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Camden National Corp. (CAC)
NASDAQ:CAC

Camden National (CAC) AI Stock Analysis

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CAC

Camden National

(NASDAQ:CAC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
â–²(6.54% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/07/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality (notably weak/volatile cash flow despite solid profitability) and bearish near-term technical momentum. Offsetting these are an attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and a generally positive earnings call featuring record results, improving margin dynamics, and a meaningful buyback authorization.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability & efficiency
Sustained high profitability and a sub-52% efficiency ratio indicate durable operating leverage and disciplined expense management. Over 2–6 months this supports reinvestment, dividend continuity and capacity to absorb credit volatility while funding strategic initiatives.
Solid capital position & buyback
A repurchase authorization and regulatory capital above internal targets provide flexible capital management. With rebuilt capital post-acquisition, the firm can return excess capital or defend the balance sheet, supporting long-term shareholder returns and strategic optionality.
Wealth/advice growth and digital adoption
Growing wealth AUA and rising digital engagement diversify fee income and deepen customer relationships. Product innovation (youth banking) and digital traction among younger cohorts support durable cross-sell, lower acquisition costs and a steadier noninterest income base over time.
Negative Factors
Weakened operating cash flow
Sharp declines and volatility in operating and free cash flow undermine the quality of earnings and reduce internally available capital for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment. This raises reliance on external funding and increases vulnerability to funding cost shifts over months.
Margin compression from 2021–22 peaks
Material step-down in margins versus prior peaks signals lower structural profitability and reduced return-on-equity potential. Sustained lower margins limit capital generation and constrain flexibility to invest or absorb adverse credit or rate scenarios over the medium term.
Commercial real estate loss & loan softness
A recent CRE charge-off tied to office assets and a quarter of loan decline highlight exposure to secular office-market weakness and prepayment dynamics. Persistent CRE pressure could increase provisioning needs and erode credit metrics over multiple quarters.

Camden National (CAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Camden National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCamden National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Camden National Bank that provides various commercial and consumer banking products and services for consumer, institutional, municipal, non-profit, and commercial customers. The company accepts checking, savings, time, and brokered deposits, as well as deposits with the certificate of deposit account registry system. It also offers non-owner-occupied commercial estate loans, owner-occupied commercial real estate loans, unsecured fully-guaranteed commercial loans backed by the U.S. small business administration, loans secured by one-to four-family properties, and consumer and home equity loans. In addition, the company provides brokerage and insurance services through its financial offerings consisting of college, retirement, estate planning, mutual funds, strategic asset management accounts, and variable and fixed annuities. Further, it offers a range of fiduciary and asset management, wealth management, investment management, financial planning, and trustee services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 57 branches within Maine; one residential mortgage lending office in Braintree, Massachusetts; two locations in New Hampshire, including a branch in Portsmouth and a commercial loan production office in Manchester; and an online residential mortgage and small commercial digital loan platform, as well as 66 ATMs. Camden National Corporation was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Camden, Maine.
How the Company Makes MoneyCamden National generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which includes personal, commercial, and mortgage loans. In addition to interest income, the company earns non-interest income from fees associated with various banking services, including account maintenance, transaction fees, and investment advisory services. The bank's investment management and wealth management services also contribute to its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations help drive customer engagement and loyalty, further enhancing the company's earnings potential. Additionally, Camden National may benefit from economic growth in its operating regions, which can lead to increased loan demand and higher asset quality.

