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Trinseo S.A. (TSE)
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Trinseo (TSE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE

Trinseo

(NYSE:TSE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-36.31% Downside)
Trinseo's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance, with significant profitability and balance sheet issues. Technical analysis also indicates a bearish trend. While the valuation shows a high dividend yield, the negative P/E ratio reflects current financial struggles. The earnings call provided some positive strategic outlooks, but these are not enough to offset the immediate financial and technical concerns.

Trinseo (TSE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trinseo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrinseo (TSE) is a global materials company and manufacturer of plastics, latex binders, and synthetic rubber. The company operates primarily in the plastics and rubber sectors, providing innovative solutions that cater to various industries including automotive, electronics, consumer goods, and construction. Trinseo's core products include styrenics, polycarbonate, and specialty polymers, which are designed to enhance performance and sustainability in applications ranging from packaging to automotive components.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrinseo generates revenue through the sale of its diverse product portfolio, primarily focusing on specialty plastics and rubber solutions. The company's revenue model is driven by both volume sales and strategic pricing of its materials. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of styrene-based products, polycarbonate resins, and engineered materials, which are essential in sectors such as automotive and consumer goods. Additionally, Trinseo has established significant partnerships with major manufacturers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and operational efficiencies. The company also benefits from ongoing investments in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, contributing to its competitive edge and profitability.

Trinseo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in terms of decreased EBITDA, negative free cash flow, and impacts from global trade uncertainties. However, there were positive developments such as growth in recycled plastics, increased sales of formulated PMMA resins, and expected EBITDA improvements from strategic decisions. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of current challenges and future opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Sales of Formulated PMMA Resins
Late in the third quarter and into the fourth quarter, sales of more formulated, higher-margin PMMA resins increased by over 10% year-over-year.
Growth in Recycled Plastics
The company's recycled content containing plastic sales grew 2% year-to-date across all applications, with Engineered Materials growing at 12%.
Potential EBITDA Improvement and Cost Savings
Discontinuation of Virgin MMA production in Italy and closure of a polystyrene production facility in Germany expected to lead to $30 million of EBITDA improvement next year, with cash savings exceeding restructuring costs beginning in 2026.
Battery Binders Sales Growth
Sales volume in battery binders were up 27% versus the prior year for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Third quarter free cash flow was negative $38 million.
Polymer Solutions Segment Performance
Polymer Solutions adjusted EBITDA was $19 million below prior year, driven by unfavorable timing, lower ABS volumes, and unfavorable mix.
Unplanned Outage Impact
Negative equity affiliate earnings from Americas Styrenics due to an $8 million headwind from repair and other costs related to an unplanned outage.
Latex Binders Performance
Latex Binders adjusted EBITDA was $9 million below prior year, mainly due to lower volume in Europe paper and board applications and significant pricing pressure in Europe and Asia.
Company Guidance
During Trinseo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. They expect fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to range between $30 million and $40 million, with a positive free cash flow of $20 million. This forecast assumes a continuation of the year-to-date market dynamics, including an anticipated $5 million to $10 million of negative raw material timing. The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings from an $8 million headwind associated with an unplanned outage at Americas Styrenics. The company highlighted efforts to improve free cash flow through inventory management and restructuring activities. Additionally, Trinseo noted a promising increase in sales of their more formulated, higher-margin PMMA products, with a year-over-year volume increase of over 10% beginning in late Q3 and continuing into Q4.

