Peabody Energy Comm (BTU)
NYSE:BTU
Top Page
Peabody Energy Comm
(NYSE:BTU)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(11.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
BTU scores above average primarily due to a very strong balance sheet and solid cash generation despite a TTM earnings downturn, plus favorable technical momentum with price above key moving averages. The score is held back by the current net loss (negative P/E) and guidance-related near-term operational/cost headwinds (especially seaborne thermal volume pressure and met production interruptions).
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Extremely low leverage and sizeable equity provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, weather commodity cycles, and support dividends or buybacks. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves optionality on strategic investments over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Profitability weakness and margin compression
Sharply compressed margins and a recent GAAP loss indicate structural pricing and cost pressure in seaborne markets. If pricing or mix do not sustainably improve, returns on capital and shareholder returns may remain constrained for several quarters to years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Extremely low leverage and sizeable equity provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, weather commodity cycles, and support dividends or buybacks. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves optionality on strategic investments over the next several years.
Read all positive factors
Peabody Energy Comm (BTU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.47B
Dividend Yield0.96%
Average Volume (3M)3.78M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth-7.21%
EPS Growth-106.39%
CountryUS
Employees5,600
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryCoal
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding121,747,870
10 Day Avg. Volume3,681,706
30 Day Avg. Volume3,783,386
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.60
Price to Book (P/B)1.02
Price to Sales (P/S)0.94
P/FCF Ratio6.85
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.95
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.86
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit10.38
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.24
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$40.30Price Target Upside45.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)3.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.52B
Peabody Energy Comm Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Peabody Energy Corporation engages in coal mining business in the United States, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, India, Indonesia, China, Vietnam, South Korea, and internationally. The company operates through Seaborne Thermal Mining, Seaborne Metallurg...
How the Company Makes Money
Peabody primarily makes money by producing coal and selling it to customers under a mix of long-term contracts and shorter-term/spot market sales. Its main revenue streams are: (1) Thermal coal sales to utilities and other power generators, where ...
Peabody Energy Comm Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Shows earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for each segment, providing insight into the profitability and financial health of different parts of the company.
Shows earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for each segment, providing insight into the profitability and financial health of different parts of the company.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyPeabody Energy Comm Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strong operational and financial positives: record safety and environmental performance, Centurion coming online ahead of schedule with attractive NPV and long life, improving metallurgical coal realizations and recovering seaborne met pricing, solid cash generation and a healthy balance sheet, and notable commercial contract wins. Headwinds are primarily near-term and operational: lower seaborne thermal volumes in 2026, cost pressure from lower volumes and currency, production interruptions from longwall moves and remaining development capital for Centurion. On balance the positives (strategic asset delivery, improving prices, strong cash flow and liquidity) materially outweigh the near-term operational and cost headwinds.Positive Updates
Record Safety Performance
Incident rate improved to 0.71 per 200,000 hours worked, a 12% improvement versus the prior all-time record, marking another record safety year.
