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Hawkins (HWKN)
NASDAQ:HWKN

Hawkins (HWKN) AI Stock Analysis

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HWKN

Hawkins

(NASDAQ:HWKN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$147.00
▲(17.60% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong underlying financial performance (multi-year growth and improved profitability with generally healthy cash generation). It is held back by weak technical positioning (trading below major moving averages with low RSI) and a less attractive valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a robust 17.4% ROE indicate limited financial risk and efficient capital use. This durability enhances the firm's ability to fund operations, invest in growth or weather downturns without needing external financing, supporting long-term stability.
Recurring Revenue & Diversified End Markets
A business model built on long-term contracts and partnerships, plus exposure to municipal water, industrial, food and pharma markets, creates stable recurring revenue and reduces cyclicality. Diversification improves resilience across economic cycles.
Healthy Margins and Cash Generation
Sustained gross and net margins point to pricing power and effective cost control in specialty chemicals. Combined with reported strong operating cash flow coverage, these traits support internal funding for maintenance capex and selective investments over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Despite positive operating cash flow, a negative trend in free cash flow growth can strain the firm’s ability to reinvest, pay dividends, or pursue M&A without tapping reserves or debt. Persistent negative FCF growth could erode financial flexibility long-term.
Declining Operating Efficiency
A falling EBIT margin suggests rising operating costs or weaker pricing that may compress operating leverage. If this trend persists, it can reduce profitability and cash available for strategic initiatives, requiring management action to restore efficiency.
Management Succession Risk
Loss of a long-tenured general counsel poses governance and continuity risk, particularly for contracts, compliance, and regulatory matters. Although a planned handover through May 2026 mitigates disruption, the eventual replacement could alter legal oversight or institutional knowledge.

Hawkins (HWKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hawkins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHawkins, Inc. blends, manufactures, and distributes chemicals and other specialty ingredients in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Industrial, Water Treatment, and Health and Nutrition. The Industrial segment offers industrial chemicals, products, and services to agriculture, chemical processing, electronics, energy, food, pharmaceutical, and plating industries. This segment primarily provides acids, alkalis, and food-grade and pharmaceutical salts and ingredients. It also receives, stores, and distributes various chemicals, such as liquid caustic soda, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, urea, phosphoric acid, aqua ammonia, and potassium hydroxide. In addition, this segment manufactures sodium hypochlorite and agricultural products, as well as various food-grade and pharmaceutical products that include liquid phosphates, lactates, and other blended products; repackages water treatment chemicals and bulk industrial chemicals; and performs custom blending of chemicals, and contract and private label bleach packaging. The Water Treatment segment offers chemicals, equipment, and solutions for potable water, municipal and industrial wastewater, industrial process water, and non-residential swimming pool and agriculture water. The Health and Nutrition segment offers ingredient distribution, processing, and formulation solutions to manufacturers of nutraceutical, functional food and beverage, personal care, dietary supplement and other nutritional food, and health and wellness products. Its products portfolio includes minerals, botanicals and herbs, vitamins and amino acids, excipients, joint products, sweeteners, and enzymes. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Roseville, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyHawkins generates revenue through the sale of chemicals and related services across its two main segments. The Water Treatment segment is a significant contributor, offering products such as water disinfectants, coagulants, and corrosion inhibitors to municipalities and industrial customers. The Industrial segment provides specialty chemicals used in manufacturing processes, including food-grade and pharmaceutical applications. Hawkins also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with key customers, which provide a steady stream of recurring revenue. Additionally, the company engages in bulk chemical distribution, allowing it to optimize logistics and pricing strategies, further enhancing its profitability.

