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Minerals Technologies (MTX)
NYSE:MTX
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Minerals Technologies (MTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MTX

Minerals Technologies

(NYSE:MTX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(19.57% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/30/26
MTX scores 69 driven primarily by solid (but somewhat inconsistent) financial performance and constructive price/technical trend. Positive guidance and improving margin/cash flow outlook from the latest earnings call help. The score is held back by mixed cash conversion/earnings consistency and a notable legal overhang from the talc litigation reorganization and related reserve charge; valuation is reasonable but the dividend yield is low.
Positive Factors
Long-term customer contracts & on-site PCC production
Long-term, customer-specific PCC contracts and on-site production create durable revenue visibility and high customer switching costs. These arrangements tie MTX to customers operationally, support steady volumes and predictable cash flows, and act as a structural competitive barrier versus spot sellers.
Negative Factors
Talc litigation reserve and reorganization overhang
A $450M trust and a $290M reserve charge represent a structural capital drain and legal overhang. This materially alters available retained earnings, constrains cash earmarked for growth or buybacks, and keeps major uncertainty around liabilities and potential further funding needs until litigation issues are conclusively resolved.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Long-term customer contracts & on-site PCC production
Long-term, customer-specific PCC contracts and on-site production create durable revenue visibility and high customer switching costs. These arrangements tie MTX to customers operationally, support steady volumes and predictable cash flows, and act as a structural competitive barrier versus spot sellers.
Read all positive factors

Minerals Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Minerals Technologies (MTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Minerals Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Minerals Technologies Inc. is dedicated to the development, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of specialized mineral, mineral-based, and synthetic mineral products, complemented by related systems and services. The company's operatio...
How the Company Makes Money
MTX makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling mineral-based products and, in certain cases, by providing integrated on-site production services tied to customer operations. A major revenue stream is its paper-related business, where MTX s...

Minerals Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive operational and financial picture: broad-based double-digit revenue growth across segments, strong EPS and cash flow improvement, and clear evidence that recent growth investments are ramping and contributing (on track for the $100 million target). Challenges were primarily macro-driven—higher energy and freight costs, some margin timing lags, and soft pockets in residential construction and certain heavy equipment markets—but management has implemented pricing actions, surcharges, and expects to largely offset these headwinds through the year. Given the combination of durable product momentum, a healthy pipeline (notably FLUORO-SORB, cat litter, SAF purification and paper/packaging satellites), improved cash generation and a balanced guidance with potential upside, the overall tone is positive despite manageable near-term inflationary pressures.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 sales of $547 million, up 11% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially; underlying growth excluding favorable FX and extra days estimated at 5%–6%.
Negative Updates
Inflationary Headwinds—Energy and Freight
Rapid increases in energy and freight costs: incurred approximately $5 million of higher costs in Q1 (versus $2–3 million assumed); company forecasts $12 million of higher inflationary costs in Q2 on a YoY basis and expects a temporary ~$3 million operating income impact in Q2 due to pricing lags.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 2026 sales of $547 million, up 11% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially; underlying growth excluding favorable FX and extra days estimated at 5%–6%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated mid-single-digit sales growth for full-year 2026, provided Q2 guidance of roughly $560 million in sales (about +6% YoY), ~ $80 million of operating income and EPS of $1.60–1.65, and said Q2 includes ~$12 million of incremental inflationary costs year-over-year with an expected temporary ~$3 million hit to operating income (pricing pass-throughs may lag up to 90 days). Q1 results were sales of $547 million (+11% YoY, +5% sequential), operating income of $68 million excl. special items (+7% YoY), EPS of $1.38 (+21%), cash from operations of $32 million (+$37 million YoY) and capex of $23 million; full-year capex is expected to be $90–100 million (potentially slightly higher), free cash flow targeted at 6–7% of sales, net leverage ~1.7x EBITDA, and management is tracking to ~14% operating margin for the year with >100 bps improvement from H1 to H2 toward a ~15% run rate.

Minerals Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid but not pristine. Income statement strength (profitability rebound in TTM; ~24.9% gross margin and ~13.4% EBIT margin) is tempered by uneven bottom-line consistency (2025 net loss) and mixed earnings quality signals in cash conversion (FCF ~51% of net income; operating cash flow coverage below 1x), while leverage is manageable and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.56).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.13B2.07B2.12B2.17B2.13B1.86B
Gross Profit529.50M506.60M535.60M494.40M452.30M435.90M
EBITDA368.40M155.60M393.40M278.10M307.30M345.10M
Net Income161.70M-18.40M167.10M84.10M122.20M164.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.47B3.47B3.39B3.35B3.40B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments321.30M332.60M337.10M321.50M252.80M304.40M
Total Debt966.20M1.05B1.02B1.07B1.12B1.08B
Total Liabilities1.70B1.72B1.61B1.66B1.79B1.79B
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.71B1.75B1.65B1.58B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow118.30M86.60M146.90M140.10M23.40M146.40M
Operating Cash Flow230.20M193.70M236.40M233.60M105.70M232.40M
Investing Cash Flow-130.40M-122.80M-94.50M-91.70M-101.60M-278.60M
Financing Cash Flow-96.50M-89.30M-110.40M-71.70M-34.10M5.60M

Minerals Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price72.76
Price Trends
50DMA
76.44
Negative
100DMA
73.43
Positive
200DMA
67.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
40.43
Neutral
STOCH
20.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 72.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.96, below the 50-day MA of 76.44, and above the 200-day MA of 67.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MTX.

Minerals Technologies Risk Analysis

Minerals Technologies disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Minerals Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Minerals Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.01B17.788.68%2.19%0.25%325.27%
69
Neutral
$2.29B14.279.55%0.74%2.50%
69
Neutral
$3.25B40.9230.23%1.87%4.23%-6.09%
66
Neutral
$2.80B556.030.31%1.37%6.25%-94.37%
62
Neutral
$3.05B-4.35-37.54%2.79%-7.23%-594.66%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
$2.52B-20.74-156.14%-10.27%63.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTX
Minerals Technologies
73.78
15.25
26.06%
ASH
Ashland
66.69
14.78
28.47%
IOSP
Innospec
81.77
-5.28
-6.06%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
161.25
39.79
32.76%
WDFC
WD-40 Company
241.43
14.31
6.30%
NGVT
Ingevity
72.58
25.79
55.12%

Minerals Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Minerals Technologies Files Talc Litigation Reorganization Plan
Negative
Jun 29, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Minerals Technologies and certain affiliates filed a Plan of Reorganization in the Chapter 11 cases of subsidiaries BMI OldCo Inc. and related debtors in the Southern District of Texas, describing it as a viable and efficient pat...
Dividends
Minerals Technologies Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 20, 2026
On May 19, 2026, Minerals Technologies Inc.’s Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share on its outstanding common stock. The dividend is payable on June 18, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 2, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 30, 2026