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Core Molding Technologies
(CMT)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▼(-13.82% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/08/26
CMT scores as neutral-to-cautious primarily due to weakening operating performance and a pronounced recent drop in cash generation (negative free cash flow), partially offset by a resilient low-leverage balance sheet and constructive earnings-call outlook (reiterated guidance, improving gross margin, and strong pipeline/new wins). Near-term technicals are also a headwind with negative MACD and price below key short-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet & liquidity
Low leverage (TTM debt/equity ~0.21 and trailing‑12mo debt/EBITDA <1x) combined with $73.5M liquidity and an enlarged, lower‑cost revolver provides durable financial flexibility to fund Mexico expansion, tooling and working capital through cyclical troughs without forced capital raises.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation / negative FCF
A sharp deterioration in operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow versus prior years reduces financing optionality for organic projects and dividends. Continued working‑capital builds and high capex for expansion strain liquidity and could force slower growth or external financing if not reversed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet & liquidity
Low leverage (TTM debt/equity ~0.21 and trailing‑12mo debt/EBITDA <1x) combined with $73.5M liquidity and an enlarged, lower‑cost revolver provides durable financial flexibility to fund Mexico expansion, tooling and working capital through cyclical troughs without forced capital raises.
Read all positive factors
Core Molding Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCore Molding Technologies (CMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$208.43M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)23.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.2
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue Growth-5.16%
EPS Growth-16.62%
CountryUS
Employees1,239
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.12
Shares Outstanding8,899,729
10 Day Avg. Volume32,666
30 Day Avg. Volume23,632
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.06
Price to Book (P/B)1.09
Price to Sales (P/S)0.63
P/FCF Ratio89.54
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.04
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.80
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.55
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.71
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.00Price Target Upside6.34% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.68
Revenue Forecast (FY)$283.51M
Core Molding Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Core Molding Technologies, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in molding structural components from both thermoplastic and thermoset materials. The company employs a diverse range of manufacturing processes, including compression moldi...
How the Company Makes Money
CMT makes money by manufacturing and selling custom molded composite components and assemblies to OEMs and tier suppliers. Its primary revenue stream is product sales under customer contracts or purchase orders tied to production programs; revenue...
Core Molding Technologies Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated disciplined operational execution and meaningful progress on strategic growth initiatives (Mexico expansion, $17M in Q1 wins including a $9M/year battery storage contract, best gross margin in over a decade, strong on-time delivery and quality), supported by a healthy commercial pipeline and solid liquidity. Near-term challenges include a 4.7% revenue decline driven by truck-cycle weakness, elevated SG&A from expansion and succession costs, negative operating/free cash flow tied to planned investments, and some seasonality/pull-forward in powersports. Management reaffirmed full-year margin guidance (17%–19%), provided clear capex and investment plans, and maintained a constructive outlook for a truck-market recovery in H2 2026 and revenue growth into 2027.Positive Updates
New Business Wins
Secured $17.0 million of new program awards in Q1, including a $9.0 million-per-year, multi-year battery energy storage system contract (three-year minimum commitment) and other wins (e.g., skid plate and aero roof deflector) that diversify end markets.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline from Truck Cycle
Total Q1 revenue declined 4.7% year-over-year, primarily due to medium- and heavy-duty truck market softness; truck-related product sales fell to 34% of product sales from 44% in fiscal 2025.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
New Business Wins
