Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.06B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 271.35K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.79
• Revenue Growth: -32.53%
• EPS Growth: -112.77%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,960
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Coal
• EPS (TTM): -0.42
• Shares Outstanding: 12,858,024
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 266,908
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 271,348
• PEG Ratio: -0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.58
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.88
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.84
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.82
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.76
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 30.76
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.67
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): -3.48
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.18B

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $176.00 ▲(3.58% Upside)

The overall stock score of 57 reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow stability. While technical indicators show positive momentum, the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a mixed sentiment, highlighting strong cost management but also noting market uncertainties.

Positive Factors

Cost Management

Strong cost management enhances profitability and competitiveness, allowing AMR to maintain margins even in challenging market conditions.

Liquidity Position

A robust liquidity position provides financial flexibility, enabling AMR to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties.

Safety and Environmental Achievements

Recognition for safety and environmental performance strengthens AMR's reputation and supports sustainable operational practices, crucial for long-term success.

Negative Factors

Decline in Adjusted EBITDA

A decline in EBITDA indicates reduced profitability, which could impact AMR's ability to reinvest in operations and maintain competitive positioning.

Uncertain Market Conditions

Market uncertainty and reduced steel demand pose risks to AMR's revenue streams, potentially affecting long-term growth and profitability.

Cash Flow Challenges

Declining free cash flow growth highlights potential liquidity issues, limiting AMR's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) is a leading coal producer in the United States, primarily focused on the extraction and processing of high-quality metallurgical coal. The company operates several mining complexes and has established a strong presence in the metallurgical coal market, supplying critical inputs for steel manufacturing. AMR is committed to sustainable practices and employs advanced technologies in its operations to enhance efficiency and minimize environmental impact.

How the Company Makes Money

AMR generates revenue primarily through the sale of metallurgical coal to steel producers and other industrial users. The company benefits from long-term contracts and spot market sales, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of various grades of coal, which are tailored to meet specific customer requirements. Additionally, AMR's strategic partnerships with major steel manufacturers enhance its market position and provide stable demand for its products. The company also focuses on cost management and operational efficiency to maximize profit margins, further contributing to its overall earnings.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alpha Metallurgical Resources faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow stability, with declining margins and cash flow metrics in the TTM period. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage, but operational inefficiencies need addressing for improved financial performance.

Income Statement

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has experienced significant volatility in its income statement metrics. The TTM data shows a decline in revenue and negative net income, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. Historical data reveals a sharp decline in gross and net profit margins from 2022 to 2025, reflecting operational difficulties. However, the company had strong revenue growth in 2021 and 2022, which suggests potential for recovery if operational efficiencies improve.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Alpha Metallurgical Resources is relatively stable, with a low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting recent profitability challenges. Historically, the company has maintained a healthy equity ratio, suggesting a strong capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting some operational cash generation capability. However, the sharp decline in free cash flow compared to previous years highlights the need for improved cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.23B	2.96B	3.47B	4.10B	2.26B	1.42B
Gross Profit	54.71M	331.65M	969.89M	1.69B	457.61M	-13.92M
EBITDA	132.85M	388.59M	1.02B	1.70B	485.14M	-7.58M
Net Income	-46.55M	187.58M	721.96M	1.45B	288.79M	-446.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.35B	2.44B	2.41B	2.31B	1.86B	1.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	457.92M	481.58M	268.21M	347.96M	81.21M	139.23M
Total Debt	4.97M	5.78M	10.37M	10.97M	448.55M	582.53M
Total Liabilities	753.17M	789.21M	832.13M	882.72M	1.31B	1.48B
Stockholders Equity	1.59B	1.65B	1.57B	1.43B	546.91M	200.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	41.34M	381.07M	605.79M	1.32B	91.64M	-24.75M
Operating Cash Flow	182.22M	579.92M	851.16M	1.48B	174.94M	129.24M
Investing Cash Flow	-217.95M	-230.99M	-166.00M	-329.36M	-89.86M	-209.97M
Financing Cash Flow	-35.59M	-128.90M	-656.43M	-981.87M	-147.04M	-22.38M

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 169.92
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 169.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 165.86, above the 50-day MA of 163.22, and above the 200-day MA of 138.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMR.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ARLP	72 Outperform	$3.06B	12.64	13.07%	10.90%	-9.45%	-46.37%
NRP	67 Neutral	$1.34B	9.43	26.19%	4.09%	-14.79%	-17.10%
HCC	66 Neutral	$3.98B	116.89	1.67%	0.42%	-23.25%	-90.78%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
BTU	61 Neutral	$3.36B	―	-0.87%	1.08%	-7.21%	-106.39%
AMR	57 Neutral	$2.06B	―	-2.87%	―	-32.53%	-112.77%
METC	51 Neutral	$1.10B	-29.76	-7.40%	2.76%	-16.99%	-184.02%

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Corporate Events

Alpha Metallurgical Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a Tennessee-based mining company that supplies metallurgical products to the steel industry, with operations primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. In its third quarter of 2025, Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net loss of $5.5 million, alongside an Adjusted EBITDA of $41.7 million. The company maintained a strong liquidity position with $568.5 million as of September 30, 2025, and achieved a record cost performance in coal sales. However, the company adjusted its 2025 guidance for capital contributions to equity affiliates, lowering the range to between $35 million and $41 million. Key financial metrics for the quarter included coal revenues of $525.2 million and a decrease in the cost of coal sales to $97.27 per ton. The company also reported a decrease in operating cash flow to $50.6 million and capital expenditures of $25.1 million for the quarter. Looking ahead, Alpha Metallurgical Resources remains focused on domestic negotiations for 2026 and plans to provide further guidance once more clarity is obtained.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Plans

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. The company showcased its strong cost management, safety achievements, and robust liquidity position. However, these positive aspects were tempered by challenges such as declining EBITDA, decreased realizations, and uncertain market conditions. Additionally, a derailment on a key rail line posed potential risks, although mitigated effectively. Overall, the sentiment was a blend of optimism in operational achievements and caution due to economic and operational hurdles.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Highlights Safety Achievements

In 2024, Alpha Metallurgical Resources sold 17.1 million tons of coal, achieving an adjusted EBITDA of $408 million. The company emphasizes safety and environmental stewardship, boasting a significantly lower incident rate compared to the industry average and receiving numerous safety and environmental awards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMR) stock is a Hold with a $188.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha Metallurgical Resources stock, see the AMR Stock Forecast page.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources’ Earnings Call Highlights Operational Success Amid Market Challenges

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a balanced sentiment amidst operational successes and market challenges. The company showcased strong financial performance and effective cost management in a difficult market environment. While operational achievements were highlighted, the ongoing challenges in the metallurgical coal market and economic uncertainties were also acknowledged.