tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Dutch Bros Inc (BROS)
NYSE:BROS
US Market
Advertisement

Dutch Bros Inc (BROS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,115 Followers

Top Page

BROS

Dutch Bros Inc

(NYSE:BROS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(6.68% Upside)
Dutch Bros Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including robust revenue growth and expansion plans. However, the high P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score. The company faces challenges with cash flow management and increased costs, which need to be addressed to improve its market position.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
Expansion Plans
Expanding into new states enhances market presence and growth potential, positioning the company for sustained revenue increases and competitive advantage.
Digital and Loyalty Program Success
The success of digital and loyalty programs boosts customer engagement and retention, driving repeat business and increasing transaction values over time.
Negative Factors
Increased Coffee Costs
Rising coffee costs can pressure profit margins, potentially affecting pricing strategies and profitability if not managed effectively.
Higher Preopening Expenses
Increased preopening expenses could strain financial resources, impacting cash flow and the pace of future expansion efforts.
Regulatory Labor Cost Impact
Regulatory-driven labor cost increases may reduce operational flexibility and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain margins.

Dutch Bros Inc (BROS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dutch Bros Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDutch Bros Inc (BROS) is a rapidly growing drive-thru coffee chain based in the United States, known for its specialty coffee drinks, energy drinks, and other beverages. Founded in 1992 in Grants Pass, Oregon, the company has expanded its footprint significantly, focusing on a unique customer experience characterized by friendly service and a vibrant brand culture. Dutch Bros operates primarily in the coffee sector, offering a diverse menu that includes espresso-based drinks, smoothies, and teas, catering to a wide range of customer preferences.
How the Company Makes MoneyDutch Bros generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages at its drive-thru locations. The company's revenue model is based on a high-volume, low-cost structure, allowing it to serve a large customer base efficiently. Key revenue streams include sales from drinks, food items, and branded merchandise. Additionally, Dutch Bros has a loyalty program that encourages repeat business, driving customer retention and increasing average transaction values. The company has also established partnerships with various suppliers for coffee beans and other ingredients, which helps to maintain quality while managing costs. Seasonal promotions and limited-time offerings further contribute to revenue by enticing customers to try new products.

Dutch Bros Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Shops by Type
Shops by Type
Categorizes the company's retail locations, providing insight into the business model and growth strategy through the mix of company-owned versus franchised stores.
Chart InsightsDutch Bros Inc. is aggressively expanding its company-operated shops, with a significant increase since 2019, reflecting a strategic shift towards greater control over operations. The latest earnings call highlights strong revenue growth driven by new shop openings and robust same-shop sales. Despite challenges like tariff and labor cost pressures, the company remains focused on expansion, aiming for 2,029 total shops by 2029. Initiatives like the Dutch Rewards program and innovative product offerings are enhancing customer engagement, supporting this growth trajectory.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dutch Bros Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Dutch Bros reflected strong business performance, with significant revenue growth, successful expansion, and positive customer engagement through digital initiatives and new product launches. However, the company faces challenges with increased coffee costs and regulatory labor cost impacts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Dutch Bros reported a 25% increase in revenue for Q3 2025, amounting to $424 million.
Positive Same-Shop Sales Growth
System same-shop sales grew by 5.7%, with company-operated same-shop sales growth at 7.4%.
Expansion and New Shop Openings
Dutch Bros expanded into six new states in 2025, with five in Q3, totaling presence in 24 states. They aim for 2,029 shops by 2029, with 175 new shops projected for 2026.
Digital and Loyalty Program Success
Order Ahead mix reached 13%, and Dutch Rewards transactions accounted for 72% of system transactions, showing a 5-point YoY improvement.
Successful Innovation and Product Launches
New product launches such as Blue Lagoon with Strawberry Fruit and Mudslide Mocha were well received. Fall LTO offerings like Caramel Pumpkin Brûlée had the most successful launch to date.
High Customer Satisfaction
Dutch Bros ranked #1 in order accuracy, satisfaction, and beverage quality in the 2025 InTouch Insight's QSR drive-thru report.
Negative Updates
Increased Coffee Costs
Coffee costs were 60 basis points unfavorable year-over-year and are expected to remain elevated into 2026.
Higher Preopening Expenses
Preopening expenses were 1.8% of company-operated shop revenue, 60 basis points unfavorable year-over-year, driven by proportion of shops in newer markets.
Regulatory Labor Cost Impact
Labor costs were impacted by approximately 50 basis points due to regulatory changes resulting in higher employer payroll taxes in California.
Company Guidance
During the Dutch Bros Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided optimistic guidance, highlighting significant growth and expansion plans. The quarter saw a 25% revenue increase, reaching $424 million, alongside a system same-shop sales growth of 5.7% and company-operated same-shop sales growth of 7.4%. Dutch Bros reported a system transaction growth of 4.7% and company-operated transaction growth of 6.8%. The company plans to accelerate its shop opening cadence, projecting approximately 175 new system shops in 2026, aiming for a total of 2,029 shops by 2029. Dutch Bros has expanded into 24 states, with six new states added in 2025. Their Order Ahead program reached a 13% mix, contributing to a 5-point improvement in Dutch Rewards transactions, now at 72%. The hot food program, rolled out to approximately 160 shops, showed a 4% comp lift, with one-quarter coming from transaction growth. Despite facing higher coffee costs and labor expenses, the company maintained a strong position with an adjusted EBITDA of $78 million for Q3. Dutch Bros is raising its full-year guidance for total revenues, now projected between $1.61 billion and $1.615 billion, and system same-shop sales growth expected at approximately 5%.