Secured $17.0 million of new program awards in Q1, including a $9.0 million-per-year, multi-year battery energy storage system contract (three-year minimum commitment) and other wins (e.g., skid plate and aero roof deflector) that diversify end markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated fiscal 2026 guidance and near‑term expectations, calling for total sales to be flat to up ~5% (with tooling revenue weighted to Q4) and reaffirming full‑year gross margins of 17%–19% (despite a strong Q1 gross margin of 20.4%, +120 bps YoY, +520 bps sequentially); Q1 revenue was down 4.7% YoY, adjusted EBITDA was $7.3M (12.5% of sales), operating income was $0.764M, net income $0.605M ($0.07/diluted share), and operating cash flow was a use of $9.2M with Q1 capex of $3.8M (resulting in ~($13M) negative free cash flow for the quarter). The firm expects full‑year capex of roughly $25–30M (including $18–20M for Mexico), incurred $2.1M of Mexico expansion expense in Q1 (≈$900k expected in Q2) and $924k of succession costs in Q1 (≈$900k more anticipated), and plans continued share repurchases (24,545 shares repurchased in Q1 for $457k; authorization increased by $6.5M). Balance sheet and program metrics: total liquidity $73.5M (cash $23.5M, $50M revolver), term debt $19.3M, trailing‑12mo debt/EBITDA <1x, ROCE 6.8% (7.9% ex‑cash), a $220M+ pipeline, $17M of Q1 new wins (including a $9M/yr 3‑year battery BESS win), $63M of 2025 wins ramping in H2 ’26 and contributing to >$300M product revenue visibility for 2027, and a $50M new‑awards target for 2026.Core Molding Technologies Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 270.93M | 273.80M | 302.38M | 357.74M | 377.38M | 307.48M |
| Gross Profit | 47.69M | 47.58M | 53.26M | 64.52M | 52.40M | 41.34M |
| EBITDA | 24.90M | 27.14M | 30.97M | 39.67M | 28.63M | 22.85M |
| Net Income | 9.62M | 11.20M | 13.30M | 20.32M | 12.20M | 4.67M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 242.35M | 228.13M | 209.55M | 213.38M | 198.62M | 186.69M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 23.51M | 38.06M | 41.80M | 24.10M | 4.18M | 6.15M |
| Total Debt | 32.80M | 32.83M | 23.70M | 22.99M | 26.06M | 29.62M |
| Total Liabilities | 84.13M | 69.96M | 62.19M | 74.42M | 82.49M | 86.60M |
| Stockholders Equity | 158.22M | 158.17M | 147.36M | 138.95M | 116.13M | 100.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -15.42M | 1.92M | 23.63M | 25.74M | 2.39M | 977.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.86M | 19.18M | 35.15M | 34.84M | 18.98M | 12.55M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.28M | -17.27M | -11.53M | -9.10M | -16.59M | -11.41M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.54M | -5.66M | -5.93M | -5.82M | -4.36M | 884.00K |
Core Molding Technologies Technical Analysis
Positive
27.27
Price Trends
24.09
Positive
23.08
Positive
21.22
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.10
Negative
56.44
Neutral
60.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.74, above the 50-day MA of 24.09, and above the 200-day MA of 21.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMT.
Core Molding Technologies Risk Analysis
Core Molding Technologies disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core Molding Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Core Molding Technologies Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $439.35M | 14.82 | 12.66% | ― | -3.69% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | $75.85M | 92.38 | 2.11% | ― | 7.82% | -64.59% | |
54 Neutral | $78.40M | -65.01 | -1.07% | 1.33% | 7.70% | -139.19% | |
51 Neutral | $208.43M | 21.19 | 6.15% | ― | -5.16% | -16.62% | |
46 Neutral | $38.83M | -3.13 | 196.02% | ― | -95.28% | 18.96% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
24.24
7.22
42.42%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
5.98
0.24
4.18%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
8.15
-0.58
-6.62%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
5.63
4.39
354.03%
LOOP
Loop Industries
0.82
-0.39
-32.23%
Core Molding Technologies Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Core Molding Technologies Expands and Extends Credit Facility
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Core Molding Technologies, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement with Huntington National Bank and other lenders, expanding the revolving credit commitment from $25 million to $50 million and adding a $50 million delayed draw...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Core Molding unveils new investor presentation and strategy
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Core Molding Technologies announced that CEO Eric Palomaki, CFO Alex Panda and other senior executives will use a new investor presentation in ongoing discussions with investors, analysts and other stakeholders, including at the E...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Names CEO to Board, Updates Employment Terms
Neutral
Jun 5, 2026
On June 1, 2026, director David L. Duvall resigned from the board of Core Molding Technologies, Inc., and on June 5, 2026, the board appointed President and Chief Executive Officer Eric Palomaki to fill the resulting vacancy without assigning him ...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Technologies completes planned board leadership transition
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. reported that director David L. Duvall submitted his resignation from the company’s board of directors on May 29, 2026, effective June 1, 2026. The departure stems from his previously announced retirement as p...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Technologies Announces CEO Transition and Advisory Role
Neutral
May 19, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. has formalized a CEO transition plan involving President and Chief Executive Officer David L. Duvall, who previously announced his planned retirement. Under a Transition Agreement dated May 14, 2026 and effective Ju...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Core Molding Shareholders Approve Directors and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 15, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 14, 2026, with a quorum of 7,671,210 shares represented out of 9,203,045 eligible to vote. Stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the next annual meeting, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.