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Natural Resource Partners (NRP)
:NRP
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Natural Resource PRN (NRP) AI Stock Analysis

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NRP

Natural Resource PRN

(NYSE:NRP)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(8.06% Upside)
NRP's overall score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, tempered by technical indicators suggesting caution and market challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's ability to generate free cash flow and reduce debt are key strengths, but declining revenue and market headwinds pose risks.

Natural Resource PRN (NRP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Resource PRN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Resource PRN (NRP) is a leading consultancy firm specializing in the sustainable management and development of natural resources. The company operates across various sectors including renewable energy, environmental conservation, and resource management. NRP provides a range of services such as strategic planning, regulatory compliance, and environmental impact assessments aimed at helping businesses and governments optimize their resource utilization while minimizing ecological footprints.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Resource PRN generates revenue primarily through consulting fees for its expert services in environmental assessments and strategic resource management. Key revenue streams include hourly billing for consultancy services, project-based fees for larger engagements, and retainer agreements with ongoing clients. Additionally, NRP has established partnerships with governmental agencies and non-profit organizations, securing funding for collaborative projects focused on sustainability initiatives. The company may also earn revenue through workshops, training sessions, and publications related to best practices in natural resource management.

Natural Resource PRN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a challenging environment with significant headwinds in coal and soda ash markets. Despite these challenges, NRP continues to generate substantial free cash flow and make progress in debt reduction. However, the lack of near-term catalysts for market improvement and continued downturns in key segments contribute to a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Substantial Free Cash Flow Generation
NRP generated $42 million of free cash flow in the third quarter of 2025 and $190 million of free cash flow over the last 12 months, despite significant headwinds in key commodities.
Debt Reduction Progress
NRP retired nearly $130 million of debt over the past 12 months, with only $70 million remaining as of the end of the quarter.
Unit Holder Distributions
NRP paid a $0.75 per common unit distribution for the second quarter and announced the same distribution for the third quarter of 2025.
Leasing Activity in the Smackover Formation
NRP is active in leasing acreage in the Smackover formation for lithium production, which shows potential for future revenue.
Negative Updates
Challenging Coal Market Conditions
Both metallurgical and thermal coal markets are struggling due to slowing global growth, soft steel demand, and muted thermal coal demand.
Soda Ash Market Downturn
The soda ash market remains oversupplied, with international prices below cash production costs, leading to a generational bear market.
No Distributions from Soda Ash Investment
NRP did not receive a distribution from Sisecam Wyoming in the third quarter and does not expect it to resume until the market improves.
CO2 Sequestration Lease Drops
Oxy and Exxon dropped their CO2 sequestration leases, leaving none of NRP's 3.5 million acres of CO2 sequestration pore space under lease.
Reduced Income from Mineral Rights and Soda Ash Segments
The Mineral Rights segment saw a $9 million decrease in operating and free cash flow, while the Soda Ash segment saw an $11 million decrease in net income compared to the prior year third quarter.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Natural Resource Partners L.P. (NRP) generated $42 million in free cash flow and $31 million in net income, despite facing significant challenges in the metallurgical coal, thermal coal, and soda ash markets. Over the past 12 months, NRP has generated $190 million in free cash flow and retired nearly $130 million of debt, with only $70 million remaining. The company's Mineral Rights segment contributed $41 million in net income and $45 million in free cash flow, although operating and free cash flow decreased by $9 million compared to the prior year due to weaker metallurgical coal markets. The soda ash segment saw a net income decrease of $11 million, driven by lower international sales prices and increased supply from China, with no distributions received from Sisecam Wyoming in the third quarter. Despite these market challenges, NRP plans to increase unitholder distributions by the third quarter of next year, contingent on maintaining a robust balance sheet.

Natural Resource PRN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NRP demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability with high margins and a solid equity position. However, challenges such as declining revenue and free cash flow growth need addressing to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
NRP's income statement shows strong profitability with high gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue growth, which has been negative in recent periods. Despite this, the net profit margin remains healthy, suggesting resilience in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly from previous years, pointing to potential inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a well-capitalized balance sheet.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
NRP's cash flow statement reveals robust operating cash flow relative to net income, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. However, the free cash flow growth has been negative recently, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable, indicating consistent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue217.22M245.03M293.66M328.08M194.25M129.01M
Gross Profit199.26M216.99M261.34M305.57M175.17M119.81M
EBITDA172.93M214.73M311.03M317.29M166.85M-34.65M
Net Income148.14M180.55M274.42M268.49M48.16M-136.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets753.55M772.91M797.88M235.09M953.82M921.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.02M30.44M11.99M39.09M135.52M99.79M
Total Debt14.25M142.07M155.06M168.28M433.55M471.50M
Total Liabilities142.30M221.80M219.64M235.09M513.89M549.02M
Stockholders Equity611.25M541.56M570.23M404.80M3.21M322.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.32M248.49M310.97M266.72M121.80M89.27M
Operating Cash Flow187.32M248.49M310.98M266.84M121.80M89.27M
Investing Cash Flow4.75M7.51M5.42M2.69M2.41M1.68M
Financing Cash Flow-191.95M-237.55M-343.50M-365.95M-88.49M-89.43M

Natural Resource PRN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price105.50
Price Trends
50DMA
104.07
Positive
100DMA
101.66
Positive
200DMA
100.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
52.30
Neutral
STOCH
69.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 105.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.48, above the 50-day MA of 104.07, and above the 200-day MA of 100.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRP.

Natural Resource PRN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.16B12.9613.11%11.25%-9.45%-46.17%
67
Neutral
$1.36B9.7126.19%4.01%-14.79%-17.10%
66
Neutral
$3.41B84.211.95%0.50%-27.62%-90.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$3.58B-100.31-0.87%1.16%-7.21%
57
Neutral
$2.23B-2.29%-29.63%-108.26%
45
Neutral
$1.62B-41.74-7.40%1.97%-16.99%-184.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
104.90
5.28
5.30%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
24.74
-0.14
-0.56%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
173.99
-65.03
-27.21%
METC
Ramaco Resources
24.34
13.13
117.13%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
66.06
-8.36
-11.23%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
29.06
0.48
1.68%

Natural Resource PRN Corporate Events

Natural Resource Partners’ Earnings Call: Navigating Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Natural Resource Partners Faces Challenges but Maintains Strong Cash Flow

Natural Resource Partners Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 5, 2025

Natural Resource Partners L.P., a master limited partnership based in Houston, Texas, specializes in managing and leasing a diverse portfolio of natural resource properties in the United States, including coal, industrial minerals, and rights for carbon sequestration and renewable energy activities. The company also holds an equity investment in Sisecam Wyoming LLC, a leading low-cost producer of soda ash.

Natural Resource Partners L.P. Reports Q1 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Natural Resource Partners L.P., headquartered in Houston, TX, is a diversified natural resource company that owns, manages, and leases a portfolio of properties in the United States, including coal, industrial minerals, and other natural resources, along with rights for carbon sequestration and renewable energy activities.

Natural Resource Partners’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments Amid Market Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Natural Resource Partners (NRP) painted a mixed picture, with a strong emphasis on robust free cash flow generation and successful deleveraging efforts. However, these positive notes were tempered by significant challenges in the coal and soda ash markets, as well as a lack of progress in carbon-neutral initiatives. This dual sentiment highlights the complexities faced by NRP in navigating current market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025