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Diodes (DIOD)
NASDAQ:DIOD

Diodes (DIOD) AI Stock Analysis

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DIOD

Diodes

(NASDAQ:DIOD)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$88.00
▲(11.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is supported primarily by DIOD’s very strong balance sheet and improving demand/revenue outlook described on the latest earnings call, reinforced by a technically strong uptrend. These positives are tempered by premium valuation (high P/E) and continued margin/earnings pressure from underloading and recent profitability softness.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Diodes' dramatic de‑leveraging and steady equity growth provide substantial financial flexibility. Very low debt reduces refinancing and interest risk, enabling sustained capex, buybacks or M&A funding and shielding operations while management executes multi‑year revenue and margin targets.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Pressure from Underloading
Underutilized manufacturing capacity creates fixed‑cost underabsorption that directly compresses gross margins. Until utilization ramps or fabs are optimized, margin expansion targets and the promised high flow‑through on incremental revenue will be constrained across multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Diodes' dramatic de‑leveraging and steady equity growth provide substantial financial flexibility. Very low debt reduces refinancing and interest risk, enabling sustained capex, buybacks or M&A funding and shielding operations while management executes multi‑year revenue and margin targets.
Read all positive factors

Diodes (DIOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Diodes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures, and supplies application-specific standard products in the discrete, logic, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor markets worldwide. It focuses on low pin count semiconductor devices with one or more act...
How the Company Makes Money
Diodes makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing (through a combination of internal manufacturing and outsourced foundry/assembly-and-test partners), and selling semiconductor components to electronics OEMs and contract manufacturers. Reve...

Diodes Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Net Sales by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Diodes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid top-line momentum with broad-based revenue growth (notably in computing/AI, automotive, and industrial), strong cash generation and meaningful product/content expansion. However, margin pressure from manufacturing underloading and some sequential profitability softness temper near-term earnings visibility. Management provided constructive multi-year targets and specific margin/revenue roadmaps, indicating confidence in recovery and structural improvement.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth — Quarter and Full Year
Q4 2025 revenue of $391.6M, up 15.4% year-over-year (from $339.3M). Full-year 2025 revenue of $1.5B, up 13% year-over-year (from $1.3B) — the highest annual growth since 2021 and the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit YoY growth.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure Year-over-Year
GAAP gross margin declined to 31.1% in Q4 2025 from 32.7% in Q4 2024; full-year GAAP gross margin fell to 31.3% in 2025 from 33.2% in 2024, reflecting margin pressure versus prior year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth — Quarter and Full Year
Q4 2025 revenue of $391.6M, up 15.4% year-over-year (from $339.3M). Full-year 2025 revenue of $1.5B, up 13% year-over-year (from $1.3B) — the highest annual growth since 2021 and the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit YoY growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q1 2026 the company guided revenue of approximately $395.0 million ±3% (midpoint = ~19% year-over-year and slight sequential increase), GAAP gross margin of 31.5% ±1%, non‑GAAP operating expenses of ~26.5% ±1%, net interest income of about $1.0 million, an expected tax rate of 18.5% ±3%, and ~46.4 million shares outstanding (non‑GAAP excludes $3.9 million after‑tax amortization of acquisition intangibles). Management also introduced three‑year interim targets of $2.0 billion in annual revenue with ≈$700 million in gross profit (35%+ gross margin), implying a 10.5% revenue CAGR and 15% gross‑profit CAGR, >$4 of non‑GAAP EPS (≈50% EPS CAGR), a $2.5 billion / $1.0 billion gross profit long‑term goal (40% gross margin), and an expectation of >45% gross‑profit flow‑through on incremental revenue as underloading costs and manufacturing efficiencies improve.

Diodes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong financial resilience is driven by an exceptionally de-levered balance sheet (debt reduced to very low levels and equity growth), while operating results reflect a post-2022 downcycle with compressed margins and lower EBIT versus prior peak years. Cash generation remains positive with improved operating cash flow, but free cash flow has been uneven, keeping the fundamental score solid but not high.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.48B1.31B1.66B2.00B1.81B
Gross Profit462.44M435.86M658.18M827.24M670.36M
EBITDA230.48M202.15M420.96M532.02M445.02M
Net Income66.14M44.02M227.18M331.28M228.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45B2.39B2.37B2.29B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments377.03M316.13M325.63M343.79M370.14M
Total Debt95.61M91.70M98.36M213.67M334.55M
Total Liabilities509.69M517.33M557.98M705.39M891.77M
Stockholders Equity1.88B1.80B1.74B1.51B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.15M46.41M130.15M180.77M197.35M
Operating Cash Flow215.51M119.44M280.91M392.50M338.54M
Investing Cash Flow-116.18M-118.04M-158.32M-265.26M-144.23M
Financing Cash Flow-54.81M-19.34M-144.72M-125.71M-158.44M

Diodes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.60
Price Trends
50DMA
66.46
Positive
100DMA
58.58
Positive
200DMA
55.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Negative
RSI
66.66
Neutral
STOCH
77.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIOD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.45, above the 50-day MA of 66.46, and above the 200-day MA of 55.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DIOD.

Diodes Risk Analysis

Diodes disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diodes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Diodes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.21B21.1011.72%-20.69%-37.67%
73
Outperform
$3.61B34.573.55%10.45%4.37%
73
Outperform
$9.18B82.615.43%2.29%-69.81%
73
Outperform
$4.14B4.0715.21%2.22%-2.26%9.74%
64
Neutral
$2.99B90.193.17%2.27%10.50%-52.00%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$2.78B-219.07-0.43%2.67%-0.84%-189.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIOD
Diodes
78.60
39.07
98.84%
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies
104.65
55.75
114.01%
FORM
Formfactor
117.80
88.04
295.83%
POWI
Power Integrations
53.89
6.49
13.69%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
121.75
80.46
194.89%
VSH
Vishay Intertechnology
20.49
7.90
62.77%

Diodes Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Diodes Posts Strong Q4 Growth, Sets Ambitious Targets
Positive
Feb 12, 2026
On February 10, 2026, Diodes reported that fourth quarter 2025 revenue rose 15.4% year over year to $391.6 million, capping a 13% increase for the full year to $1.5 billion and marking a fourth straight quarter of double-digit growth. Strong deman...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Diodes Posts Strong Q4 Results and Bullish 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
Diodes Incorporated reported preliminary, unaudited fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 10, 2026, with revenue of $391.6 million at the high end of guidance, up 15.4% year-on-year, and full-year 2025 revenue growth of 13%, its strongest annual...
Financial Disclosures
Diodes to Announce Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 20, 2026
On January 20, 2026, Diodes Incorporated announced it will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 10, 2026, with the earnings announcement scheduled for that afternoon followed by a conference call at 4:00 p.m....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026