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Booking Holdings (BKNG)
NASDAQ:BKNG

Booking Holdings (BKNG) AI Stock Analysis

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BK

Booking Holdings

(NASDAQ:BKNG)

77Outperform
Booking Holdings' robust revenue growth and strong operational performance are key strengths, despite high debt levels and a negative equity position. Positive technical indicators and optimistic earnings call results further support the stock's potential. Valuation remains moderate, providing a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
AI and Technology
BKNG’s AI initiatives are driving sales growth and operating efficiency, contributing to significant increases in return on capital.
Financial Performance
Booking delivered a 28% EBITDA beat and 42% EPS beat.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Conditions
Macroeconomic slowdown and uncertainty may impact discretionary spending on travel and could negatively impact travel service providers through fewer bookings and rates.
Market Competition
Intensifying competition as players such as Google are expanding into the travel booking space, adding competitive pressure to the industry.

Booking Holdings (BKNG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Booking Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBooking Holdings Inc. provides travel and restaurant online reservation and related services worldwide. The company operates Booking.com, which offers online accommodation reservations; Rentalcars.com that provides online rental car reservation services; Priceline, which offer online travel reservation services, and consumers hotel, flight, and rental car reservation services, as well as vacation packages, cruises, and hotel distribution services. It also operates Agoda that provides online accommodation reservation services, as well as flight, ground transportation and activities reservation services. In addition, the company operates KAYAK, an online price comparison service that allows consumers to search and compare travel itineraries and prices, comprising airline ticket, accommodation reservation, and rental car reservation information; and OpenTable for booking online restaurant reservations. Further, it offers travel-related insurance products, and restaurant management services to consumers, travel service providers, and restaurants. The company was formerly known as The Priceline Group Inc. and changed its name to Booking Holdings Inc. in February 2018. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyBooking Holdings primarily generates revenue through the commissions and transaction fees charged to travel service providers, such as hotels, airlines, and car rental companies, for bookings made through its platforms. The company operates a merchant model where it acts as an intermediary, collecting payment from customers and remitting it to service providers, often at a margin. Additionally, Booking Holdings benefits from advertising revenue on its websites and apps, as well as from partnerships with other travel-related businesses. Key revenue streams include accommodation reservations, which form the bulk of its income, followed by transportation services and advertising sales. The company's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships with various travel industry stakeholders, enhancing its market presence and customer reach.

Booking Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Travel Bookings
Travel Bookings
Tracks the volume of travel reservations made through the platform, reflecting consumer travel trends and the company’s market share in the online travel industry.
Chart InsightsBooking Holdings' Merchant segment is experiencing robust growth, significantly outpacing the Agency segment. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting a 59% share of total gross bookings for the Merchant segment, driven by strategic advancements in AI and the Genius loyalty program. Despite challenges like calendar shifts and transformation costs, the company maintains a positive outlook with expected growth in gross bookings and revenue. The focus on Merchant bookings suggests a strategic pivot that could enhance profitability and market share in the evolving travel landscape.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Booking Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Booking Holdings shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, reflected in its high margins and cash flows. However, the negative equity position and high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability. Continuous monitoring of profitability and leverage is essential for maintaining financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Booking Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The company has shown a consistent increase in total revenue, with a notable growth rate from 2022 to 2025. The TTM gross profit margin remains high, indicating efficient cost management. However, the decline in net income from 2024 to TTM suggests a need to monitor profitability amidst growing revenues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt, with a negative stockholders' equity indicating potential financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, but the company maintains a significant cash reserve, which could help mitigate leverage risks. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the need for improved equity position to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
A strong operating cash flow indicates the company’s ability to generate cash from operations, supporting its liquidity position. The free cash flow shows healthy growth, ensuring the company can fund its operations and investments. However, high financing cash outflows require attention to ensure sustainable cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
24.09B23.74B21.36B17.09B10.96B6.80B
Gross Profit
23.57B22.99B21.36B16.48B10.36B6.15B
EBIT
7.83B7.55B5.83B5.10B1.81B2.13B
EBITDA
8.88B9.34B7.04B4.92B2.40B1.56B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.44B5.88B4.29B3.06B1.17B59.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.58B16.16B12.68B12.40B11.15B11.06B
Total Assets
27.19B27.71B24.34B25.36B23.64B21.87B
Total Debt
16.50B17.08B15.00B13.04B11.28B12.38B
Net Debt
922.00M917.00M2.68B816.00M150.00M1.82B
Total Liabilities
33.30B31.73B27.09B22.58B17.46B16.98B
Stockholders Equity
-6.11B-4.02B-2.74B2.78B6.18B4.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
8.48B7.89B7.00B6.19B2.52B-201.00M
Operating Cash Flow
8.90B8.32B7.34B6.55B2.82B85.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-58.00M129.00M1.49B-518.00M-998.00M2.64B
Financing Cash Flow
-8.96B-4.20B-8.91B-4.90B-1.24B1.53B

Booking Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5194.99
Price Trends
50DMA
4701.29
Positive
100DMA
4800.60
Positive
200DMA
4534.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
150.87
Negative
RSI
60.18
Neutral
STOCH
80.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5194.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4864.67, above the 50-day MA of 4701.29, and above the 200-day MA of 4534.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 150.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKNG.

