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Trinseo S.A. (TSE)
:TSE

Trinseo (TSE) AI Stock Analysis

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Trinseo

(NYSE:TSE)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(0.00%Upside)
Trinseo's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While there are some positive developments in the earnings call, uncertainties and poor valuation metrics weigh heavily on the assessment.

Trinseo (TSE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trinseo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrinseo (TSE) is a global materials company and manufacturer of plastics, latex binders, and synthetic rubber. The company operates across several sectors, including automotive, consumer electronics, appliances, medical devices, packaging, and more. Trinseo's core products include engineered materials, latex binders, and performance plastics, which are used in a wide range of applications to enhance the functionality, appearance, and performance of end products.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrinseo makes money primarily through the production and sale of its diverse range of materials. The company's revenue streams include selling engineered materials, which are tailored to meet specific performance requirements; latex binders, which are used in applications such as paper coatings, carpet backing, and adhesive products; and performance plastics, which are used in various industries for their durability and versatility. Trinseo's earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to establish strong partnerships with manufacturers in the automotive, electronics, and consumer goods sectors, among others. The company also benefits from its global manufacturing and distribution network, enabling it to efficiently meet customer demands across different markets.

Trinseo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -30.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Trinseo reported several positive developments, including significant growth in specialty products, improved adjusted EBITDA, and successful licensing agreements. However, these achievements were balanced by challenges such as the impact of tariffs on demand in China, negative free cash flow, and a decline in certain segment volumes. The company's withdrawal of full-year guidance reflects uncertainty in the market.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Seventh Consecutive Quarter of Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Trinseo achieved its seventh consecutive quarter of improved year-over-year adjusted EBITDA, reaching $65 million, which is up $20 million compared to the previous year, driven by restructuring actions and improved business mix.
Significant Growth in Specialty Products
The company reported a 33% increase in volume for recycled content-containing products, a 43% rise in consumer electronic applications, and more than doubled PMMA resin volumes in Asia.
Successful Polycarbonate Licensing Agreement
Trinseo recognized $26 million in licensing income from its polycarbonate technology deal with Deepak Chem Tech, with projects worth an estimated total of $52 million.
Positive Developments in Battery Binders
Trinseo has been securing new business in anode binders for lithium-ion batteries, citing opportunities in grid storage and automotive battery applications.
Strong Consumer Electronics Growth
Consumer electronic applications grew by 43%, driven by high recycled content solutions, contributing to 20% of Asia Pacific revenue.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China and Tariff Impact
Demand weakened in China since tariff announcements, particularly affecting paper and board applications and the home appliance export market.
Negative Free Cash Flow in Q1
The first quarter free cash flow was negative $119 million, including $25 million of outflows related to refinancing and a seasonal working capital outflow of $84 million.
Decline in Automotive and Building & Construction Volumes
Volumes sold into automotive and building and construction applications were lower, although offset by higher margins and improved sales mix.
Withdrawal of Full-Year Guidance
Due to uncertain economic and geopolitical conditions, Trinseo withdrew its full-year guidance, only providing an outlook for the upcoming quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Trinseo First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided key guidance metrics and insights. Trinseo's adjusted EBITDA improved to $65 million in the first quarter, up $20 million from the previous year. This growth was attributed to restructuring actions, an improved business mix, and a polycarbonate licensing agreement. The company reported a 33% increase in recycled content-containing products and a 43% increase in consumer electronic applications. Despite a negative free cash flow of $119 million in the first quarter, Trinseo expects to achieve breakeven cash flow in the second quarter and positive cash flow in the second half of 2025. However, due to uncertain economic conditions, Trinseo withdrew its full-year guidance and instead projected second-quarter adjusted EBITDA to range between $55 million and $70 million. The guidance reflects expectations of stronger volumes in building and construction, lower costs in engineered materials, and improved AmSty earnings.

