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Youdao (DAO) AI Stock Analysis

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DAO

Youdao

(NYSE:DAO)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(4.40% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial risks due to high leverage and cash flow challenges, compounded by weak technical indicators and high valuation. While there are growth areas in AI and online marketing, these are overshadowed by broader financial and operational concerns.
Positive Factors
AI-Driven Subscription Growth
Strong growth in AI-driven subscriptions indicates robust demand and potential for future revenue expansion, leveraging AI technology to enhance educational offerings.
Online Marketing Services Surge
The significant increase in online marketing services revenue suggests a successful strategy in diversifying income streams and capitalizing on digital marketing trends.
Strong Performance in AI and Translation Services
Certification of the AI translation model enhances Youdao's competitive edge in language services, potentially attracting more users and partnerships.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative Equity
High leverage and negative equity indicate financial instability, posing risks to long-term sustainability and limiting strategic flexibility.
Operating Profit Decline
The sharp decline in operating profit suggests challenges in cost management and profitability, potentially impacting future investment and growth capabilities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Zero operating and free cash flow highlight inefficiencies in cash generation, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Youdao (DAO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Youdao Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYoudao (DAO) is a prominent education technology company based in China, primarily focused on providing innovative learning solutions through digital platforms. The company operates in several sectors including online education, artificial intelligence, and educational software development. Youdao's core products include digital dictionaries, language learning applications, and AI-powered educational tools, catering to students, professionals, and educators seeking to enhance their language skills and learning experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyYoudao generates revenue through multiple streams, including subscription fees from its online education services and language learning apps. The company also earns money through the sale of its educational software products and digital content. Additionally, Youdao has established partnerships with educational institutions and organizations, which contribute to its revenue through collaborative programs and services. Advertising and promotional activities within its platforms further supplement its earnings, allowing the company to capitalize on its user base and increase revenue from educational content and services.

Youdao Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in AI-driven subscriptions and online marketing services, which experienced strong growth. However, there were significant challenges in maintaining operating profit and revenues from the Learning Services and Smart Devices segments. This balance between growth in certain areas and decline in others indicates a neutral sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Revenue Growth
Net revenues reached RMB 1.6 billion, up 3.6% year-over-year.
Operating Profit Growth Over Nine Months
Operating profit for the first nine months was RMB 161.1 million, a 149.2% year-over-year increase.
Online Marketing Services Surge
Net revenues for online marketing services reached RMB 739.7 million, a 51.1% increase year-over-year.
AI-Driven Subscription Growth
Total sales of AI-driven subscription services reached approximately RMB 100 million, representing over 40% year-over-year growth.
Strong Performance in AI and Translation Services
Confucius 3 translation model supports real-time bidirectional translation across 38 languages and achieved certification from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Decline
Operating profit was RMB 28.3 million, a decrease of 73.7% year-over-year.
Learning Services Revenue Decline
Revenues from the Learning Services segment were RMB 643.1 million, down 16.2% year-over-year.
Smart Devices Segment Decline
Net revenues for the Smart Devices segment were RMB 245.8 million, down 22.1% year-over-year.
Gross Margin Decrease
Total gross profit was RMB 687.9 million, representing a 12.9% decrease from the same period of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Youdao Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several forward-looking metrics highlighting its financial performance and strategic direction. Net revenues for the third quarter reached RMB 1.6 billion, marking a 3.6% increase year-over-year, while operating profit declined by 73.7% to RMB 28.3 million due to increased investments in Youdao Lingshi and online marketing services. The Learning Services segment saw revenues of RMB 643.1 million, down 16.2% year-over-year, with digital content services contributing RMB 425.9 million. Youdao Lingshi achieved over 40% growth in gross billings and a retention rate exceeding 75%. The online marketing services segment reported record net revenues of RMB 739.7 million, up 51.1% year-over-year, driven by demand from the NetEase Group and overseas markets. Operating cash outflow improved by 31.4% to RMB 58.6 million. The company maintained a gross margin for online marketing services of 25.4%, with a long-term target range of 25% to 35%. Operating expenses were reduced to RMB 659.6 million. Overall, Youdao aims to achieve robust year-over-year operating profit growth and reach annual operational cash flow breakeven by the end of the year.

