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Udemy, Inc. (UDMY)
:UDMY

Udemy Inc (UDMY) AI Stock Analysis

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Udemy Inc

(NASDAQ:UDMY)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(8.99%Upside)
Udemy's stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive corporate developments, indicating potential for future growth. However, ongoing unprofitability and valuation concerns temper the outlook. The stock shows mixed technical signals, suggesting a cautious approach.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Udemy reported solid Q1 results, with both revenue and profitability coming in ahead of expectations.
Strategic Partnerships
The company is in the process of expanding Udemy access across its entire organization, which could lead to a significant multi-year deal.
Technological Advancements
Management is focusing on enhancing AI-powered capabilities, which includes launching new products like Career Accelerators and AI-driven role-plays, indicating a strategic investment in technology.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Competition from platforms like LinkedIn Learning has closed the gap with Udemy, offering cheaper proposals.
Consumer Segment Challenges
Most of the revenue outlook reduction is directed towards the consumer segment due to an increased level of uncertainty related to recent geopolitical developments, particularly in NA and EMEA.
Revenue Outlook
Udemy lowered its FY25 revenue outlook as it takes a more conservative approach given macro uncertainty.

Udemy Inc (UDMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Udemy Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUdemy, Inc. operates a marketplace platform for teaching and learning skills in the United States and internationally. The company offers technical and business skills, and personal development courses for individual learners and enterprise customers. Its platform provides 49 million learners with access to approximately 180,000 courses through direct-to-consumer or Udemy Business offerings in approximately 75 languages. The company's courses offer learning objectives, such as reskilling or upskilling in technology and business, and soft skills, as well as learners receive access to interactive learning tools comprising quizzes, exercises, and instructor questions-and-answers. Udemy, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUdemy makes money primarily through course sales on its platform, where it charges students a fee to access individual courses. The company operates on a revenue-sharing model with instructors, taking a percentage of each course sale. Additionally, Udemy offers a subscription service called Udemy Business, which is designed for organizations and institutions to provide their employees or members with unlimited access to a curated selection of courses for a recurring subscription fee. This B2B offering represents a significant revenue stream for the company. Udemy also engages in various promotional activities and partnerships with educational institutions and enterprises to expand its reach and course offerings, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Udemy Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Udemy reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with notable achievements in revenue growth, consumer subscriptions, and AI innovations. However, the company faces challenges in the consumer segment and geopolitical uncertainties, leading to a conservative outlook for the second half of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Udemy surpassed the high end of its guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025, demonstrating strong financial performance.
Consumer Subscription Revenue Growth
Consumer subscription revenue rose nearly 40% year-over-year, representing 13% of the consumer segment's total revenue.
Udemy Business Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
Udemy Business ARR reached $519 million, up 8% from the previous year, and ARR from large customers increased by 9%.
High Margin and Cost Efficiency
Udemy Business segment achieved a gross margin of 75%, up 300 basis points from the year prior, driven by reduced content and customer success costs.
Strategic AI Developments
Udemy is focusing on AI innovation, including AI-powered capabilities that reduce program creation time by 80% and launching AI-assisted role play on its platform.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consumer Segment Revenue
Consumer segment revenue was down 8% year-over-year, impacted by a negative three percentage point from FX.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Increased geopolitical developments and mixed economic signals in North America and EMEA contributed to a cautious spending environment.
Prudent Outlook for Second Half 2025
Due to external uncertainties, Udemy provided a conservative outlook for the second half of 2025, expecting a slight 50 basis point year-over-year decline in full-year revenue.
Company Guidance
During Udemy's First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported surpassing $200 million in quarterly revenue for the first time and exceeding the high end of guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The revenue for Udemy Business reached $128 million, marking a 9% year-over-year increase, and the Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) hit $519 million, up 8% from the previous year. The company also saw a 40% year-over-year increase in consumer subscription revenue. The gross margin for Udemy Business improved by 300 basis points to 75%, contributing to a total company gross margin of 65%, which is an improvement of 300 basis points from Q1 2024. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Udemy raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA expectations to between $77 and $87 million, highlighting a commitment to operational efficiency and strategic cost management.

