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Youdao (DAO)
NYSE:DAO
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Youdao (DAO) AI Stock Analysis

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DAO

Youdao

(NYSE:DAO)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-12.77% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by financial quality concerns (negative equity and weak cash flow) and a high valuation (P/E 76.52). Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but momentum appears overextended (RSI ~72, Stoch ~91). The latest earnings call was mixed, with strong online marketing growth and improved cash outflow offset by a sharp operating profit decline and weakness in Learning Services and Smart Devices.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A near-49% gross margin indicates durable unit economics in core digital learning and software offerings. High gross profitability provides structural capacity to fund R&D and AI initiatives, absorb customer acquisition costs, and sustain product investment even if operating leverage is uneven.
Online marketing services expansion
Rapid, sustainable growth in online marketing diversifies revenue beyond cyclic learning products. Strong demand from NetEase and overseas clients suggests scalable B2B sales, steadier cash inflows, and higher-margin revenue that can offset volatility in consumer learning segments over the next several quarters.
AI product momentum and certification
Certified AI capabilities and fast-growing AI subscriptions signal meaningful tech differentiation. Certification of Confucius 3 and >40% subscription growth support a long-term shift to AI-native services, improving customer retention potential and enabling higher lifetime value as products mature and scale.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Material negative equity reflects accumulated deficits and elevates solvency risk, limiting borrowing capacity and strategic flexibility. Over months this can constrain M&A, R&D spending, and capital-intensive initiatives unless earnings translate into meaningful retained profits or balance-sheet remediation occurs.
Weak cash generation
An inability to consistently convert revenue to positive operating and free cash flow undermines self-funded growth. Persistent zero/negative cash generation increases reliance on external financing, raises refinancing risk, and limits the company's capacity to sustain investment cycles or weather macroeconomic stress.
Profit compression and core segment declines
Sharp operating profit drop and declining revenues in core Learning Services and Smart Devices weaken the company's foundational revenue base. If investments (AI, marketing) don't drive durable offsetting returns, margin recovery could be prolonged, pressuring long-term profitability and free cash flow conversion.

Youdao (DAO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Youdao Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYoudao, Inc., an internet technology company, provides online services in the field of content, community, communication, and commerce in China. It operates through three segments: Learning Services, Smart Devices, and Online Marketing Services. The company provides various learning content, applications, and solutions, which cover topics and target people from various age groups for their learning needs through its websites and mobile applications. It offers online knowledge tools, which include Youdao and other dictionaries and translation tools; learning services consisting of tutoring, fee-based premium, and other services; STEAM courses, adult and vocational courses, and other courses, such as China University MOOC; smart devices, such as Youdao Dictionary Pen, Youdao Listening Pod, Youdao Smart Lamp, Youdao Pocket Translator, and Youdao Super Dictionary; education digitalization solutions comprising technologies and solutions licensed to schools or enterprise customers, such as Youdao Smart Learning Terminal, and Youdao Smart Cloud; and online marketing services. In addition, the company provides online courses comprising Youdao Premium Courses and NetEase Cloud Classroom, as well as technical support to the variable interest entities (VIEs). Youdao, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Youdao, Inc. is a subsidiary of NetEase, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyYoudao generates revenue through multiple streams, including subscription fees from its online education services and language learning apps. The company also earns money through the sale of its educational software products and digital content. Additionally, Youdao has established partnerships with educational institutions and organizations, which contribute to its revenue through collaborative programs and services. Advertising and promotional activities within its platforms further supplement its earnings, allowing the company to capitalize on its user base and increase revenue from educational content and services.

Youdao Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in AI-driven subscriptions and online marketing services, which experienced strong growth. However, there were significant challenges in maintaining operating profit and revenues from the Learning Services and Smart Devices segments. This balance between growth in certain areas and decline in others indicates a neutral sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Revenue Growth
Net revenues reached RMB 1.6 billion, up 3.6% year-over-year.
Operating Profit Growth Over Nine Months
Operating profit for the first nine months was RMB 161.1 million, a 149.2% year-over-year increase.
Online Marketing Services Surge
Net revenues for online marketing services reached RMB 739.7 million, a 51.1% increase year-over-year.
AI-Driven Subscription Growth
Total sales of AI-driven subscription services reached approximately RMB 100 million, representing over 40% year-over-year growth.
Strong Performance in AI and Translation Services
Confucius 3 translation model supports real-time bidirectional translation across 38 languages and achieved certification from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Decline
Operating profit was RMB 28.3 million, a decrease of 73.7% year-over-year.
Learning Services Revenue Decline
Revenues from the Learning Services segment were RMB 643.1 million, down 16.2% year-over-year.
Smart Devices Segment Decline
Net revenues for the Smart Devices segment were RMB 245.8 million, down 22.1% year-over-year.
Gross Margin Decrease
Total gross profit was RMB 687.9 million, representing a 12.9% decrease from the same period of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Youdao Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several forward-looking metrics highlighting its financial performance and strategic direction. Net revenues for the third quarter reached RMB 1.6 billion, marking a 3.6% increase year-over-year, while operating profit declined by 73.7% to RMB 28.3 million due to increased investments in Youdao Lingshi and online marketing services. The Learning Services segment saw revenues of RMB 643.1 million, down 16.2% year-over-year, with digital content services contributing RMB 425.9 million. Youdao Lingshi achieved over 40% growth in gross billings and a retention rate exceeding 75%. The online marketing services segment reported record net revenues of RMB 739.7 million, up 51.1% year-over-year, driven by demand from the NetEase Group and overseas markets. Operating cash outflow improved by 31.4% to RMB 58.6 million. The company maintained a gross margin for online marketing services of 25.4%, with a long-term target range of 25% to 35%. Operating expenses were reduced to RMB 659.6 million. Overall, Youdao aims to achieve robust year-over-year operating profit growth and reach annual operational cash flow breakeven by the end of the year.

