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Ingevity (NGVT)
NYSE:NGVT

Ingevity (NGVT) AI Stock Analysis

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NGVT

Ingevity

(NYSE:NGVT)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(2.10% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened profitability and elevated balance-sheet risk from reduced equity, partially offset by a strong 2025 cash-flow rebound and an earnings-call narrative centered on margin improvement, deleveraging, and continued capital returns. Technicals are moderately supportive but not strongly bullish, and valuation is constrained by losses and no dividend signal.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
A strong free cash flow rebound in 2025 is a durable strength: sustained FCF gives the company flexibility to pay down debt, fund targeted capex, and continue buybacks. If maintained, improved cash conversion materially reduces refinancing and liquidity risk over coming quarters.
Segment Margin Resilience
Very high, stable margins in activated carbon (Performance Materials) reflect structural pricing power and technical differentiation. Durable margin strength in this core business underpins corporate cash flow and buffers cyclical auto or industrial demand shifts over the medium term.
Portfolio Simplification & Governance
Divestitures and board streamlining reflect a strategic shift toward higher‑margin specialty businesses. Simplifying the portfolio reduces earnings volatility, sharpens management focus on core assets, and should improve structural profitability and predictability over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Severely eroded equity and elevated leverage reduce the company's capital cushion and raise refinancing and covenant risk. Even with recent deleveraging, persistent high debt limits financial flexibility for investments or downturns and increases vulnerability to higher rates or weaker cash flow.
Revenue & Profit Decline
Multi-year top-line declines and GAAP losses signal structural demand or mix challenges in key end markets. Absent sustained revenue recovery, fixed costs and impairment risk remain elevated, making margin restoration and durable earnings recovery uncertain over the next several quarters.
Seasonality & Competitive Pressure
Concentrated seasonality and persistent pricing pressure in Road Markings amplify quarter-to-quarter volatility and compress margins. Strategic alternatives may address long-run fit, but near-term cash and operating results remain exposed to weather, competitive pricing, and concentrated seasonal demand.

