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Innospec Inc (IOSP)
NASDAQ:IOSP

Innospec (IOSP) AI Stock Analysis

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Innospec

(NASDAQ:IOSP)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(6.68%Upside)
Innospec's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance and positive corporate events, which indicate confidence in its financial stability. However, technical analysis and valuation concerns, including a high P/E ratio and mixed momentum indicators, suggest caution. The company should address revenue and cash flow declines to bolster its long-term growth prospects.

Innospec (IOSP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Innospec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInnospec Inc. develops, manufactures, blends, markets, and supplies specialty chemicals in the United States, rest of North America, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company's Fuel Specialties segment offers a range of specialty chemical products that are used as additives in various fuels. This segment's products are used in the operation of automotive, marine, and aviation engines; power station generators; and heating oil. Its Performance Chemicals segment provides technology-based solutions for its customers' processes or products that focuses on the personal care, home care, agrochemical, and metal extraction markets. The company's Oilfield Services segment develops and markets chemical solutions for fracturing, stimulation, and completion operations; and products for oil and gas production, as well as products to prevent loss of mud in drilling operations. It sells its products primarily to oil and gas exploration and production companies, oil refineries, fuel manufacturers and users, personal care and home care companies, formulators of agrochemical and metal extraction formulations, and other chemical and industrial companies. The company was formerly known as Octel Corp. and changed its name to Innospec Inc. in January 2006. Innospec Inc. was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyInnospec generates revenue through the sale of its chemical products and services across its three main business segments. The Fuel Specialties segment provides fuel additives to improve fuel performance and meet regulatory standards, catering primarily to refineries and distributors. The Performance Chemicals segment offers a variety of products used in personal care, home care, and industrial applications, with customers ranging from consumer goods companies to industrial manufacturers. The Oilfield Services segment supplies chemicals and services to the oil and gas industry, focusing on enhancing oilfield operations and production efficiency. Innospec's revenue is driven by its ability to deliver innovative and effective solutions, maintain strong customer relationships, and adapt to changing market demands. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with key industry players contribute to its earnings.

Innospec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -5.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Innospec's earnings call highlighted strong performance in the Performance Chemicals and Fuel Specialties segments, along with a solid cash position and increased dividends. However, significant challenges were noted in the Oilfield Services segment, a decrease in overall revenues, and a net loss due to a pension settlement charge. The sentiment is mixed with notable strengths and significant challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Performance Chemicals Growth
Performance Chemicals delivered double-digit operating income growth over the fourth quarter last year, with revenues up 23% from $137.2 million to $169.2 million. Operating income increased by 14% to $20.6 million, and for the full year, it increased by 52% to $82.9 million.
Fuel Specialties Improvement
Fuel Specialties saw a 7% increase in operating income over the same quarter last year, with revenues up 5% to $191.8 million. Gross margins improved by 1.5 percentage points to 34.4%.
Cash Position and No Debt
Innospec ended the year with $289.2 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt, providing significant financial flexibility.
Dividend Increase
The total dividend for the full year increased by 10% over 2023 to $1.55 per share.
Negative Updates
Oilfield Services Decline
Oilfield Services revenues for the quarter were $105.8 million, down 40% from $175.4 million in the fourth quarter last year. Gross margins decreased by 7.9 percentage points to 30.1%, and operating income fell 59% to $7.5 million.
Overall Revenue Decrease
The company's total revenues for the fourth quarter were $466.8 million, a 6% decrease from $494.7 million a year ago. Full year revenues decreased 5% from $1.95 billion in 2023 to $1.85 billion in 2024.
Net Loss Due to Pension Settlement
The company incurred a non-cash settlement charge of $155.6 million related to the buyout of the UK pension scheme, resulting in a net loss for the quarter of $70.4 million.
Adjusted EPS Decline
Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.41, down from $1.84 a year ago. For the full year, adjusted EPS was $5.92 compared to $6.09 a year ago.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Innospec reported total revenues of $466.8 million, marking a 6% decline from the $494.7 million reported in the same quarter of the previous year. The company experienced a decrease in gross margin by 2.3 percentage points, bringing it to 29.2%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $56.6 million, down from $61.6 million the previous year. A non-cash settlement charge of $155.6 million related to a UK pension scheme buyout resulted in a net loss of $70.4 million for the quarter; however, after adjustments, net income was $46.3 million, an increase from $37.8 million in the prior year. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.41, compared to $1.84 in the previous year. For the full year, revenues fell 5% to $1.85 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA increase to $225.2 million from $216 million in 2023. The adjusted EPS for the year was $5.92, slightly down from $6.09 the previous year. Performance Chemicals saw a 23% year-over-year revenue increase to $169.2 million, while Fuel Specialties increased by 5% to $191.8 million. In contrast, Oilfield Services revenue dropped by 40% to $105.8 million. Cash from operations after capital expenditures for the year was $122.7 million, with the company ending the year with $289.2 million in cash and no debt. For 2025, Innospec expects continued growth in Performance Chemicals and Fuel Specialties, with a gradual recovery in Oilfield Services, and anticipates a full-year effective tax rate of around 27%.