Youdao Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Youdao's financial performance is mixed, with strengths in revenue growth and gross profitability. However, challenges in net profitability, high leverage with negative equity, and cash flow generation present significant risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Youdao has shown a consistent revenue growth over the years, with the most recent annual increase of 4.39% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 stands at 48.86%, indicating a healthy profitability at the gross level. However, despite improving from a net loss in previous years, the net profit margin is 1.46% in 2024, showing that profitability at the net level remains a challenge. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low but show a positive trend, reflecting operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$2.14 billion, resulting in an uncalculated debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability. The equity ratio is also negative due to the negative equity. Despite these concerns, the company has substantial cash reserves of $655.79 million, offering some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash generation, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both at $0 for 2024, indicating potential operational inefficiencies. Earlier years show negative free cash flow, highlighting consistent cash outflows. The lack of positive free cash flow growth and operating cash flow to net income ratio raises concerns about the company's ability to generate cash sustainably.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.60B5.71B5.39B5.10B3.96B2.39B
Gross Profit2.64B2.79B2.77B2.63B1.96B1.05B
EBITDA295.77M185.71M-440.06M-649.49M-852.57M-708.51M
Net Income227.63M83.38M-549.86M-739.80M-982.76M-1.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B1.81B1.67B2.28B2.63B2.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments610.92M655.78M526.66M1.02B826.88M1.19B
Total Debt1.83B1.85B1.60B1.48B1.25B987.73M
Total Liabilities3.85B3.90B3.80B3.75B3.36B3.48B
Stockholders Equity-2.06B-2.14B-2.19B-1.54B-807.07M-1.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-79.70M-456.00M-672.88M-1.41B-358.42M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-67.91M-438.14M-603.12M-1.35B-321.56M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.59M125.57M125.82M47.07M760.97M
Financing Cash Flow0.00228.51M-18.94M184.65M1.78B26.56M

Youdao Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.10
Price Trends
50DMA
10.18
Negative
100DMA
9.53
Negative
200DMA
9.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
38.94
Neutral
STOCH
32.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.00, below the 50-day MA of 10.18, and above the 200-day MA of 9.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DAO.

Youdao Risk Analysis

Youdao disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Youdao reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Youdao Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.35B10.6215.51%<0.01%3.48%12.63%
63
Neutral
$1.32B-7.43%8.10%43.35%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$727.49M-1.78%2.53%95.79%
49
Neutral
$584.58M-21.21%48.81%61.64%
46
Neutral
$1.09B55.18-0.65%153.79%
46
Neutral
$459.08M-11.88%2.20%-229.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAO
Youdao
9.10
2.38
35.42%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
2.40
-0.41
-14.59%
AFYA
Afya
14.99
-1.03
-6.43%
COUR
Coursera
7.94
>-0.01
-0.13%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
4.97
-2.99
-37.56%
KLC
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc
3.88
-19.91
-83.69%

Youdao Corporate Events

Youdao, Inc. Announces Annual General Meeting for December 2025
Nov 20, 2025

Youdao, Inc. announced it will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders on December 16, 2025, in Beijing, China. The meeting will serve as an open forum for shareholders and beneficial owners of the Company’s American Depositary Shares to discuss company affairs with management, with no proposals submitted for approval. The record date for determining eligible shareholders to attend is set for December 1, 2025.

Youdao Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Growth in Online Marketing
Nov 20, 2025

Youdao, Inc. reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a 3.6% increase in total net revenues compared to the same period in 2024, reaching RMB1,628.5 million. Despite a decline in revenues from learning services and smart devices, the company saw a significant 51.1% increase in online marketing services revenues, driven by strong demand from the NetEase group and overseas markets. The company’s gross margin decreased to 42.2% from 50.2% in 2024, and income from operations fell by 73.7%. CEO Dr. Feng Zhou highlighted the strategic investments in AI technology and the expansion of Youdao Lingshi, which contributed to over 40% growth in AI-driven subscription services. Looking forward, Youdao aims to continue executing its AI-Native Strategy to drive customer value and achieve financial targets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 23, 2025