tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Formfactor (FORM)
NASDAQ:FORM
Advertisement

Formfactor (FORM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
764 Followers

Top Page

FO

Formfactor

(NASDAQ:FORM)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(16.81%Upside)
Formfactor's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and a solid financial position, despite some challenges in valuation and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's growth prospects in key areas like HBM probe cards are promising, but operational and geopolitical challenges need to be addressed to sustain long-term performance.
Positive Factors
Customer Base Expansion
Growing exposure to a 2nd HBM customer is a tailwind, though majority of demand remain centered with the company's biggest customer.
Demand Drivers
Management credited continued HBM strength and an uptick in PC and smartphone demand as drivers for the 2Q25 growth.
Financial Performance
FormFactor reported a beat-and-raise quarter and delivered a rare V-shaped recovery after a disappointing print.
Negative Factors
Customer Relationship
The company faces challenges with its former top customer, INTC, which is tracking below norms with uncertain recovery timing.
Financial Estimates
C2H25 and C1H26 estimates are lowered.
Market Challenges
Management sounded cautious due to the uncertain demand environment caused by tariffs.

Formfactor (FORM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Formfactor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFormFactor, Inc. is a leading provider of essential test and measurement technologies for the semiconductor industry. The company is headquartered in Livermore, California, and operates in sectors including semiconductor manufacturing and electronic design. FormFactor specializes in designing and manufacturing advanced wafer probe cards, analytical probes, and thermal sub-systems. These products are critical for wafer testing and help semiconductor manufacturers ensure the quality and performance of their products across various applications, from electronics to telecommunications.
How the Company Makes MoneyFormFactor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor testing products, including probe cards and analytical probes. The company's key revenue streams include sales to semiconductor manufacturers and integrated device manufacturers who require precise testing solutions to improve yield and performance. FormFactor also capitalizes on its technological expertise and innovation to maintain long-term partnerships with leading semiconductor companies. Additionally, the company may receive income from service contracts related to the maintenance and support of its testing products. The growing demand for advanced semiconductor devices in various industries, such as consumer electronics and automotive, significantly contributes to FormFactor's earnings.

Formfactor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted expected growth in key areas such as HBM probe cards and new acquisitions, but also noted significant challenges, including revenue declines, tariff impacts, and decreased profitability metrics. The sentiment is mixed with positive outlooks overshadowed by current operational and geopolitical challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Anticipated Double-Digit Sequential Revenue Growth
FormFactor expects double-digit sequential revenue growth in the second quarter, driven by hyperscalers' investments in generative AI and increased demand for high bandwidth memory DRAM probe cards.
Strength in HBM Probe Card Demand
Record-level DRAM probe card revenue is expected in the second quarter, with growth in HBM applications, driven by shipments for existing HBM3e and new HBM4 designs.
Successful Acquisition to Enhance Product Capability
FormFactor, along with MBK Partners, completed the acquisition of FICT Limited, solidifying access to multilayer organic substrates technology needed for advanced foundry and logic probe cards.
Systems Segment Growth Driven by Innovation
The Systems segment expects moderate sequential growth, driven by innovation in areas like quantum computing and co-package optics using silicon photonics.
Completion of Share Buyback Program
FormFactor completed a two-year $75 million share repurchase program, ahead of schedule, and the Board approved a new two-year $75 million program.
Negative Updates
First Quarter Revenue Decline
First quarter revenues decreased 9.6% from the fourth quarter, with a 9.2% decrease in Probe card segment revenues and a 4.4 million decrease in System segment revenues.
Tariff Impact on Revenue and Costs
Anticipated mid-single-digit million-dollar reduction in second-quarter revenues and a one percentage point reduction in gross margins due to tariffs on imports, particularly affecting goods imported from Japan and Germany.
Challenges in China Due to Tariffs and Export Controls
Recent tariff increases and U.S. export controls reduced revenue from China, impacting shipments of probe cards for advanced DRAM designs.
Decreased Gross Margin and Operating Income
Non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 39.2% from 40.2% in the fourth quarter, and non-GAAP operating income decreased by 19.2% due to lower revenues and gross margins.
Decreased Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow decreased to $6.3 million from $28.8 million in the previous quarter, due to lower operating cash flows and higher capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During FormFactor's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance anticipating double-digit sequential revenue growth in Q2, driven by increased demand across all major markets and segments. CEO Mike Slessor highlighted the growth in demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) DRAM probe cards and co-package optics test systems, largely due to hyperscalers investing in generative AI. The guidance also anticipated corresponding increases in gross margin and earnings per share. CFO Shai Shahar presented financial highlights, noting Q1 revenues of $171.4 million and a non-GAAP gross margin of 39.2%. For Q2, the revenue is expected to rise to $190 million, plus or minus $5 million, with a gross margin increase to 40% plus or minus 150 basis points. The company's outlook incorporates potential revenue and gross margin impacts due to tariffs, with an estimated mid-single-digit million-dollar reduction in revenues and a one percentage point decrease in gross margins.

