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The Bidvest Group Limited (BDVSY)
OTHER OTC:BDVSY

The Bidvest Group (BDVSY) AI Stock Analysis

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BDVSY

The Bidvest Group

(OTC:BDVSY)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(15.02% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth with stable profitability, though leverage and free-cash-flow variability are risks) and supportive technicals (strong trend, slightly overbought). The latest earnings call added confidence via improved cash generation, while valuation remains moderate rather than compelling.
Positive Factors
Improved cash conversion
Material and durable improvement in cash conversion and higher free cash flow strengthens internal funding for capex, dividends and debt reduction. Better cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports deleveraging plans and gives management flexibility to prioritize organic growth and returns.
Negative Factors
Deleveraging delayed
The aborted bank disposal postpones a meaningful source of non‑operational proceeds that management had planned to use to reduce leverage. This increases execution risk for hitting internal gearing targets and prolongs elevated leverage that could limit strategic optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash conversion
Material and durable improvement in cash conversion and higher free cash flow strengthens internal funding for capex, dividends and debt reduction. Better cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports deleveraging plans and gives management flexibility to prioritize organic growth and returns.
Read all positive factors

The Bidvest Group (BDVSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Bidvest Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Bidvest Group Limited operates in trading, services, and distribution businesses in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through Services, Branded Products, Freight, Automotive, Commercial Products, Financial Services, and Pr...
How the Company Makes Money
The Bidvest Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing logistics and distribution services, food and beverage solutions, and specialty services to various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of food products...

The Bidvest Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a broadly positive operating and financial performance characterized by revenue and trading profit growth, meaningful improvement in cash generation and conversion, strong hygiene segment momentum, successful refinancing at favorable rates, and sustained cost control. Notable challenges were acknowledged: margin compression in Automotive, certain divisional revenue pressures (Freight clearing/forwarding, parts of Branded/Commercial Products), softer returns (ROFE/ROIC) due to prior acquisitive growth, and the termination of the prior Bidvest Bank sale which delays expected deleveraging proceeds. Management’s liquidity position and active capital markets execution, together with operational discipline and clear priorities (accelerate organic growth, improve cash generation and returns), support a constructive outlook, with the negatives seen as manageable near-term headwinds rather than structural failures.
Positive Updates
Group revenue and profit growth
Group revenue of ~ZAR 67.0 billion (transcript ZAR 66.7–67.0bn) increased ~4% year-on-year; trading profit rose 7% to ZAR 6.7 billion and trading margin expanded from 9.8% to 10.1%.
Negative Updates
Return metrics softened
ROFE declined to 37.6% (from 37.9%) and ROIC fell to 13.4% (from 14.4%). Management noted returns have tapered due to multi‑year capital deployment while rebuilding the international footprint.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Group revenue and profit growth
Group revenue of ~ZAR 67.0 billion (transcript ZAR 66.7–67.0bn) increased ~4% year-on-year; trading profit rose 7% to ZAR 6.7 billion and trading margin expanded from 9.8% to 10.1%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The guidance from the call was that management expects a stronger second half and is focused on three priorities—accelerating organic growth, improving cash generation and lifting returns—funded by improved free cash flow and deleveraging: group revenue was ~ZAR 66.7–67.0bn (up ~4%), trading profit ZAR 6.7bn (up ~7%), gross margin 28.1% (+43bps) and trading margin 10.1% (from 9.8%); cash conversion has improved to 70% (from 45%), underlying cash generated before working capital ZAR 8.7bn, working capital absorption ZAR 2.6bn (vs ZAR 3.6bn prior), free cash flow ZAR 3.8bn (about ZAR 2bn higher), net debt/EBITDA 2.2x (unchanged, covenant 2x, target <2x, internal sweet spot ~1.5x), ROFE 37.6% (prior 37.9%) and ROIC 13.4% (prior 14.4%), HEPS ~+5.1% (normalized +5.3%) with an interim dividend of ZAR 4.95/sh (+5.3%); management expects cash and working-capital release, slower M&A to free up cash for debt reduction, continued strong hygiene momentum (hygiene profit +20%, margins ~18.2%, 55% of Services International profit; Services International revenue ZAR 22.5bn, trading profit ZAR 2.2bn), and to use these levers to improve returns and hit the stated gearing and return targets.

The Bidvest Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid revenue growth and stable profitability (Income Statement 75), supported by healthy returns, but tempered by rising leverage (debt-to-equity 1.17; Balance Sheet 70) and inconsistent free cash flow with a notable decline in 2025 (Cash Flow 65).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue125.64B126.61B122.62B114.91B99.93B88.31B
Gross Profit34.63B35.06B34.88B33.34B29.96B27.17B
EBITDA15.44B15.33B16.40B14.95B13.25B11.12B
Net Income5.92B6.07B6.37B5.97B5.07B3.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.63B124.59B112.58B107.51B96.02B86.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.97B6.19B6.97B9.25B11.52B7.44B
Total Debt43.53B44.51B36.83B33.41B30.17B25.89B
Total Liabilities79.00B83.18B74.05B71.18B64.14B57.61B
Stockholders Equity39.21B38.04B35.32B32.99B28.37B25.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.99B2.74B1.95B1.34B2.33B7.14B
Operating Cash Flow11.01B6.23B6.00B5.06B5.59B9.74B
Investing Cash Flow-9.43B-12.33B-7.14B-5.90B-2.95B-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow-1.50B5.46B-1.66B-2.45B2.03B-7.08B

The Bidvest Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.43
Price Trends
50DMA
29.51
Negative
100DMA
28.41
Negative
200DMA
27.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.90
Positive
RSI
34.77
Neutral
STOCH
4.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDVSY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.59, above the 50-day MA of 29.51, and above the 200-day MA of 27.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BDVSY.

The Bidvest Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.56B6.1415.74%2.82%6.42%-1.66%
72
Outperform
$4.76B8.6410.05%0.21%10.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$3.34B12.7738.69%1.01%-3.95%-74.65%
57
Neutral
$4.18B20.956.94%2.76%-57.80%-57.40%
50
Neutral
$458.94M-1.57-40.36%20.53%-15.85%-59.42%
49
Neutral
$4.81B-14.82-10.91%27.59%-8.45%27.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDVSY
The Bidvest Group
26.59
0.66
2.53%
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
6.70
-12.22
-64.59%
GFF
Griffon
71.63
-0.61
-0.85%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
7.55
0.11
1.51%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
20.44
4.16
25.55%
SEB
Seaboard
5,208.35
2,577.37
97.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026