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BGC Group (BGC)
NASDAQ:BGC
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BGC Group (BGC) AI Stock Analysis

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BGC

BGC Group

(NASDAQ:BGC)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(7.87% Upside)
BGC Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high leverage and mixed technical indicators present risks. The valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing BGC's competitive position and long-term sustainability.
Acquisition of Macro Hive
The acquisition of Macro Hive strengthens BGC's technological capabilities and market reach, potentially driving innovation and competitive advantage in the financial markets.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances BGC's financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting BGC's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Increased Expenses
Rising expenses from acquisitions could pressure margins, requiring effective cost management to maintain profitability and financial health.
Modest Net Profit Margin
A modest net profit margin suggests limited profitability improvements, necessitating operational efficiencies to enhance long-term financial performance.

BGC Group (BGC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BGC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBGC Group (BGC) is a leading global brokerage and financial services firm specializing in the provision of intermediary services in the financial markets. The company operates across various sectors, including fixed income, foreign exchange, and commodities, and is known for its innovative technology solutions and trading platforms. BGC offers a wide range of products and services, including voice and electronic brokering, data analytics, and post-trade services, catering to a diverse client base that includes banks, hedge funds, and institutional investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyBGC Group generates revenue primarily through brokerage commissions and fees charged for executing trades on behalf of its clients. The company's primary revenue streams include transaction-based earnings from the buying and selling of financial instruments, as well as subscription fees for access to its trading platforms and data services. Additionally, BGC earns income from market-making activities and providing liquidity in various asset classes. The firm also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers, which enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its overall earnings.

BGC Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for BGC Group highlighted significant revenue growth, successful platform performance, and a promising cost reduction program. However, increased expenses related to an acquisition and lower post-trade revenues were noted. The overall sentiment remains positive due to the strong financial performance and strategic achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
BGC Group achieved record revenues of $784 million, marking a 42% increase compared to the previous year.
ECS Revenue Surge
ECS revenues grew by 122.2% to a record $261.6 million, driven by OTC and strong organic growth across the energy complex.
Significant Growth Across All Geographies
EMEA revenues increased by 50.3%, Americas by 40.3%, and Asia Pacific by 17.4%.
FMX Platform Achievements
FMX had its best quarter ever with record volumes and market share increases across both FMX UST and FX platforms.
Successful Cost Reduction Program
A cost reduction program is expected to deliver at least $25 million in annualized savings by year-end.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses Due to Acquisition
Compensation and employee benefits increased by 53.1% due to the acquisition of OTC and higher commissionable revenues.
Lower Post-Trade Revenues
Post-trade revenues were lowered due to the sale of the Capitalab business, although growth was seen in other areas.
Company Guidance
During the BGC Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, significant attention was given to various performance metrics and future guidance. The company reported record revenues of $784 million, marking a 42% increase from the previous year, with ECS revenues posting a substantial 122.2% growth to reach $261.6 million. FMX platforms recorded notable achievements, with average daily volumes in the UST segment increasing by 45% compared to the previous year. Fenics revenues also rose by 18.6% to $162.9 million, driven by a 29.6% increase in Fenics Growth Platforms. The company anticipates third-quarter revenues to range between $715 million and $765 million, suggesting a 32% growth at the midpoint. Additionally, BGC highlighted its cost reduction program aiming for $25 million in annualized savings, expected to enhance profitability and close the margin gap between OTC and BGC's current margins.