Ingevity (NGVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ingevity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIngevity Corporation manufactures and sells specialty chemicals and activated carbon materials in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and South America. The company operates through two segments, Performance Materials and Performance Chemicals. The Performance Materials segment engineers, manufactures, and sells hardwood-based and chemically activated carbon products primarily for use in gasoline vapor emission control systems in cars, motorcycles, trucks, and boats. This segment also produces other activated carbon products for use in various applications, including food, water, beverage, and chemical purification. The Performance Chemicals segment comprises of pavement technologies, industrial specialties, and engineered polymers. It manufactures products derived from crude tall oil and lignin extracted from the kraft pulping process, as well as caprolactone monomers and derivatives derived from cyclohexanone and hydrogen peroxide. This segment's products are used in various applications comprising warm mix paving, pavement preservation, pavement reconstruction and recycling, oil well service additives, oil production, and downstream applications; and adhesives, agrochemical dispersants, lubricants, printing inks, industrial intermediates and oilfield, coatings, resins, elastomers, bioplastics, and medical devices. Ingevity Corporation was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in North Charleston, South Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyIngevity generates revenue through a diversified model that includes the sale of its specialty chemicals and engineered materials. The Performance Materials segment, which includes activated carbon and other materials, contributes significantly to revenue by serving industries such as automotive and air quality management. The Performance Chemicals segment focuses on products like adhesives and oilfield chemicals, catering to construction and energy sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers and industrial partners, as well as long-term contracts with major clients that ensure stable cash flow. Additionally, Ingevity's partnerships with companies in various sectors enhance its market reach and innovation, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Ingevity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial turnaround on a non-GAAP basis: strong margin expansion, double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, record free cash flow, significant deleveraging and resumed share repurchases. These positives are partially offset by an 8% decline in consolidated sales, a GAAP net loss driven by large noncash impairments totaling $337 million, continued APT and Road Markings headwinds (sales declines and price pressure), and increased seasonality after the Industrial Specialties divestiture. Management has provided a constructive 2026 outlook that conservatively assumes modest growth in margins and continued capital returns while excluding a one-time litigation payment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Total company adjusted EBITDA increased ~10% year-over-year to $398 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 500 basis points to 30.8%.
Adjusted Gross Profit and EPS Improvement
Adjusted gross profit rose 6.8% to $556 million, gross margin expanded by 610 basis points, and diluted adjusted EPS improved 30% to $4.55.
Record Free Cash Flow and Share Buybacks
Generated $274 million of free cash flow (highest in 5 years), a $220 million increase vs. 2024; used cash to repurchase ~$56 million (≈1 million shares) and resume buybacks with ~ $300 million remaining authorization.
Debt Reduction and Leverage Improvement
Reduced net leverage from 3.5x to 2.6x (nearly a full turn improvement), exceeding the prior target of below 2.8x and positioning to reach 2.0–2.5x in 2026.
Performance Materials Strong Margin Resilience
Performance Materials sales of $607 million were flat year-over-year despite lower auto production; segment EBITDA margin remained robust at 53.8% (expected to stay north of 50%).
Performance Chemicals Repositioning Benefits
Combined Performance Chemicals segment EBITDA increased by $45 million year-over-year; continuing operations EBITDA rose $7 million (12%); combined segment EBITDA margin expanded to 13.5% from 4% a year ago due to repositioning, lower raw material costs and improved logistics.
Operational Discipline in APT
Advanced Polymer Technologies (APT) achieved a strong EBITDA margin of 20% despite sales declining 15% and EBITDA falling 18%, supported by operating efficiency and favorable FX.
Completed Strategic Divestiture
Completed sale of North Charleston CTO refinery and majority of Industrial Specialties on Jan 1, 2026, which management says reduced portfolio volatility and strengthened profitability/cash flow.
2026 Financial Guidance and Capital Allocation
Guidance for 2026: adjusted EPS $4.08–$5.20, sales $1.1–$1.2 billion, adjusted EBITDA $380–$400 million, capex $40–$60 million, and expected free cash flow $225–$250 million (guidance excludes ~ $95 million pre-tax litigation payment). Company plans $300 million of share repurchases through 2027.
Strong Total Shareholder Return in 2025
Delivered 45% total shareholder return in 2025, highest among specialty chemicals peers and top quartile in Russell 2000 materials companies.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total company full year 2025 sales of $1.3 billion declined 8% versus 2024; Performance Chemicals sales declined by $86 million primarily due to Industrial Specialties repositioning and portfolio changes.
GAAP Net Loss and Large Non-GAAP Adjustments
Recorded a GAAP net loss of $167 million in 2025, which included $337 million of pretax special charges (notably a $184 million noncash goodwill impairment in APT and a $109 million noncash asset impairment in Road Markings).
Advanced Polymer Technologies Revenue and Profit Pressure
APT sales declined 15% year-over-year and segment EBITDA fell 18% due to tariff impacts, weak end-market demand (automotive, footwear, industrial), and competitive pressure in China (paint protective film).
Road Markings Competitive and Pricing Pressures
Road Markings continues to face price pressure from competition; although volumes grew slightly, pricing pressure weighed on margins and prompted management to initiate a sales process.
Increased Seasonality in Performance Chemicals
Following the Industrial Specialties divestiture, Pavement Technologies and Road Markings are highly seasonal (about 75% of sales and ~90% of annual EBITDA occur in Q2–Q3), increasing quarter-to-quarter volatility.
2026 Topline Guidance Below 2025 Sales
2026 sales guidance of $1.1–$1.2 billion implies a decline versus 2025 sales of $1.3 billion (roughly a mid-single-digit to low-teens percentage decline depending on the annual outcome).
Near-Term Cash Outflow Risk — Litigation Payment
Guidance excludes an expected ~ $95 million pretax litigation-related payment to BASF in Q2 2026, which will reduce free cash flow available that quarter.
Company Guidance
The 2026 guidance calls for adjusted EPS of $4.08–$5.20, sales of $1.1–$1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $380–$400 million (implying adjusted EBITDA margins in the low‑30s to mid‑30s), with capex of $40–$60 million and free cash flow of $225–$250 million (does not include an approximately $95 million pretax BASF litigation payment expected in Q2). The outlook includes a full year of APT and Road Markings (Industrial Specialties is excluded) and assumes Performance Materials sales will grow low single digits with margins consistent with 2025 (~54%), Performance Chemicals (including Road Markings) will grow mid single digits with mid‑teens EBITDA margins (Pavement Technologies longer‑term target ~18%), and APT will be flat to low single‑digit growth with margins around 20%. Management plans to use FCF to continue share repurchases toward a $300 million buyback program through 2027 (nearly $20 million repurchased in Q1) and expects to reach and maintain net leverage of 2.0–2.5x in 2026.

