Want to see CMT full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Core Molding Technologies
(CMT)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(5.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
Overall score reflects a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and a constructive earnings-call outlook tied to program award ramps and reiterated guidance, offset by weakening TTM profitability trends and negative free cash flow. Technicals are mildly supportive, while valuation offers only average support with a ~21 P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Low leverage & strong balance sheet
Core’s very low trailing leverage and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility to fund program ramps, capex and strategic initiatives without stressing liquidity. This conservatism supports multi-year investment plans and reduces refinancing risk during cyclical downcycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and margin compression
A sustained TTM revenue decline with meaningful margin erosion signals weaker end-market demand and pricing pressure. Lower margins reduce reinvestment capacity and extend the timeline to reach long-term ROCE targets, making recovery dependent on program mix and cost control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage & strong balance sheet
Core’s very low trailing leverage and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility to fund program ramps, capex and strategic initiatives without stressing liquidity. This conservatism supports multi-year investment plans and reduces refinancing risk during cyclical downcycles.
Read all positive factors
Core Molding Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Shows how much revenue comes from each business line—such as automotive programs, industrial products, or aftermarket—revealing how dependent Core Molding is on specific customers or sectors. A higher share from automotive OEM work signals sensitivity to vehicle production cycles and program awards, while growing non-automotive or aftermarket revenue indicates diversification and more stable cash flow. Investors should watch shifts in the mix and customer concentration to judge future revenue stability, margin trends, and exposure to industry downturns.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCore Molding Technologies (CMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$209.68M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)23.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.0
Beta (1Y)0.60
Revenue Growth-5.16%
EPS Growth-16.62%
CountryUS
Employees1,239
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.12
Shares Outstanding8,899,729
10 Day Avg. Volume32,666
30 Day Avg. Volume23,632
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.06
Price to Book (P/B)1.09
Price to Sales (P/S)0.63
P/FCF Ratio89.54
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.00Price Target Upside22.25% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.07
Revenue Forecast (FY)$283.12M
Core Molding Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Core Molding Technologies, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in molding structural components from both thermoplastic and thermoset materials. The company employs a diverse range of manufacturing processes, including compression moldi...
How the Company Makes Money
CMT makes money by manufacturing and selling custom molded composite components and assemblies to OEMs and tier suppliers. Its primary revenue stream is product sales under customer contracts or purchase orders tied to production programs; revenue...
Core Molding Technologies Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong commercial momentum, diversification success and operational excellence (new business wins, on-time delivery, top-tier quality, improved gross margin and a strengthened credit facility). Key risks remain concentrated in the truck end market (40% of sales down 23% YoY), elevated SG&A for strategic initiatives, lower current return on capital and some one-time margin benefits. Management provided clear ramp plans, reiterated guidance and highlighted large near-term program conversion potential, indicating confidence in recovery and long-term growth.Positive Updates
Strong New Business Momentum
Nearly $26.0M of net new business awards in H1 2026; on track for $50M full-year; ~$112M won over the past 24 months. Company estimates production revenue opportunities could exceed $300M in 2027. 100% of 2026 awards are new opportunities and ~65% originated outside traditional truck and powersports markets.