Camden National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, record-setting financial results, expanded margin and revenue momentum, high profitability and efficiency, solid capital and reserves, meaningful organic growth in wealth, home equity, and digital engagement, and tangible automation gains. Near-term headwinds include a Q4 loan decline driven by elevated prepayments, a $3 million CRE charge-off (with good recovery), elevated Q4 noninterest expense and seasonally boosted noninterest income that is expected to normalize in 2026, and some sensitivity to funding/yield dynamics and securities yields. On balance, the positives — including record earnings, margin expansion, robust capital and credit metrics, and multiple growth initiatives — significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Earnings
Reported Q4 net income of $22.6 million and diluted EPS of $1.33; full-year net income $65.2 million and diluted EPS $3.84. Q4 earnings were up 6% versus the prior quarter, marking a record-setting quarter.
Net Interest Margin and Revenue Expansion
Net interest margin expanded 13 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 3.29%, driving net interest income growth of 5% QoQ and overall revenue growth of 4% QoQ.
Strong Profitability and Efficiency
Return on average assets ~1.28%-1.30% and return on average tangible equity of 19.06%. Reported efficiency ratio was 51.69% (non-GAAP efficiency ratio below 52%). Management expects mid-50s efficiency ratio as a normalized long-run range while reinvesting in the franchise.
Capital Position and Share Repurchase Capacity
Regulatory capital levels above internal targets and management rebuilt capital faster than initial projections following the Northway acquisition. Announced a new repurchase program to buy up to 850,000 shares (~5% of shares outstanding).
Loan Loss Reserve and Credit Coverage
Loan loss reserves totaled $45.3 million, representing 91 basis points of total loans and covering nonperforming loans at 6.4x. Nonperforming assets were 10 basis points of total assets and total past due loans were 16 basis points of total loans.
Deposit Momentum and Strong Savings Growth
Deposits increased 2% since September 30. High-yield savings balances rose 5% in the quarter and 28% organically for the year. Interest checking balances increased 11% QoQ. Management anticipates deposit balances relatively flat with Q4 in early 2026 but expects low- to mid-single-digit growth for the year.
Home Equity and Loan Growth
Home equity lending performed strongly: +6% in the quarter and +18% organic growth for the year. Loans grew organically 2% for the year; management expects loan growth of flat to +2% in the current quarter and mid-single-digits for the year as pipeline converts.
Wealth & Brokerage Outperformance
Wealth and brokerage assets under administration grew 15% organically to $2.4 billion as of 12/31/2025, with focus on advice-led interactions and treasury management expansion.
Digital Product Adoption and Engagement
Launched Family Wallet (no-fee, parent-controlled youth banking). Roundup savings processed nearly 1 million transactions with users saving an average of $103 each. Digital engagement increased 19% year-over-year among customers 45 and under (monthly logins).
Operational Automation and Efficiency Gains
Enterprise automation uses over 143 bots and has processed more than 5 million tasks, freeing capacity for higher-value activities and supporting cost discipline.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Loan Decline and Prepayment Impact
Total loans were down 1% in the fourth quarter; management attributed the decline to higher loan payoffs and prepayments late in the quarter that muted production despite comparable production levels in Q3 and Q4.
Commercial Real Estate Charge-Off
Completed a short sale on a classified commercial office loan, resulting in a $3 million charge-off in Q4. The loan had been classified for nearly two years; the exit produced an 88% recovery but highlights continued office-market softness in some pockets.
Rising Noninterest Expense and Near-Term Expense Guidance
Reported Q4 noninterest expense of $36.9 million (increase versus prior quarter) driven by investments, seasonality (year-end incentive true-ups, healthcare), and other corporate matters. First quarter operating expense guidance is $36M–$37M.
Normalization and Guidance for Noninterest Income
Q4 noninterest income totaled $14.1 million but included seasonally elevated items (Visa bonus $979k and loan-swap fees $594k). Management estimates 2026 noninterest income will normalize to $12M–$13M, implying lower recurring fees versus Q4.
Margin and Funding Sensitivities
While funding costs improved 11 basis points to 1.79% in Q4, management noted potential yield compression and that margin expansion may slow absent additional rate cuts. Guidance implied core NIM gains of only a few basis points in Q1 (funding cost improvement of ~7–10 bps offset by some yield compression).
Securities Yield Gap and Slightly Higher Tax Rate
Analyst commentary noted securities yields appear roughly 150 basis points below market; management also expects the effective tax rate to 'sneak up' roughly one percentage point in 2026 due to nonrecurrence of certain tax credits.
Company Guidance
Management guided that core NIM should expand a couple basis points in Q1 (after Q4 NIM of 3.29%, +13 bps QoQ) with funding costs improving ~7–10 bps from Q4’s 1.79%; they expect Q1 loan growth flat to +2% (mid-single-digit loan growth for the year) and deposit balances roughly flat with Q4 despite seasonality (management also cited low- to mid-single-digit deposit upside), and forecast 2026 noninterest income of $12–13 million (Q4 noninterest income was $14.1M). They guided Q1 operating expenses of $36–37M (Q4 noninterest expense $36.9M) and a normalized efficiency ratio in the mid‑fifties (Q4 efficiency 51.69%), noted Q4 provision was $3M with loan loss reserves of $45.3M (91 bps of loans, 6.4x NPLs), said regulatory capital remains above internal targets, and authorized repurchases up to 850,000 shares (~5% outstanding). Management also highlighted recent results and run-rates that frame the guidance: Q4 net income $22.6M (FY $65.2M), EPS $1.33 Q4 ($3.84 FY), Q4 fair value accretion ~$5.3M (base ~$4.5–4.75M), AUA up 15% to $2.4B, and digital engagement +19% YoY among customers 45 and under.

