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BGC Group (BGC)
NASDAQ:BGC

BGC Group (BGC) AI Stock Analysis

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BGC

BGC Group

(NASDAQ:BGC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(13.51% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (revenue growth, improved margins, and strong cash generation) and a very positive earnings update with upbeat guidance. These are partly offset by balance-sheet leverage risk and a relatively high P/E with a low dividend yield, while technicals are mixed with the stock still below longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and successful product offerings, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Generation
Robust cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management, supporting future growth.
Market Position
Achieving record market share in key areas strengthens competitive positioning and indicates leadership in the financial services sector.
Negative Factors
Rising Expenses
Significant rise in expenses could pressure margins and profitability, potentially affecting long-term financial performance.
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting operational flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Modest Profit Margins
Modest profit margins indicate potential challenges in cost management and profitability, impacting long-term financial health.

BGC Group (BGC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BGC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBGC Group, Inc. operates as a financial brokerage and technology company in the United States and internationally. The company offers various brokerage products, such as fixed income, such as government bonds, corporate bonds, and other debt instruments, as well as related interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives; equities, energy and commodities, shipping, insurance, and futures and options. It also provides trade execution, connectivity solutions, brokerage services, clearing, trade compression and other post-trade services, information, and other back-office services to an assortment of financial and non-financial institutions. In addition, the company offers electronic and hybrid brokerage, other financial technology solutions, market data and related information services, and analytics related to financial instrument and markets. Its integrated platform is designed to provide flexibility to customers with regard to price discovery, execution and processing of transactions, and enables to use ots Voice, Hybrid, or in various markets, as well as fully electronic brokerage services in connection with transactions executed either OTC or through an exchange. It primarily serves banks, broker-dealers, investment banks, trading firms, hedge funds, governments, and corporations, as well as investment firms. BGC Group, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyBGC Group generates revenue primarily through brokerage fees and commissions earned from facilitating trades in financial instruments and commodities. The company earns a significant portion of its income by acting as an intermediary in transactions, charging clients for executing trades and providing market intelligence. Additionally, BGC derives revenue from technology solutions and data analytics services, offering platforms that enhance trading efficiency for clients. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and enhanced trading technology further contribute to its revenue streams, allowing BGC to expand its market reach and optimize its service offerings.

BGC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call depicted a strong financial performance with record revenue growth across various segments and geographies. Despite increased expenses due to acquisitions and higher commissionable revenues, the company's strategic initiatives and market share gains in key areas like FMX and ECS indicate robust growth momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenues
BGC Group reported third quarter 2025 revenues of $737 million, up 31% from the previous year, marking a record high.
FMX Performance
FMX set new records in SOFR Futures and U.S. Treasury with SOFR Futures ADV and open interest increasing more than threefold versus the previous quarter. U.S. Treasury market share reached an all-time high of 37%.
ECS Revenue Growth
ECS revenues grew by 114% to $241.6 million, driven by OTC and strong organic growth across the broader energy complex.
Global Revenue Growth
EMEA revenues increased by 37.4%, Americas revenues by 28.1%, and Asia Pacific revenues by 17.4%.
Share Repurchase Program
BGC's Board and Audit Committee reapproved a share repurchase authorization for up to $400 million.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses
Compensation and employee benefits expenses increased by 47.5% under GAAP, primarily due to higher commissionable revenues and the acquisition of OTC.
Non-Compensation Expenses Rise
Non-compensation expenses under GAAP and for adjusted earnings increased by 20.9% and 19.2%, respectively, primarily driven by the acquisition of OTC.
Company Guidance
During the BGC Group, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record third-quarter revenues of $737 million, a 31% increase from the previous year's $561 million. The growth was driven by a 114% increase in ECS revenues to $241.6 million, with significant contributions from OTC and organic growth in the energy sector. Rates revenues grew by 12.1% to $195.3 million, and foreign exchange revenues increased by 15.9% to $106.7 million. Credit revenues saw a modest rise of 1.6% to $69.1 million, while equities revenues rose by 13.2% to $60.4 million. Fenics revenues also grew by 12.7% to $160 million, with FMX UST setting records in average daily volume. BGC's cost reduction program aims to enhance profitability, and the company anticipates fourth-quarter revenues between $720 million and $770 million, projecting approximately 30% growth from the previous year. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $155.1 million, a 22.4% increase, with a post-tax adjusted earnings per share of $0.29.