Hawkins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with improved gross and EBIT margins versus earlier years, plus solid ROE. Offsetting factors include modest margin softening in the TTM period, a higher TTM debt-to-equity versus recent annual levels, and somewhat variable free-cash-flow conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded materially over the last several years (from ~$597M in 2021 to ~$974M in FY2025, and ~$1.06B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), showing strong multi-year growth despite a slower recent annual growth pace (FY2025 ~6% and TTM growth shown as elevated). Profitability has also improved versus earlier years, with gross margin rising from ~17.7% (FY2023) to ~23.0% (TTM) and EBIT margin moving from ~9–10% (FY2022–FY2023) to ~11.7% (TTM). The main watch-out is modest recent margin compression versus FY2025 (net margin ~8.7% in FY2025 vs ~8.0% TTM; EBITDA margin ~16.4% FY2025 vs ~15.1% TTM), suggesting incremental cost pressure or mix shift.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet looks solid with a steadily growing equity base (from ~$265M in FY2021 to ~$519M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and consistently strong returns on equity (~15–19% across periods). Leverage appears manageable overall, but the debt picture is mixed: debt-to-equity is reasonable in recent annual periods (~0.27–0.35 in FY2024–FY2025) yet is higher in the TTM snapshot (~0.58), which could indicate a temporary working-capital build, acquisition-related borrowings, or timing effects. Total assets have grown meaningfully, supporting scale, but the higher TTM leverage warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy: operating cash flow is strong in absolute dollars (TTM ~$137M; FY2024 ~$159M) and currently exceeds net income (TTM coverage ~1.25x; FY2025 ~1.04x), a positive sign for earnings quality. Free cash flow is positive and improving in TTM (about ~$88M) with strong TTM growth, but it has been more volatile year to year (notably negative free-cash-flow growth in FY2025 and weaker conversion in earlier years). Free cash flow runs at roughly two-thirds of net income in recent periods (TTM ~0.64), indicating some ongoing reinvestment or working-capital needs that can pressure near-term cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue974.43M919.16M935.10M774.54M596.87M
Gross Profit225.54M193.64M165.12M146.52M123.76M
EBITDA159.76M137.23M117.23M95.51M78.55M
Net Income84.34M75.36M60.04M51.54M40.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets769.87M673.16M602.36M567.33M481.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.10M7.15M7.57M3.50M3.00M
Total Debt159.74M108.26M120.33M136.36M110.57M
Total Liabilities309.57M267.13M252.34M264.73M216.20M
Stockholders Equity460.29M406.03M350.02M302.60M265.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.00M119.35M29.08M14.32M23.00M
Operating Cash Flow111.10M159.50M77.40M42.84M43.79M
Investing Cash Flow-127.95M-122.50M-41.23M-49.76M-71.43M
Financing Cash Flow14.81M-37.41M-32.10M7.42M26.36M

Hawkins Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price125.00
Price Trends
50DMA
143.10
Negative
100DMA
151.71
Negative
200DMA
148.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.18
Positive
RSI
25.27
Positive
STOCH
8.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HWKN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 125 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 150.02, below the 50-day MA of 143.10, and below the 200-day MA of 148.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.27 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HWKN.

Hawkins Risk Analysis

Hawkins disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hawkins reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hawkins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.77B12.0021.98%2.72%-7.04%-11.28%
64
Neutral
$3.87B62.077.39%19.12%
63
Neutral
$3.26B21.897.93%1.54%-1.30%-36.69%
63
Neutral
$3.31B29.324.79%3.48%1.03%-24.57%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$2.72B31.6016.89%0.50%11.86%1.99%
53
Neutral
$2.37B-58.36-2.18%3.91%4.68%-62.80%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HWKN
Hawkins
125.00
13.11
11.72%
CBT
Cabot
72.86
-10.03
-12.10%
FUL
H.B. Fuller Company
60.98
0.37
0.62%
OLN
Olin
22.17
-4.61
-17.21%
AVNT
Avient
36.55
-4.48
-10.91%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
26.20
14.22
118.70%

Hawkins Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Hawkins announces retirement of longtime general counsel Erstad
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Hawkins, Inc. announced that Richard G. Erstad, who has served as Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary for 17 years, plans to retire. As part of a planned leadership transition, Erstad is expected to step down from his role as an executive officer on December 28, 2025, at the end of the company’s third fiscal quarter, but will remain employed with Hawkins until May 2026 to help ensure continuity and a smooth handover of his responsibilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWKN) stock is a Hold with a $136.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawkins stock, see the HWKN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026