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Adtalem Global Education Inc (ATGE)
NYSE:ATGE

Adtalem Global Education (ATGE) AI Stock Analysis

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Adtalem Global Education

(NYSE:ATGE)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$147.00
▲( 14.43% Upside)
Adtalem Global Education shows strong financial performance with robust revenue and enrollment growth, supported by positive earnings guidance. The technical analysis indicates upward momentum, while valuation is fair given the growth prospects. The earnings call highlighted strategic achievements, although the margin decline in the Medical and Veterinary segment should be monitored. Overall, the stock is well-positioned in its industry, with a solid outlook for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Strong enrollment growth and margin expansion helped ATGE beat expectations.
Financial Performance
Management raised FY2025 guidance, indicating confidence in future performance.
Strategic Focus
The company's strategic focus on healthcare has led to excellent execution, with earnings consistently exceeding expectations.
Negative Factors
Revenue
Revenue per average enrollment fell 0.6% year over year, contrary to expectations of growth.
Valuation
The stock trades at a premium to its for-profit postsecondary peer group average, which is viewed as justified given Adtalem’s focus on nursing and healthcare in general.

Adtalem Global Education (ATGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adtalem Global Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdtalem Global Education (ATGE) is a leading workforce solutions provider that operates a diverse portfolio of institutions and companies in the education sector. It focuses on empowering students and professionals to achieve their career goals through high-quality educational programs and services. Adtalem's core offerings include degree programs in healthcare, financial services, and professional education, delivered through its flagship institutions like Chamberlain University and Walden University.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdtalem Global Education generates revenue primarily through tuition fees and related educational services offered by its academic institutions. The company earns income by enrolling students in its various degree and certificate programs, with a significant focus on healthcare education. Additionally, Adtalem benefits from partnerships and collaborations with healthcare institutions, government agencies, and other organizations that support its mission to provide career-focused education. The company also explores opportunities in professional education and training, which contribute to its diverse revenue streams. Factors such as enrollment rates, tuition pricing, and the expansion or introduction of new programs significantly impact Adtalem's earnings.

Adtalem Global Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adtalem Global Education demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and improving net profit margin. The cash flow is robust, although there is room for improvement in free cash flow growth. The balance sheet is stable but could benefit from maintaining equity levels. Overall, the financials indicate a positive growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Adtalem Global Education exhibits a strong financial performance with a solid gross profit margin and improving net profit margin. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) reveals a gross profit margin of 68.63% and a net profit margin of 12.34%, both indicating profitable operations. Revenue growth rate from the previous year is 8.46%, demonstrating robust growth potential. Furthermore, the EBIT margin of 19.40% and EBITDA margin of 23.68% underscore operational efficiency and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is a healthy 14.48%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholders' equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 52.85% suggests a solid equity base relative to total assets, providing a cushion against liabilities. However, there is slight concern about the declining equity trend over the years.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flows are strong with a significant improvement in free cash flow growth rate at -7.04%, reflecting consistent cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29 demonstrates efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is a robust 1.10, indicating strong cash surplus after capital expenditures. These metrics highlight effective cash management but suggest room for improvement in maintaining growth in free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.69B1.58B1.45B1.39B1.11B1.05B
Gross Profit
971.72M886.10M802.34M727.35M623.15M561.95M
EBIT
327.53M217.05M168.17M163.11M161.48M142.26M
EBITDA
399.63M335.56M326.29M264.45M210.80M345.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
208.26M136.78M93.36M-29.83M70.03M243.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
193.96M219.31M273.69M346.97M494.61M509.48M
Total Assets
2.72B2.74B2.81B3.03B3.05B2.23B
Total Debt
864.61M847.85M896.19M1.07B1.29B516.79M
Net Debt
670.65M628.55M622.50M719.76M799.28M16.27M
Total Liabilities
1.28B1.37B1.35B1.52B1.75B915.41M
Stockholders Equity
1.44B1.37B1.46B1.51B1.30B1.31B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
233.83M246.88M165.90M-20.63M143.53M63.55M
Operating Cash Flow
273.49M295.77M202.91M10.42M192.20M107.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-37.87M-47.85M12.74M-551.63M-56.69M382.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-226.28M-301.80M-288.51M-424.48M676.47M-256.11M

Adtalem Global Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.46
Price Trends
50DMA
109.32
Positive
100DMA
104.28
Positive
200DMA
91.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.27
Negative
RSI
61.29
Neutral
STOCH
44.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.14, above the 50-day MA of 109.32, and above the 200-day MA of 91.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATGE.