Trinseo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trinseo faces significant financial challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and balance sheet stability. The income statement reflects declining revenues and negative margins, while the balance sheet shows a concerning level of debt relative to equity. However, the cash flow statement provides some optimism, with improved free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Trinseo's income statement reveals significant challenges, with a declining revenue trend and negative profit margins. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 6.18% and a net profit margin of -13.15%, indicating profitability issues. Revenue has decreased by 3.82% compared to the previous period, reflecting a challenging market environment. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -0.29 in the TTM period. This indicates potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 56.63%, but this is due to the negative equity, which is not a sustainable situation. The equity ratio is also negative, reflecting a weak financial position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Trinseo's cash flow statement shows some positive aspects, with a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 226.32% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.13, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.53 suggests that the company is generating cash flow that exceeds its net losses, which is a positive sign.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.13B3.51B3.68B4.97B4.83B2.74B
Gross Profit193.80M265.60M142.30M272.30M698.90M321.10M
EBITDA103.40M159.70M-223.30M-119.80M597.40M241.60M
Net Income-412.10M-348.50M-701.30M-430.90M440.00M7.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.64B3.03B3.76B4.71B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.10M209.80M259.10M211.70M573.00M588.70M
Total Debt2.58B2.48B2.37B2.39B2.41B1.25B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.26B3.30B3.34B3.70B2.25B
Stockholders Equity-861.60M-619.90M-268.00M420.30M1.01B590.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-96.10M-86.10M55.60M-104.70M335.00M188.80M
Operating Cash Flow-39.90M-22.80M125.30M43.50M452.70M255.40M
Investing Cash Flow-56.20M-55.10M-31.70M-164.00M-1.54B-24.20M
Financing Cash Flow41.70M35.00M-42.60M-233.70M1.08B-104.30M

Trinseo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.57
Price Trends
50DMA
1.79
Negative
100DMA
2.20
Negative
200DMA
2.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
21.80
Positive
STOCH
4.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.19, below the 50-day MA of 1.79, and below the 200-day MA of 2.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.80 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE.

Trinseo Risk Analysis

Trinseo disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trinseo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trinseo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$3.57B57.327.39%19.12%
66
Neutral
$3.95B28.4712.31%1.76%4.25%56.51%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$2.68B32.2017.49%0.58%11.86%1.99%
46
Neutral
$536.15M7.94-5.00%4.41%<0.01%-143.88%
46
Neutral
$1.66B-69.74%4.89%2.12%-579.74%
45
Neutral
$48.90M5.06%-11.20%17.76%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE
Trinseo
0.79
-2.73
-77.56%
HWKN
Hawkins
127.01
-2.30
-1.78%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
4.54
-6.70
-59.61%
SXT
Sensient Technologies
94.87
17.59
22.76%
CC
Chemours Company
11.05
-9.69
-46.72%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
26.35
13.22
100.69%

Trinseo Corporate Events

Trinseo S.A. Earnings Call: Challenges and Opportunities
Nov 9, 2025

The recent earnings call for Trinseo S.A. painted a mixed picture of the company’s current financial health and future prospects. While the company faces significant challenges such as decreased EBITDA and negative free cash flow, there are also positive developments. Growth in recycled plastics and increased sales of formulated PMMA resins are promising, and strategic decisions are expected to improve EBITDA. Overall, the sentiment reflects a balanced view of both current challenges and future opportunities.

Trinseo S.A. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

Trinseo S.A. is a specialty material solutions provider operating across various industries, including building and construction, consumer goods, medical, and mobility, with a focus on sustainable and innovative material solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Trinseo Announces Restructuring Plan in Italy
Negative
Oct 6, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Trinseo announced a restructuring plan to close its MMA and ACH production operations in Italy, aiming to streamline its production network and improve profitability by sourcing MMA feedstock from third-party producers. The plan is expected to result in annualized profitability improvement of $20 million by 2026, with pre-tax restructuring charges estimated between $80 million and $100 million. Additionally, Trinseo is considering closing its polystyrene production facility in Germany, potentially improving profitability by $10 million annually. The company also suspended its quarterly dividend to save $1.5 million annually, reflecting ongoing challenges in the European chemical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trinseo stock, see the TSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Trinseo Suspends Quarterly Dividend to Save Costs
Negative
Oct 3, 2025

Trinseo‘s Board of Directors has decided to indefinitely suspend the company’s quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share. This action is expected to save the company approximately $1.5 million annually, impacting its financial strategy and potentially affecting shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trinseo stock, see the TSE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025