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Loop Industries Inc (LOOP)
NASDAQ:LOOP

Loop Industries (LOOP) AI Stock Analysis

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LOOP

Loop Industries

(NASDAQ:LOOP)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-13.04% Downside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity, and negative cash flow) despite improving revenue growth. Technicals provide some support through better short-term momentum, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend. The CFO appointment is mildly positive but secondary to the balance-sheet and profitability risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth / Commercialization
Sustained ~31% TTM revenue growth indicates improving commercialization and customer adoption of Loop’s recycling tech. Over the next 2–6 months, continued revenue expansion supports scaling, partner validation, and a clearer path to operational breakeven if trends persist.
Very High Gross Margin
An exceptionally high gross margin (~96%) points to capital-light, IP-driven economics from licensing and material sales. This margin profile, if maintained, provides durable advantage for reinvestment into commercialization and R&D without requiring proportionate increases in production capex.
Licensing & Strategic Partnerships
A licensing-first model combined with major corporate partnerships supports scalable, low-capex growth. Partner-led adoption accelerates market penetration, transfers execution risk to licensees, and creates recurring revenue potential that is durable beyond short-term cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative Stockholders' Equity
Negative equity materially weakens financial flexibility and increases insolvency risk if losses continue. Over 2–6 months this constraint can limit investment, raise financing costs, and force dilutive capital raises or distressed financing that impair long-term strategic options.
Leverage Exceeding Assets
Debt levels exceeding reported assets create elevated solvency and covenant risk. This structural leverage pressure reduces runway, may restrict partnership negotiations, and can raise the cost of capital or require near-term refinancing—risks that persist beyond transitory market moves.
Negative Cash Flow and Deep Losses
Ongoing cash burn and a deeply negative net margin indicate the business is not yet self-funding. Even with reduced absolute burn, persistent negative FCF and large losses necessitate external capital or rapid margin improvement to sustain growth and execute commercialization over the medium term.

Loop Industries (LOOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Loop Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoop Industries, Inc., a technology company, focuses on depolymerizing waste polyethylene terephthalate (PET) plastics and polyester fibers into base building blocks. It polymerized monomers into virgin-quality PET resins for use in food-grade plastic packaging, such as plastic bottles for water and carbonated soft drinks, and containers for food and other consumer products; and polyester fibers, including textiles, clothing, and apparel. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Terrebonne, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLoop Industries generates revenue through the licensing of its proprietary technology to partners in the plastics and recycling industries, enabling them to produce sustainable PET products. The company also earns income from the sale of its depolymerized PET materials to manufacturers seeking sustainable raw materials for their products. Key revenue streams include licensing fees, sales of recycled PET, and potential joint ventures with strategic partners who are looking to integrate Loop's technology into their operations. Additionally, Loop has formed significant partnerships with major corporations in the consumer goods and packaging sectors, which enhances its market presence and drives revenue growth by facilitating the adoption of its sustainable materials.

