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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)
NASDAQ:HNRG
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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) AI Stock Analysis

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HNRG

Hallador Energy Company

(NASDAQ:HNRG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(8.09% Upside)
Hallador Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. However, financial performance challenges and a poor valuation score due to negative profitability metrics weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives and liquidity improvements provide a positive outlook, but uncertainties in future performance and credit refinancing remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, positioning Hallador Energy for sustained financial performance.
Capacity Expansion
Expanding capacity at Meramec aligns with strategic growth initiatives, enhancing Hallador's ability to meet future energy demands and increase market share.
Cash Flow Strength
Robust cash flow growth supports liquidity and capital investments, ensuring operational stability and financial flexibility for long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins highlight ongoing profitability challenges, potentially limiting reinvestment capacity and affecting long-term financial health.
Credit Refinancing Uncertainty
Uncertainty in credit refinancing could impact financial stability and capital availability, posing risks to future strategic initiatives.
Operational Inefficiencies
Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational inefficiencies, which may hinder cost management and profitability improvements over time.

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hallador Energy Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHallador Energy Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production of steam coal in the State of Indiana for the electric power generation industry. The company owns the Oaktown Mine 1 and Oaktown Mine 2 underground mines in Oaktown, Indiana; and Ace in the Hole mine located near Clay City, Indiana. It is also involved in gas exploration activities in Indiana. Hallador Energy Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Terre Haute, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyHallador Energy Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of thermal coal to utility companies and industrial users. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts and spot market sales, allowing it to capitalize on fluctuations in coal demand and pricing. Key revenue streams include sales from its mining operations, which are supported by its efficient extraction methods and cost management strategies. Additionally, Hallador may benefit from partnerships with utility companies and other entities that require coal for power generation, providing a stable customer base. Factors contributing to its earnings include coal market pricing, production volume, operational efficiency, and regulatory environment affecting coal usage.

Hallador Energy Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant gains in revenue, net income, and EBITDA. The company is actively pursuing growth opportunities, such as the potential capacity expansion at Meramec. However, there are uncertainties regarding future performance and ongoing credit agreement refinancing. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 40% year-over-year, demonstrating strong financial performance and market demand.
Impressive Net Income Increase
Net income increased 14 times compared to the previous year, showcasing profitability improvements.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased 1.6 times, indicating improved operational efficiency and profitability.
Successful Power Sales Contract
Executed a $20 million prepaid forward power sales contract for delivery through 2027, providing liquidity and supporting operations.
Potential Capacity Expansion
Submitted an application to add an additional 525 megawatts of gas generation at the Meramec site, aiming for future growth.
Increased Energy Sales
Electric sales for the third quarter increased by 29%, driven by higher energy demand and natural gas prices.
Strong Coal Production and Shipments
Coal sales increased 42%, with production up 18%, contributing to reduced inventories and improved operational leverage.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Future Performance
Q4 is expected to perform similarly to Q4 2024, with no catalysts to replicate Q3's exceptional performance.
Unresolved Credit Agreement Refinancing
Current discussions with lenders to refinance credit agreements are ongoing, with no assurance of timing or terms.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Hallador Energy Company reported substantial year-over-year financial improvements, with revenue soaring by 40%, net income increasing 14 times, and adjusted EBITDA rising 1.6 times. Their Hallador Power subsidiary witnessed a 29% increase in revenue due to favorable market conditions, including elevated energy demand and natural gas prices. Hallador also submitted an application to the MISO ERAS program, aiming to expand their Meramec site's generation capacity by an additional 525 megawatts, aligning with their strategy to grow their generation portfolio. Additionally, coal production increased by 18%, contributing to reduced inventories and solid operational performance. The company executed a $20 million prepaid forward power sales contract, enhancing liquidity and supporting capital investments. As of September 30, 2025, Hallador's total forward sales book reached approximately $1.3 billion, indicating strong market interest and strategic positioning for future growth within the rapidly evolving energy landscape.

