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Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT)
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Core Molding Technologies (CMT) AI Stock Analysis

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CMT

Core Molding Technologies

(CMT)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(1.35% Upside)
Core Molding Technologies' overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and reasonable valuation. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the earnings call highlighted both opportunities and challenges. The company's strategic investments and operational efficiencies are promising, but current revenue and cash flow issues need to be addressed for a more positive outlook.

Core Molding Technologies (CMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Core Molding Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Molding Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products. The company offers a range of manufacturing processes that include compression molding of sheet molding compound, resin transfer molding, liquid molding of dicyclopentadiene, spray-up and hand-lay-up, direct long-fiber thermoplastics, and structural foam and structural web injection molding. It serves various markets, including medium and heavy-duty truck, automobile, power sport, construction, agriculture, building products, and other commercial markets in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Core Materials Corporation and changed its name to Core Molding Technologies, Inc. in August 2002. Core Molding Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Molding Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of molded composite parts and related services to various sectors, including automotive, aerospace, and industrial applications. The company leverages its expertise in advanced composite materials to create high-performance products that meet strict industry standards. Key revenue streams include direct sales of molded products, engineering services, and tooling for custom projects. Additionally, CMT benefits from long-term contracts with major clients, which provide a stable income base. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers enhance its ability to deliver quality products efficiently, further contributing to its earnings.

Core Molding Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive developments and challenges. While the company showed strong growth in the power sports segment and new business wins, it faced a significant revenue decline due to known transitions and market conditions. Strategic investments and operational efficiencies were highlighted as key drivers for future growth. Overall, the positives are balanced by the negatives, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Power Sports Segment Returns to Growth
Power sports achieved its first year-over-year growth in eight quarters, signaling a return to growth after two years of declines, driven by new product introductions and wallet share growth.
New Business Wins and Growth Opportunities
Core Molding Technologies secured $46.7 million in new business wins this year, building on $45 million from last year, with a robust sales pipeline exceeding $250 million.
Strategic Investments in Mexico
The company is investing $25 million in Matamoros and Monterrey, Mexico, to expand capacity and capabilities, including low pressure injection molding and topcoat paint capabilities.
Operational Efficiency and Quality Metrics
The company reported a 99% on-time delivery rate and a PPM rate of 62, indicating high-quality performance, along with industry-low safety incident and employee turnover rates.
Strong Financial Position
The balance sheet remains strong with total liquidity of $92.4 million and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of less than 1x.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the third quarter was $58.4 million, down 19.9% from the prior year, mainly due to the Volvo transition and declines in truck demand.
Delayed Tooling Revenue
Tooling revenue, expected in Q3, was delayed to Q4 due to customer-related testing and sign-off issues.
Increased Operating Costs
SG&A expenses increased to 13% of sales, up from 12% in the prior year, partly due to footprint optimization costs.
Company Guidance
During the Core Molding Technologies Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and metrics for its future performance. They announced a shift in tooling revenue from Q3 to Q4 due to timing issues in tooling acceptance, anticipated to contribute significantly to Q4 sales. The company's President and CEO, David Duvall, highlighted a year-over-year growth in power sports sales for the first time in eight quarters, driven by new product introductions and market traction, with the UTV skid plate program expected to generate around $8 million annually. The company reported a Q3 revenue of $58.4 million, down 19.9% from the previous year, but maintained a gross margin within its targeted range at 17.4%. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 70 basis points to 11%. They emphasized ongoing investments, including a $25 million expansion in Mexico and a robust sales pipeline of over $250 million. The company aims for over $300 million in total revenue by 2027, with new program launches and tooling sales anticipated to drive growth. They also mentioned a strategic move to consolidate their RTM process, expecting to deliver over $1 million in annual cost savings.