Adtalem Global Education Risk Analysis

Adtalem Global Education disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adtalem Global Education reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adtalem Global Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$5.49B24.3029.85%6.31%11.24%
80
Outperform
$4.62B21.3216.62%13.10%127.72%
77
Outperform
$2.03B13.7216.54%1.63%6.35%0.35%
74
Outperform
$3.24B11.6031.14%1.26%140.30%
73
Outperform
$2.11B18.736.86%2.74%5.72%11.02%
GHGHC
71
Outperform
$4.02B6.4614.87%0.75%5.91%137.49%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.93%2.65%-21.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
128.50
62.96
96.06%
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
31.03
8.17
35.74%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
194.17
48.71
33.49%
STRA
Strategic Education
87.48
-24.31
-21.75%
GHC
Graham Holdings
921.42
179.48
24.19%
LAUR
Laureate Education
21.84
5.82
36.33%

Adtalem Global Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with strong revenue and enrollment growth across various segments. There were significant achievements in expansion and innovation, particularly in healthcare education. The only notable challenge was a decline in margin within the Medical and Veterinary segment, attributed to strategic investments. Overall, the company's strategic initiatives and financial performance were well-received, indicating a strong future outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew by 13% to $466 million, reflecting strong performance across all segments.
Enrollment Increase
Total enrollment increased by 9.8% year-over-year, marking seven consecutive quarters of growth with over 94,000 students.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Adjusted EPS surged by 28% to $1.92, driven by expanded adjusted EBITDA margin and increased revenue.
Chamberlain University Performance
Enrollment rose 6.8% to over 40,000 students, with the BSN Online program surpassing 3,000 students.
Walden University Achievement
Enrollment increased by 13.5% to 48,500 students, with a significant boost from the 'Get the W' campaign and digital innovations.
Medical and Veterinary Segment Growth
Enrollment increased by 1.2%, with a high first-time residency attainment rate of over 95% at medical schools.
Strong Financial Position
Completed a $300 million share repurchase program and announced a new $150 million program through May 2028.
Negative Updates
Medical and Veterinary Segment Margin Decline
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 15.3%, with a margin decrease of 540 basis points due to cost structures and long-term growth investments.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Adtalem Global Education reported a significant 13% increase in revenue, reaching $466 million, alongside a total enrollment growth of 9.8% year-over-year, with over 94,000 students attending Adtalem institutions. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 150 basis points, driving a 28% rise in adjusted earnings per share to $1.92. Chamberlain University, with over 40,000 students, saw a 6.8% enrollment increase, while Walden University experienced a remarkable 13.5% increase, reaching 48,500 students. In the Medical and Veterinary segment, enrollment edged up by 1.2%. Based on this performance, Adtalem raised its 2025 guidance, now anticipating revenue between $1.76 billion and $1.775 billion, and adjusted EPS ranging from $6.40 to $6.60. Additionally, the company completed a $300 million share repurchase program and announced a new $150 million program through May 2028.

Adtalem Global Education Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Adtalem Announces New $150M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Adtalem Global Education announced a new $150 million share repurchase program authorized by its board of directors, allowing the company to buy back shares through May 2028. This follows the completion of a previous $300 million repurchase program, reflecting Adtalem’s strong financial position and commitment to shareholder value. The company has returned $763 million to shareholders since February 2022, reducing shares outstanding by 28%. Adtalem aims to leverage its robust cash flow to expand healthcare education programs and continue enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.