tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Coursera (COUR)
NYSE:COUR

Coursera (COUR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
803 Followers

Top Page

COUR

Coursera

(NYSE:COUR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(8.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/11/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (strong cash generation and a very low-debt balance sheet) and a generally positive forward outlook from management. These are meaningfully tempered by weak technicals (clear downtrend) and valuation limitations due to negative earnings, plus execution risk around enterprise momentum and deal-related timing/costs.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet / low leverage
Substantial cash and effectively zero debt provide durable financial flexibility to fund product investment, absorb integration costs from the Udemy deal, and pursue opportunistic M&A or buybacks. This reduces refinancing risk and supports multi-quarter execution even if revenue softens.
Improving cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow that tracks above adjusted EBITDA strengthens self-funding of growth and AI investments. While earlier years showed volatility, the sustained FCF improvement improves resilience and reduces reliance on external capital over the medium term.
Large learner base and content expansion
Rapid learner additions and a significantly larger catalog deepen network effects, broaden monetization channels, and support higher conversion over time. Combined with AI-themed courses and partner content, this structural scale improves competitive positioning for sustained user engagement.
Negative Factors
Below-target enterprise retention
A sub-100% enterprise net retention rate indicates limited upsell and potential churn among higher-value customers. For a platform selling B2B solutions, weaker retention reduces revenue predictability, constrains margin expansion, and prolongs the time to capitalize on enterprise investment.
Negative returns on equity / still unprofitable on GAAP basis
Despite narrower losses and improving margins, a negative ROE shows the company has not yet converted operating improvements into consistent GAAP profitability. This limits long-term shareholder returns and means continued execution is required to sustain earnings durability.
Revenue growth deceleration & product headwinds
Management's slower growth outlook, degree product drag, and subscription-recognition timing suggest top-line momentum may weaken. Slower revenue ramps compress operating leverage and make achieving projected synergies and funding AI investments more challenging over the coming 2-6 months.

Coursera (COUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coursera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoursera, Inc. operates an online educational content platform that connects learners, educators, organizations, and institutions. It offers online courses that include data science, business, computer science, information technology, health, social sciences, logic, project management, and digital marketing services; campus student plans; degree courses; and certification education. Coursera, Inc. was formerly known as Dkandu, Inc. and changed its name to Coursera, Inc. in April 2012. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoursera generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily consisting of course fees, subscription models, and enterprise solutions. Individual learners can pay for courses or enroll in subscription plans that provide access to a broader range of content. Additionally, Coursera collaborates with universities and organizations to offer degree programs, which contribute significant revenue through tuition fees. The company also leverages a business-to-business (B2B) model by providing tailored learning solutions to enterprises seeking to train their employees, thus expanding its revenue base. Strategic partnerships with universities and industry leaders enhance course offerings and attract more users, further driving revenue growth.

