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Gaotu Techedu (GOTU)
NYSE:GOTU

Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) AI Stock Analysis

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Gaotu Techedu

(NYSE:GOTU)

54Neutral
Gaotu Techedu's overall stock score reflects its robust revenue growth and strategic advancements in AI, which are offset by ongoing profitability challenges and weak cash flow. While the technicals suggest a neutral position, the valuation is constrained by negative earnings. Future profitability and operational improvements are essential for enhancing the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Product Diversification
Gaotu is executing a strategic pivot, diversifying its product portfolio while maintaining online education as its revenue mainstay.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Gaotu's 2QFY24 results underscore the company's struggle to reconcile aggressive expansion with financial viability, projecting a full-year net loss of approximately RMB1bn.
Profit Margin Pressure
The high school division faces margin pressure, with profitability expected to contract to ~15% from the previous 15-20% range, partly attributable to strategic discounting for new cohorts impacting near-term revenue.

Gaotu Techedu (GOTU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Gaotu Techedu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaotu Techedu Inc., a technology-driven education company, provides online K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. Its K-12 after-school tutoring courses cover various K-12 academic subjects, including mathematics, English, Chinese, physics, chemistry, biology, history, geography, and political science. The company also provides foreign language courses comprising English and Japanese, as well as English test preparation courses for students taking post-graduate entrance exams; and professional courses primarily for working adults preparing for professional qualification exams, such as teacher's qualification, the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, securities qualification exams, and other exams. In addition, it offers admission courses for admission tests, including national graduate entrance examination, civil service examinations, and others; and Gaotu App, an interactive learning app to various student groups. Further, the company provides other courses, including offline business consulting courses to enhance management skills for principals and other officers of private education institutions; and develops and sells smart devices, such as multi-function translation pen, as well as teaching and learning tools, which includes smart learning machine. The company was formerly known as GSX Techedu Inc. and changed its name to Gaotu Techedu Inc. in June 2021. Gaotu Techedu Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyGaotu Techedu makes money primarily through tuition fees charged for its online courses. The company offers different pricing plans based on the subject, grade level, and duration of the course. Revenue is primarily generated from the K-12 segment, where parents pay for their children to attend live online classes. In addition to K-12 tutoring, Gaotu may also offer courses for professional and vocational education, contributing to its revenue streams. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as student enrollment numbers, course pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies. Gaotu Techedu may also engage in partnerships or collaborations with educational content providers and technology platforms to enhance its offerings and expand its market reach.

Gaotu Techedu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gaotu Techedu shows strong revenue growth and maintains a stable balance sheet with low leverage, but profitability challenges persist as reflected in negative margins and cash flow issues. The company must focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gaotu Techedu has experienced significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with a revenue increase of 53.8%. However, the company remains unprofitable, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins. The net profit margin stands at -23.0%, and the EBIT margin is -25.9%. Although gross profit margins are healthy at 68.1%, the overall profitability is affected by high operating costs.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 33.2%, indicating a stable financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.25, reflecting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to ongoing losses, posing a risk to shareholder value. Cash reserves remain strong, supporting liquidity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Gaotu Techedu's cash flow position is weak, with zero free and operating cash flow reported for 2024. Despite improvements in operating cash flow in 2023, the lack of free cash flow growth and zero cash flow in the latest period raise concerns about the company's ability to generate cash from operations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.55B2.96B2.50B6.56B7.12B
Gross Profit
3.10B2.17B1.80B4.16B5.36B
EBIT
-1.18B-149.01M-118.05M-2.94B-1.76B
EBITDA
-1.13B-94.76M-47.30M-2.83B-1.70B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.05B-7.30M13.17M-3.10B-1.39B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.17B2.89B3.74B3.50B7.69B
Total Assets
5.83B5.41B4.88B5.02B10.69B
Total Debt
492.24M188.15M82.52M356.05M796.76M
Net Debt
-828.87M-447.91M-737.39M-372.89M441.54M
Total Liabilities
3.89B2.31B1.78B2.14B4.96B
Stockholders Equity
1.93B3.11B3.10B2.88B5.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.00312.90M243.88M-4.46B319.20M
Operating Cash Flow
0.00353.70M373.74M-4.19B603.27M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-423.98M-1.09B4.81B-5.60B
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-90.48M0.00-100.61M5.27B

Gaotu Techedu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.25
Price Trends
50DMA
3.13
Positive
100DMA
2.71
Positive
200DMA
3.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
63.12
Neutral
STOCH
96.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOTU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.83, above the 50-day MA of 3.13, and above the 200-day MA of 3.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GOTU.

Gaotu Techedu Risk Analysis

Gaotu Techedu disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gaotu Techedu reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gaotu Techedu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.08B10.6330.98%5.55%185.01%
73
Outperform
$1.36B-10.84%7.26%39.62%
EDEDU
72
Outperform
$8.07B20.5910.36%18.73%26.72%
61
Neutral
$1.02B-30.77%7.91%22.07%
59
Neutral
$10.75B10.37-6.64%3.00%7.30%-12.02%
DADAO
54
Neutral
$1.04B91.5625.15%3.01%
54
Neutral
$789.62M-41.45%51.50%-70812.50%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
3.25
-3.95
-54.86%
EDU
New Oriental Education Tech
48.88
-31.24
-38.99%
LAUR
Laureate Education
20.64
6.41
45.05%
DAO
Youdao
8.67
5.11
143.54%
COUR
Coursera
8.41
-1.12
-11.75%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
6.42
-3.47
-35.09%

Gaotu Techedu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 28.46%|
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and strategic advancements in AI integration. Despite increased operating expenses and a net loss, the company shows a robust cash position and expects profitability in the next quarter.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 82.5% year-over-year to nearly RMB 1.4 billion, with gross billings up by 69.0% to over RMB 2.1 billion.
Improved Profitability
Loss from operations narrowed by 20.6% with operating margin improving by 13.9 percentage points. Net operating cash inflow was RMB 783.6 million.
AI Integration and Technological Advancements
Breakthroughs in cognitive reasoning with AGI technologies like DeepSeek, enhancing learning effectiveness and boosting organizational performance.
High Retention Rates
Improvement in retention rates for new enrollments in both nonacademic tutoring and traditional learning services.
Strong Cash Position
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, short and long-term investments totaled RMB 4.1 billion as of December 31, 2024.
Share Buyback
Allocated nearly US$47.5 million for share buybacks, including over 8.1 million ADS bought back for US$28.8 million in 2024.
Projected Profitability in Q1 2025
Confident in achieving profitability at the net profit level in Q1 2025 while maintaining fast revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses Increase
Total operating expenses increased 52.2% year-over-year to approximately RMB 1.1 billion.
Net Loss
Net loss was RMB 135.8 million, and the net income margin was negative 9.8%.
Company Guidance
During Gaotu Techedu's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. The company reported a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 82.5% for the quarter, reaching nearly RMB 1.4 billion, with gross billings up by 69.0% to over RMB 2.1 billion. Operating margins improved by 13.9 percentage points, narrowing the loss from operations by 20.6%. The company's strategic focus on AI integration was highlighted as a key driver of enhanced learning experiences and operational efficiency. Looking forward to the first quarter of 2025, Gaotu expects revenues between RMB 1,408 million and RMB 1,428 million, representing a 48.7% to 50.8% increase year-over-year, while also aiming to achieve profitability at the net profit level. The company's strong cash position, with cash and investments totaling RMB 4.1 billion, supports its strategic initiatives and long-term growth plans.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.