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Coursera (COUR)
NYSE:COUR
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Coursera (COUR) AI Stock Analysis

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COUR

Coursera

(NYSE:COUR)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(21.40% Upside)
Coursera's strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. Despite profitability challenges reflected in its valuation, the company's robust cash flow and strategic growth in AI courses contribute positively to its outlook.
Positive Factors
AI and Innovation
New AI functionalities like Coach, translations, and Career Academy are expected to drive consumer segment growth.
Financial Performance
The EBITDA margin of 9.6% was above Street estimates due to better topline, improved revenue share economics, and operational efficiencies.
Revenue Growth
Coursera's Consumer segment grew 10% year-over-year with strength in subscriptions and marketing efforts.
Negative Factors
Degree Segment Challenges
Headwinds from Degree segment, an Enterprise NRR still in the low-to-mid 90%'s and challenging macro environment for L&D budgets likely keep shares from a material re-rating intra-quarter.
Enterprise Outlook
The team remains cautious on the outlook for enterprise, as it continues to assess the challenging corporate spending environment.

Coursera (COUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coursera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoursera, Inc. is a leading online learning platform that partners with universities and organizations worldwide to offer courses, specializations, and degrees across a wide range of subjects. The company operates in the education technology sector, providing access to high-quality educational content and resources to learners globally. Its core services include offering massive open online courses (MOOCs), professional certificates, and degree programs that cater to both individual learners and enterprise clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoursera primarily generates revenue through a freemium model where learners can access course materials for free but pay for additional features, such as graded assignments and course completion certificates. The company's key revenue streams include individual learner subscriptions through its Coursera Plus offering, enterprise solutions where organizations pay for employee access to curated learning content, and partnerships with universities to offer fully accredited online degree programs, for which Coursera earns a share of the tuition fees. Additionally, the company collaborates with industry leaders to create professional certificates that provide learners with job-relevant skills, further driving revenue. Significant partnerships with academic institutions and corporations enhance its course offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its earnings.

Coursera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Coursera's strong performance in Q2 with raised full-year guidance and significant growth in learners and AI courses. However, there are concerns about anticipated deceleration in growth and challenges in the enterprise segment. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, marking a strong quarter for the company.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Performance
Coursera delivered Q2 revenue of $187 million, up 10% year-over-year. Free cash flow was $29 million, up 68% from the prior year.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year revenue expectations increased to $738 million to $746 million, raising the midpoint by $17 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin target increased to 8%, a 200 basis point improvement year-over-year.
Significant Growth in Learners
Coursera attracted 7.5 million new registered learners in Q2, the largest number since 2020, growing the total cumulative base by 18% year-over-year to 183 million.
Expansion of AI Courses
The generative AI catalog now includes more than 925 courses, having tripled over the past year, with over 10 million enrollments in generative AI courses.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross profit was $105 million, up 13% year-over-year, with a 56% gross margin, up 180 basis points from the prior period.
Enterprise Customer Growth
The number of paid enterprise customers increased by 12% year-over-year to 1,686.
Recognition and Partnerships
Coursera named to the Time 100 Most Influential Companies list and announced collaboration with the University of Cambridge.
Negative Updates
Deceleration in Growth Anticipated
Despite Q2 acceleration, guidance for Q4 indicates below 4% growth, factoring in macro uncertainty and seasonality.
Enterprise Segment Challenges
Net retention rate for paid enterprise customers was 93%, indicating room for improvement to reach above 100%.
Consumer Segment Seasonality
Expected seasonality impact in Q4 with a slight slowdown in consumer growth and Degrees segment decline.
Company Guidance
During Coursera's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong performance with revenue reaching $187 million, marking a 10% year-over-year increase. The company generated $29 million in free cash flow, a 68% rise from the previous year. Coursera raised its full-year revenue expectation to a range of $738 million to $746 million, with a midpoint increase of $17 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin target was increased to 8%, reflecting a 200 basis point improvement from the previous year. The platform's registered learners grew by 18% year-over-year, reaching 183 million, with 7.5 million new additions in Q2, the largest quarterly increase since 2020. Paid enterprise customers increased by 12% year-over-year, totaling 1,686. Coursera is focusing on expanding its course catalog, which now includes over 10,500 courses, and has seen significant growth in its generative AI offerings, with over 925 courses and 10 million enrollments. The company's efforts in AI education were recognized by the 2025 Newsweek AI Impact Awards. Coursera also reported a Consumer segment revenue of $123 million, a 10% increase, and Enterprise revenue of $64 million, also up 10%. The gross margin improved to 56%, with operating expenses at 50% of revenue. The company ended the quarter with $775 million in cash and equivalents, and no debt, emphasizing strategic investments to drive long-term growth.

Coursera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coursera is experiencing revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive signs. However, the company is still facing profitability challenges with consistent net losses and negative profit margins. The balance sheet remains healthy with low leverage, providing financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Coursera shows a steady revenue growth with a TTM increase in total revenue by 1.47% from the previous annual period. However, it continues to operate at a loss, with a negative net profit margin of -9.37% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with an equity ratio of 64.17% in TTM, demonstrating good financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.51%, indicating low leverage risk. However, the negative net income affects the return on equity, which remains negative.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Coursera has shown improvement in its cash flow, with a positive operating cash flow of $104.41M and a positive free cash flow of $87.28M for the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust despite negative net income, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.67M635.76M523.76M415.29M293.51M
Gross Profit371.41M329.77M331.48M249.47M154.66M
EBITDA-79.19M-129.13M-152.13M-128.33M-55.70M
Net Income-79.53M-116.55M-175.36M-145.22M-66.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets930.27M920.53M947.60M958.91M417.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments726.13M722.07M780.47M821.77M285.28M
Total Debt3.06M6.60M14.45M19.89M26.23M
Total Liabilities332.85M304.34M253.02M217.40M177.16M
Stockholders Equity597.42M616.19M694.58M741.51M240.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow93.78M13.24M-51.93M-11.90M-26.91M
Operating Cash Flow95.36M29.64M-38.05M1.75M-14.99M
Investing Cash Flow29.90M384.80M-234.02M-51.61M-101.44M
Financing Cash Flow-54.94M-79.23M12.23M550.16M139.01M

Coursera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.12
Price Trends
50DMA
10.12
Positive
100DMA
9.15
Positive
200DMA
8.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
49.16
Neutral
STOCH
9.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COUR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.87, above the 50-day MA of 10.12, and above the 200-day MA of 8.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COUR.

Coursera Risk Analysis

Coursera disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coursera reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coursera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.82B-8.40%7.10%49.18%
71
Outperform
$1.44B23.2923.11%14.56%127.02%
64
Neutral
$1.03B-12.62%3.93%63.52%
63
Neutral
$1.09B34.1325.15%-1.66%
63
Neutral
$20.46B14.51-3.60%3.15%2.60%-5.31%
56
Neutral
$884.37M-32.95%56.38%-16.84%
52
Neutral
$858.75M35.79-10.31%3.85%-208.51%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COUR
Coursera
11.12
3.11
38.83%
UTI
Universal Technical Institute
26.53
9.20
53.09%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
3.64
0.94
34.81%
DAO
Youdao
9.12
5.96
188.61%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
6.87
-1.12
-14.02%
KLC
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc
7.27
-20.77
-74.07%

Coursera Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Coursera Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Coursera held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where three proposals were voted on. The election of Class I directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm were all passed, impacting Coursera’s governance and operational oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025