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KinderCare Learning Companies Inc (KLC)
NYSE:KLC
US Market

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc (KLC) AI Stock Analysis

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KinderCare Learning Companies Inc

(NYSE:KLC)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-2.23%Downside)
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc faces significant financial and technical challenges despite having a promising earnings call. The company's high leverage and negative net income are major concerns, along with bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call indicated some positive growth prospects, the overall financial and market conditions weigh heavily on the stock's performance.
Positive Factors
Digital Tools
Key digital tools have been rolled out to improve operating performance and drive occupancy growth, including the Digital Occupancy White Board and Online Tour Scheduler.
Financial Flexibility
KinderCare expects to continue its center expansion strategy with acquisitions and new center openings without heavily relying on debt, improving its financial flexibility.
Revenue Growth
KinderCare is confident in its ability to achieve medium-term revenue growth targets, driven by pricing, B2B contributions, and M&A activities.
Negative Factors
Occupancy Levels
Occupancy took a step back as a result of the enrollment decline.
Revenue Expectations
Total revenue was below expectations, driven by lower-than-expected enrollments within ECE.
Revenue Guide
Guide of 5% revenue growth was just below MSe (5% organic) but 193bps below cons.

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc (KLC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinderCare Learning Companies Inc (KLC) is a leading provider of early childhood education and care services in the United States. The company operates a network of child care centers that offer educational programs for children ranging from infants to school-age. With a focus on fostering a nurturing and stimulating learning environment, KinderCare provides a variety of programs that support the developmental needs of young children and prepare them for future educational success.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinderCare Learning Companies Inc makes money primarily through tuition and fees charged to parents for the enrollment of their children in its educational programs. These programs include full-time care, part-time care, and before-and-after school care, tailored to meet the needs of working families. The company also generates revenue from government subsidies and assistance programs that support families in need of child care services. Additionally, KinderCare may engage in partnerships with corporations to provide on-site child care services as part of employee benefits, further contributing to its revenue streams.

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -20.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
KinderCare's earnings call highlighted solid revenue and profit growth, successful expansion and partnerships, and operational efficiency. However, challenges with enrollment delays and same-center revenue growth were noted. The company remains confident in its long-term growth prospects and ability to manage expenses effectively.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth
KinderCare's first quarter revenue grew by 2% to $668 million, driven by stable tuition growth and an increased number of centers and sites. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% year-over-year to $84 million, highlighting strong profitability and operational leverage.
Expansion and Acquisitions
KinderCare added 10 centers, including an acquisition in Idaho, and expanded the Champions segment with 19 new sites. The company expects to continue growing its pipeline of new center openings and tuck-in acquisitions throughout the year.
B2B Growth and Partnerships
The B2B platform continues to grow with new partnerships, including Dollar General, LG Energy Solutions, and Hand and Stone Massage. Two new KinderCare For Employer centers opened in Q1, indicating strong demand for employer-based childcare solutions.
Operational Efficiency
General and administrative expenses were down as a percentage of revenue, demonstrating KinderCare's effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Awards and Recognition
KinderCare received Gallup's Exceptional Workplace Award for the ninth consecutive year, underscoring its strong workplace culture and employee engagement.
Negative Updates
Enrollment Delays
The first quarter saw a modest 50-basis-point year-over-year decline in same-center occupancy due to delays in enrollment decisions, attributed to consumer hesitancy and uncertainty.
Challenges in Same-Center Revenue
Same-center revenue increased by only 1.4%, with a slight decrease in occupancy reflecting slower enrollment progress at the start of the year.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter earnings call, KinderCare's management provided guidance for 2025, highlighting a 2% increase in revenue, reaching $668 million, which was in line with their expectations. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $84 million, marking a 12% year-over-year increase, and a net income of $21 million. Management reaffirmed their 2025 guidance ranges, projecting revenue between $2.75 billion and $2.85 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $310 million and $325 million, and adjusted EPS between $0.75 and $0.85. Despite a 50-basis-point decline in same-center occupancy to 69.1%, KinderCare expects occupancy to remain relatively flat for the year, with long-term growth projections of 1% to 2% annually. The company also noted stable tuition growth, pricing discipline, and continued expansion, including 10 new early childhood education centers and 19 new Champion sites. The balance sheet remains strong with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.6 times, and management emphasized their ability to leverage multiple operational levers to sustain profitability amidst macroeconomic volatility.

