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Perdoceo Education (PRDO)
NASDAQ:PRDO

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) AI Stock Analysis

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PRDO

Perdoceo Education

(NASDAQ:PRDO)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(3.19% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage) and a positive earnings outlook with strong growth and guidance. Valuation is also supportive with a modest P/E and dividend, while technical signals remain the main headwind due to a weaker trend versus key moving averages and negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for Perdoceo's educational offerings and successful strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Enrollment Growth
Sustained enrollment growth, particularly at CTU, suggests effective program delivery and marketing strategies, supporting future revenue and market position.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial flexibility and resilience, enabling strategic investments and weathering economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Declining free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders, impacting long-term financial health.
Decline in AIUS Enrollments
A decline in enrollments at AIUS could indicate competitive pressures or market saturation, potentially affecting future revenue streams and growth prospects.
Slight Decrease in Gross Profit Margin
A decrease in gross profit margin may signal rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed through cost management or pricing strategies.

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Perdoceo Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPerdoceo Education Corporation provides postsecondary education through online, campus-based, and blended learning programs in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Colorado Technical University and American InterContinental University. It offers academic programs in the career-oriented disciplines of business and management, nursing, healthcare management, computer science, engineering, information systems and technology, project management, cybersecurity, and criminal justice, as well as business studies, information technologies, education, and health sciences. The company also operates intellipath, a personalized learning platform; and a mobile application and two-way messaging platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total student enrollment of approximately 40,400 students. The company was formerly known as Career Education Corporation and changed its name to Perdoceo Education Corporation in January 2020. Perdoceo Education Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Schaumburg, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyPerdoceo Education generates revenue primarily through tuition and fees charged to students enrolled in its educational programs. The company benefits from a robust enrollment model, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from online courses, which attract a diverse student population seeking flexible learning options. Additionally, Perdoceo receives federal financial aid, including Pell Grants and student loans, which contribute to its income as eligible students utilize these funds to pay for their education. The company may also engage in partnerships with employers and organizations to provide tailored training programs, further enhancing its revenue streams. Ongoing efforts to expand program offerings and improve student outcomes are key factors contributing to Perdoceo's financial performance.

Perdoceo Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive outlook with significant revenue growth, increased student enrollments, and strong financial performance, despite a minor decline in AIUS enrollments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter operating income grew by 13.8% to $51 million, and adjusted operating income increased 27.4% to $61 million. Adjusted earnings per diluted share rose to $0.65 compared to $0.59 in the prior year.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $211.9 million, representing a 24.8% increase from $169.8 million in the prior year, driven by the acquisition of St. Augustine and total enrollment growth at CTU.
Enrollment Growth
Total student enrollments grew 15.1% versus the prior year quarter, driven by 6.7% growth at CTU and the acquisition of St. Augustine.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $20.6 million worth of shares and returned a total of $94.1 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends for the first 3 quarters of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in AIUS Enrollments
AIUS reported a decline in total student enrollments of 2.9%, attributed to enrollment day comparability, although it is expected to end the year with double-digit total enrollment growth.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Perdoceo Education Corporation reported strong financial performance, with net income reaching $39.9 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.65, up from $0.59 the previous year. The company experienced a 24.8% revenue increase to $211.9 million, driven by a 15.1% rise in total student enrollments, including a notable 6.7% growth at Colorado Technical University (CTU) and the acquisition of St. Augustine. CTU marked its eighth consecutive quarter of enrollment growth, while the American InterContinental University System (AIUS) saw a 2.9% decline, expected to rebound with double-digit growth by year-end. St. Augustine welcomed approximately 4,400 students for the fall term, supported by program expansions. The company repurchased $20.6 million in shares under a $75 million authorization, contributing to a total of $94.1 million returned to shareholders over the first three quarters. Looking ahead, Perdoceo anticipates continued enrollment and revenue growth, projecting full-year adjusted operating income between $234 million and $236 million and adjusted EPS between $2.54 and $2.56.

Perdoceo Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Perdoceo Education demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and stable balance sheet metrics. The company is on a positive growth trajectory with efficient operations and prudent financial management. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and slight decrease in gross profit margin should be monitored.
Income Statement
Perdoceo Education shows a strong income statement with a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.47% in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is robust at 78.17%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 19.24%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests a need to monitor cost management.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.065, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 15.95%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 76.75% highlights a strong equity base, providing financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -5.18% in TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.23 indicates good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.96 suggests efficient cash conversion. While cash flow metrics are generally positive, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue810.89M681.26M710.00M695.21M693.03M687.31M
Gross Profit633.85M560.40M579.68M578.49M584.29M575.55M
EBITDA249.47M216.70M209.41M154.40M166.75M161.78M
Net Income156.03M147.59M147.65M95.87M109.64M124.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.24B1.01B957.37M847.43M721.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments647.31M568.92M603.14M508.72M494.19M406.36M
Total Debt121.49M131.54M27.05M33.84M44.95M53.19M
Total Liabilities301.53M277.50M165.90M231.52M197.32M165.61M
Stockholders Equity997.85M959.54M841.42M725.85M650.11M555.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow194.76M156.97M105.61M135.57M180.66M170.19M
Operating Cash Flow202.73M161.59M112.03M148.19M191.12M179.96M
Investing Cash Flow-144.87M-107.78M-88.51M-326.75M54.32M-165.91M
Financing Cash Flow-115.91M-41.08M-23.38M-27.73M-29.95M-13.05M

Perdoceo Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.98
Price Trends
50DMA
29.75
Positive
100DMA
32.24
Negative
200DMA
30.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Negative
RSI
68.17
Neutral
STOCH
92.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.10, above the 50-day MA of 29.75, and above the 200-day MA of 30.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRDO.

Perdoceo Education Risk Analysis

Perdoceo Education disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Perdoceo Education reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Perdoceo Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.13B17.4217.38%12.24%52.97%
77
Outperform
$1.96B17.336.76%2.99%3.74%-8.40%
76
Outperform
$2.07B13.7416.14%1.88%24.23%17.56%
74
Outperform
$4.93B23.8927.77%7.05%-2.63%
68
Neutral
$729.01M31.0011.20%6.75%141.11%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$787.75M55.107.94%16.90%41.11%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
31.98
5.71
21.72%
APEI
American Public Education
40.61
20.19
98.87%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
116.05
20.34
21.25%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
177.05
11.04
6.65%
LINC
Lincoln Edu
24.96
9.85
65.19%
STRA
Strategic Education
83.94
-7.89
-8.59%

Perdoceo Education Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Perdoceo Education Reaffirms 2026 Operating Income Outlook
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Perdoceo Education Corporation reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted operating income outlook of $234 million to $236 million, maintaining previously issued guidance and signaling confidence in its operational performance and financial trajectory. On January 2, 2026, the company’s board approved a new common stock repurchase program authorizing up to $100 million in buybacks through June 30, 2027, replacing a prior $75 million program under which Perdoceo had already repurchased approximately 2.5 million shares for $74.8 million, highlighting ongoing capital returns to shareholders and flexible deployment of excess cash depending on market conditions and alternative investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRDO) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Perdoceo Education stock, see the PRDO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 05, 2026