Olin (OLN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.44B
• Dividend Yield: 3.76%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.93M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 41.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.41
• Revenue Growth: 1.49%
• EPS Growth: -105.20%
• Country: US
• Employees: 7,676
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 114,641,530
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,855,787
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,933,711
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.21
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.81
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.62
• 1Y Price Target: $24.00
• Price Target Upside: 12.78% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $22.00 ▲(3.38% Upside)

Olin's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and valuation concerns. Strong cash flow is a positive, but high leverage and declining revenue present risks. Technical analysis suggests a neutral outlook, while the earnings call highlights operational challenges. Addressing these issues is crucial for future performance.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Management

Olin Corporation has raised its free cash flow estimates due to better working capital and lower capital expenditures, providing flexibility for capital deployment.

Cost Management

Olin is taking multiple actions to improve its financials as it awaits a broader macro recovery, including reducing capex spend and doubling cost savings targets.

Financial Performance

Olin's Q1 results topped estimates largely due to Chlor-alkali EBITDA coming well ahead of expectations, indicating relative stability in chlorine and caustic prices.

Negative Factors

Demand Challenges

A weaker than expected backdrop and incrementally sluggish demand for chlorine and vinyls in particular due in part to slower than expected building and construction activity.

Operational Disruptions

An outage associated with the chlorine leak at Olin's Freeport facility.

Segment Performance

Olin's financials remain under pressure as a decent recovery in chlor-alkali is being masked by weaker-than-expected Epoxy and Winchester platforms.

Olin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Olin Corporation (OLN) is a diversified global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and ammunition. The company operates through two primary segments: the Chemical segment and the Ammunition segment. The Chemical segment includes products such as chlorine, caustic soda, and epoxy resins, which are used in various industrial applications, including water treatment, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods. The Ammunition segment produces small caliber ammunition for the military, law enforcement, and commercial markets, catering to both domestic and international customers.

How the Company Makes Money

Olin generates revenue primarily through the sale of its chemical and ammunition products. The Chemical segment earns money by supplying high-demand chemicals to various industries, capitalizing on the needs for water treatment, industrial manufacturing, and consumer products. Revenue is driven by sales volume and pricing dynamics in the global chemical markets. The Ammunition segment makes money through contracts with government entities, military agencies, and commercial sales to consumers and law enforcement. Key partnerships with government and military contracts significantly contribute to stable revenue streams. Additionally, Olin benefits from economies of scale in production, which helps to optimize costs and enhance profitability.

Olin Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Olin faces challenges with profitability and revenue decline, as indicated by a low net profit margin and a significant revenue drop. Despite these issues, its strong cash flow offers a positive aspect, bolstered by a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio.

Income Statement

Olin shows a mixed performance in the income statement. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 33.13%, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the Net Profit Margin for the TTM is low at 0.94%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue has declined over the years, with a significant drop of 30.16% from 2022 to 2023, highlighting a concerning trend in revenue growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 3.88% and 10.06% respectively, suggesting some operational efficiency but also room for improvement.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a relatively high Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.60, which could imply higher financial risk due to significant leverage. The Return on Equity for the TTM is notably low at 3.01%, indicating a modest return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 26.62%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability. While there are strengths, such as a stable asset base, the high leverage remains a key concern.

Cash Flow

Olin's cash flow statement reflects a solid cash generation capability. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is robust at 6.88 for the TTM, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow has decreased, with a decline of 37.77% from the previous year. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio stands at 3.12, showing that the company is generating sufficient cash flow, albeit with some reductions over time. Overall, cash flow stability is a positive aspect of Olin's financials.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.54B	6.83B	9.38B	8.91B	5.76B
Gross Profit	737.50M	1.16B	2.18B	2.29B	383.40M
EBITDA	844.30M	1.30B	2.44B	2.32B	-142.50M
Net Income	108.60M	460.20M	1.33B	1.30B	-969.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.58B	7.71B	8.04B	8.52B	8.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	175.60M	170.30M	194.00M	180.50M	189.70M
Total Debt	3.15B	3.02B	2.94B	3.16B	4.23B
Total Liabilities	5.52B	5.44B	5.50B	5.87B	6.82B
Stockholders Equity	2.02B	2.23B	2.54B	2.65B	1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	308.10M	738.30M	1.69B	1.54B	119.50M
Operating Cash Flow	503.20M	974.30M	1.92B	1.74B	418.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-283.70M	-340.80M	-259.70M	-197.40M	-835.70M
Financing Cash Flow	-212.60M	-656.90M	-1.65B	-1.55B	371.00M

Olin Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 21.28
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OLN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.13, above the 50-day MA of 20.56, and below the 200-day MA of 26.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OLN.

Olin Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
HWKN	74 Outperform	$3.58B	42.23	18.69%	0.42%	9.51%	5.20%
AVNT	70 Neutral	$3.25B	27.44	5.09%	2.99%	3.28%	1.69%
IOSP	61 Neutral	$2.06B	110.00	1.55%	1.96%	-5.45%	-87.13%
OLN	58 Neutral	$2.44B	41.89	-0.69%	3.76%	1.49%	-105.20%
SSL	57 Neutral	$3.59B	―	-28.05%	2.00%	-4.31%	-1421.83%
ASH	49 Neutral	$2.46B	21.03	-34.43%	3.05%	-11.38%	-690.99%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$930.37M	-8.96	-0.02%	2.69%	23.24%	-42.45%

Olin Corporate Events

Olin Corporation Updates Bylaws with New Amendments

On August 13, 2025, Olin Corporation’s Board of Directors approved amendments to the company’s Bylaws, which include revised procedural and disclosure requirements for shareholder nominations and business proposals, and mandate that director candidates be available for Board interviews. Additionally, on August 12, 2025, the Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on September 12, 2025, marking the company’s 395th consecutive quarterly dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (OLN) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Olin stock, see the OLN Stock Forecast page.