Udemy Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Udemy has shown consistent revenue growth and improving cash flows, albeit remaining unprofitable with narrowing losses. The stable gross profit margin and strong cash position are positive, but the declining equity ratio and continued net losses are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Udemy's revenue has demonstrated consistent growth, rising from $429.9 million in 2020 to $790 million in TTM 2025. Despite this growth, the company remains unprofitable, with persistent negative EBIT and net income, although losses have been narrowing. Gross profit margin has been stable, around 63%, indicating efficient cost management in providing educational services.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a strong cash position with substantial cash reserves exceeding debt, resulting in negative net debt. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited leverage. However, the equity ratio has been declining, from 53% in 2021 to 33% in TTM 2025, which could indicate increasing liabilities relative to equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flows have improved, with operating cash flow turning positive in recent periods. Free cash flow has also increased, showing a positive trajectory. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to reported losses. However, the reliance on financing activities in earlier periods highlights a need for sustained operational improvements.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
790.02M786.57M728.94M629.10M518.16M429.90M
Gross Profit
500.59M491.94M419.34M353.78M282.13M220.65M
EBIT
-71.09M-89.33M-121.89M-151.19M-75.41M-73.38M
EBITDA
-53.48M-89.33M-78.53M-129.97M-63.53M-62.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-68.72M-85.29M-107.29M-153.88M-77.53M-77.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
357.01M354.44M476.94M465.37M533.87M175.03M
Total Assets
638.99M605.63M741.20M737.57M739.85M282.10M
Total Debt
9.87M10.82M6.95M13.55M0.000.00
Net Debt
-179.75M-179.78M-298.62M-300.14M-533.87M-175.03M
Total Liabilities
429.63M408.23M384.30M398.26M347.65M542.78M
Stockholders Equity
209.36M197.39M356.89M339.31M392.20M-260.69M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
30.59M50.74M-15.07M-76.68M-25.31M-4.91M
Operating Cash Flow
44.28M53.04M-2.00M-60.96M-7.10M9.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.57M1.08M-24.97M-173.23M-52.69M-14.54M
Financing Cash Flow
-111.19M-171.75M19.20M14.76M418.63M131.09M

Udemy Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.34
Price Trends
50DMA
6.87
Positive
100DMA
7.69
Negative
200DMA
7.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
47.25
Neutral
STOCH
18.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UDMY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.28, above the 50-day MA of 6.87, and below the 200-day MA of 7.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UDMY.

Udemy Inc Risk Analysis

Udemy Inc disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Udemy Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Udemy Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UTUTI
78
Outperform
$1.78B31.8321.81%14.69%188.00%
73
Outperform
$1.39B-10.84%7.26%39.62%
71
Outperform
$1.09B-27.17%5.43%14.22%
66
Neutral
$469.75M27.098.18%4.86%
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.48-7.50%2.95%7.40%-8.18%
61
Neutral
$969.40M-36.29%58.34%-602.43%
DADAO
60
Neutral
$1.07B51.5225.15%-2.04%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UDMY
Udemy Inc
7.15
-1.16
-13.96%
APEI
American Public Education
27.26
10.85
66.12%
UTI
Universal Technical Institute
33.01
19.17
138.51%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
3.99
-0.99
-19.88%
DAO
Youdao
8.73
5.02
135.31%
COUR
Coursera
8.50
1.85
27.82%

Udemy Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Udemy Announces Leadership Changes to Drive AI Growth
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Udemy announced leadership changes with Eren Bali transitioning from Chief Technology Officer to Head of Innovation, focusing on product vision and AI advancement. Ozzie Goldschmied was appointed as the new Chief Technology Officer to lead Udemy’s transformation into an AI-powered platform. These changes aim to accelerate Udemy’s growth and enhance its positioning as a leader in AI-driven skills development, leveraging Bali’s innovative focus and Goldschmied’s extensive industry experience.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDMY) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Udemy Inc stock, see the UDMY Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Udemy Secures $200M Credit Facility for Growth
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Udemy announced the closing of a new $200 million senior secured revolving credit facility, enhancing its financial flexibility to support long-term strategic growth initiatives. The facility, which matures on May 30, 2030, remains undrawn at closing, and Udemy enters the agreement with no outstanding debt and a robust liquidity profile. This financial move positions Udemy to accelerate its AI innovation roadmap and pursue high-ROI growth initiatives, reinforcing its leadership in the global workforce skills development market.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDMY) stock is a Sell with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Udemy Inc stock, see the UDMY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.