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Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)
NASDAQ:HNRG

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) AI Stock Analysis

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HNRG

Hallador Energy Company

(NASDAQ:HNRG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(19.70% Upside)
Hallador Energy's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but profitability challenges. Technical indicators show a positive trend, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with significant improvements and growth initiatives. The recent executive appointment is a strategic move to enhance financial oversight.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 40% revenue increase highlights strong market demand and effective sales strategies, indicating robust growth potential in the energy sector.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow growth enhances liquidity, supporting operational stability and enabling strategic investments for future growth.
Capacity Expansion Plans
Expanding capacity at Meramec aligns with growth strategy, potentially increasing market share and revenue through enhanced generation capabilities.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative net profit margin indicates ongoing profitability issues, which could hinder long-term financial sustainability and investor confidence.
Operational Inefficiencies
Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest inefficiencies in operations, potentially impacting cost management and long-term competitiveness.
Credit Agreement Uncertainty
Unresolved credit refinancing creates uncertainty, potentially affecting financial flexibility and increasing risk of unfavorable terms.

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hallador Energy Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHallador Energy Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production of steam coal in the State of Indiana for the electric power generation industry. The company owns the Oaktown Mine 1 and Oaktown Mine 2 underground mines in Oaktown, Indiana; and Ace in the Hole mine located near Clay City, Indiana. It is also involved in gas exploration activities in Indiana. Hallador Energy Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Terre Haute, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyHallador Energy Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of thermal coal to utility companies and industrial users. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts and spot market sales, allowing it to capitalize on fluctuations in coal demand and pricing. Key revenue streams include sales from its mining operations, which are supported by its efficient extraction methods and cost management strategies. Additionally, Hallador may benefit from partnerships with utility companies and other entities that require coal for power generation, providing a stable customer base. Factors contributing to its earnings include coal market pricing, production volume, operational efficiency, and regulatory environment affecting coal usage.

Hallador Energy Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant gains in revenue, net income, and EBITDA. The company is actively pursuing growth opportunities, such as the potential capacity expansion at Meramec. However, there are uncertainties regarding future performance and ongoing credit agreement refinancing. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 40% year-over-year, demonstrating strong financial performance and market demand.
Impressive Net Income Increase
Net income increased 14 times compared to the previous year, showcasing profitability improvements.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased 1.6 times, indicating improved operational efficiency and profitability.
Successful Power Sales Contract
Executed a $20 million prepaid forward power sales contract for delivery through 2027, providing liquidity and supporting operations.
Potential Capacity Expansion
Submitted an application to add an additional 525 megawatts of gas generation at the Meramec site, aiming for future growth.
Increased Energy Sales
Electric sales for the third quarter increased by 29%, driven by higher energy demand and natural gas prices.
Strong Coal Production and Shipments
Coal sales increased 42%, with production up 18%, contributing to reduced inventories and improved operational leverage.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Future Performance
Q4 is expected to perform similarly to Q4 2024, with no catalysts to replicate Q3's exceptional performance.
Unresolved Credit Agreement Refinancing
Current discussions with lenders to refinance credit agreements are ongoing, with no assurance of timing or terms.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Hallador Energy Company reported substantial year-over-year financial improvements, with revenue soaring by 40%, net income increasing 14 times, and adjusted EBITDA rising 1.6 times. Their Hallador Power subsidiary witnessed a 29% increase in revenue due to favorable market conditions, including elevated energy demand and natural gas prices. Hallador also submitted an application to the MISO ERAS program, aiming to expand their Meramec site's generation capacity by an additional 525 megawatts, aligning with their strategy to grow their generation portfolio. Additionally, coal production increased by 18%, contributing to reduced inventories and solid operational performance. The company executed a $20 million prepaid forward power sales contract, enhancing liquidity and supporting capital investments. As of September 30, 2025, Hallador's total forward sales book reached approximately $1.3 billion, indicating strong market interest and strategic positioning for future growth within the rapidly evolving energy landscape.

Hallador Energy Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hallador Energy Company shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth and gross margins are positive, the company faces challenges with profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but returns on equity are negative. Cash flow generation is strong, providing liquidity support despite net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 54%, indicating good cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is positive at 9.95% TTM, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, showing a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth of 109.15% TTM, which is a positive sign of liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue461.74M404.39M634.88M361.99M247.67M244.24M
Gross Profit277.91M225.80M331.63M95.38M48.83M58.28M
EBITDA-112.90M-157.81M126.95M75.01M44.76M41.43M
Net Income-173.68M-226.14M44.79M18.11M-3.75M-6.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets409.46M369.12M589.78M654.08M353.98M384.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.66M7.23M2.84M6.43M2.55M12.07M
Total Debt10.54M53.05M94.54M102.20M107.77M142.22M
Total Liabilities263.27M264.83M321.19M439.05M167.75M194.87M
Stockholders Equity146.19M104.28M268.59M215.02M182.24M185.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.89M12.57M-15.94M149.00K19.92M31.89M
Operating Cash Flow111.93M65.93M59.41M54.17M47.97M52.58M
Investing Cash Flow-52.02M-46.47M-75.29M-53.37M-27.52M-18.19M
Financing Cash Flow-34.07M-14.43M16.57M-207.00K-26.69M-35.63M

Hallador Energy Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.38
Price Trends
50DMA
20.51
Negative
100DMA
19.22
Negative
200DMA
17.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
41.19
Neutral
STOCH
17.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNRG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.24, below the 50-day MA of 20.51, and above the 200-day MA of 17.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HNRG.

Hallador Energy Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.34B9.3426.19%4.13%-14.79%-17.10%
67
Neutral
$376.96M12.987.04%1.95%25.35%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$606.20M9.419.61%6.70%-6.44%-24.68%
60
Neutral
$758.61M-4.49-74.70%7.60%-591.73%
52
Neutral
$882.00M-24.72-7.40%3.32%-16.99%-184.02%
40
Underperform
$215.97M-4.65-76.24%-8.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
18.38
7.14
63.52%
NC
NACCO Industries
50.25
22.13
78.70%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
102.00
2.98
3.01%
SXC
Suncoke Energy
7.17
-3.38
-32.04%
METC
Ramaco Resources
14.41
4.73
48.86%
AREC
American Resources
2.16
1.10
103.77%

Hallador Energy Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Hallador Energy Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Hallador Energy Company appointed Eric Van Deman as the Chief Accounting Officer and Senior Vice President. Mr. Van Deman, who previously held significant roles at Liberty Global plc and KPMG LLP, brings extensive experience in accounting policy and audit practices to Hallador Energy. His compensation package includes a base salary, bonus eligibility, and restricted stock units. This strategic appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s financial leadership and operational oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025