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Coursera (COUR)
NYSE:COUR

Coursera (COUR) AI Stock Analysis

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COUR

Coursera

(NYSE:COUR)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(8.42% Upside)
Coursera's overall score reflects strong financial and strategic developments, including revenue growth and a promising merger with Udemy. However, technical indicators and valuation concerns weigh down the score. The positive earnings call and corporate events provide a boost, but profitability challenges remain a key risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Merger
The merger with Udemy is expected to enhance Coursera's market position, expand its global reach, and drive innovation, providing long-term growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Improvements
Improved cash flow reflects operational discipline and financial health, enabling investment in growth initiatives and enhancing resilience.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability metrics indicate potential challenges in achieving sustainable earnings, which could impact long-term financial performance.
Enterprise Segment Challenges
Sluggish growth in the Enterprise segment suggests difficulties in expanding business-to-business solutions, potentially limiting revenue diversification.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can create uncertainty and may impact strategic execution, affecting the company's ability to maintain growth momentum.

Coursera (COUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coursera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoursera Inc. is a leading online learning platform that offers access to a wide range of courses, specializations, and degrees from top universities and organizations worldwide. Founded in 2012, the company operates in the education technology sector, providing learners with flexible, affordable, and accessible educational content across various disciplines. Core products include individual courses, professional certificates, and full degree programs, aimed at both individuals looking to enhance their skills and organizations seeking to upskill their workforce.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoursera generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily consisting of course fees, subscription models, and enterprise solutions. Individual learners can pay for courses or enroll in subscription plans that provide access to a broader range of content. Additionally, Coursera collaborates with universities and organizations to offer degree programs, which contribute significant revenue through tuition fees. The company also leverages a business-to-business (B2B) model by providing tailored learning solutions to enterprises seeking to train their employees, thus expanding its revenue base. Strategic partnerships with universities and industry leaders enhance course offerings and attract more users, further driving revenue growth.

Coursera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and success in the Consumer segment, driven by new partnerships, product innovation, and operational discipline. However, the Enterprise segment faced challenges with muted growth and a declining net retention rate. The overall sentiment reflects a positive outlook for the Consumer segment with caution in the Enterprise segment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Consumer Segment Success
Coursera reported a strong Q3 with a revenue of $194 million, up 10% year-over-year. The Consumer segment revenue grew by 13% driven by 7.7 million new registered learners and the success of Coursera Plus.
Increased Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Coursera raised its full-year revenue expectations to a range of $750 million to $754 million, representing 8% to 9% growth from the prior year. This is an increase from the previous guidance of 4% growth.
Operational Discipline and Free Cash Flow
The company generated $27 million in free cash flow, an increase of 59% from the prior year, demonstrating operational discipline.
Expansion of AI and Content Catalog
Coursera's catalog grew by 44% year-over-year, now offering over 12,000 courses. The company also doubled its GenAI course catalog, now featuring over 1,000 courses with 14 enrollments per minute.
Partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic
Coursera became the first online learning platform to be embedded directly in ChatGPT and announced a content partnership with AI research company Anthropic.
Negative Updates
Muted Enterprise Environment
The Enterprise segment showed limited growth with a revenue increase of only 6% year-over-year. The net retention rate dropped to 89%, indicating a challenging corporate spending environment.
Challenges in Government Segment
The Coursera for Government vertical faced challenges, contributing to the muted overall Enterprise performance.
Seasonality Impact
Q4 revenue guidance reflects a seasonal decline, with anticipated growth of 5% to 8% year-over-year, lower than the growth in Q3.
Company Guidance
In its Q3 2025 earnings call, Coursera provided guidance reflecting strong performance and revised upward expectations for the year. The company reported $194 million in revenue, a 10% year-over-year increase, and highlighted a 13% growth in Consumer revenue. Coursera anticipates full-year revenue between $750 million and $754 million, representing 8% to 9% growth, up from a previous forecast of 4%. The Consumer segment, bolstered by 7.7 million new learners and the Coursera Plus offering, contributed notably to this growth. Coursera's free cash flow reached $27 million, a 59% increase from the prior year, demonstrating operational discipline. The company is targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to 8% for the year, with Q4 revenue expected in the range of $189 million to $193 million, driven primarily by Consumer segment strength.