Core Molding Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Molding Technologies shows stable profit margins and a strong balance sheet with low leverage. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth present challenges. The company needs to address revenue growth and improve cash flow generation to enhance its financial position and support future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Core Molding Technologies has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period, with a revenue growth rate of -5.27%. Despite this, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of 17.50% and a net profit margin of 3.39%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 5.71% and 10.44%, respectively, indicating reasonable operational efficiency. However, the declining revenue trend poses a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, reflecting low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 6.25%, suggesting moderate profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 70.75%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial resilience.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -57.7% over the TTM period, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating that operating cash flow adequately covers net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53 suggests limited cash generation relative to net income, highlighting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue261.62M302.38M357.74M377.38M307.48M222.36M
Gross Profit46.04M53.26M64.52M52.40M41.34M34.47M
EBITDA25.43M30.97M39.67M28.63M22.85M22.13M
Net Income8.07M13.30M20.32M12.20M4.67M8.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets219.69M209.55M213.38M198.62M186.69M165.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.53M41.80M24.10M4.18M6.15M4.13M
Total Debt24.42M23.70M22.99M26.06M29.62M30.85M
Total Liabilities64.26M62.19M74.42M82.49M86.60M71.58M
Stockholders Equity155.43M147.36M138.95M116.13M100.09M93.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.37M23.63M25.74M2.39M977.00K24.48M
Operating Cash Flow19.16M35.15M34.84M18.98M12.55M28.16M
Investing Cash Flow-13.79M-11.53M-9.10M-16.59M-11.41M-3.68M
Financing Cash Flow-5.32M-5.93M-5.82M-4.36M884.00K-22.21M

Core Molding Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.24
Price Trends
50DMA
19.57
Negative
100DMA
18.44
Positive
200DMA
16.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
55.26
Neutral
STOCH
77.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.58, below the 50-day MA of 19.57, and above the 200-day MA of 16.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMT.

Core Molding Technologies Risk Analysis

Core Molding Technologies disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core Molding Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Core Molding Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$77.88M27.354.18%1.23%3.46%-34.80%
65
Neutral
$163.18M20.715.32%-16.59%-47.02%
62
Neutral
$105.68M35.588.06%-1.52%6.38%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$89.78M-20.64%-8.00%-35.86%
48
Neutral
$75.91M-6.4511013.00%39.85%
44
Neutral
$48.90M3.25%-11.20%17.76%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
19.24
2.24
13.18%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
8.30
4.29
106.98%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
8.10
-4.70
-36.72%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
1.38
0.08
6.15%
TSE
Trinseo
1.23
-2.57
-67.63%
LOOP
Loop Industries
1.53
0.22
16.79%

Core Molding Technologies Corporate Events

Core Molding Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Core Molding Technologies is a leading engineered materials company specializing in molded structural products, serving industries such as building products, industrial utilities, and transportation across North America.

Core Molding’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call for Core Molding Technologies presented a balanced view of the company’s current standing and future prospects. The sentiment was neutral, reflecting both positive developments and existing challenges. While the company celebrated growth in its power sports segment and new business wins, it also faced a notable revenue decline attributed to market conditions and transitions. Strategic investments and operational efficiencies were highlighted as key drivers for future growth, balancing the positives and negatives discussed during the call.

Business Operations and Strategy
Core Molding Technologies Unveils New Investor Presentation
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Core Molding Technologies announced plans for its executive team to use a new investor presentation in discussions with stakeholders. The presentation highlights the company’s strategic initiatives, including a $150 million contract with Volvo for roof manufacturing at its Matamoros facility, and a $25 million investment to expand operations in Mexico. These developments are part of Core Molding’s broader strategy to enhance its manufacturing capabilities, diversify its market presence, and strengthen its position in the industry, potentially impacting its financial performance and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMT) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Molding Technologies stock, see the CMT Stock Forecast page.

Core Molding Technologies Reports Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Core Molding Technologies, Inc., a prominent engineered materials company, specializes in molded structural products across various industries such as building products, transportation, and powersports in North America. The company recently released its fiscal 2025 second-quarter results, highlighting a strategic focus on growth despite a challenging market environment.

Core Molding’s Earnings Call: Wins and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Core Molding Technologies presented a mixed sentiment, balancing impressive new business achievements and strategic investments with challenges in sales and net income. While the company showcased growth potential through innovative strategies, the financial hurdles suggest a cautious outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Core Molding Technologies Announces CEO Retirement Plan
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Core Molding Technologies announced the planned retirement of CEO David L. Duvall, effective May 31, 2026, with COO Eric L. Palomaki set to succeed him. This transition is part of the company’s long-term succession plan, reflecting its strategic focus on sustained growth and operational excellence. Duvall, who has been instrumental in transforming the company from financial instability to profitability, will continue as an Executive Advisor until December 2027, ensuring a smooth leadership transition and continued strategic guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMT) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Molding Technologies stock, see the CMT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025