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Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT)
:CMT

Core Molding Technologies (CMT) AI Stock Analysis

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CMT

Core Molding Technologies

(CMT)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(2.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is driven mainly by mixed fundamentals: a strong, low-leverage balance sheet is offset by softer TTM margins and notably weak recent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation appears reasonable at a mid-teens P/E. Earnings call commentary is positive on multi-year growth wins and margin targets, but near-term capex intensity and end-market/tooling volatility temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage (D/E ~0.16), debt/EBITDA <1x and reported liquidity (~$88M: $38.1M cash + $50M revolver) provide durable financial flexibility. This balance-sheet strength supports multi-year investment, cushions cyclicality in end markets, and lowers refinancing risk during growth or downturn periods.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow
After $17.3M capex in 2025 FCF collapsed to ~$1.9M, markedly reducing internal funding capacity. Weak cash conversion raises reliance on revolver availability for funding heavy 2026 expansion capex, limits flexibility for opportunistic investments or buybacks, and increases execution risk during multi-year ramps.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage (D/E ~0.16), debt/EBITDA <1x and reported liquidity (~$88M: $38.1M cash + $50M revolver) provide durable financial flexibility. This balance-sheet strength supports multi-year investment, cushions cyclicality in end markets, and lowers refinancing risk during growth or downturn periods.
Read all positive factors

Core Molding Technologies (CMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Core Molding Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Core Molding Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products. The company offers a range of manufacturing processes that include compression molding of sheet molding compo...
How the Company Makes Money
CMT makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling molded composite components and assemblies to OEMs and tier suppliers, with revenue recognized from customer purchase orders and long-term supply arrangements for production parts. Its key rev...

Core Molding Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Chart InsightsProduct revenue has softened through the period amid customer transitions and weak truck demand, but power-sports is finally turning positive on new program wins that could stabilize volumes. Tooling is highly lumpy — recent weakness reflects timing/acceptance delays management pushed from Q3 into Q4, so expect volatile quarter-to-quarter spikes rather than steady growth. Given a strong pipeline, Mexico expansion, healthy margins and liquidity, near-term upside depends on tooling acceptance timing and successful program ramps; sustained macro weakness is the principal downside risk.
Data provided by:The Fly

Core Molding Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive outlook driven by substantial new business wins ($63M in 2025), successful diversification (SMC and new markets), margin stability within guidance (17%–19%), strong operational metrics (99% on-time, 62 ppm), and a solid balance sheet (liquidity $88.1M, debt/EBITDA <1x). These positives are tempered by near-term headwinds: a 9.5% revenue decline in 2025 driven by truck weakness, concentrated tooling revenue creating quarter-to-quarter volatility, sizable 2026 capex and one-time SG&A costs, and a modest free cash flow after capex. Overall, management is confident about recovery (truck recovery expected H2 2026), SMC ramping through 2026, and multi-year revenue targets, and the strategic and financial strengths communicated outweigh the temporary challenges.
Positive Updates
Material New Business Wins
Invest For Growth generated $63.0 million in new business wins in 2025, with $102 million in annualized run-rate incremental wins over the past two years; 65% of 2025 wins are in new/emerging markets that diversify end-market exposure.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Revenue Decline
Fiscal 2025 revenues declined 9.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by continued weakness in the truck sector, which comprised 44% of product sales.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Material New Business Wins
Invest For Growth generated $63.0 million in new business wins in 2025, with $102 million in annualized run-rate incremental wins over the past two years; 65% of 2025 wins are in new/emerging markets that diversify end-market exposure.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided fiscal 2026 sales to be flat to up ~5% with gross margins targeted at 17%–19%, sustaining capex of $7M–$10M and total 2026 capex of $25M–$30M (including ~$18M–$20M for Mexico), plus ~ $2.5M of non-capital expansion operating costs in H1 and one‑time SG&A of ~ $2.5M (Mexico) and ~$1M (succession); management expects the bulk of the $63M of 2025 new wins to impact H2 2026 and 2027, sees total product revenue potentially exceeding $300M in 2027 (with margin leverage of ~150–200 bps to the low‑20s), and continues to build SMC with $21M annual SMC wins in 2025 (Q4 SMC ~$12M, one‑third launched, all in production by end of Q3 2026; >$200M addressable SMC market), a $220M pipeline (expecting ~$50M more awards in 2026), liquidity of $88.1M (cash $38.1M + $50M revolver), term debt $19.7M, debt/EBITDA <1x, ROCE 8% (10.2% excl. cash), FY25 cash from ops $19.2M and free cash flow $1.9M after $17.3M capex.

Core Molding Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive (low leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.16 and ample flexibility), but operating quality has weakened recently. TTM profitability has stepped down versus prior years (net margin ~3.1% vs ~4.4% in 2024 and ~5.7% in 2023), and cash conversion deteriorated materially with very thin free cash flow (~$1.9M) after capex and operating cash flow covering only ~0.50x of net income.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.80M302.38M357.74M377.38M307.48M
Gross Profit44.11M53.26M64.52M52.40M41.34M
EBITDA23.45M30.97M39.67M28.63M22.85M
Net Income11.20M13.30M20.32M12.20M4.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.13M209.55M213.38M198.62M186.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.06M41.80M24.10M4.18M6.15M
Total Debt32.83M23.70M22.99M26.06M29.62M
Total Liabilities69.96M62.19M74.42M82.49M86.60M
Stockholders Equity158.17M147.36M138.95M116.13M100.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.92M23.63M25.74M2.39M977.00K
Operating Cash Flow19.18M35.15M34.84M18.98M12.55M
Investing Cash Flow-17.27M-11.53M-9.10M-16.59M-11.41M
Financing Cash Flow-5.66M-5.93M-5.82M-4.36M884.00K

Core Molding Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.81
Price Trends
50DMA
20.33
Positive
100DMA
19.86
Positive
200DMA
19.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.94
Negative
RSI
69.01
Neutral
STOCH
91.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.69, above the 50-day MA of 20.33, and above the 200-day MA of 19.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMT.

Core Molding Technologies Risk Analysis

Core Molding Technologies disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core Molding Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Core Molding Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$202.65M15.337.26%-16.59%-47.02%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$68.91M-60.484.98%0.18%-54.25%
60
Neutral
$370.62M16.096.00%-8.00%-35.86%
53
Neutral
$66.22M-4.5371.64%11013.00%39.85%
51
Neutral
$75.94M-597.730.02%1.33%-0.97%-99.67%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
23.81
8.89
59.58%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
5.41
1.64
43.50%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
8.00
0.79
10.90%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
4.80
3.91
439.98%
LOOP
Loop Industries
1.37
0.33
31.73%

Core Molding Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Core Molding Highlights Turnaround and Growth at Investor Conference
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 23, 2026, Core Molding Technologies&#8217; CEO David Duvall, CFO Alex Panda and other executives announced they would use an updated investor presentation at the Southwest IDEAS Conference and in ongoing discussions with investors and ana...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Core Molding Technologies Authorizes Expanded Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 11, 2026, Core Molding Technologies, Inc. announced that its board authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $7.5 million of the company&#8217;s outstanding common shares, to be executed in the open market in accordance with securiti...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Core Molding Technologies Amends Credit Agreement, Tightens Covenants
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026
On February 10, 2026, Core Molding Technologies, Inc. executed a First Amendment to its existing Credit Agreement with The Huntington National Bank and other lenders, with the amendment deemed effective as of December 31, 2025. The change updates ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026