Negative Updates
Seaborne Thermal Volumes and Cost Pressure in 2026
Seaborne thermal volumes are expected to be lower in 2026 due to the Wambo underground closure and reduced production at Wilpinjong; management guides seaborne thermal costs to approximately $50/ton (up vs. 2025) driven largely by lower volumes and a stronger Australian dollar assumption (~$0.70 AUD).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Safety Performance
Incident rate improved to 0.71 per 200,000 hours worked, a 12% improvement versus the prior all-time record, marking another record safety year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Peabody’s 2026 guidance calls for seaborne thermal shipments of ~12.5 million tons (including ~8.0 million export tons) with costs ≈$50/ton and a quality mix ~45% Newcastle/55% higher-ash; seaborne metallurgical volumes rising to ~10.8 million tons (Centurion ~3.5 million tons in 2026, ramping to ~4.7 million tons by 2028) with met costs ≈$113/ton and segment-wide realizations targeted at ~80% of the premium hard coking coal index (management using a $225 benchmark), US thermal volumes roughly ~82 million tons (≈78 million tons priced at ~$13.40/ton) with costs ≈$11.50/ton, Other US thermal ~13.7 million tons (≈13.2 million tons priced at ~$54.40/ton) with costs ≈$47/ton; total 2026 capex is estimated at ~$340 million (about $70 million lower than 2025), AUD assumption $0.70, and Centurion economics include an NPV of ~$2.1 billion at $225 benchmark, all-in costs ~$105/short ton (2024$), a >25‑year mine life and a 140 million ton integrated plan, while management emphasized improving free cash flow and prioritizing shareholder returns.Peabody Energy Comm Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.86B | 4.24B | 4.95B | 4.98B | 3.32B |
| Gross Profit | 105.60M | 815.80M | 1.56B | 1.69B | 765.20M |
| EBITDA | 431.40M | 954.90M | 1.51B | 1.79B | 907.00M |
| Net Income | -52.90M | 370.90M | 759.60M | 1.30B | 360.10M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.81B | 5.95B | 5.96B | 5.61B | 4.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 575.30M | 700.40M | 969.30M | 1.31B | 954.30M |
| Total Debt | 511.40M | 467.20M | 399.20M | 361.60M | 1.18B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.23B | 2.24B | 2.35B | 2.32B | 3.13B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.54B | 3.65B | 3.55B | 3.23B | 1.76B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 528.30M | 204.00M | 687.20M | 949.40M | 236.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 949.70M | 606.50M | 1.04B | 1.17B | 420.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -964.40M | -598.10M | -342.60M | -28.70M | -131.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -83.40M | -276.00M | -460.30M | -681.60M | -43.40M |
Peabody Energy Comm Technical Analysis
Negative
27.69
Price Trends
34.09
Negative
32.59
Negative
27.18
Positive
Market Momentum
-1.76
Positive
33.36
Neutral
7.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.85, below the 50-day MA of 34.09, and above the 200-day MA of 27.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTU.
Peabody Energy Comm Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $3.40B | 9.58 | 17.15% | 11.05% | -9.45% | -46.37% | |
69 Neutral | $3.47B | -68.38 | -1.47% | 0.96% | -7.21% | -106.39% | |
66 Neutral | $2.48B | -42.11 | -3.88% | ― | -32.53% | -112.77% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | $4.55B | ― | -4.05% | 0.45% | 64.05% | -103.03% | |
60 Neutral | $4.62B | 50.49 | 2.71% | 0.36% | -23.25% | -90.78% | |
50 Neutral | $899.27M | -18.74 | -12.01% | 2.83% | -16.99% | -184.02% |
* Energy Sector Average
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
27.69
15.49
127.00%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
25.65
1.47
6.08%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
186.86
68.85
58.34%
METC
Ramaco Resources
13.23
4.85
57.84%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
85.77
38.68
82.16%
CNR
Core Natural Resources
87.60
14.06
19.12%
Peabody Energy Comm Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Peabody Energy Updates Centurion Mine Outlook and Guidance
Negative
Mar 30, 2026
Peabody Energy Corporation said that, based on recent events, first-quarter 2026 sales volumes from its Centurion Mine are now expected to total about 250,000 tons, falling short of prior expectations due to greater-than-anticipated mine commissio...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Peabody Highlights Strategy and Market Outlook at BMO Conference
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
Peabody Energy representatives will present at the BMO Global Metals, Mining and Critical Minerals Conference running from February 23 to 25, 2026, outlining the company’s strategic focus, business developments, and market trends, with suppo...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Peabody Energy Reports Weaker Earnings but Advances Energy Initiatives
Negative
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Peabody reported that fourth-quarter 2025 net income attributable to common stockholders fell to $10.4 million from $30.6 million a year earlier, as full-year 2025 revenue declined to $3.86 billion and the company swung to a n...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.