tiprankstipranks
Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX)
NYSE:MTX

Minerals Technologies (MTX) AI Stock Analysis

97 Followers

Top Page

MTX

Minerals Technologies

(NYSE:MTX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
MTX’s score is driven primarily by stable cash generation and manageable leverage, but is held back by the 2025 profitability swing to a net loss and the negative P/E. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, while earnings-call guidance points to a potential 2026 improvement in growth, margins, and free cash flow despite meaningful near-term market, cost, and litigation risks.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating cash flow and a sharp FCF improvement in 2025 provide a durable buffer versus earnings volatility. Reliable cash generation supports ongoing growth investments, dividend and buyback capacity, and funds capital projects without requiring meaningful new external financing.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A swing to a net loss undermines demonstrated earnings power and return metrics, creating uncertainty about sustainable profitability. Even with cash flow intact, recurring operating issues or one‑off charges that erode net income can constrain reinvestment, stakeholder confidence, and long‑term return on capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating cash flow and a sharp FCF improvement in 2025 provide a durable buffer versus earnings volatility. Reliable cash generation supports ongoing growth investments, dividend and buyback capacity, and funds capital projects without requiring meaningful new external financing.
Read all positive factors

Minerals Technologies (MTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Minerals Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Minerals Technologies Inc. develops, produces, and markets various specialty mineral, mineral-based, and synthetic mineral products, and supporting systems and services. The company operates through three segments: Performance Materials, Specialty...
How the Company Makes Money
Minerals Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of specialty minerals and performance materials across its various business segments, including Paper, Energy Services, and Environmental. Key revenue streams include the productio...

Minerals Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Minerals Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and strategic progress (best-ever safety, record segment margins in Engineered Solutions, 19% of sales from new products, successful growth investments, strong liquidity and continued share returns) against material near-term headwinds (2% YoY sales decline, a ~100 basis point drop in operating margin, Consumer & Specialties profit pressure, softness in U.S. residential construction and foundry markets, and short-term cost pressures). Management provided constructive guidance and expects mid-single-digit company growth in 2026 as recent investments ramp, but several macro and timing risks remain.
Positive Updates
Strong Safety Performance
MTI achieved a world-class safety performance in 2025 — the best in company history — with continued progress toward eliminating workplace injuries.
Negative Updates
Modest Decline in Full-Year Sales
Full year sales were 2% lower than prior year (driven by $74 million of unfavorable volume and mix), and operating margin declined to 13.9% from 14.9% year-over-year (roughly a 100 basis point drop).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Safety Performance
MTI achieved a world-class safety performance in 2025 — the best in company history — with continued progress toward eliminating workplace injuries.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 sales and operating income to be similar to Q4 (Q4 sales $520M, operating income $67M, 12.8% margin), roughly 5% above prior year, with Consumer & Specialties forecast up mid‑single digits (Household & Personal Care mid‑ to high‑single digits) and Engineered Solutions mid‑single‑digit growth; management warned of $2–3M higher energy/mining costs in Q1 to be offset by pricing and productivity. For full‑year 2026 they expect mid‑single‑digit revenue growth, free cash flow of ~6–7% of sales, margins reverting toward ~15% as volume improves, about $50M of investment‑related revenue to flow in 2026 plus ~$20M of pricing (from a roughly $100M pipeline), commissioning of 6 MINSCAN units and ~10 FLUORO‑SORB installs, while maintaining >$700M liquidity, ~1.7x net leverage, ~$140M remaining share‑repurchase capacity and a balanced capital return posture (~50% of FCF).

Minerals Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the main support (solid operating cash flow and sharply improved/free cash flow in 2025) and leverage appears manageable, but profitability deteriorated materially with a swing to a net loss in 2025 and negative returns, creating uncertainty around underlying earnings power.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.07B2.12B2.17B2.13B1.86B
Gross Profit518.00M535.60M494.40M452.30M435.90M
EBITDA141.90M393.40M278.10M307.30M345.10M
Net Income-18.40M167.10M84.10M122.20M164.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.47B3.39B3.35B3.40B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments332.60M337.10M321.50M252.80M304.40M
Total Debt1.05B1.02B1.07B1.12B1.08B
Total Liabilities1.72B1.61B1.66B1.79B1.79B
Stockholders Equity1.71B1.75B1.65B1.58B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.60M146.90M140.10M23.40M146.40M
Operating Cash Flow193.70M236.40M233.60M105.70M232.40M
Investing Cash Flow-122.80M-94.50M-91.70M-101.60M-278.60M
Financing Cash Flow-89.30M-110.40M-71.70M-34.10M5.60M

Minerals Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.30
Price Trends
50DMA
69.70
Negative
100DMA
65.26
Positive
200DMA
62.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
49.87
Neutral
STOCH
76.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.67, below the 50-day MA of 69.70, and above the 200-day MA of 62.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTX.

Minerals Technologies Risk Analysis

Minerals Technologies disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Minerals Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Minerals Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.78B38.2134.72%1.87%4.98%30.84%
73
Outperform
$1.83B16.339.01%2.19%-4.49%-100.80%
63
Neutral
$2.15B-104.01-1.11%0.74%-2.53%-100.23%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$2.49B-56.41-33.65%2.79%-13.67%-608.89%
56
Neutral
$2.51B-12.82-127.78%-13.39%88.25%
54
Neutral
$2.09B-964.31-0.18%1.37%0.08%-107.33%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTX
Minerals Technologies
69.30
14.62
26.74%
ASH
Ashland
54.39
7.11
15.03%
IOSP
Innospec
73.79
-9.58
-11.49%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
120.57
20.28
20.22%
WDFC
WD-40 Company
206.18
-27.41
-11.73%
NGVT
Ingevity
71.09
39.36
124.05%

Minerals Technologies Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Minerals Technologies Board Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
On January 21, 2026, Minerals Technologies Inc.’s Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share on its common stock, payable on March 6, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026. The decision...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026