Dutch Bros Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dutch Bros Inc demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with effective leverage management. While operational cash flow is robust, the negative free cash flow growth highlights potential challenges in cash management. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but should focus on enhancing cash flow stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Dutch Bros Inc has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 5.88%. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 26.72% and a net profit margin of 3.94% in the TTM, indicating profitability improvements. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.23 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity has increased to 9.97%, showing enhanced profitability from shareholders' investments. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to financing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown strength with a coverage ratio of 1.37, indicating sufficient cash generation to cover net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -10.27%, which could be a concern for future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting a need for improved cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.54B1.28B965.78M739.01M497.88M327.41M
Gross Profit404.76M340.13M251.30M180.92M153.30M115.94M
EBITDA239.22M204.91M118.38M46.09M-87.25M26.17M
Net Income62.08M35.26M1.72M-4.75M-12.68M5.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.92B2.50B1.76B1.19B553.70M259.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments267.19M293.35M133.54M20.18M18.51M31.64M
Total Debt840.58M942.91M676.58M625.42M150.69M95.12M
Total Liabilities2.06B1.74B1.09B934.38M339.97M183.67M
Stockholders Equity656.56M537.37M364.35M129.12M94.52M75.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.41M24.69M-88.54M-128.00M-38.07M12.97M
Operating Cash Flow278.14M246.43M139.91M59.88M80.38M53.55M
Investing Cash Flow-212.65M-212.07M-227.28M-192.57M-121.09M-45.57M
Financing Cash Flow-79.44M125.45M200.73M134.36M27.58M8.08M

Dutch Bros Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.43
Price Trends
50DMA
57.28
Negative
100DMA
61.09
Negative
200DMA
63.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
42.45
Neutral
STOCH
22.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BROS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.72, below the 50-day MA of 57.28, and below the 200-day MA of 63.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BROS.

Dutch Bros Inc Risk Analysis

Dutch Bros Inc disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dutch Bros Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dutch Bros Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$213.40B25.562.28%1.26%2.87%
64
Neutral
$8.79B107.3510.53%28.93%69.59%
64
Neutral
$40.45B26.9644.96%7.31%5.26%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$41.39B29.051.88%11.60%-4.33%
55
Neutral
$1.35B36.233.62%-0.64%-60.71%
54
Neutral
$97.27B52.542.85%2.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc
53.43
4.99
10.30%
CMG
Chipotle
30.59
-28.68
-48.39%
MCD
McDonald's
299.66
5.01
1.70%
PZZA
Papa John's International
41.08
-10.05
-19.66%
SBUX
Starbucks
85.57
-12.25
-12.52%
YUM
Yum! Brands
149.12
15.11
11.28%

Dutch Bros Inc Corporate Events

Dutch Bros Inc. Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Dutch Bros Inc. Class A highlighted a robust business performance, characterized by significant revenue growth, successful expansion efforts, and enhanced customer engagement through digital initiatives and innovative product launches. Despite these positive developments, the company is navigating challenges related to increased coffee costs and regulatory impacts on labor expenses.

Dutch Bros Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 6, 2025

Dutch Bros Inc., a prominent player in the U.S. quick service beverage industry, is known for its rapid growth and unique drive-thru coffee shop experience, offering a wide range of handcrafted beverages.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dutch Bros Inc Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Dutch Bros Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 25% year-over-year revenue growth and significant increases in same shop sales and transactions. The company opened 38 new shops and raised its full-year guidance for total revenues and same shop sales growth, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy and transaction-driving initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BROS) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dutch Bros Inc stock, see the BROS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025