Coursera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely positive financial and operational picture: revenue growth, margin expansion, record free cash flow, rapid learner and catalog expansion, accelerating AI-related demand, strong cash reserves, and clear strategic initiatives (platform fee, product investments, Udemy combination). Offsetting items include slower enterprise growth and below-target net retention (93%), a degrees-related headwind, near-term revenue recognition timing effects from subscription mix, and transaction-related costs and timing uncertainty. Overall, the company showed tangible progress and a constructive outlook while acknowledging measurable enterprise challenges and transitional near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Reported full-year 2025 revenue of $757 million, up 9% year-over-year (more than double the 4% growth rate in the initial April outlook).
Record Free Cash Flow
Generated record free cash flow of $78 million for 2025, an increase of 32% year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Expanded annual adjusted EBITDA margin by 240 basis points year-over-year to 8.4%; full-year adjusted EBITDA was $64 million and full-year net income was $67 million (8.8% of revenue).
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Q4 revenue of $197 million, up 10% year-over-year; Q4 gross profit $109 million (+12% YoY) with a 55% gross margin (approximately +90 bps YoY); Q4 net income $11 million (5.6% of revenue) and Q4 adjusted EBITDA $11 million (5.7% of revenue).
Consumer Segment Momentum
Consumer revenue in Q4 was $132 million, up 12% YoY; consumer gross profit $81 million, up 15% YoY, with a 62% gross margin (from 60% prior-year). Management cited improved paid conversion and adoption from localized pricing and subscription enhancements (Coursera Plus).
Learner and Catalog Growth
Added over 29 million new registered learners during 2025, growing cumulative learner base 17% YoY; Q4 recorded a record 6.8 million new learners. Platform offered more than 13,500 courses, a catalog expansion of over 45% YoY (fastest pace in five years).
Strong AI-Related Demand and Partnerships
Generative AI enrollments accelerated to 15 enrollments per minute in 2025 (up from 8/min in 2024). Launched courses with Anthropic and expanded AI-related offerings across industries; partnered with Cleveland Clinic for AI-in-health courses.
Strategic Platform Fee to Fund AI Investments
Introduced a 15% platform fee effective Jan 1, 2026 on eligible new sales to fund AI-native platform capabilities; management expects gradual gross margin benefits starting in H2 2026 and more into 2027.
Strong Balance Sheet and Potential Share Repurchases
Ended the year with approximately $793 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and no debt, providing capacity for growth investments and planned share repurchases post-close of the proposed Udemy transaction.
Guidance for 2026 with Continued Profitability
Provided FY2026 revenue guidance of $805–815 million (about +6%–8% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $70–76 million (~9% margin at midpoint). Q1 2026 revenue guidance $193–197 million (+8%–10% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $11–15 million.
Proposed Udemy Transaction and Expected Synergies
Announced combination with Udemy; management expects approximately $115 million of annual run-rate cost synergies within 24 months (majority achievable in year one) and meaningful operating efficiencies from the deal.
Negative Updates
Enterprise Segment Performance and Retention
Enterprise revenue in Q4 grew only 5% YoY to $65.4 million. Paid enterprise customers increased 7% to 1,730, but net retention rate for paid enterprise customers was 93% — an improvement but below the >100% level management desires, with sustained improvement expected to be measured and likely back-weighted to later periods.
Degrees Product Headwind
The degrees product category declined (previously disclosed integration into Consumer) and is expected to create approximately a 100 basis point headwind to consumer growth in 2026.
Guidance Shows Deceleration
FY2026 revenue guidance (+6%–8%) implies a deceleration from 2025's 9% growth rate; management flagged cautious enterprise assumptions and macro uncertainty as contributors.
Revenue Mix and Timing Pressure on Near-Term Results
Shift toward Coursera Plus annual subscriptions and increased subscription mix changes revenue recognition timing (longer recognition), contributing to a larger Q1 sequential slowdown and delaying some margin benefits from the new platform fee (expected more material in H2 2026 and into 2027 for enterprise).
Platform Fee Rollout Uncertainties and Partner Questions
The 15% platform fee is structurally meaningful but its financial impact will be gradual; partners have been 'curious' and are seeking visibility on investments funded by the fee — introducing execution and stakeholder communication risk.
Transaction Timing, Costs and Regulatory Uncertainty
No definitive close timing for the proposed Udemy transaction (management expects second half but cautioned it could be later). There were $3.8 million of Q4 cash payments for M&A-related costs and a Q1 forecast of approximately $14 million of cash payments related to transaction fees/planning, adding near-term cash outflows and uncertainty.
Enterprise Sales Lumpiness and Deal Pushouts
Management cited typical lumpiness in government and large enterprise deals and some pushed-out deals; net new enterprise account adds stepped down and visibility in Coursera for Business remains cautious, which could pressure near-term enterprise growth.
Company Guidance
Coursera provided stand‑alone 2026 guidance (excluding the proposed Udemy transaction) calling for Q1 revenue of $193–197 million (up 8–10% YoY) with Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $11–15 million, and full‑year revenue of $805–815 million (up ~6–8% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $70–76 million (about a 9% margin at the midpoint). Management expects consumer segment growth of >10% (partially offset by a ~100‑bp headwind from degrees) and enterprise growth in the low single digits, and said 2026 results will be weighted to the second half as early‑year investments are deployed and the new 15% platform fee on eligible new sales (effective Jan 1) begins to flow through (consumer margin benefit in H2 2026, enterprise margin benefit in 2027). They also reiterated free cash flow should generally track at or above adjusted EBITDA (excluding deal‑related cash), disclosed approximately $14 million of transaction‑related cash payments in Q1, and noted anticipated run‑rate cost synergies of $115 million within 24 months of close (a majority achievable in year one).

