Peabody Energy Comm (BTU) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.28B
• Dividend Yield: 1.11%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.65M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.44
• Revenue Growth: -7.21%
• EPS Growth: -106.39%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,600
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Coal
• EPS (TTM): -0.57
• Shares Outstanding: 121,600,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,650,714
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,649,467
• PEG Ratio: -0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.72
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.62
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.84
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.94
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.78
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.07
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.78
• 1Y Price Target: $29.14
• Price Target Upside: 8.01% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): -0.48
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $3.82B

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: $26.00 ▼(-3.63% Downside)

Peabody Energy's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability impacting its financial health. Technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. However, the earnings call provided some optimism with strong operational performance and future prospects, particularly in the U.S. thermal coal market and the development of the Centurion mine.

Positive Factors

Centurion Mine Development

The Centurion mine is expected to be the lowest cost metallurgical coal mine, significantly enhancing Peabody's competitive position in the market.

U.S. Thermal Coal Market Trends

Increased U.S. electricity demand and coal plant utilization boost Peabody's thermal coal sales, supporting revenue stability and growth.

Balance Sheet Resilience

A strong balance sheet with substantial liquidity provides financial flexibility, allowing Peabody to weather market volatility and invest in growth.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue and Profitability

Negative revenue growth and declining margins indicate operational challenges, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

Free Cash Flow Decline

A significant decline in free cash flow growth limits Peabody's ability to reinvest in operations and return capital to shareholders.

GAAP Net Loss

Sustained net losses could strain financial resources and hinder Peabody's ability to fund strategic initiatives and maintain shareholder returns.

Peabody Energy Comm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is a leading global coal producer, primarily focused on the extraction and sale of coal used for electricity generation and steel production. The company operates in the United States and Australia, managing a range of mining operations that include both surface and underground mines. Peabody's core products include thermal coal, which is used for power generation, and metallurgical coal, which is essential for steel production. With a commitment to sustainable mining practices and innovation, Peabody Energy aims to meet the world's evolving energy needs while maintaining environmental stewardship.

How the Company Makes Money

Peabody Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of coal products, with key revenue streams coming from thermal coal and metallurgical coal sales to utilities and industrial customers. The company’s revenue model is driven by long-term contracts and spot market sales, allowing it to capitalize on fluctuations in coal prices. Additionally, Peabody benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various regions, which enhance its market access and operational efficiencies. Factors contributing to its earnings include global energy demand, regulatory dynamics affecting coal usage, and the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.

Peabody Energy Comm Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Peabody Energy is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin and reduced operational efficiency. However, the balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, which is a positive aspect.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a negative net profit margin of -0.83%, reflecting a challenging period for the company. Gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, and revenue growth is negative, indicating a contraction in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting reduced operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet remains relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.115, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period, reflecting recent profitability challenges. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 54.99% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, indicating some cash generation capability despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but lower than previous years, reflecting reduced cash efficiency.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.96B	4.24B	4.95B	4.98B	3.32B	2.88B
Gross Profit	434.90M	815.80M	1.56B	1.69B	765.20M	356.20M
EBITDA	453.60M	954.90M	1.51B	1.79B	907.00M	-1.37B
Net Income	-32.70M	370.90M	759.60M	1.30B	360.10M	-1.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.74B	5.95B	5.96B	5.61B	4.95B	4.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	603.30M	700.40M	969.30M	1.31B	954.30M	709.20M
Total Debt	407.60M	467.20M	399.20M	361.60M	1.18B	1.67B
Total Liabilities	2.16B	2.24B	2.35B	2.32B	3.13B	3.69B
Stockholders Equity	3.54B	3.65B	3.55B	3.23B	1.76B	929.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	87.50M	204.00M	687.20M	949.40M	236.90M	-207.20M
Operating Cash Flow	533.20M	606.50M	1.04B	1.17B	420.00M	-9.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-609.60M	-598.10M	-342.60M	-28.70M	-131.50M	-206.70M
Financing Cash Flow	-81.00M	-276.00M	-460.30M	-681.60M	-43.40M	193.40M

Peabody Energy Comm Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 26.98
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.29, below the 50-day MA of 28.54, and above the 200-day MA of 18.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BTU.

