tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Maxlinear Inc (MXL)
NASDAQ:MXL
Advertisement

Maxlinear (MXL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
913 Followers

Top Page

MXL

Maxlinear

(NASDAQ:MXL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-0.77% Downside)
Maxlinear's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability. While there is potential for growth in infrastructure markets, operational losses and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for MaxLinear's products, reflecting successful market penetration and product adoption, which supports long-term business expansion.
Infrastructure Market Expansion
Significant growth in infrastructure revenues showcases MaxLinear's competitive position in the data center and wireless infrastructure markets, promising sustained future growth.
Data Center Optical Interconnects
The focus on data center optical interconnects positions MaxLinear to capitalize on the growing demand for high-speed data transmission, ensuring long-term revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenues highlight challenges in maintaining market share and demand, which could affect long-term profitability and growth if not addressed.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flows indicate liquidity pressures, potentially limiting MaxLinear's ability to invest in growth opportunities and sustain operations without external financing.
Operational Losses
Operational losses suggest inefficiencies and cost management issues, which could undermine MaxLinear's financial health and competitiveness if not strategically addressed.

Maxlinear (MXL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Maxlinear Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is a leading provider of radio frequency (RF), analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions, serving the broadband communications, data center, and consumer electronics markets. The company specializes in developing high-performance integrated circuits for applications in cable broadband, satellite communications, and fiber-optic transceivers, among others. With a strong focus on innovation, MaxLinear offers a wide range of products including signal processing solutions, system-on-chip (SoC) devices, and various RF components designed to enhance connectivity and data transmission.
How the Company Makes MoneyMaxLinear generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are utilized in various applications across multiple sectors. The company's revenue model is driven by a mix of direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, as well as partnerships with key players in the broadband and data center markets. Significant revenue streams come from its broadband communications products, including cable modem and set-top box chipsets, as well as its data center offerings, like Ethernet transceivers. Additionally, MaxLinear benefits from ongoing collaborations with major technology firms, which help expand its market reach and drive sales growth. The company also invests in research and development to continually innovate and meet the evolving demands of the semiconductor industry, further enhancing its profitability.

Maxlinear Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong revenue growth and positive developments in infrastructure and broadband segments. However, the company faces operational losses and challenges with DOCSIS 4.0 deployment. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q3 2025 revenue was $126.5 million, representing a 16% sequential growth and 56% year-over-year increase.
Infrastructure Market Expansion
Infrastructure revenues were up 16% sequentially and 75% year-over-year, showcasing strong growth potential in data center and wireless infrastructure segments.
Data Center Optical Interconnects
Projected revenue of $60 million to $70 million in 2025 with significant growth expected in 2026, driven by the Keystone PAM4 DSP family.
Broadband and Connectivity Growth
Broadband revenue increased by 80% year-on-year, while connectivity grew by 50% year-on-year.
Positive Financial Metrics
Non-GAAP net income increased sequentially and year-over-year, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 59.1%.
Negative Updates
GAAP Losses from Operations
GAAP losses from operations for Q3 2025 were 33% due to significant stock-based compensation, restructuring costs, and acquisition-related expenses.
Broadband Segment Moderation
Expected seasonal moderation in broadband and connectivity in Q4 2025, with potential moderation in growth rates.
Challenges in DOCSIS 4.0 Deployment
Delays in DOCSIS 4.0 deployment due to network upgrade complexity, impacting the broadband growth outlook.
Company Guidance
During the MaxLinear Q3 2025 earnings conference call, the company provided guidance for Q4 2025, anticipating revenue between $130 million and $140 million. GAAP gross margin is expected to range from 56% to 59%, while non-GAAP gross margin is projected between 58% and 61%. Operating expenses are forecasted to be between $92 million and $98 million on a GAAP basis, and $57 million to $63 million on a non-GAAP basis. The company also expects GAAP interest and other expenses to range from $2.2 million to $2.8 million, with non-GAAP interest and other expenses between $1.9 million and $2.5 million. Additionally, MaxLinear anticipates a $2.5 million tax benefit on a GAAP basis and a non-GAAP tax provision of around $2 million. The basic and diluted share count is expected to be approximately 87.5 million and 91.1 million, respectively. The guidance reflects anticipated growth in infrastructure and industrial multi-market segments, while broadband and connectivity are expected to experience seasonal moderation.