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc shows potential through revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative net income pose risks, while negative free cash flow indicates cash management issues. The company needs to improve its operational efficiency and financial health to enhance shareholder value and sustain growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc shows a mixed performance in its income statement. Despite a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, the company has recently reported a negative net income, indicating net losses. The gross profit margin is strong, suggesting effective cost management in producing services. However, the EBIT and net profit margins have declined, showing challenges in maintaining operational efficiency and profitability. The revenue growth rate is positive, which is a promising sign for the company’s sales trajectory.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of KinderCare Learning Companies Inc reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage that could pose financial risks if not managed properly. The equity ratio is moderate, showing a balanced but slightly weaker equity position compared to total assets. Return on equity has been declining, impacting shareholder value. Overall, the balance sheet highlights a need for better financial management to improve equity and reduce leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend of negative free cash flow, primarily due to higher capital expenditures than operating cash flow in recent periods. While operating cash flow remains positive, the ratio to net income indicates inefficiencies. The company needs to focus on improving free cash flow sustainability to support long-term operations and growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.99B2.66B2.51B2.17B1.81B1.37B
Gross Profit
418.80M630.52M685.86M741.20M506.20M214.49M
EBIT
13.96M79.32M275.29M389.47M212.40M-30.80M
EBITDA
109.39M209.91M391.86M477.73M295.36M18.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-98.47M-92.84M102.56M219.17M88.41M-129.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
131.29M62.34M156.15M105.21M177.25M53.23M
Total Assets
3.72B3.65B3.65B3.66B3.47B3.27B
Total Debt
1.48B2.39B2.69B1.36B1.40B2.85B
Net Debt
1.35B2.33B2.54B1.26B1.22B2.80B
Total Liabilities
2.83B2.78B3.15B3.26B3.21B3.13B
Stockholders Equity
884.88M864.51M506.88M407.69M255.61M136.28M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
41.55M-16.43M174.50M202.18M116.40M-34.60M
Operating Cash Flow
144.28M115.89M303.54M341.61M183.29M13.59M
Investing Cash Flow
-109.83M-147.24M-117.66M-299.73M-80.15M-48.48M
Financing Cash Flow
1.13M-62.63M-134.94M-117.66M20.87M47.77M

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LRLRN
82
Outperform
$6.19B22.1723.76%14.90%60.56%
80
Outperform
$4.31B20.2216.62%13.10%127.72%
UTUTI
78
Outperform
$1.80B32.3821.81%14.69%188.00%
77
Outperform
$2.11B14.2416.54%1.63%6.35%0.35%
73
Outperform
$2.04B18.106.86%2.84%5.72%11.02%
65
Neutral
$8.89B14.914.67%6.16%3.60%-2.89%
KLKLC
55
Neutral
$1.27B35.79-13.54%4.87%-198.67%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KLC
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc
10.08
-17.96
-64.05%
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
31.85
11.65
57.67%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
121.84
58.57
92.57%
LRN
Stride
143.25
74.16
107.34%
STRA
Strategic Education
83.95
-22.70
-21.28%
UTI
Universal Technical Institute
33.58
19.71
142.11%

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
KinderCare Announces Board Changes and Key Decisions
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Preston Grasty resigned from the Board of Directors of KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc., with no disagreements cited. The same day, the company held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions included the election of Christine Deputy and Paul Thompson as Class I directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation. Additionally, stockholders voted for annual advisory votes on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (KLC) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KinderCare Learning Companies Inc stock, see the KLC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.