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Minerals Technologies (MTX)
NYSE:MTX
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Minerals Technologies (MTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MTX

Minerals Technologies

(NYSE:MTX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(15.45% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/03/26
MTX scores well on trend/momentum and a constructive earnings-call outlook with reiterated growth, margin improvement targets, and improving cash generation. The main constraints are financial-statement consistency concerns (recent loss/negative ROE noted and mixed cash conversion) and only moderate valuation support given the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Engineered supply / PCC satellite model
MTX's engineered-supply model (on-site/satellite PCC plants) creates durable, contractually anchored revenue with high customer switching costs. This capital-intensive, service-linked model provides multi-year visibility, steady utilization-based cash flow and better margin predictability versus spot commodity sales.
Negative Factors
Uneven profitability & negative ROE
Negative ROE and a 2025 net loss point to inconsistent translation of operating results into shareholder returns. Persistent uneven bottom-line performance can limit capital-return policies, constrain investor confidence and indicate earnings quality or one-off items that may repeat over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Engineered supply / PCC satellite model
MTX's engineered-supply model (on-site/satellite PCC plants) creates durable, contractually anchored revenue with high customer switching costs. This capital-intensive, service-linked model provides multi-year visibility, steady utilization-based cash flow and better margin predictability versus spot commodity sales.
Read all positive factors

Minerals Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Minerals Technologies (MTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Minerals Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Minerals Technologies Inc. develops, produces, and markets various specialty mineral, mineral-based, and synthetic mineral products, and supporting systems and services. The company operates through three segments: Performance Materials, Specialty...
How the Company Makes Money
Minerals Technologies makes money primarily by selling specialty mineral products and providing related services under long-term and spot customer arrangements across two main segments: 1) Consumer & Specialties (product sales to consumer/industr...

Minerals Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive operational and financial picture: broad-based double-digit revenue growth across segments, strong EPS and cash flow improvement, and clear evidence that recent growth investments are ramping and contributing (on track for the $100 million target). Challenges were primarily macro-driven—higher energy and freight costs, some margin timing lags, and soft pockets in residential construction and certain heavy equipment markets—but management has implemented pricing actions, surcharges, and expects to largely offset these headwinds through the year. Given the combination of durable product momentum, a healthy pipeline (notably FLUORO-SORB, cat litter, SAF purification and paper/packaging satellites), improved cash generation and a balanced guidance with potential upside, the overall tone is positive despite manageable near-term inflationary pressures.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 sales of $547 million, up 11% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially; underlying growth excluding favorable FX and extra days estimated at 5%–6%.
Negative Updates
Inflationary Headwinds—Energy and Freight
Rapid increases in energy and freight costs: incurred approximately $5 million of higher costs in Q1 (versus $2–3 million assumed); company forecasts $12 million of higher inflationary costs in Q2 on a YoY basis and expects a temporary ~$3 million operating income impact in Q2 due to pricing lags.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 sales of $547 million, up 11% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially; underlying growth excluding favorable FX and extra days estimated at 5%–6%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated mid-single-digit sales growth for full-year 2026, provided Q2 guidance of roughly $560 million in sales (about +6% YoY), ~ $80 million of operating income and EPS of $1.60–1.65, and said Q2 includes ~$12 million of incremental inflationary costs year-over-year with an expected temporary ~$3 million hit to operating income (pricing pass-throughs may lag up to 90 days). Q1 results were sales of $547 million (+11% YoY, +5% sequential), operating income of $68 million excl. special items (+7% YoY), EPS of $1.38 (+21%), cash from operations of $32 million (+$37 million YoY) and capex of $23 million; full-year capex is expected to be $90–100 million (potentially slightly higher), free cash flow targeted at 6–7% of sales, net leverage ~1.7x EBITDA, and management is tracking to ~14% operating margin for the year with >100 bps improvement from H1 to H2 toward a ~15% run rate.

Minerals Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability is solid and TTM results show a meaningful rebound, supported by positive operating cash flow and growing free cash flow. Offsetting this are uneven bottom-line consistency (including a 2025 loss), negative ROE cited in the balance-sheet analysis, and mixed cash conversion that can create quality-of-earnings risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.13B2.07B2.12B2.17B2.13B1.86B
Gross Profit529.50M506.60M535.60M494.40M452.30M435.90M
EBITDA386.20M392.00M393.40M278.10M307.30M345.10M
Net Income161.70M-18.40M167.10M84.10M122.20M164.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.47B3.47B3.39B3.35B3.40B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments321.30M332.60M337.10M321.50M252.80M304.40M
Total Debt966.20M1.05B1.02B1.07B1.12B1.08B
Total Liabilities1.70B1.72B1.61B1.66B1.79B1.79B
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.71B1.75B1.65B1.58B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow118.30M86.60M146.90M140.10M23.40M146.40M
Operating Cash Flow230.20M193.70M236.40M233.60M105.70M232.40M
Investing Cash Flow-130.40M-122.80M-94.50M-91.70M-101.60M-278.60M
Financing Cash Flow-96.50M-89.30M-110.40M-71.70M-34.10M5.60M

Minerals Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.76
Price Trends
50DMA
72.29
Positive
100DMA
70.10
Positive
200DMA
65.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.01
Positive
RSI
50.72
Neutral
STOCH
20.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.92, above the 50-day MA of 72.29, and above the 200-day MA of 65.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTX.

Minerals Technologies Risk Analysis

Minerals Technologies disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Minerals Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Minerals Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.92B14.888.54%2.19%0.25%325.27%
73
Outperform
$2.71B39.5830.23%1.87%4.23%-6.09%
71
Outperform
$2.37B14.589.55%0.74%2.50%
66
Neutral
$2.40B27.350.31%1.37%6.25%-94.37%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$2.35B10.51-156.14%-10.27%63.55%
54
Neutral
$2.50B39.79-37.54%2.79%-7.23%-594.66%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTX
Minerals Technologies
75.97
17.62
30.20%
ASH
Ashland
56.67
5.89
11.60%
IOSP
Innospec
79.05
-8.17
-9.36%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
136.27
32.01
30.70%
WDFC
WD-40 Company
204.17
-37.74
-15.60%
NGVT
Ingevity
66.50
24.12
56.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2026