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Ramaco Resources Inc (METC)
NASDAQ:METC
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Ramaco Resources (METC) AI Stock Analysis

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METC

Ramaco Resources

(NASDAQ:METC)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
â–¼(-2.44% Downside)
Ramaco Resources' overall stock score reflects a mix of challenges and opportunities. The financial performance is under pressure due to declining profitability and cash flow issues. However, technical indicators show positive momentum, and recent corporate events provide strategic growth potential. The valuation is a concern due to negative earnings, but the company's initiatives in rare earth projects and improved financial flexibility offer a promising outlook.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The company has trimmed its full-year cash cost per ton and capital expenditure targets, which is favorable for financial performance.
Financial Performance
The decision to reduce full-year production and sales guidance is expected to be a net benefit to free cash flow.
Project Development
Ramaco Resources plans to initiate large-scale mining at the Brook Mine rare earth project, which indicates potential future growth.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Ramaco Resources (METC) reported 2Q adjusted EBITDA of $9M, falling short of the $12M consensus and our $13M estimate driven by higher cost/ton and SG&A as revenues beat expectation.
Guidance Adjustment
Ramaco has trimmed full-year production and sales guidance due to expected continued weak market conditions.
Market Conditions
Weak market conditions have led to a reduction in shipment forecasts and a downward revision in pricing expectations.

Ramaco Resources (METC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ramaco Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRamaco Resources, Inc. produces and sells metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project consisting of approximately 20,200 acres of controlled mineral and 16 seams located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property comprising approximately 41,300 acres of controlled mineral and an area of Squire Jim seam coal deposits, which is situated on the border of West Virginia and Virginia; the Knox Creek property consisting of approximately 62,100 acres of controlled mineral that is located in Virginia; and the RAM Mine property comprising approximately 1,570 acres of controlled mineral, which is situated in southwestern Pennsylvania. The company serves blast furnace steel mills and coke plants in the United States, as well as international metallurgical coal consumers. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.
How the Company Makes MoneyRamaco Resources generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of metallurgical coal. The company operates several mining facilities where it extracts coal, processes it to meet industry standards, and then sells it to customers, primarily steel manufacturers, both domestically and internationally. The company's revenue streams are influenced by coal prices, production volumes, and demand from the steel industry. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major steel producers and long-term supply contracts contribute to its earnings stability. Ramaco Resources' financial performance is also impacted by operational efficiency, cost management, and market conditions in the global steel and coal industries.

Ramaco Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ramaco Resources faced significant challenges in the first quarter due to declining met coal prices and weather-related production impacts. However, the company reported strong operational performance, with record production and high cash margins. The initiation of the Brook Mine project and strategic personnel additions are promising for future growth. Despite these positives, reduced guidance and financial losses weigh heavily on the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Mine Production
Ramaco achieved a quarterly record with 1 million tons of met coal produced, despite challenging weather conditions affecting output by 150,000 tons.
High Cash Margins and Sales Price
Ramaco reported the highest cash margins per ton and the highest realized sales price among its peers, despite a challenging market environment.
Initiation of Rare Earth Project
Ramaco announced the initiation of large-scale mining at the Brook Mine, marking it as the first new rare earth mine in the U.S. in over 70 years.
Addition of Key Personnel
Mike Woloschuk was added to the senior management team from Fluor Corporation to oversee the critical minerals project.
Improved CapEx Guidance
CapEx guidance was reduced from $60-70 million to $55-65 million due to optimized production strategies.
Negative Updates
Decline in Met Coal Prices
Both U.S. and Australian met coal prices continued to decline, affecting earnings and leading to a 175,000 ton decline in tons sold.
Weather-Related Production Impact
Extreme weather conditions, including freezing temperatures and historic flooding, negatively impacted production by approximately 150,000 tons.
Reduced 2025 Production and Sales Guidance
Due to weak market conditions, Ramaco reduced its 2025 production guidance to 3.9-4.3 million tons and sales guidance to 4.1-4.5 million tons.
Financial Losses in Q1
Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $10 million compared to $29 million in Q4, and there was a net loss of $9 million compared to Q4 net income of $4 million.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A guidance increased due to higher legal expenses related to a lawsuit against Chubb Insurance, with anticipated trial this summer.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Ramaco Resources reported strong operational performance despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company achieved the highest cash margins per ton and realized sales price among its publicly traded peers, even though U.S. and Australian met coal prices declined. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $10 million, with a net loss of $9 million, affected by a $7 per ton drop in realized pricing and a 175,000-ton decrease in sales. Mine production reached a quarterly record of 1 million tons, annualizing to 4 million tons, with cash costs per ton sold remaining below $100. However, severe weather conditions in January and February reduced production by approximately 150,000 tons. Looking forward, Ramaco has reduced its 2025 production guidance to between 3.9 million and 4.3 million tons and sales to between 4.1 million and 4.5 million tons, due to ongoing market weakness. The company remains optimistic about future market conditions and the potential to increase production if demand improves. Additionally, Ramaco is advancing its Brook Mine rare earth project, which is expected to produce approximately 1,400 metric tons of critical mineral oxides annually, with initial mine operations set to begin later in 2025.

