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Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)
:LINC
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Lincoln Edu (LINC) AI Stock Analysis

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LINC

Lincoln Edu

(NASDAQ:LINC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▼(-9.95% Downside)
Lincoln Edu's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance and revenue growth. However, financial performance concerns, bearish technical indicators, and high valuation weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives and raised guidance provide a positive outlook, but structural and market challenges need addressing.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for LINC's offerings, suggesting effective market positioning and product relevance.
Campus Expansion
Expanding campus network enhances market reach and capacity, supporting long-term growth and meeting rising educational demand.
Strategic Initiatives
Innovative teaching platforms improve operational efficiency, enhancing educational delivery and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins indicate challenges in cost management, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative free cash flow suggests liquidity constraints, which could limit growth initiatives and operational flexibility over time.
Healthcare Segment Decline
Decline in healthcare segment could signal market saturation or competitive pressures, affecting diversification and revenue stability.

Lincoln Edu (LINC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lincoln Edu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLincoln Edu (LINC) is an innovative educational technology company focused on providing high-quality online learning solutions for students and professionals. Operating within the education sector, LINC offers a diverse range of products and services, including online courses, certification programs, and personalized learning experiences designed to cater to various skill levels and career aspirations. The company aims to bridge the gap between traditional education and the evolving demands of the workforce through cutting-edge technology and expert-led content.
How the Company Makes MoneyLincoln Edu generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, the company makes money by charging tuition fees for its online courses and certification programs, which are offered on a subscription or pay-per-course basis. Additionally, LINC partners with educational institutions and corporations to provide tailored training solutions, often resulting in lucrative contracts that contribute significantly to its earnings. The company also explores revenue through the sale of learning materials, such as textbooks and study guides, as well as through affiliate marketing partnerships with other educational platforms. Furthermore, LINC may generate income by offering premium services, such as one-on-one tutoring or career coaching, enhancing its value proposition and broadening its revenue base.

Lincoln Edu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth initiatives, including expansion of campuses and successful implementation of new teaching platforms. Despite challenges in the healthcare segment and some economic uncertainty affecting partnerships, the overall outlook remains positive with increased guidance for the year.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Student Start Growth
Third quarter student start growth of 6% exceeded internal forecasts, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of growth over the prior year's period.
Record Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $141.4 million, an increase of 25.4%. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 65.1%, reaching $16.9 million.
Expanding Campus Network
New campuses in East Point and Houston opened, and expansions in Nashville and Philadelphia. Plans to open a new campus in Rowlett, Texas, adding 1,600 student capacity.
Successful Implementation of Lincoln 10.0
Realized increasing levels of instructional efficiencies, space efficiencies, and organizational productivity through the Lincoln 10.0 hybrid teaching platform.
Negative Updates
Healthcare Segment Decline
Healthcare and other professional programs experienced a 13.7% decline in starts, partly due to discontinuation of smaller programs.
Economic Uncertainty Affecting Partnerships
Some potential partners have extended decision-making timelines due to ongoing economic uncertainty, affecting corporate training programs.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Lincoln Educational Services exceeded their internal forecasts with a 6% growth in student starts, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of growth in this metric. The company continued to experience double-digit growth in total student population, total revenue, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA, while achieving the third consecutive quarter of declining year-over-year bad debt levels. Lincoln reported a net income of $0.12 per share and raised its full-year financial guidance, anticipating revenue between $505 million and $510 million, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $65 million to $67 million, and student starts growth of 15% to 16%. The company's strategic initiatives, including new campus developments and program expansions, supported this growth, with a focus on skilled trade programs and the implementation of the Lincoln 10.0 hybrid teaching platform driving increased operational efficiencies.

Lincoln Edu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lincoln Edu shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet raises concerns due to missing liabilities and equity data, suggesting potential structural issues. Despite operational efficiency, cash flow sustainability needs improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lincoln Edu has shown a positive trajectory in revenue growth over the years, with a revenue increase from $273.3M in 2019 to $440.1M in 2024. However, the gross profit margin is lower due to the most recent year having high revenue but not a corresponding increase in gross profit. The net profit margin has declined significantly from previous years, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. Stability in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests operational efficiency despite profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable asset base, but the complete absence of liabilities and equity in the latest year raises concerns about the accuracy or financial structuring. The past trend showed a healthy decreasing debt-to-equity ratio and improving equity ratio, but current data is insufficient for a comprehensive analysis of financial health.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow has been negative in recent years, indicating potential liquidity issues. Despite a positive operating cash flow, the significant capital expenditures have led to cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting net income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue494.74M440.06M378.07M348.29M335.34M293.10M
Gross Profit298.14M258.31M215.79M199.54M196.41M170.90M
EBITDA40.05M28.61M42.76M22.96M56.40M22.10M
Net Income14.13M9.89M26.00M12.63M34.72M48.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets466.94M436.56M345.25M291.57M295.30M245.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.48M59.27M75.99M60.83M83.31M38.03M
Total Debt195.73M177.56M116.79M100.63M97.89M78.42M
Total Liabilities281.08M258.29M178.44M146.69M153.90M142.14M
Stockholders Equity185.85M178.26M166.80M144.88M141.40M103.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.80M-27.56M-15.14M-8.10M19.92M17.91M
Operating Cash Flow46.10M29.31M25.56M882.00K27.45M23.48M
Investing Cash Flow-92.41M-46.97M7.37M-21.35M37.85M-5.48M
Financing Cash Flow5.82M-3.33M-2.94M-12.55M-20.01M-18.62M

Lincoln Edu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.10
Price Trends
50DMA
21.29
Negative
100DMA
21.19
Negative
200DMA
20.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
53.56
Neutral
STOCH
53.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LINC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.97, below the 50-day MA of 21.29, and above the 200-day MA of 20.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LINC.

Lincoln Edu Risk Analysis

Lincoln Edu disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lincoln Edu reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lincoln Edu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$569.11M29.8611.20%6.75%141.11%
65
Neutral
$1.25B20.2921.42%14.05%51.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$743.59M-1.78%2.53%95.79%
53
Neutral
$650.82M45.437.94%16.90%41.11%
49
Neutral
$574.83M-21.21%48.81%61.64%
46
Neutral
$470.91M-11.88%2.20%-229.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LINC
Lincoln Edu
21.10
4.62
28.03%
APEI
American Public Education
35.26
14.47
69.60%
UTI
Universal Technical Institute
23.90
-2.54
-9.61%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
2.42
-0.48
-16.55%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
5.06
-3.55
-41.23%
KLC
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc
4.00
-18.48
-82.21%

Lincoln Edu Corporate Events

Lincoln Educational Services Reports Strong Q3 Growth
Nov 11, 2025

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation, a prominent provider of career-oriented post-secondary education, operates across the United States, offering programs in skilled trades, automotive, health sciences, and information technology.

Lincoln Educational Services Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 12, 2025

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation is a prominent provider of career-oriented post-secondary education, focusing on skilled trades, automotive, health sciences, and information technology, operating 21 campuses across 12 states in the United States.

Lincoln Educational Services Reports Strong Q2 Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Lincoln Educational Services’ latest earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, marked by significant growth in student starts, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. This growth was attributed to effective marketing strategies and expansion initiatives. Despite facing challenges in the healthcare segment and increased capital expenditures, the company’s positive performance and raised guidance for 2025 were the focal points of the discussion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025