Loop Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 14, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational progress: a flagship India project on budget and on schedule, a marquee offtake with Nike, a European licensing deal with site selection advancing, engineering revenue to support corporate expenses, and significant CapEx improvements via modularization. However, the company faces near-term liquidity pressure ($7.7M cash), an outstanding ~$28M equity funding requirement for India, and remaining offtake and site finalizations to fully de-risk operations. On balance the operational and commercial milestones reported materially improve the company's outlook, but successful execution depends on completing financing and contracting over the next several months.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
India Facility On Budget and On Schedule
Infinite Loop India 70,000 MT facility is proceeding to construction, with detailed engineering underway (Toyo engaged Nov 1) and construction completion targeted for Q4 2027. Company states project is on budget and on schedule.
Anchor Supply Contract with Nike (Take-or-Pay)
Loop executed a multiyear supply contract with Nike for 'twist' (textile-to-textile polyester resin) with a fixed annual quantity, fixed pricing and a guaranteed take-or-pay element, providing a high-quality anchor offtake for the India facility.
European License and Site Progress
Loop sold a license to Reed Societe Generale to build one 70,000 MT plant in Europe; site selection narrowed from 20 to 3 with a lead site in Germany and anticipated finalization in late Jan/early Feb. Engineering/milestone payments expected to generate meaningful revenue over the next 3 years.
Engineering Revenue as Near-Term Cash Source
Engineering and milestone payments from the India joint venture and the Reed SocGen Europe project are expected to cover Loop's back-office expenses for several years and provide near-term revenue while plants are built.
Cash Operating Expense Reduction
Q3 cash operating expenses were $2.2M, a year-over-year reduction of $1.1M (approximately a 33% YoY decrease). Management expects further reductions as expenses transfer to the India JV and European project.
Debt Syndication Progress for India
Debt syndication for the India project is advancing with multiple term sheets from multilateral development banks, sovereign wealth funds and commercial banks; expected to close in the coming months. Target debt package for India is $130M (≈70% of project financing).
Lower CapEx via Modularization
Modular construction approach reduces CapEx by roughly 50% versus traditional stick-build, improving competitiveness in Europe and supporting lower per-pound capital costs (previous gross figure cited ~$0.61/lb).
Strong Feedstock and Scaling Potential
Company cites textile market scale (approx. 85M tons of PET/polyester annually, ~66% from textile side) and internal studies identifying >500,000 MT of textile waste available in India. Site capacity can expand to 170,000 MT total, enabling internal funding for future growth from project cash flows.
Negative Updates
Limited Liquidity on Hand
Total liquidity at quarter-end was $7.7M and management noted this will continue to decrease in coming quarters, indicating a near-term funding need to sustain operations and complete planned investments.
Significant Equity Funding Requirement
Loop's estimated equity contribution for the India project is approximately $28M (in addition to the $130M debt package), and the company is actively engaged with multiple parties to raise this capital but has not closed it yet.
Offtake Coverage Not Fully Secured
India plant expected to require ~5–6 customers; currently only Nike and Taro Plast are announced. Management is negotiating additional CPG and textile offtake agreements but substantial capacity remains to be contracted.
Corporate Burn and Financing Dependence
While engineering revenues and a 5% royalty are expected to cover back-office spend, corporate liquidity and operations remain dependent on securing financing (equity/debt) and on milestone payments; risk if financing or milestones delay.
European Project Still Subject to Site Finalization and Costs
Europe license and modular plan are progressing but site negotiation (lead site in Germany) is not yet finalized; European CapEx expected to be higher than India (transport/reconnection of modules), creating execution and cost risk until agreements and detailed budgets are locked.
Execution and Timeline Risk
Target commercial readiness of India plant in late 2027 leaves <2 years to complete financing, construction and commissioning—timeline is ambitious and execution-dependent.
Company Guidance
Management guided that the 70,000‑ton Infinite Loop India plant is on budget and on schedule (detailed engineering with Toyo began Nov. 1; construction targeted complete in Q4 2027), with debt syndication progressing toward closing “in the coming months” on a ~$130 million project debt package and Loop’s equity contribution to the JV of approximately $28 million; a licensed 70,000‑ton European plant (site selection narrowed to three, one lead German site expected to be finalized end‑Jan/early‑Feb) will generate engineering/milestone revenues over the next three years expected to cover corporate back‑office costs for several years. Additional metrics cited: Q3 cash operating expenses of $2.2 million (down $1.1 million YoY), total liquidity of $7.7 million at quarter‑end (expected to decline), a ~5% royalty to Loop, an India plant payback of under three years, a corporate site capacity of 170,000 tons (with room to add ~100,000 tons), third‑party identification of >500,000 metric tons of textile waste in India, regulatory timing (rules introduced 2026, enforcement 2028), and market context of ~85 million tons/year of PET/polyester (66% from textiles); management also disclosed a multi‑year, fixed‑price, fixed‑quantity Nike supply contract with a take‑or‑pay element.

