tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Chegg Inc (CHGG)
:CHGG

Chegg (CHGG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,862 Followers

Top Page

CH

Chegg

(NYSE:CHGG)

46Neutral
Chegg's overall stock score reflects significant challenges, primarily driven by declining financial performance, negative income trends, and high leverage. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. Despite some strategic advancements highlighted in the earnings call, such as business diversification efforts, substantial revenue and subscriber declines, along with recent corporate events, weigh heavily on the stock's prospects.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
Progress on international localization efforts could expand Chegg's market reach and customer base.
Marketing Strategy
Chegg's diversifying marketing strategy in an evolving environment suggests adaptability and potential for growth.
Strategic Initiatives
Chegg has filed a complaint against Google and Alphabet and intends to explore strategic alternatives, which has the potential to unlock shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
AI-powered search engines contributed to non-subscriber traffic deteriorating significantly.
Financial Performance
1Q25 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA came in materially below consensus expectations.
Market Perception
Analyst recommendation changed from equal-weight to underweight.

Chegg (CHGG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chegg Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChegg, Inc. operates direct-to-student learning platform that supports students starting with their academic journey and extending into their careers with products and services to support and help them better understand their academic course materials. The company offers Chegg Services, which include subscription services; and required materials that comprise its print textbooks and eTextbooks. Its subscription services include Chegg Study, which helps students master challenging concepts on their own; Chegg Writing that provides students with a suite of tools, such as plagiarism detection scans, grammar and writing fluency checking, expert personalized writing feedback, and premium citation generation; Chegg Math, a step-by-step math problem solver and calculator that helps students to solve problems; Chegg Study Pack, a bundle of various Chegg Services product offerings, including Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, and Chegg Math Solver services, which creates an integrated platform of connected academic support services; Busuu, an online language learning solution that offers a comprehensive solution through a combination of self-paced lessons, live classes with expert tutors, and the ability to learn and practice with members of the Busuu language learning community; and Thinkful, a skills-based learning platform that offers professional courses along with networking, interviewing, and career services. The company also provides other services, such as Chegg Life, Chegg Prep, and Chegg Internships; provides personal and professional development skills training; and rents and sells print textbooks and eTextbooks. Chegg, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyChegg makes money through a subscription-based model, primarily driven by its Chegg Services, which include Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, and Chegg Tutors. These services offer students access to step-by-step textbook solutions, expert Q&A, plagiarism checks, and personalized tutoring. Additionally, Chegg generates revenue from textbook rentals and sales, both digital and physical. The company also partners with educational content providers and institutions to expand its offerings and reach. Subscription fees and rental transactions are the key revenue streams, with the majority of earnings coming from recurring subscription payments.

Chegg Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscribers
Subscribers
Monitors the number of active users subscribed to Chegg's services, indicating customer engagement, market reach, and potential for revenue growth through subscription fees.
Chart InsightsChegg's subscriber base has significantly declined from its peak in 2022, with a 21% drop in 2024 alone, largely due to Google's AI Overview impacting traffic. Despite integrating AI to reduce costs and launching successful marketing campaigns, these efforts have not offset the subscriber losses. The company is focusing on restructuring to achieve substantial savings and expand its enterprise offerings, but the ongoing legal challenge against Google underscores the severity of the competitive pressures it faces.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chegg Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chegg's financials indicate significant headwinds. The income statement shows declining revenues and profitability, while the balance sheet reflects high leverage and decreasing equity. Although cash flow from operations remains strong, the negative trends in profitability and equity raise concerns about financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Chegg's income statement reveals significant challenges. Both Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have deteriorated, with the latter turning negative in the most recent year. The Revenue Growth Rate has been negative over the last two years, indicating declining revenues. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins have turned negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a decrease in Stockholders' Equity and Total Assets over time. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio remains high, indicating significant leverage. The Return on Equity has turned negative, aligning with recent net losses. The Equity Ratio has decreased, reflecting a reduced proportion of equity in the company's asset base, suggesting higher financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chegg's cash flow presents a mixed outlook. Free Cash Flow has declined, but the company still maintains positive Operating Cash Flow. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high due to negative net income. Despite the challenges, the company's ability to generate cash from operations remains a positive aspect.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
617.57M716.29M766.90M776.26M644.34M
Gross Profit
436.65M490.35M569.50M521.36M438.92M
EBIT
-737.11M-67.72M109.99M12.63M56.75M
EBITDA
-607.43M183.80M105.79M86.77M127.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-837.07M18.18M266.64M-1.46M-6.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
315.72M330.01M1.06B1.55B1.15B
Total Assets
868.95M1.73B2.47B2.92B2.25B
Total Debt
504.46M617.90M1.20B1.69B1.53B
Net Debt
342.98M482.14M728.29M836.52M1.05B
Total Liabilities
675.97M782.62M1.35B1.81B1.64B
Stockholders Equity
192.98M944.62M1.12B1.11B609.63M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
50.25M163.15M152.64M179.04M155.13M
Operating Cash Flow
125.20M246.20M255.74M273.22M236.44M
Investing Cash Flow
11.35M268.67M104.89M-365.77M-732.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-109.14M-852.77M-744.80M466.72M588.63M

Chegg Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.90
Price Trends
50DMA
0.67
Positive
100DMA
1.07
Negative
200DMA
1.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
71.83
Negative
STOCH
90.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHGG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, above the 50-day MA of 0.67, and below the 200-day MA of 1.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CHGG.