Coursera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving with strong multi-year revenue growth, narrowing losses, and solid positive operating cash flow/free cash flow. Balance sheet is a major strength with minimal leverage and significant equity, but profitability is still a key constraint (ongoing operating/net losses and some gross margin pressure versus prior peaks).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the last several years (from $293.5M in 2020 to $757.5M in 2025), and profitability is clearly improving: net loss narrowed to -6.7% in 2025 versus -11.4% in 2024 and -18.3% in 2023, alongside better operating loss margins. Gross margin is solid (~54.6% in 2025) but has trended down from earlier highs (e.g., ~63.3% in 2022). The key weakness remains that the company is still unprofitable on both an operating and net basis (negative EBIT/EBITDA in 2025).
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed, with very low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.8% in 2025; ~0.5% in 2024) and a sizable equity base ($635.7M in 2025) against $1.0B of assets. This creates financial flexibility and limits leverage risk. The main drawback is ongoing negative returns on equity (ROE -8.0% in 2025), reflecting continued net losses even as they improve.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Cash generation is a notable strength: operating cash flow was positive and growing in absolute terms ($108.7M in 2025 vs. $95.4M in 2024), and free cash flow remained strongly positive ($107.2M in 2025). That said, free cash flow declined year over year in 2025 (-7.8% growth), and earlier years show more volatility (including negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2022), indicating cash flow durability has improved but hasn’t been perfectly consistent across the cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue757.50M694.67M635.76M523.76M415.29M
Gross Profit413.40M371.41M329.77M331.48M249.47M
EBITDA-17.10M-79.19M-129.13M-148.73M-128.33M
Net Income-51.00M-79.53M-116.55M-175.36M-145.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.00B930.27M920.53M947.60M958.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments792.60M727.70M722.07M780.96M821.77M
Total Debt5.00M3.06M6.60M14.45M19.89M
Total Liabilities364.30M332.85M304.34M253.02M217.40M
Stockholders Equity635.70M597.42M616.19M694.58M741.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.20M93.78M13.24M-51.93M-11.90M
Operating Cash Flow108.70M95.36M29.64M-38.05M1.75M
Investing Cash Flow-30.20M29.90M384.80M-234.02M-51.61M
Financing Cash Flow-13.50M-54.94M-79.23M12.23M550.16M

Coursera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.01
Price Trends
50DMA
6.74
Negative
100DMA
7.86
Negative
200DMA
8.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
51.34
Neutral
STOCH
79.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COUR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.02, below the 50-day MA of 6.74, and below the 200-day MA of 8.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for COUR.

Coursera Risk Analysis

Coursera disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coursera reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coursera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.81B25.0810.05%1.03%7.22%-2.84%
75
Outperform
$4.66B6.3917.20%0.65%4.13%228.37%
73
Outperform
$3.44B14.6717.92%12.24%52.97%
73
Outperform
$4.26B20.3228.24%7.05%-2.63%
64
Neutral
$1.06B-20.38-8.27%8.10%43.35%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$714.02M200.411.87%2.53%95.79%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COUR
Coursera
6.30
-1.82
-22.41%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
99.59
1.58
1.61%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
156.83
-20.50
-11.56%
EDU
New Oriental Education Tech
60.11
13.02
27.66%
GHC
Graham Holdings
1,067.83
134.87
14.46%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
4.91
-4.99
-50.40%

Coursera Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Coursera Advances Udemy Merger After Antitrust Clearance
Positive
Feb 10, 2026

On December 17, 2025, Coursera, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Udemy, Inc. and a Coursera subsidiary to combine the two online learning platforms in an all-stock transaction. The deal aims to create a larger, integrated digital education provider by unifying their course offerings and customer bases in the competitive online learning market.

On January 9, 2026, the companies filed required premerger notification forms under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act, and the U.S. Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the waiting period effective February 9, 2026. Completion of the merger still depends on satisfying remaining customary closing conditions, including additional regulatory clearances and approvals from Coursera and Udemy stockholders, which will determine the transaction’s finalization and impact on stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (COUR) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coursera stock, see the COUR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Coursera’s Chief Accounting Officer Resigns
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Coursera announced that Michele M. Meyers, its Vice President of Accounting, Chief Accounting Officer, and principal accounting officer, has resigned effective January 2, 2026, to pursue another career opportunity. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company, its operations, or its policies, ensuring a smooth transition for the organization.

The most recent analyst rating on (COUR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coursera stock, see the COUR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Coursera Announces Merger Agreement with Udemy
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Coursera announced a definitive merger agreement with Udemy, under which Udemy will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Coursera. The merger aims to combine the strengths of both companies to enhance their competitive positions and advance their shared mission of expanding access to online education. The transaction is subject to various closing conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals, and involves structural and governance changes in the combined company, with Coursera maintaining a leadership role. Termination provisions and fees were set in case the deal falls through, highlighting the careful planning involved in this merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (COUR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coursera stock, see the COUR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Coursera Announces $2.5B Merger with Udemy
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Coursera and Udemy announced on December 17, 2025, that they have entered a definitive merger agreement under which Coursera will acquire Udemy in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $2.5 billion. The merger aims to combine the complementary strengths of both platforms to form a leading AI-driven education ecosystem, enhancing global reach, accelerating innovation, and unlocking $115 million in anticipated cost synergies within 24 months of closure. The combined company, which will retain the Coursera name and be headquartered in Mountain View, California, aims to establish itself as a dominant force in addressing the growing demand for upskilling and reskilling in an era of rapid technology transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (COUR) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coursera stock, see the COUR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Coursera Appoints Michael Foley as Interim CFO
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Coursera appointed Michael Foley as interim Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer, effective November 17, 2025. Foley, with extensive experience in financial and operational roles across technology companies, is expected to guide Coursera’s finance organization during its search for a permanent CFO. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Coursera’s leadership team and support its growth and innovation strategy, aiming to enhance customer experiences and drive sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (COUR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coursera stock, see the COUR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026