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Compass Diversified (CODI)
NYSE:CODI
US Market

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) AI Stock Analysis

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CODI

Compass Diversified Holdings

(NYSE:CODI)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
â–²(0.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is held down primarily by weak recent financial performance (losses, negative cash flow, and high leverage). Support comes from improving technical momentum and constructive 2026 guidance/deleveraging targets, while valuation is mixed given the very high yield but loss-making P/E.
Positive Factors
Portfolio EBITDA Growth (ex-Lugano)
Adjusted EBITDA growth excluding the distressed Lugano asset demonstrates underlying operational resilience across CODI’s portfolio. Durable mid-single-digit organic EBITDA expansion indicates improving cash flow potential at subsidiaries, supporting long-term debt reduction and reinvestment capacity if sustained.
Clear Deleveraging Targets & FCF Plan
A documented deleveraging framework and explicit FCF target create measurable financial discipline. Anchored targets guide asset-sale prioritization, capex restraint and cash allocation decisions, improving the probability of restoring balance-sheet flexibility over the medium term if management executes consistently.
Governance & Management Oversight Strengthened
Contractual governance upgrades and clearer manager obligations reduce agency risk inherent in an external-management holding structure. Stronger controls, fee alignment and board additions with finance/transformation experience improve oversight and execution capability during restatements and the deleveraging process.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Very high leverage materially constrains strategic flexibility and increases refinancing and covenant risk. With equity base shrunk and leverage well above targets, the company must prioritize asset sales and cash generation over growth, making earnings recovery vulnerable to execution and market conditions.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow erodes liquidity and forces reliance on financing, asset dispositions, or parent-level support. This undermines the firm’s ability to self-fund capex, service debt, and deliver on deleveraging targets without repeated capital-market access or accelerated divestitures.
Lugano Bankruptcy & Restatement Uncertainty
A subsidiary bankruptcy plus ongoing restatements create legal, accounting and recovery uncertainties that can absorb management focus and cash. Potential investigation costs, insurance or D&O recoveries are uncertain and may delay or reduce proceeds available to delever, prolonging balance-sheet stress and governance scrutiny.