BGC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BGC Group demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, improved profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable, though there is a slight increase in leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BGC Group demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over recent periods. The revenue growth is stable, with the latest TTM showing a 3.80% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has slightly increased, indicating some reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has improved over the periods, signaling efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio shows a stable capital structure with reasonable equity backing the assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong and covers net income comfortably, suggesting good cash generation. Although free cash flow has decreased in the TTM, the overall trend shows positive growth over the years. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash utilization despite some fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.21B1.98B1.77B1.99B2.04B
Gross Profit1.51B979.52M1.81B837.19M633.31M828.88M
EBITDA395.35M345.65M215.36M230.44M327.70M234.25M
Net Income152.66M126.99M36.27M48.71M124.01M45.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.89B3.59B3.18B3.07B3.34B3.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments826.47M711.58M655.64M502.01M566.80M654.86M
Total Debt1.92B1.48B1.34B1.21B1.23B1.51B
Total Liabilities3.78B2.51B2.28B2.34B2.68B3.14B
Stockholders Equity930.46M898.51M885.08M669.64M619.75M754.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow344.50M243.29M345.31M165.60M363.89M217.44M
Operating Cash Flow412.29M315.35M405.20M224.36M417.19M302.61M
Investing Cash Flow-174.15M-96.99M-90.71M-53.33M121.13M-77.94M
Financing Cash Flow15.31M-149.02M-146.88M-233.21M-819.54M-13.10M

BGC Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.27
Price Trends
50DMA
9.58
Negative
100DMA
9.79
Negative
200DMA
9.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
46.67
Neutral
STOCH
59.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.20, below the 50-day MA of 9.58, and below the 200-day MA of 9.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGC.

BGC Group Risk Analysis

BGC Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGC Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BGC Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.76B28.1145.36%3.57%42.85%1398.33%
$5.28B7.8528.75%2.78%25.12%122.80%
$6.12B29.1917.91%1.61%10.46%50.47%
$4.37B30.6317.07%0.86%21.05%23.00%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$4.72B16.3816.01%53.19%23.89%
$4.62B19.4536.41%4.02%1.58%1.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGC
BGC Group
9.27
-0.20
-2.11%
SNEX
StoneX Group
96.12
35.12
57.57%
LAZ
Lazard
49.01
0.31
0.64%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
345.93
65.97
23.56%
MC
Moelis
71.33
7.01
10.90%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
34.57
4.12
13.53%

BGC Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
BGC Group Reaffirms Q3 2025 Financial Outlook
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, BGC Group, Inc. announced an update to its financial outlook for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company reaffirmed its previously stated revenue and pre-tax adjusted earnings ranges, originally issued on July 31, 2025. This update is significant as it reflects BGC’s confidence in its financial performance for the quarter, despite the inherent risks and uncertainties highlighted in their forward-looking statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGC) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGC Group stock, see the BGC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BGC Group Announces Exchange Offer for Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, BGC Group, Inc. announced an exchange offer for up to $700 million of its outstanding 6.150% Senior Notes due 2030. This offer is to exchange these notes for an equivalent amount registered under the Securities Act of 1933, fulfilling obligations under a registration rights agreement from a prior private offering in April 2025. The exchange offer is not a new financing transaction and will expire on September 25, 2025, unless extended.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGC) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGC Group stock, see the BGC Stock Forecast page.

BGC Group Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenues
Aug 1, 2025

BGC Group, Inc. is a prominent global marketplace and financial technology services company, operating across various sectors such as fixed income, foreign exchange, energy, commodities, and equities, with a notable presence in the FMX Futures Exchange. The company serves major financial institutions, trading firms, and corporations worldwide.

BGC Group Reports Record Revenues and Growth
Aug 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of BGC Group, Inc. painted a picture of robust growth and strong performance across various segments and geographies. The company reported record revenues, despite increased expenses due to the OTC acquisition. The positive achievements and optimistic future outlook, including cost reduction programs and share repurchase plans, suggest a promising growth trajectory for the company.

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
BGC Group Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

BGC Group, Inc. announced its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on November 12, 2025, with a new deadline for stockholder proposals set for August 10, 2025. The company reported record financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with revenues reaching $784 million, a 42% increase from the previous year. The company experienced significant growth in its ECS and financial markets, with strong performance across all asset classes and geographies. BGC’s recent acquisition and cost reduction program are expected to enhance profitability and deliver long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGC) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BGC Group stock, see the BGC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025