Ingevity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are strained: the income statement shows multi-year revenue declines and sustained losses, and the balance sheet reflects very high leverage due to sharply reduced equity. Offsetting this, cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 with materially improved operating and free cash flow, supporting liquidity despite GAAP losses.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Operating performance has weakened materially. Revenue declined for two straight years (down ~9% in 2025 vs. 2024 and down meaningfully in 2024 vs. 2023), and profitability deteriorated from solid positive margins in 2020–2022 to losses in 2023–2025. While gross margin improved in 2025 versus 2024, the company still posted negative earnings and negative operating profit in 2025, signaling that cost structure and/or non-gross costs remain a major headwind.
Balance Sheet
14
Very Negative
Leverage and equity erosion are the key concerns. Total debt remains high while equity collapsed to a very low level by 2025, driving debt-to-equity to an extremely elevated level and indicating a much thinner capital buffer. Returns on equity are negative in 2023–2025, reflecting both losses and reduced equity, which increases financial risk and limits flexibility if operating conditions remain pressured.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot. Operating cash flow and free cash flow improved significantly in 2025 versus 2024, with free cash flow showing strong growth and reaching a healthy absolute level. That said, cash flow coverage versus reported earnings remains imperfect given net losses, and earlier years (2023–2024) showed weaker conversion and more volatile free cash flow, so durability through the cycle is still a watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B1.41B1.69B1.67B1.39B
Gross Profit461.50M454.70M471.90M570.10M512.80M
EBITDA-150.30M-329.50M206.00M440.20M324.40M
Net Income-167.10M-430.30M-5.40M211.60M118.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B2.02B2.62B2.74B2.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.10M68.00M95.90M76.70M275.40M
Total Debt1.21B1.45B1.53B1.53B1.32B
Total Liabilities1.62B1.83B1.99B2.04B1.80B
Stockholders Equity29.70M195.20M631.40M698.30M673.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow273.50M51.00M95.30M170.90M189.50M
Operating Cash Flow331.20M128.60M205.10M313.40M293.30M
Investing Cash Flow-57.50M-79.50M-77.30M-551.90M-138.60M
Financing Cash Flow-252.20M-70.20M-99.90M48.10M-133.10M

Ingevity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price70.52
Price Trends
50DMA
66.41
Positive
100DMA
59.74
Positive
200DMA
54.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.41
Positive
RSI
51.35
Neutral
STOCH
22.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGVT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 70.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.73, above the 50-day MA of 66.41, and above the 200-day MA of 54.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NGVT.

Ingevity Risk Analysis

Ingevity disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingevity reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ingevity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.96B17.00-0.09%2.19%-4.49%-100.80%
63
Neutral
$2.18B-137.42-1.07%0.74%-2.53%-100.23%
62
Neutral
$2.74B-1,239.74-0.64%1.37%0.08%-107.33%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$1.19B25.633.67%3.33%5.35%-1.43%
59
Neutral
$2.93B-4.14-29.98%2.79%-13.67%-608.89%
56
Neutral
$2.56B-38.07-38.91%-13.39%88.25%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGVT
Ingevity
70.52
22.89
48.06%
ASH
Ashland
62.27
2.59
4.34%
IOSP
Innospec
77.58
-24.21
-23.78%
MTX
Minerals Technologies
71.09
3.31
4.88%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
148.13
11.31
8.26%
SCL
Stepan Company
51.33
-8.34
-13.98%

Ingevity Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ingevity Updates Segment Reporting and Reports 2025 Results
Negative
Feb 25, 2026

Ingevity said on Feb. 25, 2026, that it will change how it reports segment results beginning with its 2025 Form 10-K by removing corporate and other administrative costs from segment operating results to improve transparency. These costs, including executive, finance, legal and human resources functions and NYSE-related compliance expenses, are centrally managed and not directly tied to individual segments.

To support comparability, the company has recast and furnished unaudited segment operating results and adjusted EBITDA for continuing operations for full-year periods from 2023 through 2025 and for each quarter in 2024 and 2025, applying the new reporting treatment retrospectively. The change is intended to give investors and other stakeholders a clearer view of underlying segment performance and cost structure by separating corporate overhead from operating metrics.

In a separate Feb. 25, 2026, announcement, Ingevity reported 2025 results showing total net sales of $1.3 billion, including discontinued operations, down 8% year on year, with net sales from continuing operations of $1.2 billion, down 3%. The company posted a total net loss of $167.1 million, driven largely by $293.1 million in non-cash pre-tax special charges tied to Advanced Polymer Technologies and Road Markings, while total adjusted earnings reached $167.0 million and total adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $397.5 million.

From continuing operations, Ingevity recorded a 2025 net loss of $150.3 million, including $336.8 million of pre-tax special charges, but maintained adjusted EBITDA at $373.0 million with margin expanding to 31.9% and lifted diluted adjusted EPS by 1.7% to $4.13. Robust operating cash flow of $331.2 million and free cash flow of $273.5 million enabled net leverage to improve to 2.6 times and supported $56 million of share repurchases during the year.

Fourth-quarter 2025 net sales from continuing operations fell 3.2% to $255.1 million, with a net loss of $78.8 million and diluted loss per share of $2.21 driven by $109.3 million of non-cash special charges in Road Markings. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations declined 12% to $70.3 million, but the adjusted EBITDA margin remained solid at 27.6%, with diluted adjusted EPS of $0.58 and free cash flow of $73.5 million.