Camden National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue momentum and profitability are solid, and leverage improved in 2025, but the sharp deterioration and volatility in operating/free cash flow is a major quality-of-earnings concern. Margins and ROE also remain below the 2021–2022 peak.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has accelerated meaningfully in 2025 (+6.3% vs. ~0.2% in 2024) and is well above 2020–2021 levels, showing a solid top-line trajectory. Profitability remains healthy with a ~17–18% net margin in 2023–2025 and steady operating profitability. The key weakness is a notable step-down in margins versus 2021–2022 (when net margins were ~29–36%), suggesting the earnings profile is less robust than the peak period even as revenue grows.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet is reasonably supported by equity, and leverage improved in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.93) versus 2023–2024 (above 1.0). Total assets have also grown steadily over time, indicating franchise expansion. Offsetting this, debt has risen materially since 2021–2022, and returns on equity have moderated to ~9–10% in 2024–2025 from ~13–14% in 2022, implying less efficient capital generation recently.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation has weakened sharply: operating cash flow fell to ~$25.5M in 2025 from ~$60.9M in 2024 and ~$105.2M in 2022, and free cash flow declined ~68% in 2025. A positive is that free cash flow is still roughly in line with net income in 2025 (free cash flow to net income ~1.0). However, the overall direction and volatility of cash flow over the last several years is the main concern versus the relatively steady profitability shown on the income statement.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue367.34M289.72M250.32M208.89M193.91M
Gross Profit230.62M172.11M156.07M179.29M186.05M
EBITDA91.54M69.33M57.80M81.16M91.00M
Net Income65.16M53.00M43.38M61.44M69.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.97B5.81B5.71B5.67B5.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B792.76M725.61M771.30M1.73B
Total Debt644.29M544.95M529.94M309.51M255.94M
Total Liabilities6.28B5.27B5.22B5.22B4.96B
Stockholders Equity696.56M531.23M495.06M451.28M541.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.52M55.36M64.89M103.00M140.86M
Operating Cash Flow65.22M60.93M67.51M105.18M142.72M
Investing Cash Flow-57.73M30.33M-7.03M-487.72M-649.09M
Financing Cash Flow-25.59M23.90M-36.10M237.34M581.23M

Camden National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price45.99
Price Trends
50DMA
46.82
Negative
100DMA
43.62
Positive
200DMA
41.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
43.80
Neutral
STOCH
48.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.46, below the 50-day MA of 46.82, and above the 200-day MA of 41.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAC.

Camden National Risk Analysis

Camden National disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Camden National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Camden National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$749.59M12.186.83%4.16%8.23%-0.07%
69
Neutral
$681.89M9.8114.51%3.09%4.29%10.56%
69
Neutral
$815.56M10.0515.62%3.55%-0.23%10.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$666.86M7.2914.41%2.93%47.65%101.00%
64
Neutral
$778.40M8.099.49%3.66%24.08%9.83%
61
Neutral
$785.04M12.777.31%2.58%12.09%-15.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAC
Camden National
45.99
6.96
17.84%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
12.17
3.14
34.82%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
31.21
6.47
26.15%
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services
34.20
4.83
16.44%
IBCP
Independent Bank
33.12
3.91
13.38%
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares
28.30
2.02
7.70%

Camden National Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Camden National Announces New Common Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Camden National Corporation announced that its board of directors had authorized a new share repurchase program for up to 850,000 shares of its common stock, representing about 5% of its issued and outstanding shares as of December 31, 2025, with the program becoming effective on January 7, 2026. The repurchases, which may be conducted via open market purchases, accelerated share repurchase transactions, or privately negotiated deals under Rule 10b5-1 plans, are designed to provide the company with flexible capital management options and can be adjusted or suspended depending on market conditions, the company’s capital position, and internal capital generation, potentially affecting share liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Camden National Announces Quarterly Dividend Declaration
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Camden National Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share, resulting in an annualized yield of 3.68% based on the December 15, 2025 stock price. The dividend is set to be paid on January 30, 2026, to shareholders recorded by January 15, 2026, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAC) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Camden National stock, see the CAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026