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Diversified Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompass Diversified is a private equity firm specializing in add on acquisitions, buyouts, industry consolidation, recapitalization, late stage and middle market investments. It seeks to invest in niche industrial or branded consumer companies, manufacturing, distribution, consumer products, business services sector, safety & security, electronic components, food, foodservice. The firm prefers to invest in companies based in North America. It seeks to invest between $100 million and $800 million in companies with an EBITDA between $15 million to $80 million. It seeks to acquire controlling ownership interests in its portfolio companies and can make additional platform acquisitions. The firm prefer to have majority stake in companies. The firm invests through its balance sheet and typically holds investments between five to seven years. Compass Diversified was founded in 2005 and is based in Westport, Connecticut with an additional office in Costa Mesa, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompass Diversified Holdings generates revenue primarily through the management and performance of its portfolio companies. The company earns income from various sources, including dividends from its subsidiaries, capital gains from the sale of investments, and management fees from its funds. CODI's revenue model is heavily reliant on the profitability of its underlying businesses, which span multiple industries such as outdoor products, specialty consumer goods, and industrial manufacturing. The firm often engages in operational improvements and strategic initiatives within its portfolio companies to enhance their profitability. Additionally, CODI benefits from its ability to leverage relationships with financial institutions and strategic partners to facilitate acquisitions and drive growth, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Compass Diversified Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but pragmatic tone: operational resilience and meaningful adjusted EBITDA growth (ex-Lugano), strong consumer brand momentum (notably BOA and Honey Pot), and clear, prioritized plans to reduce leverage. Offsetting these positives were significant near-term negatives — Lugano-related bankruptcy and restatement charges, a large GAAP loss for the year, elevated leverage (~5.47x), and material geopolitical/tariff-driven headwinds affecting industrial businesses and consumer demand. Management presented concrete actions (sale processes, cost discipline, cash generation targets) and a credible medium-term target to restore the balance sheet, but execution and macro clarity are key to realizing the upside.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Subsidiary Adjusted EBITDA Growth (Excluding Lugano)
Subsidiary adjusted EBITDA was $345.8 million, up 8.8% year-over-year excluding Lugano, driven by consumer strength and operational leverage.
Branded Consumer Outperformance
Branded consumer net sales rose 3.7% and consumer subsidiary adjusted EBITDA increased 13.8%, with strong performances from businesses like Honey Pot and BOA Fit Systems.
BOA Fit Systems Competitive Momentum
BOA-equipped athletes earned more than 100 medals at the 2026 winter games (up from 10 podium winners four years earlier), signaling meaningful brand and product momentum.
Honey Pot Market Progress
The Honey Pot expanded distribution and product mix into the larger period care category, outpacing conventional and better-for-you competitors on Net Promoter Score and gaining runway for share growth.
Arnold Backlog and Capacity Expansion
Arnold ended the year with backlog more than 40% higher than prior year-end; initial production at a new Thailand facility is underway to add capacity and geopolitical redundancy.
Revenue Recovery and Organic Growth
Full-year net revenues were $1.9 billion (up 4.8% GAAP); excluding Lugano, net sales were $1.8 billion (up 3.9%), reflecting mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in 2025 (excluding Lugano).
Cash/Credit and Immediate Deleveraging Actions
Year-end liquidity included $68 million cash and ~$96 million available on the revolver; a January sale-leaseback of Altor facilities generated >$11 million used to pay down senior debt.
Clear Deleveraging Plan and Financial Targets
Management outlined a disciplined deleveraging plan (organic cash generation, targeted divestitures, potential repurchases) and provided 2026 subsidiary adjusted EBITDA guidance of $345M–$395M and a medium-term target leverage of 3.0x–3.5x.
Negative Updates
Large GAAP Losses and One-Time Charges
GAAP net loss for Q4 was $78.8 million (including >$25 million in one-time Lugano investigation/restatement costs) and full-year GAAP net loss was $293.7 million (including ~ $60 million in investigation and restatement-related expenses).
Lugano Bankruptcy & Restatement Impact
Lugano entered Chapter 11 on November 16, 2025; deconsolidation and investigation/restatement costs materially depressed GAAP results and added uncertainty to recoveries and potential D&O/insurance proceeds.
High Leverage Level
Leverage for debt covenant purposes ended the year at approximately 5.47x, well above management's medium-term target and requiring asset sales and cash generation to reduce leverage.
Geopolitical / Trade Disruptions Weighing on Industrial Segment
Arnold and other industrial businesses faced sustained export restrictions and tariff uncertainty (including recent reinstated export restrictions from China), which constrained industrial adjusted EBITDA growth (industrial EBITDA up only 1.1%).
Cautious Outlook and Wider Guidance Ranges
2026 guidance ranges are wider-than-normal (subsidiary adjusted EBITDA $345M–$395M) due to macro and tariff uncertainty, reflecting elevated forecasting risk and potential volatility.
Altor Near-Term Headwinds
Altor faces softer near-term demand due to vaccine-related dynamics and appliance slowdowns; management is cautious on Altor's 2026 performance despite favorable long-term positioning in cold chain.
Consumer Spending Pressure from Tariffs and Inflation
Tariff-driven price pressure and reduced consumer spending affected apparel and mid-market consumer businesses (e.g., 5.11 consumer segment saw price sensitivity and unit declines), creating margin and volume challenges.
M&A Market Conditions and Need to Divest
Management initiated multiple sale processes to deleverage; however, M&A market is described as lukewarm (not hot), meaning desired divestitures may take time and valuations could be pressured by policy/geopolitical uncertainty.
Company Guidance
CODI guided to subsidiary adjusted EBITDA of $345 million to $395 million for 2026 (consumer $220–$260M; industrial $125–$135M), with assumed CapEx of $30–$40M and cash management fees of $25–$30M; management reiterated a free cash flow target of $50–$100M to support deleveraging, noted year‑end cash of $68M and ~$96M available on the revolver, and cited an $11M+ Altor sale‑leaseback used to pay down debt. For context, 2025 subsidiary adjusted EBITDA excluding Lugano was $345.8M (up 8.8%; consumer +13.8%, industrial +1.1%), 2025 CapEx was $44.3M (down $12M), GAAP Q4 revenue was $468.6M (‑5.1% YoY) and FY revenue $1.9B (+4.8%), FY GAAP net loss was $293.7M (including ~ $60M restatement/investigation charges), year‑end covenant leverage was ~5.47x, and the company targets a longer‑term leverage range of 3.0–3.5x (near‑term around ~4.0x with asset sales; organically nearer ~4.5x).

