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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX)
NYSE:MTX

Minerals Technologies (MTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MTX

Minerals Technologies

(NYSE:MTX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(4.01% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by mixed financial performance—strong revenue and cash generation with manageable leverage, but weak TTM profitability and pressured margins. Earnings-call guidance is moderately positive with expected 2026 growth and margin recovery, while technicals are neutral-to-slightly supportive. Valuation is a key drag due to a negative P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
New-product adoption
Generating 19% of sales from recent product launches shows durable R&D effectiveness and commercialization capability. This broadens revenue sources, reduces reliance on legacy lines, and supports medium-term growth as new products scale and improve mix and margins.
Strong cash generation & liquidity
Consistent free cash flow and >$700M liquidity with modest net leverage provide financial flexibility for growth investments, R&D, and shareholder returns. Solid cash conversion supports resilience through cycles and funds capital projects with limited incremental financing risk.
High-margin Engineered Solutions
A large, high-margin Engineered Solutions segment provides structural profit resilience and competitive differentiation. Strong segment margins indicate pricing power and value-added products, which can sustain corporate profitability as lower-margin areas soften.
Negative Factors
Weak overall profitability
A trailing-net loss and negative ROE signal underlying profitability issues despite revenue strength. Persistent negative returns can limit reinvestment, hinder equity value creation, and require material margin recovery or structural changes to restore long-term shareholder returns.
Talc litigation uncertainty
Ongoing talc litigation and the unresolved 524(g) trust create sustained legal and balance-sheet uncertainty. Potential future settlements or trust funding could be material, constrain capital allocation, and prolong contingent liability risk until legal finality is achieved.
End-market cyclicality exposure
Significant exposure to cyclical industries (residential construction, foundry) leads to volume volatility and fixed-cost underabsorption. Structural softness in these markets can depress margins and make earnings more sensitive to macro cycles over the medium term.

Minerals Technologies (MTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Minerals Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinerals Technologies Inc. develops, produces, and markets various specialty mineral, mineral-based, and synthetic mineral products, and supporting systems and services. The company operates through three segments: Performance Materials, Specialty Minerals and Refractories. The Performance Materials segment supplies bentonite and bentonite-related products, as well as leonardite. This segment also offers metal casting products; household, personal care, and specialty products; and basic minerals, environmental products, and building materials. In addition, it provides products for non-residential construction, environmental, and infrastructure projects, as well as for construction and remediation project customers. The Specialty Minerals segment produces and sells precipitated calcium carbonate and quicklime; and provides natural mineral products comprising limestone and talc. This segment's products are used in paper and packaging, building materials, paint and coatings, glass, ceramic, polymer, food, automotive, and pharmaceutical industries. The Refractories segment offers monolithic and shaped refractory materials; specialty products, services, and application and measurement equipment; and calcium metal and metallurgical wire products that are used in the applications of steel, non-ferrous metal, and glass industries. The company markets its products primarily through its direct sales force, as well as regional distributors. It serves in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Asia. Minerals Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMinerals Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of specialty minerals and performance materials across its various business segments, including Paper, Energy Services, and Environmental. Key revenue streams include the production and distribution of precipitated calcium carbonate used in paper manufacturing, talc for the plastics and coatings industries, and various additives for construction and environmental applications. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with major players in its target industries, which provide a stable flow of income. Additionally, MTX invests in research and development to innovate new products and solutions that meet evolving customer needs, further enhancing its market competitiveness and revenue potential.