Ramaco Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ramaco Resources exhibits a strong balance sheet with moderate leverage and effective cash management. However, challenges in revenue and profitability, as indicated by declining margins and a net loss, slightly diminish its financial score.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ramaco Resources has seen fluctuating revenue trends with a recent decrease in the TTM period. The gross profit margin decreased significantly over the TTM, and the company reported a net loss, impacting the net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating pressure on operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects challenges in maintaining profitability and revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a favorable equity ratio, indicating stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, showing a balanced leverage position. Return on Equity has seen a decline due to reduced net income, but overall, the balance sheet remains solid with sufficient equity backing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, providing a solid basis for financial operations despite a decline in net income. Free Cash Flow showed resilience with positive growth in previous periods, though recent TTM figures indicate a decrease. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting effective cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue625.92M666.29M693.52M565.69M283.39M168.91M
Gross Profit67.49M133.00M199.73M232.73M87.98M23.41M
EBITDA43.98M86.66M150.90M195.33M73.78M14.31M
Net Income-19.81M11.19M82.31M116.04M39.76M-4.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets674.65M674.69M665.84M596.34M329.03M228.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.13M33.01M41.96M35.61M21.89M5.30M
Total Debt109.33M102.29M100.55M138.11M51.44M17.45M
Total Liabilities327.21M311.88M296.23M287.14M117.96M59.53M
Stockholders Equity347.44M362.81M369.61M309.20M211.07M169.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.10M57.43M78.13M64.86M23.87M-11.44M
Operating Cash Flow74.84M112.67M161.04M187.87M53.34M13.31M
Investing Cash Flow-67.21M-70.83M-72.21M-145.71M-59.61M-24.75M
Financing Cash Flow-7.08M-50.79M-82.52M-28.50M22.37M11.29M

Ramaco Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.55
Price Trends
50DMA
15.33
Positive
100DMA
11.91
Positive
200DMA
10.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Positive
RSI
60.88
Neutral
STOCH
73.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For METC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.44, above the 50-day MA of 15.33, and above the 200-day MA of 10.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for METC.

