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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)
NASDAQ:HNRG

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) AI Stock Analysis

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Hallador Energy Company

(NASDAQ:HNRG)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(1.85%Upside)
Hallador Energy's overall stock score is driven by significant financial and strategic challenges. The positive earnings call sentiment moderately offsets financial and valuation concerns. However, recent corporate events and technical analysis suggest caution. The stock's future performance heavily depends on resolving strategic uncertainties and improving financial metrics.

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hallador Energy Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHallador Energy Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production of steam coal in the State of Indiana for the electric power generation industry. The company owns the Oaktown Mine 1 and Oaktown Mine 2 underground mines in Oaktown, Indiana; and Ace in the Hole mine located near Clay City, Indiana. It is also involved in gas exploration activities in Indiana. Hallador Energy Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Terre Haute, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyHallador Energy Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of coal extracted from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include long-term contracts and spot sales to electric utilities and industrial customers who use coal as a primary energy source. Hallador Energy's earnings are influenced by factors such as coal prices, production levels, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, strategic partnerships with logistics providers and agreements with utility companies enhance the company's ability to deliver coal effectively to its customers. Market conditions, regulatory changes, and environmental policies also play a significant role in shaping the company's financial performance.

Hallador Energy Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with notable achievements in revenue growth, improved net income, and debt reduction. However, some caution is warranted due to the decline in coal sales and uncertainty in ongoing negotiations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Top-Line Growth
The company experienced a return to top-line growth with total operating revenue increasing to $117.8 million for the first quarter compared to $94.8 million in Q4 and $111.6 million in the prior year period.
Improved Bottom Line and Cash Flow
Net income for the first quarter improved to $10 million compared to net losses of $215.8 million in Q4 and $1.7 million in the prior year period. Operating cash flow increased to $38.4 million from $32.5 million in Q4 and $16.4 million in the prior year period.
Debt Reduction
Total bank debt was reduced to $23 million compared to $44 million at December 31, 2024 and $77 million at March 31, 2024.
Forward Sales Position and Energy Pricing
The forward energy and capacity sales position was $630.4 million as of March 31, 2025. Forward indicators continue to trend positively with strong indications for energy and capacity prices in 2025 and beyond.
Strategic Shift to Vertically Integrated Power Production
The strategic shift to a vertically integrated independent power producer is underscoring growth, with significant progress in negotiations with a leading global data center developer.
Negative Updates
Decline in Coal Sales
Coal sales were $54.8 million for the first quarter compared to $66 million in the prior year period, driven by a decision to reduce coal production as part of restructuring.
Uncertainty in Negotiations
There is uncertainty around executing definitive agreements with a leading global data center developer before the current exclusivity period expires.
Company Guidance
In the Hallador Energy's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a total operating revenue increase to $117.8 million, up from $94.8 million in Q4 2024, driven by electric sales of $85.9 million and coal sales of $54.8 million. Net income improved to $10 million from a net loss of $215.8 million in Q4, primarily due to a non-cash asset impairment previously recorded. Operating cash flow rose to $38.4 million, supported by strong energy pricing and enhanced coal mining margins, while adjusted EBITDA jumped to $19.3 million. The company also reduced bank debt to $23 million and increased liquidity to $69 million. Hallador is progressing on negotiations with a global data center developer for a long-term energy supply, and is considering extending an exclusivity period. They are also evaluating the addition of natural gas co-firing at the Merom plant to enhance operational flexibility. The forward sales book stood at approximately $1.5 billion, indicating strong future revenue prospects, while contracted approximately 3 million megawatt hours for 2025 at $37.20 per MWh and 3.4 million megawatt hours for 2026 at $44.43 per MWh.

