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Perdoceo Education (PRDO)
NASDAQ:PRDO

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) AI Stock Analysis

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PRDO

Perdoceo Education

(NASDAQ:PRDO)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(9.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
PRDO scores well mainly due to strong financial performance (high profitability, strong cash generation, and low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with continued shareholder returns. Valuation is reasonable, while technical indicators are largely neutral and do not add significant momentum to the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow relative to net income indicates high earnings quality and reliable internal funding. This durable cash conversion supports reinvestment, acquisitions, dividends and buybacks without heavy external financing, reducing long-term financing risk.
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and a growing capital base give the company flexibility to fund growth, weather enrollment cycles, and pursue acquisitions. A strong balance sheet lowers interest exposure and preserves strategic optionality over multiple quarters to invest in programs or return cash to shareholders.
Sustained Profitability
High and consistent margins reflect an efficient, scalable education delivery model (notably online programs) with pricing power and cost control. Durable profitability supports cash flows, funds capital returns, and cushions the business against cyclical enrollment variability.
Negative Factors
Modest Revenue Growth
Top-line growth is modest and uneven, limiting long-term scalability. Reliance on small percentage increases and acquisitions to drive revenue means organic expansion may be constrained, which could pressure longer-term margin expansion and reduce room for multiple drivers of sustainable growth.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Periodic swings in free cash flow introduce uncertainty into capital allocation planning. Even with strong average conversion, volatility can constrain consistent buybacks, investment pacing, or cushion for downside periods, making forward planning and investor returns more sensitive to operational timing.
Reporting/Data Inconsistencies
Gaps or inconsistencies in reported margin items impair visibility into underlying profitability drivers. Reduced transparency complicates trend analysis, forecasting, and investor confidence, increasing the risk that management actions or margin shifts could be misread until clean, restated data is provided.

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Perdoceo Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPerdoceo Education Corporation provides postsecondary education through online, campus-based, and blended learning programs in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Colorado Technical University and American InterContinental University. It offers academic programs in the career-oriented disciplines of business and management, nursing, healthcare management, computer science, engineering, information systems and technology, project management, cybersecurity, and criminal justice, as well as business studies, information technologies, education, and health sciences. The company also operates intellipath, a personalized learning platform; and a mobile application and two-way messaging platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total student enrollment of approximately 40,400 students. The company was formerly known as Career Education Corporation and changed its name to Perdoceo Education Corporation in January 2020. Perdoceo Education Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Schaumburg, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyPerdoceo Education generates revenue primarily through tuition and fees charged to students enrolled in its educational programs. The company benefits from a robust enrollment model, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from online courses, which attract a diverse student population seeking flexible learning options. Additionally, Perdoceo receives federal financial aid, including Pell Grants and student loans, which contribute to its income as eligible students utilize these funds to pay for their education. The company may also engage in partnerships with employers and organizations to provide tailored training programs, further enhancing its revenue streams. Ongoing efforts to expand program offerings and improve student outcomes are key factors contributing to Perdoceo's financial performance.

Perdoceo Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive outlook with significant revenue growth, increased student enrollments, and strong financial performance, despite a minor decline in AIUS enrollments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter operating income grew by 13.8% to $51 million, and adjusted operating income increased 27.4% to $61 million. Adjusted earnings per diluted share rose to $0.65 compared to $0.59 in the prior year.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $211.9 million, representing a 24.8% increase from $169.8 million in the prior year, driven by the acquisition of St. Augustine and total enrollment growth at CTU.
Enrollment Growth
Total student enrollments grew 15.1% versus the prior year quarter, driven by 6.7% growth at CTU and the acquisition of St. Augustine.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $20.6 million worth of shares and returned a total of $94.1 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends for the first 3 quarters of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in AIUS Enrollments
AIUS reported a decline in total student enrollments of 2.9%, attributed to enrollment day comparability, although it is expected to end the year with double-digit total enrollment growth.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Perdoceo Education Corporation reported strong financial performance, with net income reaching $39.9 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.65, up from $0.59 the previous year. The company experienced a 24.8% revenue increase to $211.9 million, driven by a 15.1% rise in total student enrollments, including a notable 6.7% growth at Colorado Technical University (CTU) and the acquisition of St. Augustine. CTU marked its eighth consecutive quarter of enrollment growth, while the American InterContinental University System (AIUS) saw a 2.9% decline, expected to rebound with double-digit growth by year-end. St. Augustine welcomed approximately 4,400 students for the fall term, supported by program expansions. The company repurchased $20.6 million in shares under a $75 million authorization, contributing to a total of $94.1 million returned to shareholders over the first three quarters. Looking ahead, Perdoceo anticipates continued enrollment and revenue growth, projecting full-year adjusted operating income between $234 million and $236 million and adjusted EPS between $2.54 and $2.56.