Loop Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (~31% TTM) with exceptionally high gross margin (~96%), but profitability remains deeply negative (TTM net margin ~-105%). Balance-sheet risk is elevated with negative equity (about -$7.3M) and higher debt (~$14.7M) relative to assets (~$11.3M). Cash flow is still negative (TTM OCF ~-$0.9M; FCF ~-$0.4M), despite improved burn versus earlier years.
Income Statement
28
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue reached ~$11.1M with ~31% growth, showing improving commercialization momentum versus prior years. Gross profit is exceptionally high (TTM gross margin ~96%), but the company remains unprofitable: EBIT and EBITDA are still negative and net income is meaningfully negative (TTM net margin around -105%). Annual results show large losses historically (FY2024–FY2025), so while the loss profile is improving versus prior years, sustained profitability has not yet been demonstrated.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet weakened materially in the most recent period, with stockholders’ equity turning negative in TTM (about -$7.3M), which increases financial risk and reduces flexibility. Total debt is ~$14.7M in TTM, notably higher than recent annual periods, while total assets are ~$11.3M—highlighting a more levered and strained capital structure. Earlier years showed a stronger equity base and modest leverage, but the latest trajectory points to rising balance-sheet pressure.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation remains a key challenge: TTM operating cash flow is negative (~-$0.9M) and free cash flow is also negative (~-$0.4M). While the magnitude of cash burn is much lower than earlier years (which saw very large negative operating cash flow and free cash flow), the business is still not self-funding. Free cash flow has also declined versus the prior annual period (TTM free cash flow growth is negative), suggesting uneven progress despite lower absolute burn.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.15M10.89M153.00K172.84K0.000.00
Gross Profit10.73M10.37M-382.00K-377.28K-548.23K-775.67K
EBITDA-694.00K-13.91M-20.36M-20.56M-44.22M-35.49M
Net Income-2.71M-15.06M-21.09M-21.30M-44.92M-36.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.29M18.58M20.55M40.56M59.22M43.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.20M12.97M6.96M29.59M44.06M35.22M
Total Debt14.69M3.08M3.32M3.30M3.38M2.45M
Total Liabilities18.61M18.21M6.41M6.82M13.23M10.58M
Stockholders Equity-7.32M367.00K14.14M33.74M45.99M32.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-404.00K-2.57M-23.68M-35.93M-48.10M-24.82M
Operating Cash Flow-858.00K-2.12M-18.03M-34.89M-42.98M-22.49M
Investing Cash Flow-3.11M-2.04M-5.64M21.28M-5.11M-2.98M
Financing Cash Flow8.74M10.32M-75.00K1.01M56.99M26.60M

Loop Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.15
Price Trends
50DMA
1.07
Positive
100DMA
1.38
Negative
200DMA
1.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
55.11
Neutral
STOCH
58.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.10, above the 50-day MA of 1.07, and below the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LOOP.

Loop Industries Risk Analysis

Loop Industries disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Loop Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Loop Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$76.79M41.615.08%0.18%-54.25%
57
Neutral
$87.33M-273.000.02%1.33%-0.97%-99.67%
55
Neutral
$804.50M-3.93-22.21%-12.07%-821.68%
48
Neutral
$55.59M-20.5011013.00%39.85%
48
Neutral
$487.04M-10.45-9.27%675.75%42.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOOP
Loop Industries
1.15
-0.03
-2.54%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
6.05
-0.11
-1.79%
GEVO
Gevo
2.01
0.21
11.67%
GPRE
Green Plains
11.52
1.98
20.75%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
9.20
-2.69
-22.62%
CNEY
CN Energy Group
0.88
-6.41
-87.93%

Loop Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Loop Industries appoints Spencer Hart as new CFO
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 4, 2026, Loop Industries’ board appointed veteran investment banker Spencer Hart as chief financial officer and principal financial and accounting officer, effective January 15, 2026, while he continues to serve as a director. Hart, who joined the board in February 2025 and previously held senior roles at Guggenheim Securities, will receive a $200,000 base salary, a performance-based annual cash bonus opportunity, and one million stock options vesting over four years or accelerating upon the Infinite Loop India plant achieving a key PET resin production milestone, aligning his incentives with the company’s operational objectives. His employment agreement provides for severance, including salary continuation, prorated bonus, and full option vesting if terminated without cause, and imposes confidentiality, non-compete, non-solicitation, and non-disparagement obligations during and after employment. The company, which qualifies as a “controlled company” under Nasdaq rules, acknowledged that Hart’s move into an executive role means he will no longer be an independent director and the board will no longer have a majority of independent directors, but emphasized the need for continuity and experienced financial leadership; in response, Hart resigned from all board committees, and independent directors Louise Sams, Laurence Sellyn, and Jay Stubina are slated to take over his audit, compensation, and nominating and governance committee roles, respectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOOP) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loop Industries stock, see the LOOP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026