Segment performance was mixed, with Performance Materials delivering essentially flat full-year sales of $606.9 million and segment EBITDA of $326.3 million amid auto industry tariff uncertainty and supply chain disruption. Performance Chemicals continuing operations generated flat full-year sales of $400.5 million and 12.3% higher segment EBITDA of $60.3 million, as stronger pricing and mix in Pavement Technologies and dispersants offset competitive pressure in Road Markings and higher SG&A.

Advanced Polymer Technologies was the weakest segment, with full-year sales down 15% to $160.2 million and segment EBITDA down 18% to $32.1 million on softer demand from indirect tariff impacts, though operational efficiencies and favorable foreign exchange partially cushioned the decline. Strategically, Ingevity completed the sale of its North Charleston crude tall oil refinery and most of its Industrial Specialties product line, concluded a portfolio review, and began exploring strategic alternatives for Advanced Polymer Technologies and the Road Markings business line.

Management said the combination of disciplined execution, portfolio reshaping and strong free cash flow positions the company to enter 2026 with improved financial flexibility despite ongoing macro volatility. For 2026, Ingevity guided to net sales between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of about $380 million, underscoring a continued focus on building the business as a “premier specialty materials company” while navigating tariff and competitive headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ingevity Announces Board Transitions and Governance Streamlining
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

Ingevity Corporation announced on Feb. 23, 2026, that founding directors Daniel F. Sansone and Jean S. Blackwell will conclude their board service at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with Sansone retiring under the company’s age policy and Blackwell stepping down after a decade that included a stint as chair. The company emphasized that the departures are part of normal board refreshment, involve no disagreements, and that the board will be reduced from 11 to nine members after the meeting to better align governance with its streamlined organizational structure and portfolio optimization strategy.

Company leaders highlighted the pivotal roles Sansone and Blackwell played in guiding Ingevity since it went public in 2016, particularly through a period of significant transformation. The planned board resizing underscores management’s push for focus, discipline and long-term value creation, signaling tighter governance in step with recent operational streamlining and reinforcing confidence in the strategic foundation established under the departing directors’ oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ingevity completes sale of CTO refinery and assets
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 1, 2026, Ingevity amended its asset purchase agreement related to the sale of certain businesses by excluding non-lignin dispersant products sold for agricultural chemical applications from the asset package. On the same date, the buyer acquired substantially all assets and certain rights and liabilities tied to Ingevity’s industrial specialties product line—excluding specified businesses—and its North Charleston, South Carolina crude tall oil (CTO) refinery and related operations. On January 5, 2026, Ingevity announced it had completed the all-cash sale of its North Charleston CTO refinery assets and the majority of its Performance Chemicals Industrial Specialties product line to Mainstream Pine Products, LLC for $110 million at closing plus up to $19 million in contingent consideration, subject to post-closing adjustments. Management framed the divestiture as a pivotal move to simplify and streamline the portfolio, reduce earnings volatility, and strengthen margins and cash flow, while sharpening the company’s focus on higher-margin specialty applications in activated carbon and pavement technologies and retaining its Pavement Technologies business and other lignin-based dispersant products.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackM&A Transactions
Ingevity Completes Portfolio Review and Stock Repurchases
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Ingevity Corporation announced the completion of its portfolio review and the exploration of strategic alternatives for its Advanced Polymer Technologies segment and Performance Chemicals Road Markings business. The company aims to enhance its portfolio by potentially divesting these segments to focus on core businesses with superior margins and cash flow. Ingevity has also completed over $30 million in stock repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The strategic review is part of Ingevity’s efforts to build a more agile enterprise and maximize shareholder value, although it is uncertain if it will result in any transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ingevity Announces Leadership Changes Amid Strategic Review
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Ingevity Corporation announced significant leadership changes as part of its strategic portfolio review. Mary Dean Hall will transition from her role as CFO on May 1, 2026, with Phillip J. Platt appointed as her successor. Rich White, President of Performance Chemicals, will move to a special projects role before departing on May 1, 2026. Additionally, Reid Clontz has been appointed as Senior Vice President of Operations. These transitions are aimed at supporting Ingevity’s long-term growth and strategic priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ingevity Announces Asset Sale to Mainstream Pine
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Ingevity Corporation announced an Asset Purchase Agreement with Mainstream Pine Products, LLC to sell its industrial specialties product line and North Charleston crude tall oil refinery, marking a strategic shift for the company. This divestiture, expected to close by early 2026, will significantly impact Ingevity’s operations and financial results, as these assets are now classified as discontinued operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGVT) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ingevity stock, see the NGVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026