Innospec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Innospec demonstrates strong profitability and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. However, recent revenue and free cash flow declines could pose challenges if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Innospec's income statement reflects strong gross and net profit margins, indicating robust profitability. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 28.7%, and the net profit margin is around 1.5%. Revenue has shown fluctuations, with a TTM decline compared to the preceding year, but overall revenue growth has been positive over the longer term. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, demonstrating efficient cost management. However, the recent revenue decline may pose a risk if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 for TTM, highlighting low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is moderate at 2.1% for TTM, indicating average returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 71.0%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets. The financial structure is stable, but moderate ROE suggests room for improvement in utilizing equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Innospec's cash flow analysis presents a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 4.9 for TTM, indicating effective cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow has decreased in the latest period, with a noted decline in free cash flow growth rate. While the company maintains a healthy cash position, the decrease in free cash flow may impact future investment capabilities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.79B1.85B1.95B1.96B1.48B1.19B
Gross Profit
512.30M542.90M591.10M586.70M434.90M342.70M
EBIT
170.50M177.90M161.60M187.30M132.10M82.60M
EBITDA
201.50M224.60M200.90M187.30M182.10M92.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
27.00M35.60M139.10M133.00M93.10M28.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
147.50M289.20M203.70M147.10M141.80M105.30M
Total Assets
1.62B1.73B1.71B1.60B1.57B1.40B
Total Debt
49.00M44.90M45.20M45.30M35.60M40.80M
Net Debt
-98.50M-244.30M-158.50M-101.80M-106.20M-64.50M
Total Liabilities
543.50M518.60M557.80M563.30M537.90M452.50M
Stockholders Equity
1.08B1.21B1.15B1.04B1.03B944.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
75.60M143.10M130.10M39.40M54.10M116.20M
Operating Cash Flow
131.90M184.50M207.30M81.70M93.20M145.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-63.40M-62.00M-111.80M-42.10M-36.20M-29.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-39.40M-35.30M-39.00M-33.70M-20.00M-86.80M

Innospec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price87.18
Price Trends
50DMA
87.68
Negative
100DMA
95.75
Negative
200DMA
103.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
48.52
Neutral
STOCH
74.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IOSP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 87.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.79, below the 50-day MA of 87.68, and below the 200-day MA of 103.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IOSP.

Innospec Risk Analysis

Innospec disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Innospec reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our ability to monitor and manage our business performance is dependent upon the effectiveness of our information technology systems. Q4, 2024

Innospec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.81B33.4819.47%0.53%6.01%12.38%
KWKWR
71
Outperform
$2.12B22.786.78%1.62%-5.72%-19.82%
63
Neutral
$2.22B83.912.21%1.90%-7.91%-81.73%
OLOLN
62
Neutral
$2.52B43.212.94%3.67%-1.13%-81.74%
SSSSL
53
Neutral
$3.06B-28.05%2.00%-4.31%-1421.83%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.21-21.10%3.95%2.90%-30.45%
ASASH
48
Neutral
$2.43B21.03-3.02%3.12%-7.63%-157.37%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IOSP
Innospec
87.18
-34.60
-28.41%
ASH
Ashland
49.59
-44.73
-47.42%
HWKN
Hawkins
133.05
44.53
50.31%
OLN
Olin
21.05
-27.33
-56.49%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
114.95
-55.80
-32.68%
SSL
Sasol
5.45
-1.29
-19.14%

Innospec Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Innospec Shareholders Approve Directors and Compensation
Positive
May 14, 2025

At the annual meeting of Innospec shareholders on May 9, 2025, three Class III directors were elected, and the advisory approval of the company’s executive compensation was passed. Additionally, the appointment of the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified, indicating shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (IOSP) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Innospec stock, see the IOSP Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Innospec Announces Dividend Increase and Share Buyback
Positive
May 9, 2025

Innospec Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a balanced performance amidst market volatility. The company experienced excellent growth in Fuel Specialties, which offset lower results in Performance Chemicals and Oilfield Services. Total revenues decreased by 12% compared to the previous year, with net income also declining. Despite these challenges, Innospec declared a 10% increase in its semi-annual dividend and initiated a $50 million share buyback, reflecting confidence in its financial stability. The company remains focused on delivering full-year operating income growth and margin improvement, although uncertainties related to tariff policies may delay progress in some areas.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.