Compass Diversified Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent fundamentals are strained: profitability and cash generation have turned negative (net losses and negative operating/free cash flow in 2024–2025), while leverage is high with shrinking equity, limiting financial flexibility despite solid gross margins.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue has been relatively flat-to-down recently (2025 annual revenue down ~4% after modest growth in 2024), while profitability has deteriorated sharply: 2025 shows a large net loss (about -12% net margin) despite solid gross margin (~43%). The business produced positive earnings in 2020–2021 and again in 2023, but results have been volatile with losses in 2022, 2024, and a deeper loss in 2025—suggesting inconsistent earnings power and weaker operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage is high and remains a key overhang. Debt to equity is elevated (over 4x in 2025 and over 5x in 2024), and equity has trended down versus prior years (from ~$1.1B in 2020–2021 to ~$442M in 2025). Returns to shareholders have also swung materially, with a very weak return on equity in 2024–2025 driven by net losses—indicating pressured balance-sheet resilience despite a large asset base.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation has weakened meaningfully. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2024 and 2025 (with a sharp free-cash-flow decline in 2025), reversing the positive cash profile seen in 2020–2021 and 2023. With negative operating cash flow alongside net losses, near-term funding flexibility appears constrained and the company may rely more on financing actions or balance-sheet capacity to support operations.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B1.79B1.69B1.76B1.72B
Gross Profit721.24M750.42M674.72M649.43M661.58M
EBITDA16.16M-69.49M-73.03M81.59M193.13M
Net Income-229.32M-208.86M108.65M-59.22M114.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.04B3.30B3.33B3.49B3.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.02M59.66M446.62M52.67M160.73M
Total Debt1.88B3.53B3.33B1.83B1.28B
Total Liabilities2.47B2.77B2.47B2.56B1.86B
Stockholders Equity442.02M678.62M929.66M877.58M1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-51.15M-124.34M22.30M-106.83M94.17M
Operating Cash Flow-6.83M-67.64M78.08M-46.65M134.05M
Investing Cash Flow-48.03M-422.45M570.50M-626.72M-317.50M
Financing Cash Flow60.50M100.61M-260.16M575.24M273.21M

Compass Diversified Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.49
Price Trends
50DMA
6.18
Positive
100DMA
6.29
Positive
200DMA
6.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
42.34
Neutral
STOCH
15.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.15, above the 50-day MA of 6.18, and above the 200-day MA of 6.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CODI.

Compass Diversified Holdings Risk Analysis

Compass Diversified Holdings disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Diversified Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Diversified Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.14B6.3332.84%8.97%2.00%―
68
Neutral
$719.03M8.5620.18%10.18%-11.13%―
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$625.66M-1.54-13.99%1.90%32.39%-19.35%
50
Neutral
$476.24M-1.57-40.47%20.53%-15.85%-59.42%
50
Neutral
$798.38M4.714.73%3.87%-16.60%58.86%
47
Neutral
$68.26M-1.26-21.63%―-9.85%-11.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
6.33
-12.68
-66.70%
CRESY
Cresud Sociedad
10.78
1.36
14.49%
IRS
Irsa Inversiones Y Representaciones SA
14.40
2.71
23.22%
MATW
Matthews International
25.65
3.00
13.26%
NNBR
NN
1.36
-1.33
-49.44%
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
5.38
0.46
9.35%

Compass Diversified Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Compass Diversified Expands Board With Two New Directors
Positive
Mar 3, 2026

Compass Diversified Holdings, an owner of middle-market branded businesses, reported board changes that took effect around the turn of March 2026, as it continues to use its permanent capital model to support subsidiary growth and long-term value creation. The company structures control investments and capital support to maximize operating flexibility and cash flow across its portfolio.

On February 27, 2026, director Alexander S. Bhathal notified Compass Diversified of his decision to resign from the board, effective February 28, 2026, citing other commitments and no disagreements with the company or its board. The move prompted governance changes finalized in early March.

Effective March 1, 2026, the board expanded from seven to eight members and elected Eugene Kim and Glenn Richter to fill the vacancy from Bhathal’s departure and the newly created seat, with both serving until the 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting. Their appointments were disclosed in a March 3, 2026 press release.

Kim, managing partner and co-founder of independent advisory firm Compass LKL, brings more than 25 years of private equity and investment banking experience in the U.S. and Europe and will sit on the audit and compensation committees. His background includes senior roles at Compass Partners International, Goldman Sachs International and UBS/Warburg Dillon Read.

Richter, formerly chief financial and business transformation officer at International Flavors & Fragrances, joins the audit and nominating and corporate governance committees with extensive experience in finance and large-scale transformations. He previously held top finance and operating posts at TIAA, RR Donnelley, Sears and PepsiCo’s Frito-Lay, and currently serves on the boards of Samsonite International and TruStage.

Company leaders, including board chair Larry Enterline and CEO Elias Sabo, said the new directors’ private-market, capital markets and transformation expertise would support CODI’s strategy and long-term value focus while thanking Bhathal for his service. Both new directors will receive compensation in line with existing non-management director arrangements, signaling continuity in CODI’s governance and pay practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Updates Management Services Agreement, Enhancing Governance
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 23, 2026, Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC and its external manager, Compass Group Management LLC, entered into an Eighth Amended and Restated Management Services Agreement, revising key terms of their management arrangement. The amendment requires the manager to repay overpaid management fees on scheduled payment dates unless the company agrees otherwise and permits the company, at its discretion, to resume paying certain fees even while overpayments remain outstanding, provided such amounts accrue agreed interest.