Minerals Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and strategic progress (best-ever safety, record segment margins in Engineered Solutions, 19% of sales from new products, successful growth investments, strong liquidity and continued share returns) against material near-term headwinds (2% YoY sales decline, a ~100 basis point drop in operating margin, Consumer & Specialties profit pressure, softness in U.S. residential construction and foundry markets, and short-term cost pressures). Management provided constructive guidance and expects mid-single-digit company growth in 2026 as recent investments ramp, but several macro and timing risks remain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Safety Performance
MTI achieved a world-class safety performance in 2025 — the best in company history — with continued progress toward eliminating workplace injuries.
Full-Year Sales and Profitability
Full year sales of $2.1 billion (roughly flat vs. 2024) with operating income of $287 million and adjusted earnings per share of $5.52 for 2025.
Engineered Solutions Record Performance
Engineered Solutions delivered record operating income of $163 million and record operating margin of 16.7% on full-year sales of $975 million; Q4 sales in the segment grew 2% year-over-year to $245 million.
New Product Adoption and Innovation
Sales of the newest products represented 19% of total sales in 2025 (the highest level on record), demonstrating strong product development and commercialization.
Targeted Growth Investments Driving 2026 Revenue
Investments (cat litter plant upgrades, bleaching earth expansion in Turkey, 3 paper/packaging satellites in Asia, expanded FLUORO-SORB installations) are expected to contribute materially to 2026 — management estimates roughly $50 million of the ~$100 million of expected incremental revenue will flow in 2026 and ~$20 million of pricing benefits.
Pet Litter Momentum
Cat litter sales showed improvement: Q4 pet litter sales rose 8% sequentially and were slightly above prior year; company secured significant new retail business expected to begin ramping in Q2 2026 (management cited ~$25M–$30M of new business wins).
FLUORO-SORB Traction
FLUORO-SORB continued commercialization momentum (full-year sales growth ~20% in 2025), with 10 new water utility installations scheduled in 2026 that will more than double current footprint and hundreds of active trials in the U.S. and Europe.
Prudent Capital Stewardship and Liquidity
Returned $73 million to shareholders (dividends + repurchases), maintain strong balance sheet with >$700 million liquidity and net leverage of 1.7x EBITDA; ~$140 million share repurchase authorization remaining; expecting full-year free cash flow in the 6%–7% of sales range for 2026.
Pricing and Inflation Offset
Selling price increases fully offset inflationary cost pressures in 2025 (including tariff impacts), with management expecting additional pricing (~$20M) to help offset near-term cost pressures in 2026.
Negative Updates
Modest Decline in Full-Year Sales
Full year sales were 2% lower than prior year (driven by $74 million of unfavorable volume and mix), and operating margin declined to 13.9% from 14.9% year-over-year (roughly a 100 basis point drop).
Consumer & Specialties Margin and Income Pressure
Consumer & Specialties full-year operating income fell to $134 million from $166 million in 2024 (a $32 million decline) driven by unfavorable volume/mix and reduced fixed cost absorption; Q4 segment operating income was $29 million, $9 million lower than prior year.
Softness in Residential Construction and North America Foundry
Pronounced slowdown in U.S. residential construction led to customer outages and reduced Specialty Additives volumes; North America foundry demand was weak due to sluggish agricultural equipment and heavy truck markets, with several permanent foundry closures announced for early 2026.
Lower Company Operating Margin and Q4 Impact
Q4 operating margin was 12.8% (operating income $67 million) and was negatively impacted by lower residential construction and foundry volumes, lower productivity and fixed cost absorption at certain plants, and temporary higher logistics costs tied to cat litter plant upgrades.
Free Cash Flow Below Peak and Elevated CapEx
Full year free cash flow was $87 million (cash from operations $194 million) with CapEx of $107 million — free cash flow recovered to ~7% of sales in Q2–Q4 but remained below earlier expectations for the full year; working capital was modestly elevated at year-end (FX and inventory timing effects).
Near-Term Cost Headwinds
Management expects $2 million–$3 million higher energy and mining costs in Q1 2026 vs Q4 2025 which will temporarily pressure margins, and some new Asian satellite assets carry higher depreciation that initially depresses operating margin in those regions.
Geopolitical and Market Volatility
Company cited a dynamic operating environment (geopolitical uncertainty, changing tariffs, softer market demand) that created volatility during 2025 and continues to pose execution risk in 2026.
Talc Litigation Uncertainty
Talc-related litigation remains ongoing; management stated existing reserves remain sufficient while they continue to work toward establishing a 524(g) trust, creating some legal/financial uncertainty until finality is achieved.
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 sales and operating income to be similar to Q4 (Q4 sales $520M, operating income $67M, 12.8% margin), roughly 5% above prior year, with Consumer & Specialties forecast up mid‑single digits (Household & Personal Care mid‑ to high‑single digits) and Engineered Solutions mid‑single‑digit growth; management warned of $2–3M higher energy/mining costs in Q1 to be offset by pricing and productivity. For full‑year 2026 they expect mid‑single‑digit revenue growth, free cash flow of ~6–7% of sales, margins reverting toward ~15% as volume improves, about $50M of investment‑related revenue to flow in 2026 plus ~$20M of pricing (from a roughly $100M pipeline), commissioning of 6 MINSCAN units and ~10 FLUORO‑SORB installs, while maintaining >$700M liquidity, ~1.7x net leverage, ~$140M remaining share‑repurchase capacity and a balanced capital return posture (~50% of FCF).