Hallador Energy Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hallador Energy Company shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth and gross margins are positive, the company faces challenges with profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but returns on equity are negative. Cash flow generation is strong, providing liquidity support despite net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 54%, indicating good cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is positive at 9.95% TTM, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, showing a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth of 109.15% TTM, which is a positive sign of liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue461.74M404.39M634.88M361.99M247.67M244.24M
Gross Profit277.91M225.80M331.63M95.38M48.83M58.28M
EBITDA-112.90M-157.81M126.95M75.01M44.76M41.43M
Net Income-173.68M-226.14M44.79M18.11M-3.75M-6.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets409.46M369.12M589.78M654.08M353.98M384.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.66M7.23M2.84M6.43M2.55M12.07M
Total Debt10.54M53.05M94.54M102.20M107.77M142.22M
Total Liabilities263.27M264.83M321.19M439.05M167.75M194.87M
Stockholders Equity146.19M104.28M268.59M215.02M182.24M185.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.89M12.57M-15.94M149.00K19.92M31.89M
Operating Cash Flow111.93M65.93M59.41M54.17M47.97M52.58M
Investing Cash Flow-52.02M-46.47M-75.29M-53.37M-27.52M-18.19M
Financing Cash Flow-34.07M-14.43M16.57M-207.00K-26.69M-35.63M

Hallador Energy Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.89
Price Trends
50DMA
20.17
Negative
100DMA
18.56
Positive
200DMA
16.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
47.54
Neutral
STOCH
23.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNRG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.64, below the 50-day MA of 20.17, and above the 200-day MA of 16.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HNRG.

Hallador Energy Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.38B9.6426.19%4.00%-14.79%-17.10%
67
Neutral
$357.94M12.327.04%1.88%25.35%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$548.63M8.529.61%7.41%-6.44%-24.68%
60
Neutral
$871.68M-74.70%7.60%-591.73%
48
Neutral
$997.48M-26.84-7.40%3.06%-16.99%-184.02%
40
Underperform
$265.65M-76.24%-8.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
19.89
7.69
63.03%
NC
NACCO Industries
47.98
16.65
53.14%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
105.26
0.26
0.25%
SXC
Suncoke Energy
6.48
-5.48
-45.82%
METC
Ramaco Resources
15.65
3.95
33.76%
AREC
American Resources
2.62
1.43
120.17%

Hallador Energy Company Corporate Events

Hallador Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Hallador Energy reflected a robust financial performance, marked by significant gains in revenue, net income, and EBITDA. The company is actively exploring growth opportunities, such as a potential capacity expansion at Meramec. Despite some uncertainties regarding future performance and ongoing credit agreement refinancing, the overall sentiment was positive, with highlights significantly outweighing any lowlights.

Hallador Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 11, 2025

Hallador Energy Company is a diversified energy company engaged in electric power generation and coal mining, primarily operating in the Illinois Basin. The company reported significant growth in its latest earnings report, with a notable increase in both electric and coal sales. For the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Hallador Energy’s total sales and operating revenues rose to $146.8 million from $105.1 million in the same period last year. This was driven by a substantial increase in electric sales, which climbed to $93.2 million, and coal sales, which increased to $51.2 million. The company also reported a net income of $23.9 million, a significant improvement from $1.6 million in the previous year, reflecting strong operational performance and cost management. Hallador Energy’s strategic focus on its electric operations and coal mining efficiency has resulted in improved EBITDA margins for both segments. The electric operations segment benefitted from increased delivered energy revenues, while the coal operations segment saw a rise in coal sales to third-party customers. The company’s management remains optimistic about its future prospects, highlighting ongoing efforts to refinance its credit agreement and maintain liquidity. Hallador Energy is poised to continue its growth trajectory by leveraging its diversified energy portfolio and operational efficiencies.

Hallador Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Hallador Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting strong financial performance and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing operational flexibility and securing long-term agreements. Despite facing some seasonal and operational challenges, the company demonstrated resilience and a forward-looking approach to growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025