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BGC Group (BGC)
NASDAQ:BGC
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BGC Group (BGC) AI Stock Analysis

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BGC

BGC Group

(NASDAQ:BGC)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(11.56% Upside)
BGC Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting significant revenue growth and strategic achievements. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators show a short-term bearish trend.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
FMX Futures is expected to introduce differentiated services, enhancing its value proposition and market appeal.
Product Innovation
BGC Group's FMX Futures Exchange added 2Yr and 5Yr US Treasury futures to its product line-up, representing a meaningful milestone in the exchange’s ramp.
Regulatory Environment
A favorable macro backdrop under the new US administration is expected to benefit BGC Group, supporting the Buy recommendation.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Compliance and operational hurdles are slowing down the adoption of FMX Futures platform among brokers.
Regulatory Challenges
Banks face regulatory restrictions and integration challenges before becoming active on FMX Futures, affecting trading activity.

BGC Group (BGC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BGC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBGC Group, Inc. operates as a financial brokerage and technology company in the United States and internationally. The company offers various brokerage products, such as fixed income, such as government bonds, corporate bonds, and other debt instruments, as well as related interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives; equities, energy and commodities, shipping, insurance, and futures and options. It also provides trade execution, connectivity solutions, brokerage services, clearing, trade compression and other post-trade services, information, and other back-office services to an assortment of financial and non-financial institutions. In addition, the company offers electronic and hybrid brokerage, other financial technology solutions, market data and related information services, and analytics related to financial instrument and markets. Its integrated platform is designed to provide flexibility to customers with regard to price discovery, execution and processing of transactions, and enables to use ots Voice, Hybrid, or in various markets, as well as fully electronic brokerage services in connection with transactions executed either OTC or through an exchange. It primarily serves banks, broker-dealers, investment banks, trading firms, hedge funds, governments, and corporations, as well as investment firms. BGC Group, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyBGC Group generates revenue primarily through brokerage commissions and fees charged for executing trades on behalf of its clients. The company's primary revenue streams include transaction-based earnings from the buying and selling of financial instruments, as well as subscription fees for access to its trading platforms and data services. Additionally, BGC earns income from market-making activities and providing liquidity in various asset classes. The firm also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, which enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its overall earnings.

BGC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for BGC Group highlighted significant revenue growth, successful platform performance, and a promising cost reduction program. However, increased expenses related to an acquisition and lower post-trade revenues were noted. The overall sentiment remains positive due to the strong financial performance and strategic achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
BGC Group achieved record revenues of $784 million, marking a 42% increase compared to the previous year.
ECS Revenue Surge
ECS revenues grew by 122.2% to a record $261.6 million, driven by OTC and strong organic growth across the energy complex.
Significant Growth Across All Geographies
EMEA revenues increased by 50.3%, Americas by 40.3%, and Asia Pacific by 17.4%.
FMX Platform Achievements
FMX had its best quarter ever with record volumes and market share increases across both FMX UST and FX platforms.
Successful Cost Reduction Program
A cost reduction program is expected to deliver at least $25 million in annualized savings by year-end.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses Due to Acquisition
Compensation and employee benefits increased by 53.1% due to the acquisition of OTC and higher commissionable revenues.
Lower Post-Trade Revenues
Post-trade revenues were lowered due to the sale of the Capitalab business, although growth was seen in other areas.
Company Guidance
During the BGC Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, significant attention was given to various performance metrics and future guidance. The company reported record revenues of $784 million, marking a 42% increase from the previous year, with ECS revenues posting a substantial 122.2% growth to reach $261.6 million. FMX platforms recorded notable achievements, with average daily volumes in the UST segment increasing by 45% compared to the previous year. Fenics revenues also rose by 18.6% to $162.9 million, driven by a 29.6% increase in Fenics Growth Platforms. The company anticipates third-quarter revenues to range between $715 million and $765 million, suggesting a 32% growth at the midpoint. Additionally, BGC highlighted its cost reduction program aiming for $25 million in annualized savings, expected to enhance profitability and close the margin gap between OTC and BGC's current margins.

BGC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BGC Group showcases robust financial health, with strong revenue growth, profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable despite a slight increase in leverage, and overall, the company is well-positioned in the capital markets industry.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
BGC Group demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over recent periods. The revenue growth is stable, with the latest TTM showing a 3.80% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has slightly increased, indicating some reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has improved over the periods, signaling efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio shows a stable capital structure with reasonable equity backing the assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong and covers net income comfortably, suggesting good cash generation. Although free cash flow has decreased in the TTM, the overall trend shows positive growth over the years. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash utilization despite some fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.21B1.98B1.77B1.99B2.06B
Gross Profit1.01B979.52M1.81B837.19M633.31M842.50M
EBITDA360.28M345.65M215.36M230.44M327.70M234.25M
Net Income132.94M126.99M36.27M48.71M124.01M45.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.88B3.59B3.18B3.07B3.34B3.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments966.36M711.58M672.90M502.01M553.60M654.86M
Total Debt1.85B1.48B1.34B1.21B1.23B1.51B
Total Liabilities3.74B2.51B2.28B2.34B2.68B3.14B
Stockholders Equity963.78M898.51M885.08M669.64M619.75M754.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.76M243.29M345.31M165.60M363.89M217.44M
Operating Cash Flow288.10M315.35M405.20M224.36M417.19M302.61M
Investing Cash Flow-94.43M-96.99M-90.71M-53.33M121.13M-77.94M
Financing Cash Flow211.68M-149.02M-146.88M-233.21M-819.54M-13.10M

BGC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.86
Price Trends
50DMA
10.01
Negative
100DMA
9.51
Positive
200DMA
9.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
45.86
Neutral
STOCH
11.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.94, below the 50-day MA of 10.01, and above the 200-day MA of 9.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BGC.

BGC Group Risk Analysis

BGC Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGC Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BGC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.76B28.1145.36%3.63%42.85%1398.33%
79
Outperform
$5.07B18.5550.41%3.75%10.40%91.75%
76
Outperform
$5.73B27.3117.91%1.74%10.46%50.47%
72
Outperform
$4.64B32.3217.07%0.81%21.05%23.00%
68
Neutral
$570.56M15.585.81%3.51%6.41%-54.25%
68
Neutral
$17.49B11.7010.34%3.85%9.75%0.63%
66
Neutral
$5.03B16.3316.01%53.19%23.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGC
BGC Group
9.86
0.24
2.49%
SNEX
StoneX Group
95.96
41.63
76.62%
LAZ
Lazard
53.23
5.31
11.08%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
319.99
51.43
19.15%
MC
Moelis
69.38
4.18
6.41%
AMRK
A-Mark Precious Metals
22.62
-13.84
-37.96%

BGC Group Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
BGC Group Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

BGC Group, Inc. announced its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on November 12, 2025, with a new deadline for stockholder proposals set for August 10, 2025. The company reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenues reaching $784 million, a 42% increase from the previous year. The company experienced significant growth in its ECS and financial markets, with strong performance across all asset classes and geographies. BGC’s recent acquisition and cost reduction program are expected to enhance profitability and deliver long-term shareholder value.

Financial Disclosures
BGC Group Updates Q2 2025 Financial Outlook
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, BGC Group, Inc. announced an updated outlook for the second quarter of 2025, expecting to exceed its previously stated ranges for revenue and pre-tax Adjusted Earnings. This update suggests a positive financial performance for the quarter, potentially strengthening BGC’s market position and signaling growth to stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025