Coursera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coursera shows strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements, with a robust balance sheet and low leverage. However, ongoing profitability challenges due to negative net profit and EBIT margins slightly temper the financial outlook.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Coursera's revenue has shown consistent growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.38%. However, the company is still operating at a loss, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains strong at 54.36%, reflecting efficient cost management in generating revenue.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating low leverage and financial risk. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Coursera has demonstrated significant improvement in cash flow, with a 20.69% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating better cash generation relative to net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, showing efficient cash management despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue739.78M694.67M635.76M523.76M415.29M293.51M
Gross Profit402.11M371.41M329.77M331.48M249.47M154.66M
EBITDA-25.65M-79.19M-129.13M-148.73M-128.33M-55.70M
Net Income-45.81M-79.53M-116.55M-175.36M-145.22M-66.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets995.30M930.27M920.53M947.60M958.91M417.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments797.70M727.70M722.07M780.96M821.77M285.28M
Total Debt0.003.06M6.60M14.45M19.89M26.23M
Total Liabilities355.80M332.85M304.34M253.02M217.40M177.16M
Stockholders Equity639.50M597.42M616.19M694.58M741.51M240.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.29M93.78M13.24M-51.93M-11.90M-26.91M
Operating Cash Flow122.11M95.36M29.64M-38.05M1.75M-14.99M
Investing Cash Flow-34.23M29.90M384.80M-234.02M-51.61M-101.44M
Financing Cash Flow-11.05M-54.94M-79.23M12.23M550.16M139.01M

Coursera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.84
Price Trends
50DMA
8.74
Negative
100DMA
10.13
Negative
200DMA
9.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
36.63
Neutral
STOCH
9.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COUR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.09, below the 50-day MA of 8.74, and below the 200-day MA of 9.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for COUR.

Coursera Risk Analysis

Coursera disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coursera reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coursera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.84B6.6317.20%0.65%4.13%228.37%
73
Outperform
$3.64B15.0117.38%12.24%52.97%
70
Outperform
$8.92B23.979.28%1.05%7.22%-2.84%
70
Neutral
$4.62B22.3827.77%7.05%-2.63%
64
Neutral
$786.04M-225.75-1.78%2.53%95.79%
63
Neutral
$1.32B-27.56-7.43%8.10%43.35%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COUR
Coursera
7.84
-0.65
-7.66%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
100.00
14.02
16.31%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
165.89
5.35
3.33%
EDU
New Oriental Education Tech
55.17
-2.99
-5.14%
GHC
Graham Holdings
1,105.95
252.42
29.57%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
6.05
-1.80
-22.93%

Coursera Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coursera Announces $2.5B Merger with Udemy
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Coursera and Udemy announced on December 17, 2025, that they have entered a definitive merger agreement under which Coursera will acquire Udemy in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $2.5 billion. The merger aims to combine the complementary strengths of both platforms to form a leading AI-driven education ecosystem, enhancing global reach, accelerating innovation, and unlocking $115 million in anticipated cost synergies within 24 months of closure. The combined company, which will retain the Coursera name and be headquartered in Mountain View, California, aims to establish itself as a dominant force in addressing the growing demand for upskilling and reskilling in an era of rapid technology transformation.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coursera Appoints Michael Foley as Interim CFO
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Coursera appointed Michael Foley as interim Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, effective November 17, 2025. Foley, with extensive experience in financial and operational roles across technology companies, is expected to guide Coursera’s finance organization during its search for a permanent CFO. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Coursera’s leadership team and support its growth and innovation strategy, aiming to enhance customer experiences and drive sustainable growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coursera CFO Kenneth Hahn Announces Resignation
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Coursera announced that Kenneth R. Hahn, the Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, will resign from his position effective October 29, 2025. Hahn will transition to an advisory role for a year to ensure a smooth handover of responsibilities. Under Hahn’s leadership, Coursera achieved significant milestones, including a successful IPO and substantial growth in registered learners. The company is actively searching for a permanent successor while reaffirming its financial guidance for the third quarter and full year 2025. This transition is expected to maintain stability and support Coursera’s long-term growth strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 17, 2025