Chegg Risk Analysis

Chegg disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chegg reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chegg Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.43B12.2831.14%1.26%140.30%
73
Outperform
$1.45B-10.84%7.26%39.62%
61
Neutral
$925.67M-36.29%58.34%-602.43%
61
Neutral
$1.05B-27.17%5.43%14.22%
60
Neutral
$11.59B10.39-7.23%2.94%7.46%-10.76%
DADAO
60
Neutral
$1.15B56.3225.15%-2.04%
46
Neutral
$95.54M-148.48%-19.69%-6735.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHGG
Chegg
0.90
-3.17
-77.89%
LAUR
Laureate Education
23.06
6.68
40.78%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
3.81
-4.37
-53.42%
DAO
Youdao
9.62
5.81
152.49%
COUR
Coursera
9.00
0.38
4.41%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
7.07
-3.01
-29.86%

Chegg Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 30.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Chegg's strategic efforts to diversify revenue and expand its business institution efforts, along with successful licensing agreements. However, significant revenue declines, restructuring with layoffs, and ongoing macroeconomic challenges suggest a difficult operating environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Q1 Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Chegg surpassed its revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q1 2025, generating approximately $16 million in free cash flow.
Expansion of Business Institution Effort
The business institution effort expanded from 5 to 15 pilots from Q4 to Q1, with a goal to reach 40 by the end of the year.
Successful Licensing Agreements
Chegg signed two agreements to license question-and-answer pairs to language model companies, generating $4 million in Q1 and expecting an additional $7 million in Q2.
Busuu Revenue Growth
Busuu, Chegg's language learning service, saw Q1 revenue increase by 7% year-over-year, with a 29% year-over-year revenue increase in its B2B business.
Chegg Skills Pilot Programs
Chegg Skills entered pilot programs with EdifyOnline and Noodle, focusing on AI programs to support a higher education initiative in India.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $121 million, a decrease of 30% year-over-year, with Subscription Services revenue declining 31%.
Restructuring and Layoffs
Chegg announced a restructuring plan, impacting 248 employees (22% of the workforce), with significant cost-cutting measures including closing offices in the US and Canada.
Ongoing Macroeconomic and Industry Challenges
Macroeconomic trends and industry challenges, including AI competition from companies like Google and OpenAI, continue to pressure Chegg's business.
Q2 Financial Outlook
Guidance for Q2 expects total revenue between $100 million and $102 million, reflecting continued financial pressures.
Company Guidance
During the Chegg First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a revenue of $121 million, a 30% decrease year-over-year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $19 million with a 16% margin. They generated approximately $16 million in free cash flow and executed two content licensing deals with leading tech companies, generating $4 million in Q1, with an expected additional $7 million in Q2. Chegg also announced a restructuring plan that will result in $45 million to $55 million in savings for 2025 and $100 million to $110 million in 2026, affecting 22% of its workforce. Despite these challenges, Chegg is optimistic about its new business initiatives, including the expansion of its business institution effort and licensing agreements, expecting Busuu to achieve $48 million in revenue in 2025 and be adjusted EBITDA positive by the first quarter of 2026. The company also plans to align costs with its business outlook amid macroeconomic pressures and ongoing industry challenges. For Q2, Chegg expects total revenue between $100 million and $102 million and gross margin to be in the range of 64% to 65%.

Chegg Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Chegg Announces Major Workforce Restructuring Plan
Negative
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Chegg announced a restructuring plan that involves reducing its global workforce by approximately 22%, impacting 248 employees, and other measures to streamline operations. This decision is in response to ongoing industry challenges affecting the business, such as a decline in traffic. The company expects to incur charges between $34 million and $38 million, primarily for employee transition and severance payments, with most charges anticipated by the fourth quarter of 2025. Chegg also negotiated an early termination of its Santa Clara headquarters lease, effective December 31, 2025, which will reduce lease obligations by $5.3 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHGG) stock is a Hold with a $3.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chegg stock, see the CHGG Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on CHGG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CHGG is a Neutral.

Chegg’s overall stock score of 45 reflects significant challenges. The primary concern is the declining financial performance with negative income trends and high leverage. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. Additionally, the earnings call highlighted substantial revenue and subscriber declines, while the NYSE delisting notice adds further risk. Despite some strategic advancements, these factors collectively weigh heavily on the stock’s prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on CHGG stock, click here.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Chegg Faces NYSE Delisting Notice for Low Share Price
Negative
Apr 4, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Chegg, Inc. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for non-compliance with the minimum share price requirement, as its average closing share price was below $1.00 over a 30-day period. The company intends to regain compliance within a six-month cure period, potentially through a reverse stock split, and will continue to trade on the NYSE during this time. Failure to comply could lead to suspension and delisting procedures.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.