Maxlinear Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Maxlinear's financial performance is concerning with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow difficulties. The balance sheet shows stability but highlights leverage concerns. Immediate strategic improvements are essential.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Maxlinear's financial performance shows a concerning trend with declining revenues and negative profitability. The TTM period saw a decrease in revenue and gross profit margins, and the net profit margin is significantly negative due to substantial net losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. This reflects a significant downturn compared to past performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows stability in terms of equity but highlights leverage concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, but the decline in stockholders' equity over time is notable. Despite these issues, the equity ratio remains reasonably strong, suggesting a stable asset base. However, the negative return on equity indicates profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flows and free cash flows in the TTM period, highlighting liquidity pressures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, exacerbating concerns about the company's ability to generate cash from operations amidst net losses. This poses risks to sustainability without a turnaround.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue378.01M360.53M693.26M1.12B892.40M478.60M
Gross Profit210.68M194.78M385.66M649.77M495.83M212.80M
EBITDA-166.72M-173.70M9.53M255.86M145.27M-29.28M
Net Income-209.92M-245.20M-73.15M125.04M41.97M-98.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets863.74M864.64M1.08B1.18B1.05B1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments108.62M118.58M187.29M205.88M130.57M148.90M
Total Debt147.67M149.36M157.75M155.60M339.68M392.60M
Total Liabilities375.41M348.36M393.99M503.64M561.19M631.33M
Stockholders Equity488.33M516.28M686.26M676.38M489.20M391.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-69.61M-68.74M23.56M336.29M121.48M58.31M
Operating Cash Flow-59.48M-45.30M43.37M388.73M168.23M73.59M
Investing Cash Flow-18.32M-23.45M-15.94M-91.76M-91.76M-175.29M
Financing Cash Flow1.30M1.29M-26.36M-240.40M-91.90M159.65M

Maxlinear Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.62
Price Trends
50DMA
16.17
Negative
100DMA
15.35
Positive
200DMA
14.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
44.92
Neutral
STOCH
50.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MXL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.48, below the 50-day MA of 16.17, and above the 200-day MA of 14.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MXL.

Maxlinear Risk Analysis

Maxlinear disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Maxlinear reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Maxlinear Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.41B13.559.89%-1.79%-22.58%
69
Neutral
$1.62B21.688.64%3.98%-2.16%-2.77%
68
Neutral
$1.76B28.917.83%-0.19%-28.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.63B-33.74-20.63%9.79%10.28%
58
Neutral
$3.00B-21.63-32.05%-25.65%-130.95%
49
Neutral
$1.36B-35.16%7.53%22.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MXL
Maxlinear
15.62
-0.02
-0.13%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
9.29
3.37
56.93%
PLAB
Photronics
23.92
0.00
0.00%
VECO
Veeco
29.31
0.07
0.24%
LASR
nLIGHT
32.60
19.37
146.41%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
14.07
11.29
406.12%

Maxlinear Corporate Events

MaxLinear’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call for MaxLinear showcased a cautiously optimistic outlook for the company, underscored by strong revenue growth and promising developments in the infrastructure and broadband sectors. Despite these positive indicators, the company is grappling with operational losses and challenges related to the deployment of DOCSIS 4.0. Overall, the sentiment expressed during the call was one of cautious optimism, with a clear focus on future growth opportunities.

MaxLinear Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Oct 24, 2025

MaxLinear, Inc. is a prominent provider of radio frequency (RF), analog, digital, and mixed-signal integrated circuits, serving sectors such as access and connectivity, wired and wireless infrastructure, and industrial applications. Based in Carlsbad, California, the company is known for its innovative solutions in the semiconductor industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025