Negative Updates
Significant Truck Market Weakness
Truck represented 40% of product sales and declined 23% year-over-year in Q2 2026, creating a consolidated production sales decline of 1.2% YoY. Truck softness remains the principal headwind to near-term consolidated growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong New Business Momentum
Nearly $26.0M of net new business awards in H1 2026; on track for $50M full-year; ~$112M won over the past 24 months. Company estimates production revenue opportunities could exceed $300M in 2027. 100% of 2026 awards are new opportunities and ~65% originated outside traditional truck and powersports markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Core reiterated fiscal 2026 guidance calling for total sales to be flat to up ~5% year‑over‑year with project/tooling revenue weighted toward Q4, and full‑year gross margin of 17%–19% (Q2 was 20.3%, 19.4% excluding a capacity charge). Management expects the majority of the $63 million of new program awards from 2025 to begin contributing meaningfully in 2H26 and to reach full annualized run‑rates in 2027, building on roughly $112 million of awards over the past 24 months that could support production revenue in excess of $300 million in 2027. They reaffirm capex of about $25–30 million for FY26 (YTD $12.1M) with $18–20M focused on Mexico, noted Mexico expansion nonrecurring costs of $3.4M and succession expenses of $1.4M through H1, and said truck volumes should improve through 2H26. Other key metrics cited alongside the guidance include Q2 production sales down 1.2% YoY (truck -23% and 40% of product sales; excluding truck, production sales +20.8%), adjusted EBITDA of $7.6M (12.2% of sales), net income of $1.8M ($0.21/diluted share), ROCE 5.7% (6.2% ex‑cash) with a long‑term target of 14%, ending cash of $12.1M with no debt and an amended $100M credit capacity ($50M revolver / $50M delayed draw term loan maturing 2031), H1 operating cash flow of $7.1M, and operational metrics of 99.2% on‑time delivery and 49 ppm quality.Core Molding Technologies Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 270.93M | 273.80M | 302.38M | 357.74M | 377.38M | 307.48M |
| Gross Profit | 47.69M | 47.58M | 53.26M | 64.52M | 52.40M | 41.34M |
| EBITDA | 24.90M | 27.14M | 30.97M | 39.67M | 28.63M | 22.85M |
| Net Income | 9.62M | 11.20M | 13.30M | 20.32M | 12.20M | 4.67M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 242.35M | 228.13M | 209.55M | 213.38M | 198.62M | 186.69M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 23.51M | 38.06M | 41.80M | 24.10M | 4.18M | 6.15M |
| Total Debt | 32.80M | 32.83M | 23.70M | 22.99M | 26.06M | 29.62M |
| Total Liabilities | 84.13M | 69.96M | 62.19M | 74.42M | 82.49M | 86.60M |
| Stockholders Equity | 158.22M | 158.17M | 147.36M | 138.95M | 116.13M | 100.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -15.42M | 1.92M | 23.63M | 25.74M | 2.39M | 977.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.86M | 19.18M | 35.15M | 34.84M | 18.98M | 12.55M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.28M | -17.27M | -11.53M | -9.10M | -16.59M | -11.41M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.54M | -5.66M | -5.93M | -5.82M | -4.36M | 884.00K |
Core Molding Technologies Technical Analysis
Positive
24.54
Price Trends
23.84
Positive
23.94
Positive
21.60
Positive
Market Momentum
0.04
Positive
54.99
Neutral
47.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.09, above the 50-day MA of 23.84, and above the 200-day MA of 21.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMT.
Core Molding Technologies Risk Analysis
Core Molding Technologies disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core Molding Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Core Molding Technologies Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $209.68M | 21.02 | 6.15% | ― | -5.16% | -16.62% | |
61 Neutral | $368.83M | 12.43 | 12.66% | ― | -3.69% | ― | |
54 Neutral | $64.25M | 77.54 | 2.11% | ― | 7.82% | -64.59% | |
54 Neutral | $76.16M | -62.36 | -1.60% | 0.50% | 7.70% | -139.19% | |
44 Neutral | $35.30M | -2.88 | 142.32% | ― | -96.04% | 9.12% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
24.55
7.26
41.99%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
5.00
-0.50
-9.09%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
8.51
1.07
14.35%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
5.29
4.25
408.65%
LOOP
Loop Industries
0.73
-0.99
-57.79%
Core Molding Technologies Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Core Molding Technologies Expands and Extends Credit Facility
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Core Molding Technologies, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement with Huntington National Bank and other lenders, expanding the revolving credit commitment from $25 million to $50 million and adding a $50 million delayed draw...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Core Molding unveils new investor presentation and strategy
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Core Molding Technologies announced that CEO Eric Palomaki, CFO Alex Panda and other senior executives will use a new investor presentation in ongoing discussions with investors, analysts and other stakeholders, including at the E...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Names CEO to Board, Updates Employment Terms
Neutral
Jun 5, 2026
On June 1, 2026, director David L. Duvall resigned from the board of Core Molding Technologies, Inc., and on June 5, 2026, the board appointed President and Chief Executive Officer Eric Palomaki to fill the resulting vacancy without assigning him ...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Technologies completes planned board leadership transition
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. reported that director David L. Duvall submitted his resignation from the company’s board of directors on May 29, 2026, effective June 1, 2026. The departure stems from his previously announced retirement as p...
Executive/Board Changes
Core Molding Technologies Announces CEO Transition and Advisory Role
Neutral
May 19, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. has formalized a CEO transition plan involving President and Chief Executive Officer David L. Duvall, who previously announced his planned retirement. Under a Transition Agreement dated May 14, 2026 and effective Ju...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Core Molding Shareholders Approve Directors and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 15, 2026
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 14, 2026, with a quorum of 7,671,210 shares represented out of 9,203,045 eligible to vote. Stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the next annual meeting, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.