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Avient (AVNT)
NYSE:AVNT

Avient (AVNT) AI Stock Analysis

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Avient

(NYSE:AVNT)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲( 11.48% Upside)
Avient's overall stock score reflects stable financial health and consistent growth in key regions, balanced by valuation concerns and challenges in North America. Strong cash flow and proactive management strategies enhance its potential, although profitability pressures and market conditions present some risks.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
AVNT plans to pay down $100-200 million of debt by year-end due to strong expected free cash flow.
Innovation and Growth
A sustained innovation cycle could support a stretch target of EBITDA margins of 25%-30%, with potential share price implications.
Market Expansion
AVNT sees growth in packaging, defense, and healthcare markets as positive drivers.
Negative Factors
Economic Conditions
Concerns over end-market headwinds will likely overshadow improving mix near-term.
Foreign Exchange
FX headwinds are expected to be a $15MM headwind to EBITDA for the year.
Tax Rates
A higher than previously modeled tax rate is anticipated, impacting financial estimates.

Avient (AVNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avient Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvient Corporation (AVNT) is a global provider of specialized and sustainable material solutions, primarily serving the plastics and polymer industries. The company operates in sectors including healthcare, packaging, consumer goods, and transportation, offering a broad range of products such as color and additive systems, specialty engineered materials, and thermoplastic resins. Avient is committed to innovation and sustainability, focusing on developing materials that improve performance while reducing environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvient Corporation makes money through the manufacturing and sale of high-performance materials and solutions tailored to customer specifications across various industries. The company's primary revenue streams include sales of its color and additives products, specialty engineered materials, and distribution services. Avient benefits from its global reach, serving a diverse customer base that spans multiple sectors, which helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single market. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders enable Avient to leverage cutting-edge technologies and enhance its product offerings, further driving revenue growth. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and sustainability attracts customers seeking environmentally friendly solutions, contributing to its earnings.

Avient Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avient demonstrates stable revenue growth and improved profit margins, with a strong equity base and solid cash flow generation. The company effectively manages operational efficiency, reflected in improved EBIT and gross profit margins, although there is room for enhancing free cash flow.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Avient demonstrates stable revenue growth with a 3.11% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin improved to 32.60%, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin of 5.23% shows profitability, though there's room for enhancement. The EBIT margin increased to 10.16%, showing operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement indicates a robust performance with potential for further profit margin improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 reflects moderate leverage, which is manageable but should be monitored. Avient's return on equity improved to 7.27%, indicating efficient equity usage to generate profits. The equity ratio of 40.08% shows a strong equity base. While the balance sheet is stable, maintaining or improving equity levels could bolster financial strength.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow improved, showing a 27.38% increase, highlighting better cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 suggests a strong capacity to convert income into cash flow, though there is scope to enhance free cash flow growth. Overall, cash flow is solid but could benefit from further growth in free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.24B3.14B3.40B4.82B3.24B
Gross Profit
1.06B902.70M882.70M1.10B784.30M
EBIT
329.30M221.50M183.60M381.20M189.30M
EBITDA
510.10M391.40M427.20M472.90M352.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
169.50M75.70M83.10M230.80M131.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
544.50M545.80M641.10M601.20M649.50M
Total Assets
5.81B5.97B6.08B5.00B4.87B
Total Debt
2.15B2.14B2.24B1.93B1.95B
Net Debt
1.60B1.59B1.60B1.33B1.30B
Total Liabilities
3.48B3.63B3.73B3.21B3.17B
Stockholders Equity
2.33B2.32B2.33B1.77B1.68B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
134.90M82.20M292.90M133.20M157.90M
Operating Cash Flow
256.80M201.60M398.40M233.80M221.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-120.60M-94.20M-504.00M-150.20M-1.43B
Financing Cash Flow
-120.90M-201.70M166.40M-114.60M982.00M

Avient Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.88
Price Trends
50DMA
35.41
Positive
100DMA
38.49
Negative
200DMA
42.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
49.37
Neutral
STOCH
10.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.09, above the 50-day MA of 35.41, and below the 200-day MA of 42.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVNT.

