tiprankstipranks
Udemy, Inc. (UDMY)
NASDAQ:UDMY

Udemy Inc (UDMY) AI Stock Analysis

408 Followers

Top Page

UDMY

Udemy Inc

(NASDAQ:UDMY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-4.05% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is primarily supported by improving financial performance (notably strong TTM free cash flow and low leverage) and positive merger-related developments. It is held back by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and an expensive valuation (very high P/E), which increases downside risk if revenue contraction persists.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (~$88M and $73M TTM) indicates the business now generates internal funding for operations and investments, reducing reliance on external financing and supporting strategic initiatives or integration costs over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
Trailing revenue contraction signals weakness in customer acquisition or engagement; with thin operating margins, sustained top-line decline would pressure profitability and make it harder to fund growth or integration priorities without cutting investment or eroding unit economics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow (~$88M and $73M TTM) indicates the business now generates internal funding for operations and investments, reducing reliance on external financing and supporting strategic initiatives or integration costs over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Udemy Inc (UDMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Udemy Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Udemy, Inc. operates a marketplace platform for teaching and learning skills in the United States and internationally. The company offers technical and business skills, and personal development courses for individual learners and enterprise custom...
How the Company Makes Money
Udemy generates revenue primarily from two streams: (1) its consumer marketplace and (2) its enterprise offering, Udemy Business. In the consumer marketplace, Udemy sells individual course enrollments to learners (often at promotional prices) and ...

Udemy Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Enterprise Segment Net Dollar Retention
Enterprise Segment Net Dollar Retention
Indicates the ability to retain and grow revenue from existing enterprise customers, showcasing customer satisfaction and upsell success.
Chart InsightsUdemy's Enterprise Segment Net Dollar Retention has been on a downward trend, reflecting challenges in renewing COVID-19 era contracts and a focus on larger customers. Despite this, the company is experiencing strong growth in its Udemy Business segment, driven by strategic partnerships and AI initiatives. While retention rates are declining, the company's shift towards high-value deals and new revenue streams, such as programmatic advertising, suggests a strategic pivot to stabilize and potentially reverse this trend.
Data provided by:The Fly

Udemy Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in subscription revenue and strategic partnerships, indicating a successful pivot to a subscription-first model. However, short-term challenges include declines in Consumer segment revenue and retention rate pressures due to legacy contracts. Overall, Udemy is positioned for long-term growth, but is currently navigating transitional challenges.
Positive Updates
Subscription Revenue Growth
Consolidated subscription revenue grew by 8% year-over-year and now comprises 74% of total revenue, indicating strong momentum in Udemy's strategic pivot to a subscription-first model.
Negative Updates
Consumer Segment Revenue Decline
Despite the growth in subscriptions, the Consumer segment's revenue is expected to decline by about 9% for the full year 2025.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Subscription Revenue Growth
Consolidated subscription revenue grew by 8% year-over-year and now comprises 74% of total revenue, indicating strong momentum in Udemy's strategic pivot to a subscription-first model.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In Udemy's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted significant progress in subscription revenue growth, achieving an 8% year-over-year increase, which now constitutes 74% of total revenue. The Udemy Business segment saw a 5% rise in revenue, generating $7 million in net new annual recurring revenue (ARR), while the Consumer segment reported a 43% year-over-year growth in subscription revenue, surpassing its full-year paid subscribers target. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 12%, up from 6% the previous year, with a GAAP net income of $2 million. Udemy's strategic pivot to a subscription-first model is expected to sustain high-single-digit growth in consolidated subscription revenue for 2025, with anticipated double-digit growth in 2026. The company is also investing in AI and partnerships to enhance its platform, focusing on skill acquisition, mastery, and validation to support both enterprise and individual learners.

Udemy Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals with strong positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM, better gross margins (~65%), and low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05). Offsetting this, TTM revenue is contracting and operating profitability remains thin/near break-even, keeping execution risk elevated.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue789.84M786.57M728.94M629.10M515.66M
Gross Profit518.41M491.94M419.34M353.78M279.63M
EBITDA33.70M-89.33M-78.53M-129.12M-63.33M
Net Income3.81M-85.29M-107.29M-153.88M-80.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets617.70M605.63M741.20M737.57M739.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments358.74M354.44M476.94M465.37M534.61M
Total Debt10.23M10.82M6.95M13.55M0.00
Total Liabilities407.24M408.23M384.30M398.26M350.15M
Stockholders Equity210.46M197.39M356.89M339.31M389.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.42M38.27M-15.07M-76.68M-25.31M
Operating Cash Flow86.22M53.04M-2.00M-60.96M-7.10M
Investing Cash Flow20.63M1.08M-24.97M-173.23M-52.69M
Financing Cash Flow-67.03M-171.75M19.20M14.76M418.63M

Udemy Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.69
Price Trends
50DMA
4.75
Positive
100DMA
5.05
Negative
200DMA
5.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
52.33
Neutral
STOCH
42.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UDMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.62, below the 50-day MA of 4.75, and below the 200-day MA of 5.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UDMY.

Udemy Inc Risk Analysis

Udemy Inc disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Udemy Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Udemy Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.41B10.3516.24%<0.01%3.48%12.63%
67
Neutral
$973.55M-23.64-8.12%8.10%43.35%
64
Neutral
$4.79B16.286.53%0.65%4.13%228.37%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$672.76M227.741.74%2.53%95.79%
55
Neutral
$1.15B77.54-5.25%-1.51%155.73%
41
Neutral
$465.22M-18.93-20.60%48.81%61.64%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UDMY
Udemy Inc
4.75
-1.36
-22.26%
GHC
Graham Holdings
1,136.43
228.17
25.12%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
1.93
-0.76
-28.25%
AFYA
Afya
15.46
-1.76
-10.21%
DAO
Youdao
9.82
2.11
27.37%
COUR
Coursera
5.94
-1.08
-15.38%

Udemy Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Udemy Shareholders Approve Merger Agreement With Coursera
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
On December 17, 2025, Udemy, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Coursera, Inc. and Chess Merger Sub, Inc., under which Merger Sub will merge with and into Udemy, resulting in Udemy becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Coursera. On April 9,...
Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Udemy Issues Supplemental Disclosures on Coursera Merger Deal
Neutral
Mar 31, 2026
On December 17, 2025, Udemy agreed to merge with Coursera in an all-stock transaction that would make Udemy a wholly owned subsidiary of Coursera, and a related registration statement and joint proxy statement/prospectus became effective on March ...
M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Udemy-Coursera Merger Clears Key FTC Regulatory Hurdle
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
Udemy, Inc., a leading online learning platform, previously agreed on December 17, 2025, to merge with rival Coursera, Inc. in an all-stock transaction that would combine two of the largest players in digital education and expand their scale in th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026