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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)
NASDAQ:HNRG
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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) AI Stock Analysis

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HNRG

Hallador Energy Company

(NASDAQ:HNRG)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-2.33% Downside)
Hallador Energy's overall stock score is driven by its financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. While the earnings call provided positive guidance and strategic initiatives, the technical analysis and valuation metrics suggest caution. The termination of a significant agreement adds some uncertainty, but the company's proactive approach to new opportunities is a positive sign.

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hallador Energy Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHallador Energy Company (HNRG) is a publicly traded energy company primarily engaged in the production and sale of thermal coal. The company operates through its subsidiaries, which focus on mining and selling coal for electricity generation. Hallador's operations are primarily located in the Illinois Basin, a region known for its high-quality coal reserves. The company is dedicated to providing reliable and cost-effective coal solutions to its customers while adhering to environmental and safety standards.
How the Company Makes MoneyHallador Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of thermal coal to electric utility companies and industrial customers. The company enters into long-term contracts with its customers, which provide stable revenue streams and help mitigate market volatility. In addition to coal sales, Hallador may also earn revenue from coal-related services, such as transportation and logistics. The company's financial performance can be influenced by factors such as coal market prices, production costs, and demand for electricity, as well as regulatory conditions affecting the coal industry. Strategic partnerships with utilities and other energy producers also contribute to its earnings by securing long-term supply agreements.

Hallador Energy Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with a strong financial performance and strategic moves to enhance operational flexibility and secure long-term agreements, despite some seasonal and operational challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Financial Performance
Year-over-year improvements in revenue, net income, and adjusted EBITDA, along with positive cash flow from operations. Net income for the second quarter was $8.2 million compared to a $10.2 million loss in the prior year period.
Strategic Prepaid Energy Sale
Executed a $35 million prepaid firm energy sale with delivery scheduled throughout 2025 and 2026, enhancing liquidity and operational flexibility.
Engagement with New Partners
Engaged with multiple potential partners for long-term power purchase agreements, including utilities showing more aggressive and compelling offers.
Operational Resilience
Improved cost efficiency and stronger recovery rates in coal operations, with planned maintenance strategically timed during low demand months.
Appointment of New CFO
Appointed Todd Telesz as CFO, bringing significant experience in power and utility sectors to support Hallador's growth plans.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Decline in Electric Sales
Electric sales for the second quarter were $60 million, down from $85.9 million in Q1, due to spring seasonality and a planned maintenance outage.
Decreased Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the second quarter was $11.4 million, down from $38.4 million in Q1, primarily due to lower pricing and a planned outage at Merom.
Increased Bank Debt
Total bank debt increased to $45 million at June 30, 2025, from $23 million at March 31, 2025.
Company Guidance
During Hallador Energy's second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting robust year-over-year improvements across key financial metrics, including revenue, net income, and adjusted EBITDA, while maintaining positive cash flow from operations. The call highlighted the company's strategic initiatives, such as executing a $35 million prepaid firm energy sale and making amendments to their credit agreement to enhance operating flexibility. Hallador also reported total operating revenue of $102.9 million, a net income of $8.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $3.4 million. Capital expenditures for the second quarter were $13 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $24.7 million. The company's forward sales book stood at approximately $1.4 billion, comprising forward energy, capacity, and third-party fuel sales. The management remains focused on long-term agreements to drive shareholder value and is evaluating opportunities for dispatchable generation acquisitions and potential enhancements to their Merom Generating Station.

Hallador Energy Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hallador Energy faces financial challenges with a volatile income statement, negative net profit margins, and operational inefficiencies. While the balance sheet shows moderate stability, negative cash flow trends and persistent losses raise concerns about long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a volatile performance with significant challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reflects a substantial net loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. Gross profit margin improved compared to previous years, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. Revenue has shown some fluctuations, and the latest TTM figures suggest a downturn in operating performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate stability with a reasonable level of stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio shows a decline, implying increased liabilities relative to assets. Return on equity (ROE) is negative due to recent losses, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals mixed results. Operating cash flow remains positive, but free cash flow is negative in the latest TTM period, signaling potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that operations generate cash despite losses. However, free cash flow growth is negative, suggesting challenges in sustaining cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue419.94M94.75M634.48M361.99M247.67M244.24M
Gross Profit226.96M49.37M161.09M48.51M48.83M58.28M
EBITDA-131.28M-154.44M131.98M79.63M45.31M45.57M
Net Income-196.01M-226.14M44.79M18.11M-3.75M-6.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets409.51M369.12M589.78M630.55M353.98M384.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.23M7.23M2.84M3.01M2.55M8.04M
Total Debt17.14M57.81M119.69M101.74M107.77M141.62M
Total Liabilities287.36M264.83M321.19M415.53M167.75M194.87M
Stockholders Equity122.15M104.28M268.59M215.02M182.24M185.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.77M12.57M-15.94M149.00K19.92M31.89M
Operating Cash Flow75.83M65.93M59.41M54.17M47.97M52.58M
Investing Cash Flow-45.80M-46.47M-75.29M-53.37M-27.52M-18.19M
Financing Cash Flow-8.39M-14.43M16.57M-207.00K-26.69M-35.63M

Hallador Energy Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.87
Price Trends
50DMA
16.46
Negative
100DMA
15.86
Positive
200DMA
13.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
43.31
Neutral
STOCH
7.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNRG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.53, below the 50-day MA of 16.46, and above the 200-day MA of 13.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HNRG.

Hallador Energy Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.35B9.6728.59%4.09%-20.92%-26.59%
72
Outperform
$3.07B13.1212.59%11.75%-8.59%-55.01%
66
Neutral
$3.04B75.161.95%0.55%-27.62%-90.48%
63
Neutral
$1.42B43.10-5.55%2.30%-12.79%-134.14%
57
Neutral
$1.79B64.14-2.29%0.36%-29.63%-108.26%
54
Neutral
C$4.15B0.9716.40%5.23%10.45%-57.37%
54
Neutral
$695.91M-89.44%-14.68%-3155.06%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
15.87
9.77
160.16%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
22.97
1.38
6.39%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
103.38
20.03
24.03%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
139.41
-86.41
-38.26%
METC
Ramaco Resources
20.81
10.19
95.95%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
57.71
0.17
0.30%

Hallador Energy Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy Appoints Todd Telesz as New CFO
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Hallador Energy Company announced the appointment of Todd Telesz as Chief Financial Officer, effective June 23, 2025, succeeding Marjorie Hargrave. Hargrave, who joined Hallador in April 2024, played a key role in reducing costs and improving financial reporting efficiency. Telesz, with extensive experience in the power sector, is expected to advance Hallador’s strategy to acquire additional generation as energy cooperatives retire fossil-based generation portfolios, aiding the company’s transition from a coal producer to an independent power producer.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Hallador Energy Company held its annual meeting in Lone Tree, Colorado, where shareholders approved several key proposals. The approval included the election of directors, an advisory vote on executive compensation, the ratification of independent auditors, and the Second Amended and Restated 2008 Restricted Stock Unit Plan. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic direction and governance priorities, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hallador Energy’s Agreement Terminated by Counterparty
Negative
May 22, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Hallador Energy Company announced that its Conversion Transaction Commitment Agreement, effective January 2, 2025, with a global datacenter developer was terminated by the counterparty. Despite this setback, the company continues to engage in discussions for an additional exclusivity period and is exploring opportunities with other interested third parties, which it believes will enhance its strategic positioning and deliver long-term value to shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025