Hallador Energy Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hallador Energy Company faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and negative equity. The company's cash flow situation is concerning, indicating potential liquidity issues. Strategic financial restructuring may be necessary to stabilize operations.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows volatile performance. Gross profit margins have improved over time but net profit margins have been inconsistent, with a significant loss in 2024. Revenue growth was strong until 2023 but declined sharply in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins turned negative in 2024, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals financial distress, with negative stockholders' equity in 2024 and no cash reserves. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to high liabilities relative to equity. The equity ratio turned negative, indicating insolvency risk.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows declining free cash flow, with a significant drop in 2024. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to zero operating cash flow in 2024. The lack of positive free cash flow poses liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue407.96M94.75M634.48M361.99M247.67M242.08M
Gross Profit183.94M49.37M161.09M48.51M8.85M16.48M
EBITDA-143.91M-157.81M131.98M78.31M45.31M45.20M
Net Income-214.46M-226.14M44.79M18.11M-3.75M-6.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets366.10M369.12M589.78M630.55M353.98M384.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.89M12.15M2.84M3.01M2.55M8.04M
Total Debt16.96M53.05M119.69M101.74M107.77M141.62M
Total Liabilities73.70M264.83M321.19M415.53M167.75M194.87M
Stockholders Equity115.35M104.28M268.59M215.02M182.24M185.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-621.00K12.57M-15.94M149.00K19.92M31.89M
Operating Cash Flow49.56M65.93M59.41M54.17M47.97M52.58M
Investing Cash Flow-43.29M-46.47M-75.29M-53.37M-27.52M-18.19M
Financing Cash Flow-34.86M-14.43M16.57M-207.00K-26.69M-35.63M

Hallador Energy Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.20
Price Trends
50DMA
16.32
Negative
100DMA
13.88
Positive
200DMA
12.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
52.45
Neutral
STOCH
72.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNRG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.88, below the 50-day MA of 16.32, and above the 200-day MA of 12.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HNRG.

Hallador Energy Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (75)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.41B12.4814.71%10.53%-8.53%-53.44%
75
Outperform
€24.32B15.1015.38%6.31%5.38%18.55%
NRNRP
71
Outperform
$1.28B9.3731.98%3.08%-19.21%-30.92%
71
Outperform
$615.57M43.10-0.08%2.30%-10.23%-100.04%
AMAMR
66
Neutral
$1.52B57.791.66%0.36%-23.34%-95.18%
HCHCC
64
Neutral
$2.63B24.845.20%0.64%-21.04%-75.78%
53
Neutral
$696.21M-107.44%-27.04%-892.84%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
16.20
8.81
119.22%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
26.58
4.43
20.00%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
97.51
6.93
7.65%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
116.64
-187.30
-61.62%
METC
Ramaco Resources
11.94
-1.35
-10.16%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
50.01
-19.78
-28.34%

Hallador Energy Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy Appoints Todd Telesz as New CFO
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Hallador Energy Company announced the appointment of Todd Telesz as Chief Financial Officer, effective June 23, 2025, succeeding Marjorie Hargrave. Hargrave, who joined Hallador in April 2024, played a key role in reducing costs and improving financial reporting efficiency. Telesz, with extensive experience in the power sector, is expected to advance Hallador’s strategy to acquire additional generation as energy cooperatives retire fossil-based generation portfolios, aiding the company’s transition from a coal producer to an independent power producer.

The most recent analyst rating on (HNRG) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hallador Energy Company stock, see the HNRG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Hallador Energy Company held its annual meeting in Lone Tree, Colorado, where shareholders approved several key proposals. The approval included the election of directors, an advisory vote on executive compensation, the ratification of independent auditors, and the Second Amended and Restated 2008 Restricted Stock Unit Plan. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic direction and governance priorities, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HNRG) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hallador Energy Company stock, see the HNRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy’s Agreement Terminated by Counterparty
Negative
May 22, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Hallador Energy Company announced that its Conversion Transaction Commitment Agreement, effective January 2, 2025, with a global datacenter developer was terminated by the counterparty. Despite this setback, the company continues to engage in discussions for an additional exclusivity period and is exploring opportunities with other interested third parties, which it believes will enhance its strategic positioning and deliver long-term value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HNRG) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hallador Energy Company stock, see the HNRG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025