Ramaco Resources Risk Analysis

Ramaco Resources disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ramaco Resources reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ramaco Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.10B16.873.87%1.74%-5.83%―
72
Outperform
$3.19B78.901.95%0.54%-21.04%-75.78%
71
Outperform
$3.39B14.4512.59%10.68%-8.59%-54.87%
65
Neutral
$1.96B64.14-2.29%0.36%-29.63%-108.26%
64
Neutral
$634.14M8.7011.20%6.41%-7.70%17.73%
63
Neutral
$1.15B43.10-5.55%2.12%-12.79%-134.14%
61
Neutral
$9.73B6.73-0.14%3.11%2.72%-42.86%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
METC
Ramaco Resources
22.55
10.55
87.92%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
25.29
4.87
23.85%
SXC
Suncoke Energy
7.49
-0.93
-11.05%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
149.91
-102.00
-40.49%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
60.73
0.55
0.91%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
17.27
-4.89
-22.07%

Ramaco Resources Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Closes $200 Million Public Offering
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Ramaco Resources, Inc. announced the closing of its underwritten public offering, raising approximately $200 million through the sale of 10,666,667 shares of Class A common stock at $18.75 per share. The company intends to use the net proceeds to accelerate the development of its rare earth elements and critical minerals project, pursue strategic growth opportunities, and for general corporate purposes. Yorktown Energy Partners, the selling stockholders, granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase additional shares, which was fully exercised, although Ramaco will not receive proceeds from this sale.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Announces Public Offering and Credit Amendment
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Ramaco Resources, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering of 10,666,667 shares of its common stock, priced at $18.75 per share, with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC as lead underwriters. The net proceeds of approximately $188.1 million are intended to fund the development of its rare earth elements and critical minerals project, strategic growth opportunities, and general corporate purposes. Concurrently, the company amended its Credit Agreement to remove negative covenants related to equity securities issuance, enhancing its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Completes $65 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Ramaco Resources completed a public offering of $57 million in 8.250% Senior Notes due 2030, with an additional $8 million issued following the exercise of an over-allotment option by underwriters on August 1, 2025. The total gross proceeds from the offering amounted to approximately $65 million. The company plans to use a portion of the net proceeds to redeem its outstanding 9.00% Senior Notes due 2026 and allocate the remaining funds for general corporate purposes, including rare earth development and capital expenditures. This financial maneuver aims to improve Ramaco’s debt profile and support its strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ramaco Resources Opens Brook Mine in July 2025
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Ramaco Resources reported a net loss of $14.0 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $9.0 million, with production reaching a record 1.0 million tons. Despite weak market conditions, the company is optimizing production and sales to enhance margins and expects full-year production and sales to be at the low end of their guidance range. Additionally, Ramaco has accelerated the commercial timeline for its Brook Mine rare earth and critical minerals operation, with initial commercial production now anticipated in 2027. The company hosted a ribbon-cutting ceremony in July 2025 to mark the opening of the Brook Mine, the first new rare earth mine in the U.S. in over 70 years, highlighting its transition to a dual-platform company.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ramaco Resources Completes $57M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Ramaco Resources completed a public offering of $57 million in senior unsecured notes due 2030, with an interest rate of 8.250% per annum. The proceeds will be used to redeem existing 9.00% Senior Notes due 2026 and for general corporate purposes, including rare earth development and capital expenditures. The notes are rated ‘BBB-‘ and are expected to be listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. Lucid Capital Markets, LLC acted as the lead bookrunner for the offering.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ramaco Resources Secures Second Mine Permit for Brook Mine
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced it received a second five-year mine permit for its Brook Mine in Wyoming, allowing continued coal mining and reclamation over 4,548.8 acres. This approval highlights Ramaco’s commitment to responsible resource development and provides confidence in its operational milestones. Earlier, on July 11, the Brook Mine Carbon Ore Rare Earth project was commemorated as the first new rare earth mine in the U.S. in over 70 years, marking a strategic milestone in reducing foreign reliance on critical minerals. Additionally, a $6.1 million grant was approved to support a pilot-scale processing facility at the Brook Mine, with construction planned for later this year.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ramaco Resources Announces Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Ramaco Resources, Inc. announced the redemption of all its outstanding 9.00% Senior Notes due 2026, scheduled for August 4, 2025. The redemption involves $34.5 million in aggregate principal amount, and the redemption price will be equal to 100% of the principal amount plus accrued and unpaid interest up to the Redemption Date.