Avient Risk Analysis

Avient disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avient reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Increased competition can negatively impact sales, earnings and cash flow performance. Q4, 2024
2.
Fluctuation of foreign currency exchange rates may adversely impact our financial results. Q4, 2024

Avient Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SXSXT
74
Outperform
$3.99B31.1011.87%1.75%6.30%41.01%
73
Outperform
$2.67B31.9019.47%0.55%6.01%12.38%
72
Outperform
$3.28B33.184.32%2.92%3.58%-5.17%
66
Neutral
$2.14B80.832.21%1.80%-7.91%-81.73%
FUFUL
65
Neutral
$2.97B27.626.35%1.65%0.99%-27.62%
OLOLN
58
Neutral
$2.25B38.482.94%4.10%-1.13%-81.74%
50
Neutral
$1.99B-1.06-21.34%3.71%2.03%-30.65%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNT
Avient
35.88
-7.67
-17.61%
FUL
H.B. Fuller Company
54.22
-23.13
-29.90%
HWKN
Hawkins
128.50
41.38
47.50%
IOSP
Innospec
85.58
-40.82
-32.29%
OLN
Olin
19.35
-32.99
-63.03%
SXT
Sensient Technologies
93.94
20.58
28.05%

Avient Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Avient Corporation demonstrated resilience through consistent organic growth, margin expansion, and strong performance in Asia and Latin America. However, challenges such as declining sales in North America and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts were noted. The company's focus on cost control and debt reduction indicates proactive management in navigating uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Organic Growth
Avient Corporation reported its fourth consecutive quarter of organic growth, with sales increasing by 2% and adjusted EPS growing by 4%, excluding foreign exchange impacts.
EBITDA Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 20 basis points to 17.5%, driven by cost management and operational efficiencies.
Strong Regional Performance in Asia and Latin America
Asia reported a 9% increase in organic sales, while Latin America achieved a 17% increase, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Healthcare and Defense Growth
Healthcare showed double-digit growth, and while the defense segment saw a 5% decline due to tough comparisons, it is expected to achieve high single-digit growth for the full year.
Cost Control and Debt Reduction
The company expects $30 million in savings from cost control initiatives and plans to pay down $100 million to $200 million of debt by year-end.
Negative Updates
US and Canada Sales Decline
Organic sales in the US and Canada declined by 3% due to weak demand in consumer and transportation markets.
Transportation Segment Challenges
The transportation segment faced double-digit declines in the US and EMEA, impacting overall sales.
Weak Consumer Demand in the US
The consumer market in the US saw double-digit declines in both staples and discretionary categories.
Impact of Unfavorable Foreign Exchange
The quarter was affected by unfavorable foreign exchange, impacting EPS by $0.03 per share.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Avient Corporation maintained strong performance with a 2% organic sales growth and a 4% growth in adjusted EBITDA, excluding foreign exchange impacts. Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 20 basis points to 17.5%, and adjusted EPS was $0.76, reflecting a 4% increase when excluding currency fluctuations. Regional performances varied, with Asia experiencing a 9% increase in organic sales, while Latin America saw a 17% rise, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. However, the US and Canada faced a 3% decline in organic sales due to weak demand in consumer and transportation markets. The company emphasized cost control and productivity initiatives, projecting $30 million in savings for 2025, and plans to reduce debt by $100 million to $200 million. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Avient's guidance for the year remains unchanged, expecting adjusted EBITDA between $540 million and $570 million and adjusted EPS between $2.70 and $2.94.

Avient Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Avient Elects Board and Approves Executive Compensation
Neutral
May 15, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 14, 2025, Avient Corporation announced the election of its board of directors for the upcoming year, with all nominees successfully elected. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive officer compensation and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNT) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avient stock, see the AVNT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.