BGC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BGC Group exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with healthy cash flow metrics. However, the high leverage poses a potential risk that needs careful management. The company is well-positioned in the financial sector, with opportunities to enhance profitability further.
Income Statement
BGC Group has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 7.07% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend in sales. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 56.50%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 6.10%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.90, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is strong at 17.65%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a moderate level, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
BGC Group's free cash flow growth rate is robust at 16.18%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.70B2.21B1.98B1.77B1.99B2.04B
Gross Profit1.15B979.52M893.20M837.19M633.31M828.88M
EBITDA428.34M345.65M215.36M230.44M327.70M234.25M
Net Income165.79M126.99M36.27M48.71M124.01M45.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.83B3.59B3.18B3.07B3.34B3.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments774.94M711.58M655.64M502.01M553.60M654.86M
Total Debt1.84B1.48B1.34B1.21B1.23B1.51B
Total Liabilities4.68B2.51B2.28B2.34B2.68B3.14B
Stockholders Equity965.32M898.51M885.08M669.64M619.75M754.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow400.23M243.29M345.31M165.60M363.89M217.44M
Operating Cash Flow465.83M315.35M405.20M224.36M417.19M302.61M
Investing Cash Flow-209.85M-96.99M-90.71M-53.33M121.13M-77.94M
Financing Cash Flow-42.46M-149.02M-146.88M-233.21M-819.54M-13.10M

BGC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.81
Price Trends
50DMA
8.93
Negative
100DMA
9.27
Negative
200DMA
9.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
42.85
Neutral
STOCH
40.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.99, below the 50-day MA of 8.93, and below the 200-day MA of 9.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGC.

BGC Group Risk Analysis

BGC Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGC Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BGC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.17B25.6351.98%3.69%51.19%456.59%
71
Outperform
$4.26B27.6018.16%0.88%24.77%35.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$6.50B27.6919.30%1.63%12.77%36.43%
66
Neutral
$4.83B20.2036.41%4.06%1.58%1.93%
64
Neutral
$5.07B7.1829.43%2.88%27.66%131.25%
58
Neutral
$5.35B17.4814.47%32.53%13.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGC
BGC Group
8.81
-0.58
-6.18%
SNEX
StoneX Group
103.07
37.34
56.81%
LAZ
Lazard
51.36
6.00
13.23%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
366.00
89.13
32.19%
MC
Moelis
74.59
5.97
8.70%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
32.91
-0.87
-2.58%

BGC Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BGC Group Reaffirms Fourth-Quarter 2025 Financial Outlook
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, BGC Group, Inc. announced that it had updated its outlook for the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2025, reaffirming the previously stated ranges for revenue and pre-tax Adjusted Earnings that were first communicated with its November 6, 2025 financial results. Alongside the outlook confirmation, the company detailed its use of several non-GAAP financial measures, including various forms of Adjusted Earnings, Adjusted EBITDA, Liquidity, and Constant Currency, explaining that these metrics exclude a wide range of equity-based compensation charges, restructuring-related items, acquisition-related costs, non-cash amortization and impairment charges, and other unusual or non-recurring gains and losses, underscoring management’s focus on presenting what it views as the firm’s underlying operating performance to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGC) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGC Group stock, see the BGC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
BGC Group Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, BGC Group, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and operations. The stockholders elected six directors to serve until the next annual meeting, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved executive compensation on an advisory basis. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining its leadership structure and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGC) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGC Group stock, see the BGC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025