

Formfactor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FormFactor demonstrates a solid financial position with consistent revenue and profitability, but faces pressure on margins and cash flows. The balance sheet is strong with low debt levels, yet cash flow management and operational efficiency need improvement for sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Formfactor shows a stable Gross Profit Margin of approximately 40% over the periods, indicating efficiency in cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin has seen a decline from the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in EBIT, which has impacted profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate is modest but positive, reflecting steady growth in sales, though the latest TTM shows a slight dip. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA have decreased in the latest TTM, signaling potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio, highlighting financial stability and low leverage. ROE has decreased slightly, aligning with the dip in net income, yet remains healthy. The Equity Ratio indicates a robust capital structure with a high proportion of equity funding the assets, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains positive, although it has decreased compared to the previous year, which could constrain liquidity if the trend continues. Free Cash Flow has decreased in the TTM period, reflecting lower operational efficiency and capital expenditure management. The ratio of Operating Cash Flow to Net Income suggests reasonable cash generation from earnings, albeit with room for improvement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
766.23M763.60M663.10M747.94M769.67M693.62M
Gross Profit
309.71M307.92M258.58M303.43M322.77M287.92M
EBIT
46.75M64.78M82.76M54.91M98.04M83.79M
EBITDA
115.97M112.73M127.14M104.64M150.79M140.68M
Net Income Common Stockholders
54.23M69.61M82.39M50.74M83.92M78.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
298.99M360.02M328.32M238.13M276.06M255.03M
Total Assets
1.16B1.15B1.11B1.01B1.02B963.22M
Total Debt
37.48M39.23M48.15M50.37M63.27M69.19M
Net Debt
-92.41M-151.50M-129.67M-55.75M-87.73M-118.03M
Total Liabilities
190.29M198.45M197.99M199.94M204.74M219.13M
Stockholders Equity
965.87M947.77M908.80M808.28M815.78M744.08M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
64.48M79.10M8.57M66.53M72.87M113.39M
Operating Cash Flow
108.06M117.53M64.60M131.79M139.36M169.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-114.32M-33.48M29.05M-75.70M-124.74M-98.92M
Financing Cash Flow
-53.08M-64.61M-22.71M-95.93M-47.20M-30.93M

Formfactor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.61
Price Trends
50DMA
30.08
Positive
100DMA
32.00
Positive
200DMA
37.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.08
Negative
RSI
56.47
Neutral
STOCH
61.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FORM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.37, above the 50-day MA of 30.08, and below the 200-day MA of 37.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FORM.

Formfactor Risk Analysis

Formfactor disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Formfactor reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Formfactor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.44B28.5124.82%1.79%32.63%46.16%
74
Outperform
$1.27B19.338.68%3.30%
70
Outperform
$2.35B24.9912.33%2.91%10.78%58.82%
66
Neutral
$2.69B48.585.74%15.33%-47.04%
62
Neutral
$11.96B10.09-7.50%3.10%7.33%-8.11%
58
Neutral
$1.87B97.792.29%2.32%-6.17%
57
Neutral
$2.22B-18.35%44.54%41.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FORM
Formfactor
33.61
-24.05
-41.71%
CAMT
Camtek
74.30
-41.55
-35.87%
KLIC
Kulicke & Soffa
34.04
-12.04
-26.13%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
71.49
-8.78
-10.94%
VECO
Veeco
20.57
-26.03
-55.86%
AMBA
Ambarella
52.39
-3.51
-6.28%

Formfactor Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FormFactor Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

FormFactor, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 16, 2025, where several key proposals were approved. Notably, the stockholders approved an amendment to the 2012 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares of common stock reserved for issuance by 2,200,000 shares. Additionally, all director nominees were elected, the executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FORM) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Formfactor stock, see the FORM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.