Trinseo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trinseo faces severe financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and significant leverage issues. The negative stockholders' equity and free cash flow highlight financial instability.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Trinseo's income statement reveals significant challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 7.99% and a negative net profit margin of -10.37%. The company has experienced declining revenue, with a TTM revenue of $3.394 billion compared to $3.515 billion in the previous year, indicating a negative revenue growth rate. Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet indicates financial distress, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$679.2 million in the TTM period, resulting in a negative equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, suggesting high leverage and potential solvency issues. Return on equity is also negative due to the company's net losses.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Trinseo's cash flow statement reflects a challenging situation. The TTM free cash flow is negative at -$4.447 million, although it has improved from the previous year's -$77.5 million. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating difficulties in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.39B3.51B3.68B4.97B4.83B3.04B
Gross Profit271.00M265.60M142.30M272.30M698.90M315.60M
EBITDA171.00M177.50M-223.30M-118.60M593.90M239.20M
Net Income-352.00M-348.50M-701.30M-428.00M279.60M7.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.65B2.64B3.03B3.76B4.71B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.10M209.80M259.10M211.70M573.00M588.70M
Total Debt219.80M2.48B2.37B2.39B2.41B1.25B
Total Liabilities3.33B3.26B3.30B3.34B3.70B2.25B
Stockholders Equity-679.20M-619.90M-268.00M420.30M1.01B590.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.45M-77.50M79.00M-104.70M335.00M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow-58.47M-14.20M148.70M43.50M452.70M255.40M
Investing Cash Flow-52.80M-55.10M-31.70M-164.00M-1.54B-24.20M
Financing Cash Flow68.40M26.40M-66.00M-233.70M1.08B-104.30M

Trinseo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3.27
Negative
100DMA
3.76
Negative
200DMA
4.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.45
Neutral
STOCH
6.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.33, below the 50-day MA of 3.27, and below the 200-day MA of 4.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE.

Trinseo Risk Analysis

Trinseo disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trinseo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trinseo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.17B82.242.21%1.93%-7.91%-81.73%
OLOLN
64
Neutral
$2.53B43.292.94%3.64%-1.13%-81.74%
PPPPG
64
Neutral
$26.43B19.7218.47%2.29%-7.67%-0.58%
SSSSL
57
Neutral
$2.88B-28.05%2.00%-4.31%-1421.83%
CCCC
56
Neutral
$1.91B61.864.66%2.75%-0.68%
TSTSE
46
Neutral
$108.73M103.25%1.31%-5.28%51.91%
44
Neutral
C$976.20M-6.71-13.35%2.69%17.20%-32.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE
Trinseo
3.00
1.00
50.00%
IOSP
Innospec
88.11
-30.85
-25.93%
OLN
Olin
21.97
-22.55
-50.65%
PPG
PPG Industries
118.59
-3.77
-3.08%
SSL
Sasol
5.00
-2.87
-36.47%
CC
Chemours Company
12.73
-8.27
-39.38%

Trinseo Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Trinseo Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Trinseo PLC held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where approximately 85.5% of the shares entitled to vote were represented. During the meeting, shareholders approved several key proposals, including the election of nine directors, the advisory approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, shareholders granted the Board authority to issue shares and opt out of statutory pre-emption rights, approved the price range for re-issuance of treasury shares, amended the Omnibus Incentive Plan, and approved the forfeiture of certain options by executive officers. These approvals are expected to impact Trinseo’s governance and financial strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trinseo stock, see the TSE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Trinseo Announces Retirement of Two Board Members
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

On April 3, 2025, Pierre-Marie De Leener and Mark Tomkins, members of the Board of Directors of Trinseo PLC, announced their retirement and decision not to stand for reelection at the company’s 2025 annual general meeting. Their departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and following their retirement, the board will reduce its size to nine members. Both directors have been acknowledged for their years of service, with Mr. De Leener serving since the company’s IPO in 2014 and Mr. Tomkins since 2019.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025