Booking Holdings Risk Analysis

Booking Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Booking Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Booking Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$79.58B31.9732.06%9.68%-47.83%
77
Outperform
$165.06B31.56-146.32%0.71%9.47%20.70%
76
Outperform
$40.57B17.8512.91%0.46%18.12%69.44%
75
Outperform
$10.75B45.9923.09%28.51%367.34%
71
Outperform
$1.97B41.205.91%1.43%121.44%
70
Outperform
$19.98B18.46119.16%0.26%5.57%61.19%
61
Neutral
$6.68B11.753.01%3.94%2.61%-21.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKNG
Booking Holdings
5,194.99
1,481.01
39.88%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR
65.52
10.87
19.89%
EXPE
Expedia
167.25
54.82
48.76%
MMYT
Makemytrip
103.73
28.13
37.21%
TRIP
TripAdvisor
15.30
-3.34
-17.92%
ABNB
Airbnb
134.21
-14.92
-10.00%

Booking Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results with record room nights and significant growth in various segments such as alternative accommodations and air tickets. However, concerns about geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions and specific market weaknesses, particularly in the US, were acknowledged. Overall, the positive achievements and growth metrics outweigh the challenges, pointing to a solid performance and promising strategy for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Room Nights and Revenue Growth
Booking Holdings reported a record 319 million room nights, marking the first time exceeding 300 million in a single quarter. First quarter revenue grew by 8% year-over-year to $4.8 billion.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Earnings Growth
Adjusted EBITDA rose by 21% year-over-year to approximately $1.1 billion, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 22% year-over-year.
Alternative Accommodations and Genius Program Expansion
Alternative accommodations room nights grew 12% in Q1, and Genius loyalty program reached over 30% of active travelers in higher tiers.
Air Ticket and Attractions Growth
Booking Holdings saw a 45% year-over-year increase in air ticket bookings and a 92% increase in attractions ticket sales.
AI and Connected Trip Vision Advancements
Continued integration and testing of AI technologies across platforms with a 35% year-over-year growth in Connected Trip transactions.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Concerns
Acknowledgement of rising geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns impacting global leisure travel demand.
US Market Weakness
Noted moderation in trends for inbound travel to the US and a decrease in length of stay within the US.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Booking Holdings reported impressive financial performance, with room nights reaching 319 million, the highest ever for a single quarter, representing a year-over-year growth of over 7%. The company's revenue climbed to $4.8 billion, marking an 8% increase year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 21% to approximately $1.1 billion. Adjusted earnings per share saw a 22% increase. The company also highlighted robust growth in its alternative accommodations segment, with listings increasing by 9% to about 8.1 million and room night growth of 12%. Furthermore, the Connected Trip transactions grew by 35%, and air ticket sales soared by 45%, demonstrating strong performance across various verticals. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, Booking Holdings remains confident in its long-term strategy, leveraging its global diversification and strong cash flow to navigate potential challenges.

Booking Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Booking Holdings Issues €1.75 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Booking Holdings Inc. executed an underwriting agreement with several major financial institutions to issue and sell €1,750,000,000 in Senior Notes as part of a registered public offering. This transaction, conducted under the company’s Registration Statement, included the issuance of three types of Senior Notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates. The issuance of these Senior Notes is a strategic financial move, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning by providing additional liquidity and financial flexibility. The notes are unsecured obligations, and the company has appointed U.S. Bank Europe DAC, UK Branch, as the paying agent and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association as the transfer agent.

Spark’s Take on BKNG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKNG is a Outperform.

Booking Holdings’ robust revenue growth and strong operational performance are key strengths, despite high debt levels and a negative equity position. Positive technical indicators and optimistic earnings call results further support the stock’s potential. Valuation remains moderate, providing a balanced outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on BKNG stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wei Hopeman Announces Retirement from Booking Holdings
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Wei Hopeman has announced her retirement from Booking Holdings Inc.’s Board of Directors, effective at the company’s Annual Meeting in June 2025. The company and its Board have expressed their gratitude for her dedicated service.

Spark’s Take on BKNG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKNG is a Outperform.

Booking Holdings demonstrates strong financial growth and profitability, supported by positive earnings call guidance. However, the negative equity on the balance sheet is a concern, and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach with potential downward price momentum. Valuation metrics indicate fair market pricing. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward scenario, with strengths in operational efficiency and strategic initiatives offset by financial structure risks.

To see Spark’s full report on BKNG stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.