Formfactor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Formfactor demonstrates a solid financial position with consistent revenue and profitability, albeit with some pressure on margins and cash flows in the latest TTM period. While the balance sheet remains strong with low debt levels, cash flow management and operational efficiency need attention to sustain long-term growth and profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Formfactor shows a stable Gross Profit Margin of approximately 40% over the periods, indicating efficiency in cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin has seen a decline from the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in EBIT, which has impacted profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate is modest but positive, reflecting steady growth in sales, though the latest TTM shows a slight dip. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA have decreased in the latest TTM, signaling potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio, highlighting financial stability and low leverage. ROE has decreased slightly, aligning with the dip in net income, yet remains healthy. The Equity Ratio indicates a robust capital structure with a high proportion of equity funding the assets, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains positive, although it has decreased compared to the previous year, which could constrain liquidity if the trend continues. Free Cash Flow has decreased in the TTM period, reflecting lower operational efficiency and capital expenditure management. The ratio of Operating Cash Flow to Net Income suggests reasonable cash generation from earnings, albeit with room for improvement.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue763.60M663.10M747.94M769.67M693.62M
Gross Profit307.92M258.58M303.43M322.77M287.92M
EBITDA112.73M127.14M104.64M150.79M140.68M
Net Income69.61M82.39M50.74M83.92M78.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.11B1.01B1.02B963.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments360.02M328.32M238.13M276.06M255.03M
Total Debt39.23M48.15M50.37M63.27M69.19M
Total Liabilities198.45M197.99M199.94M204.74M219.13M
Stockholders Equity947.77M908.80M808.28M815.78M744.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow79.10M8.57M66.53M72.87M113.39M
Operating Cash Flow117.53M64.60M131.79M139.36M169.26M
Investing Cash Flow-33.48M29.05M-75.70M-124.74M-98.92M
Financing Cash Flow-64.61M-22.71M-95.93M-47.20M-30.93M

Formfactor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.10
Price Trends
50DMA
33.08
Positive
100DMA
31.38
Positive
200DMA
36.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Positive
RSI
53.90
Neutral
STOCH
34.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FORM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.84, above the 50-day MA of 33.08, and below the 200-day MA of 36.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FORM.

Formfactor Risk Analysis

Formfactor disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Formfactor reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Formfactor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.15B34.4124.82%1.46%32.63%46.16%
74
Outperform
$2.69B50.735.74%15.33%-47.04%
74
Outperform
$1.24B19.398.68%3.30%
70
Outperform
$2.40B25.4812.33%2.80%10.78%58.82%
64
Neutral
$1.86B97.262.29%2.33%-6.17%
64
Neutral
3.55B13.00-31.13%3.69%14.99%32.04%
59
Neutral
$2.82B-18.35%44.54%41.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FORM
Formfactor
35.10
-21.40
-37.88%
CAMT
Camtek
91.01
-21.05
-18.78%
KLIC
Kulicke & Soffa
35.90
-11.95
-24.97%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
71.34
-2.60
-3.52%
VECO
Veeco
20.63
-20.66
-50.04%
AMBA
Ambarella
67.74
10.23
17.79%

Formfactor Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FormFactor Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

FormFactor, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 16, 2025, where several key proposals were approved. Notably, the stockholders approved an amendment to the 2012 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares of common stock reserved for issuance by 2,200,000 shares. Additionally, all director nominees were elected, the executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FORM) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Formfactor stock, see the FORM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025