Peabody Energy Comm Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ARLP	72 Outperform	$3.09B	12.73	13.07%	10.80%	-9.45%	-46.37%
HCC	69 Neutral	$4.14B	117.90	1.67%	0.41%	-23.25%	-90.78%
NRP	67 Neutral	$1.38B	9.64	26.19%	4.00%	-14.79%	-17.10%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
AMR	57 Neutral	$2.06B	―	-2.87%	―	-32.53%	-112.77%
BTU	53 Neutral	$3.28B	―	-0.87%	1.11%	-7.21%	-106.39%
METC	48 Neutral	$997.48M	-26.84	-7.40%	3.06%	-16.99%	-184.02%

Peabody Energy Comm Corporate Events

Peabody Energy Appoints Hodges and Walker to Board

On November 19, 2025, Peabody Energy Corporation appointed Georganne Hodges and Clayton Walker to its Board of Directors, with terms expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Ms. Hodges and Mr. Walker bring extensive experience in energy and mining, expected to enhance the board’s expertise and perspectives. This strategic move is anticipated to strengthen Peabody’s industry positioning and operational oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTU) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peabody Energy Comm stock, see the BTU Stock Forecast page.

Peabody Energy’s Earnings Call: Strong Q3 Amid Challenges

Peabody Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a sentiment of cautious optimism, underscored by robust operational performance and promising future developments. The company is poised for growth with the upcoming Centurion mine and favorable market conditions in the U.S. thermal coal segment. However, financial setbacks due to acquisition termination costs and challenges in the seaborne met coal market were highlighted as areas of concern.

Peabody Energy Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Peabody Energy Corporation, a major player in the coal industry, is known for its production of coal used in energy and steel manufacturing, with a commitment to sustainability shaping its strategic direction.

Peabody Energy Announces Q3 2025 Dividend Amid Loss

On October 30, 2025, Peabody Energy announced a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, payable on December 3, 2025. The company reported a net loss of $70.1 million for Q3 2025, attributed to costs from a terminated acquisition, but achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $99.5 million, driven by increased revenues and improved coal shipment volumes. Peabody is advancing its rare earth initiative and benefiting from favorable U.S. policies supporting coal-fueled plants.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTU) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peabody Energy Comm stock, see the BTU Stock Forecast page.

Peabody Energy Updates By-Laws for Governance Clarity

On October 14, 2025, Peabody Energy Corporation’s Board of Directors amended and restated the company’s by-laws, which became effective the same day. The changes include new procedures and disclosure requirements for director nominations and stockholder meeting proposals, as well as clarifications on meeting conduct and the addition of a severability provision. These updates aim to streamline governance and enhance transparency in the company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTU) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peabody Energy Comm stock, see the BTU Stock Forecast page.

Peabody Energy Faces Arbitration with Anglo American

Peabody Energy Corporation announced that Anglo American Plc has initiated arbitration proceedings following the termination of purchase agreements related to Anglo’s steelmaking coal assets. Peabody asserts that a material adverse change justified the termination and has requested the return of the remaining $46 million of the initial $75 million deposit, after Anglo returned $29 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTU) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peabody Energy Comm stock, see the BTU Stock Forecast page.

Peabody Energy to Present at UBS Conference

Peabody Energy Corporation announced its participation in the UBS Global Materials Conference on September 3, 2025, where it plans to discuss its strategic focus and recent business developments. The company has achieved record safety and environmental performance in 2024 and is expanding its steelmaking coal production, particularly through its Centurion Mine, to meet rising demand in Asia, positioning itself for significant growth in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTU) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peabody Energy Comm stock, see the BTU Stock Forecast page.