The revised agreement also introduces a dollar‑for‑dollar reduction in management fees when the company outsources specified services to third‑party providers, clarifying that those outsourced functions are excluded from the manager’s scope of work. It further tightens governance by requiring seconded personnel to work substantially full‑time for the company, empowering the board to block specific service providers, restricting the manager’s personnel from binding the company without authorization, and obligating the manager to indemnify the company on substantially the same basis as the company indemnifies the manager, collectively strengthening oversight and aligning incentives for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Compass Diversified Schedules 2026 Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

The Board of Directors of Compass Diversified Holdings has scheduled the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders for May 21, 2026, after it was unable to hold an annual meeting in 2025. The company set specific deadlines in early 2026 for shareholders to submit director nominations, proposals for inclusion in proxy materials, and notices related to proxy solicitations, clarifying the procedural framework governing shareholder participation and potentially shaping board composition and corporate governance in the upcoming meeting cycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Sell with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Compass Diversified Flagged by NYSE for Governance Noncompliance
Negative
Jan 6, 2026

On January 2, 2026, Compass Diversified Holdings was notified by the New York Stock Exchange that it was out of compliance with NYSE corporate governance listing standards because it failed to hold an annual shareholder meeting during its 2025 fiscal year. The company attributed the missed meeting to delays caused by restating its financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, and the corresponding late filing of its amended 2024 annual report, which was ultimately submitted to the SEC on December 8, 2025. Until it regains compliance by holding an annual meeting, Compass Diversified will appear on the NYSE’s list of non-compliant issuers and have a “.BC” below-compliance indicator attached to its ticker symbols, signaling heightened governance and reporting risk for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Compass Diversified Declares Q4 2025 Preferred Share Distributions
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Compass Diversified announced that its board declared fourth-quarter 2025 cash distributions on all three of its preferred share series, reflecting the company’s continued practice of returning capital to preferred shareholders. Holders of the 7.250% Series A Preferred Shares will receive a quarterly distribution of $0.453125 per share, while holders of the 7.875% Series B and Series C Preferred Shares will each receive $0.4921875 per share, with all distributions covering the period from October 30, 2025, up to but excluding January 30, 2026, and payable on January 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026; for many investors these payments are expected to qualify as “qualified dividends” for U.S. federal income tax purposes to the extent they are paid from earnings and profits, with any excess treated as a return of capital and then capital gain, underscoring the importance of CODI’s tax profile for income-focused stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Compass Diversified Announces Retirement of Board Director
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Compass Diversified Holdings announced that director James J. Bottiglieri, who had previously notified the company on February 14, 2025 of his intention to retire and not stand for re-election at the 2025 annual shareholders’ meeting originally set for May 29, 2025, formally resigned from the board effective December 31, 2025 after the meeting could not be held as planned. The company emphasized that both Bottiglieri’s earlier decision to retire and his year-end resignation were not due to any disagreement with the company or its board regarding Compass Diversified’s operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a routine governance transition rather than a sign of internal conflict.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Compass Diversified amends credit facility, restores liquidity access
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings LLC entered into a fifth amendment to its credit agreement and related transaction letter with Bank of America and a majority of its lenders, restoring full access to its $100 million revolving credit facility and securing waivers of prior events of default tied to financial covenants and issues at subsidiary Lugano Holding, Inc., which filed for Chapter 11 protection in November 2025. The amended terms reset interest rate margins based on leverage, require aggressive application of disposition and deleveraging proceeds to debt repayment, impose tighter reporting and budgeting obligations—including detailed 13‑week cash flow forecasts and controls over the Lugano debtor-in-possession budget—and cap management fees and certain restricted payments unless leverage targets are met, while also revising financial covenants after March 31, 2025 and establishing potential milestone fees if leverage remains elevated through early 2027, collectively bolstering liquidity but placing the company under stricter lender oversight as it seeks to reduce leverage and stabilize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Secures Waiver for Financial Statement Delivery
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings announced that its lenders agreed to waive the requirement to deliver restated financial statements by December 5, 2025, as per the Fifth Forbearance Agreement. This decision, following the company’s filing of an amendment to its annual report, ensures that the Fifth Forbearance Agreement remains in effect until December 19, 2025, providing stability and compliance with the Credit Agreement terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026