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Announces Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced a public offering of 8.250% Senior Notes due 2030, priced at $25.00 per note, to raise approximately $55 million after expenses. The proceeds will be used to redeem the company’s outstanding 9.00% Senior Notes due 2026 and for general corporate purposes, including funding rare earth development and future investments. The offering, expected to close on July 31, 2025, is part of a broader strategy to manage debt and support growth initiatives. Additionally, the company entered into a Third Amendment Agreement to facilitate the offering, allowing for increased indebtedness and adjusting permitted unsecured debt levels.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Secures $6.1M Grant for Pilot Plant
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Ramaco Resources has secured a $6.1 million grant from the Wyoming Energy Authority to support its Brook Mine pilot plant for critical mineral extraction, with the project officially commencing in June 2025. Despite a softening in global metallurgical coal markets due to economic constraints and increased Chinese steel exports, Ramaco continues to fulfill its performance obligations and is negotiating amendments to its credit agreement to facilitate a public offering of senior notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Releases Brook Mine PEA Summary
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced the release of a summary of the full Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for its Brook Mine, prepared by Fluor Corporation. The PEA confirms the commercial and technological feasibility of the Brook Mine, marking a significant milestone for Ramaco and its stakeholders, as the company prepares for the ribbon cutting of the Brook Mine. This development is expected to enhance Ramaco’s industry positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Awaits Brook Mine Assessment Results
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced that it will receive the Preliminary Economic Assessment of its Brook Mine in Wyoming from Fluor Corporation on July 9. The assessment will be reviewed by the Board of Directors, and a summary will be released on the company’s website. This update is significant for Ramaco’s operations as it could impact its strategic positioning in the coal and rare earth minerals market, potentially affecting stakeholders and future business directions.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ramaco Resources Announces PEA for Brook Mine Project
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced that Fluor Corporation will deliver a full Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for the Brook Mine by July 8, 2025. The PEA confirms the commercial and technical feasibility of the project, highlighting a net present value of $1.197 billion at an 8% discount rate and an internal rate of return of 38%. The Brook Mine project is expected to produce 1,242 short tons of rare earth oxides annually by 2029, generating $378 million in revenue and $143 million in adjusted EBITDA. The unique geological profile of the Brook Mine allows for a more efficient and cost-effective extraction process compared to traditional rare earth element deposits, positioning Ramaco Resources favorably in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ramaco Resources Holds Successful Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Ramaco Resources, Inc. conducted its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where approximately 86.6% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, all director nominees were elected, and the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. Additionally, the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis. These outcomes reflect strong shareholder support for the company’s current management and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Ramaco Resources Announces Q2 2025 Dividend Details
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced the dividend ratio for its Class A common stock dividend for the second quarter of 2025. The dividend, declared by the Board of Directors, is set at $0.06875 per share of Class A common stock, payable on June 13, 2025, in shares of Class B common stock. Shareholders of record on May 30, 2025, will receive 0.009228 shares of Class B common stock per Class A share, based on the closing price of $7.45 for Class B stock on the record date. Fractional shares will be compensated in cash.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ramaco Resources Announces Cash Dividend Amid Q1 Loss
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Ramaco Resources announced a cash dividend of $0.1811 per share for its Class B common stock, payable on June 13, 2025. The company reported a net income loss of $9.5 million for the first quarter of 2025, with significant production achievements despite adverse weather conditions. Ramaco is adjusting its 2025 guidance due to weak market conditions, reducing production and capital expenditure expectations. The company is advancing its rare earth and critical minerals project at the Brook Mine in Wyoming, with plans to commence large-scale mining in June 2025. A $6.1 million matching grant from Wyoming supports this initiative, highlighting its strategic importance amid global supply chain concerns.

The most recent analyst rating on (METC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ramaco Resources stock, see the METC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025