Perdoceo Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by high profitability, excellent cash conversion (operating cash flow consistently above net income), and a conservatively financed balance sheet with low leverage. Offsets include modest/uneven revenue growth and some free-cash-flow growth volatility, plus a noted 2025 reporting inconsistency for gross profit/EBIT margin that reduces transparency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has been broadly stable with a return to growth in 2025 (up ~4.3% after a decline in 2024), suggesting demand resilience but not a strong multi-year expansion trend. Profitability is a clear strength: net margins remain strong (~14%–22% historically; ~18.9% in 2025) and EBITDA margins are consistently high (~22%–32%). A key weakness is data quality/inconsistency in 2025 reported gross profit and EBIT margin (shown as 0), which limits confidence in the full margin bridge for that year despite solid EBIT/EBITDA and net income levels.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed with low leverage across the period (debt-to-equity generally low and ~0.06 in 2025), providing flexibility and lowering financial risk. Equity and assets have grown meaningfully over time, supporting a stronger capital base. Returns on equity are consistently healthy (~13%–22%, ~16.4% in 2025), indicating effective use of shareholder capital. The main watch item is the noticeable increase in total debt in 2024–2025 versus 2023, though leverage still remains modest.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: operating cash flow comfortably exceeds net income in most years (about 1.0x–1.7x; ~1.63x in 2025), indicating high earnings quality and strong cash conversion. Free cash flow tracks net income closely (roughly ~0.91x–0.97x; ~0.96x in 2025), and 2025 shows strong free-cash-flow growth (~11.2%) on a higher cash base. The primary weakness is volatility in free cash flow growth (declines in 2022–2023), suggesting periodic swings in cash generation even though overall coverage remains solid.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue846.10M681.26M710.00M695.21M693.03M
Gross Profit606.93M560.40M579.68M578.49M584.29M
EBITDA237.63M216.70M209.41M154.40M166.75M
Net Income159.91M147.59M147.65M95.87M109.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.25B1.24B1.01B957.37M847.43M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.27B568.92M603.14M508.72M494.19M
Total Debt61.34M131.54M27.05M33.84M44.95M
Total Liabilities275.31M277.50M165.90M231.52M197.32M
Stockholders Equity972.41M959.54M841.42M725.85M650.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow216.66M156.97M105.61M135.57M180.66M
Operating Cash Flow225.24M161.59M112.03M148.19M191.12M
Investing Cash Flow-53.64M-107.78M-88.51M-326.75M54.32M
Financing Cash Flow-171.07M-41.08M-23.38M-27.73M-29.95M

Perdoceo Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.84
Price Trends
50DMA
30.93
Positive
100DMA
31.59
Positive
200DMA
31.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
52.39
Neutral
STOCH
66.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.63, above the 50-day MA of 30.93, and above the 200-day MA of 31.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRDO.

Perdoceo Education Risk Analysis

Perdoceo Education disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Perdoceo Education reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Perdoceo Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.05B13.6516.55%1.88%24.23%17.56%
77
Outperform
$1.80B15.936.76%2.99%3.74%-8.40%
73
Outperform
$4.69B20.0328.24%7.05%-2.63%
71
Outperform
$3.37B14.2517.92%12.24%52.97%
68
Neutral
$800.26M33.1311.20%6.75%141.11%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$943.65M68.687.94%16.90%41.11%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
31.80
6.17
24.09%
APEI
American Public Education
43.43
22.60
108.57%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
98.54
0.59
0.60%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
153.90
-23.69
-13.34%
LINC
Lincoln Edu
33.04
14.49
78.11%
STRA
Strategic Education
74.91
-20.66
-21.62%

Perdoceo Education Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Perdoceo Education Reaffirms 2026 Operating Income Outlook
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Perdoceo Education Corporation reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted operating income outlook of $234 million to $236 million, maintaining previously issued guidance and signaling confidence in its operational performance and financial trajectory. On January 2, 2026, the company’s board approved a new common stock repurchase program authorizing up to $100 million in buybacks through June 30, 2027, replacing a prior $75 million program under which Perdoceo had already repurchased approximately 2.5 million shares for $74.8 million, highlighting ongoing capital returns to shareholders and flexible deployment of excess cash depending on market conditions and alternative investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRDO) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Perdoceo Education stock, see the PRDO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026