Youdao Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue growth and a solid 2024 gross margin (48.86%) are positives, but financial risk is elevated due to negative stockholders’ equity (-$2.14B) and weak cash generation (2024 operating cash flow and free cash flow at $0). Net profitability remains thin (1.46% net margin in 2024).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Youdao has shown a consistent revenue growth over the years, with the most recent annual increase of 4.39% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 stands at 48.86%, indicating a healthy profitability at the gross level. However, despite improving from a net loss in previous years, the net profit margin is 1.46% in 2024, showing that profitability at the net level remains a challenge. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low but show a positive trend, reflecting operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$2.14 billion, resulting in an uncalculated debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability. The equity ratio is also negative due to the negative equity. Despite these concerns, the company has substantial cash reserves of $655.79 million, offering some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash generation, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both at $0 for 2024, indicating potential operational inefficiencies. Earlier years show negative free cash flow, highlighting consistent cash outflows. The lack of positive free cash flow growth and operating cash flow to net income ratio raises concerns about the company's ability to generate cash sustainably.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.69B5.71B5.39B5.10B3.96B2.39B
Gross Profit2.55B2.79B2.77B2.63B1.96B1.05B
EBITDA214.10M185.71M-440.06M-649.49M-852.57M-708.51M
Net Income143.39M83.38M-549.86M-739.80M-982.76M-1.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.74B1.81B1.67B2.28B2.63B2.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments552.18M655.78M526.66M1.02B826.88M1.19B
Total Debt1.82B1.85B1.60B1.48B1.25B987.73M
Total Liabilities3.72B3.90B3.80B3.75B3.36B3.48B
Stockholders Equity-2.04B-2.14B-2.19B-1.54B-807.07M-1.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-79.70M-456.00M-672.88M-1.41B-358.42M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-67.91M-438.14M-603.12M-1.35B-321.56M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.59M125.57M125.82M47.07M760.97M
Financing Cash Flow0.00228.51M-18.94M184.65M1.78B26.56M

Youdao Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.61
Price Trends
50DMA
10.20
Positive
100DMA
10.15
Positive
200DMA
9.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
44.78
Neutral
STOCH
8.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.52, above the 50-day MA of 10.20, and above the 200-day MA of 9.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DAO.

Youdao Risk Analysis

Youdao disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Youdao reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Youdao Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.36B10.6515.51%<0.01%3.48%12.63%
68
Neutral
$694.78M-179.48-1.78%2.53%95.79%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$1.02B-21.30-7.43%8.10%43.35%
55
Neutral
$1.24B63.11-1.51%155.73%
51
Neutral
$552.55M-7.45-11.88%2.20%-229.99%
49
Neutral
$550.48M-10.62-21.21%48.81%61.64%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAO
Youdao
10.40
2.35
29.19%
GOTU
Gaotu Techedu
2.26
0.12
5.61%
AFYA
Afya
15.04
-0.90
-5.65%
COUR
Coursera
6.06
-1.75
-22.41%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
4.81
-2.51
-34.29%
KLC
KinderCare Learning Companies Inc
4.67
-15.66
-77.03%

Youdao Corporate Events

Youdao, Inc. Announces Annual General Meeting for December 2025
Nov 20, 2025

Youdao, Inc. announced it will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders on December 16, 2025, in Beijing, China. The meeting will serve as an open forum for shareholders and beneficial owners of the Company’s American Depositary Shares to discuss company affairs with management, with no proposals submitted for approval. The record date for determining eligible shareholders to attend is set for December 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAO) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Youdao stock, see the DAO Stock Forecast page.

Youdao Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Growth in Online Marketing
Nov 20, 2025

Youdao, Inc. reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a 3.6% increase in total net revenues compared to the same period in 2024, reaching RMB1,628.5 million. Despite a decline in revenues from learning services and smart devices, the company saw a significant 51.1% increase in online marketing services revenues, driven by strong demand from the NetEase group and overseas markets. The company’s gross margin decreased to 42.2% from 50.2% in 2024, and income from operations fell by 73.7%. CEO Dr. Feng Zhou highlighted the strategic investments in AI technology and the expansion of Youdao Lingshi, which contributed to over 40% growth in AI-driven subscription services. Looking forward, Youdao aims to continue executing its AI-Native Strategy to drive customer value and achieve financial targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAO) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Youdao stock, see the DAO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026