Minerals Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and solid free-cash-flow generation support the profile, and leverage appears manageable. Offsetting this, TTM profitability is weak (net loss and negative ROE) and margins have compressed versus prior periods.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Minerals Technologies has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 37.3%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is currently experiencing a negative net profit margin of -0.08%, indicating a net loss. The gross profit margin is stable at around 25%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined compared to previous years, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Minerals Technologies reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable at 0.58, indicating a balanced leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period, which is concerning. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting that the company maintains a strong equity base relative to its total assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trajectory with a 9.36% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting the impact of the net loss on cash flow metrics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.07B2.12B2.17B2.13B1.86B1.59B
Gross Profit526.20M535.60M494.40M452.30M435.90M396.10M
EBITDA169.80M393.40M278.10M307.30M345.10M279.90M
Net Income-1.60M167.10M84.10M122.20M164.40M112.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.46B3.39B3.35B3.40B3.37B3.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments328.30M337.10M321.50M252.80M304.40M371.80M
Total Debt977.70M1.02B1.07B1.12B1.08B995.10M
Total Liabilities1.75B1.61B1.66B1.79B1.79B1.71B
Stockholders Equity1.68B1.75B1.65B1.58B1.54B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.00M146.90M140.10M23.40M146.40M164.60M
Operating Cash Flow199.80M236.40M233.60M105.70M232.40M240.60M
Investing Cash Flow-112.20M-94.50M-91.70M-101.60M-278.60M-77.00M
Financing Cash Flow-80.70M-110.40M-71.70M-34.10M5.60M-44.70M

Minerals Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.30
Price Trends
50DMA
62.54
Positive
100DMA
61.14
Positive
200DMA
59.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Positive
RSI
59.35
Neutral
STOCH
32.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.26, above the 50-day MA of 62.54, and above the 200-day MA of 59.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTX.

Minerals Technologies Risk Analysis

Minerals Technologies disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Minerals Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Minerals Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.12B35.1336.41%1.87%4.98%30.84%
65
Neutral
$2.05B-131.04-1.07%0.74%-2.53%-100.23%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$2.80B-3.37-34.45%2.79%-13.67%-608.89%
59
Neutral
$2.37B-36.78-38.91%-13.39%88.25%
58
Neutral
$2.67B-308.62-0.64%1.37%0.08%-107.33%
54
Neutral
$2.02B-1,420.07-0.09%2.19%-4.49%-100.80%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTX
Minerals Technologies
67.30
-7.41
-9.92%
ASH
Ashland
61.56
2.47
4.18%
IOSP
Innospec
83.50
-25.55
-23.43%
KWR
Quaker Chemical
157.21
24.65
18.59%
WDFC
WD-40 Company
232.13
2.28
0.99%
NGVT
Ingevity
67.25
23.67
54.31%

Minerals Technologies Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Minerals Technologies Board Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Minerals Technologies Inc.’s Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share on its common stock, payable on March 6, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026. The decision to maintain this regular dividend underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to returning cash to shareholders and may signal confidence in its financial performance and cash flow stability following its 2024 global sales of $2.1 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTX) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minerals Technologies stock, see the MTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026