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Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI)
NYSE:CODI
US Market

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) AI Stock Analysis

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Compass Diversified Holdings

(NYSE:CODI)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(1.72%Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by significant corporate challenges, including financial irregularities and compliance issues, which overshadow stable financial performance and a high dividend yield. Technical indicators also reflect bearish trends, contributing to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenue and EBITDA growth accelerated significantly, outperforming initial expectations and underscoring strong financial performance.
Market Outlook
Management is confident in surpassing the target of $1 billion adjusted EBITDA, highlighting resilience and strategic growth plans.
Portfolio Strategy
Compass's diverse portfolio and history of strong capital allocation are evidenced by its impressive unlevered rate of return on investments.
Negative Factors
Corporate Governance
The investigation at the Lugano subsidiary and unauthorized funding arrangements introduce a significant level of uncertainty.
Earnings Uncertainty
The need to restate financials due to irregularities at Lugano creates uncertainty around consolidated valuation and earnings figures.
Investment Risks
Investors express concern over potential distribution cuts and elevated leverage, especially with Lugano representing a significant portion of adjusted EBITDA.

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Diversified Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompass Diversified is a private equity firm specializing in add on acquisitions, buyouts, industry consolidation, recapitalization, late stage and middle market investments. It seeks to invest in niche industrial or branded consumer companies, manufacturing, distribution, consumer products, business services sector, safety & security, electronic components, food, foodservice. The firm prefers to invest in companies based in North America. It seeks to invest between $100 million and $800 million in companies with an EBITDA between $15 million to $80 million. It seeks to acquire controlling ownership interests in its portfolio companies and can make additional platform acquisitions. The firm prefer to have majority stake in companies. The firm invests through its balance sheet and typically holds investments between five to seven years. Compass Diversified was founded in 2005 and is based in Westport, Connecticut with an additional office in Costa Mesa, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompass Diversified Holdings makes money primarily through the acquisition and management of a diverse set of middle-market businesses. Revenue is generated from the operating income of its subsidiary companies, which span across different sectors. CODI focuses on acquiring companies with strong cash flow characteristics and potential for growth. The firm actively manages these subsidiaries to improve operational efficiency and profitability, and it may also benefit from capital appreciation when these businesses are eventually sold. Additionally, CODI receives management fees and potential dividends from its holdings, contributing to its earnings. The company's performance is also bolstered by leveraging strategic partnerships and maintaining a robust investment strategy to optimize the value of its portfolio.

Compass Diversified Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -62.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Compass Diversified demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in key sectors such as consumer verticals and notable achievements in strategic acquisitions. However, challenges in the industrial segment and regulatory impacts on 5.11 present areas for concern. Despite geopolitical risks, the company's proactive measures and strong balance sheet position it well for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
For the full year 2024, Compass Diversified achieved double-digit sales growth and increased adjusted EBITDA by over 30%, with growth accelerating in the fourth quarter.
Successful M&A Activity
Acquired The Honey Pot, a business in the feminine hygiene market, and Lifoam, enhancing their presence in temperature-controlled packaging. Divested Ergobaby and Crosman to streamline operations.
Shareholder Value Initiatives
Raised over $115 million in preferred equity and bought back more than 400,000 shares of common stock, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
Consumer Vertical Growth
The consumer vertical saw pro forma revenues grow double digits with adjusted EBITDA increasing by over 27%, even excluding a $12 million inventory write-down.
Lugano's Exceptional Growth
Lugano delivered annual sales growth of more than 50% and adjusted EBITDA increased by 76.4%.
BOA's Strong Performance
BOA achieved more than 20% revenue growth and over 30% adjusted EBITDA growth for the full year.
Negative Updates
PFAS Regulatory Impact
5.11 faced significant challenges due to PFAS regulations, resulting in a $12 million inventory write-down.
Modest Industrial Segment Performance
The industrial segment experienced flat sales and a modest decline in adjusted EBITDA, though performance improved in Q4.
Geopolitical and Tariff Risks
Potential macroeconomic impact due to tariffs and trade tensions, with exposure to Mexico and Canada posing risks despite mitigation strategies.
Company Guidance
During Compass Diversified's 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted a robust financial performance, achieving more than 30% growth in adjusted EBITDA for the full year and double-digit sales growth. The fourth quarter saw an acceleration in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, surpassing expectations. Key strategic moves included the acquisition of Honey Pot and Lifoam, as well as the divestiture of Ergobaby and the Crosman airgun business to refine their focus on innovative and disruptive markets. They raised over $115 million in preferred equity to improve their capital structure, reducing their leverage ratio to 3.58x. Looking forward, Compass Diversified anticipates a stable outlook for 2025, with a CODI Momentum Index reading of 1.06, reflecting a steady economic environment. They project consolidated subsidiary adjusted EBITDA between $570 million and $610 million, with significant contributions expected from their branded consumer vertical, which is forecasted to achieve adjusted EBITDA between $440 million and $465 million.

Compass Diversified Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company has a strong gross profit margin but faces challenges with high leverage, low ROE, and negative cash flows. Revenue growth is modest, and while financial health is stable, attention to leverage and cash flow management is needed to enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin at 45.5% for 2024, indicating solid profitability from core operations. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.9%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is modest at 6.8%, marked by fluctuating EBIT margins over recent years, currently at 10.5%.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37, the company has relatively high leverage, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. The return on equity (ROE) is low at 3.3%, indicating limited profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is reasonably healthy at 32.0%, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The company faces challenges with negative free cash flow of -$129.33 million in 2024, a decrease from positive figures in 2023. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating difficulties in converting net income into cash flow. These factors highlight concerns over sustainability of cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.20B2.06B2.01B1.72B1.45B
Gross Profit
1.00B893.32M783.05M725.96M539.67M
EBIT
230.13M90.07M130.84M123.08M78.01M
EBITDA
341.85M230.09M247.10M193.13M167.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.81M246.29M36.39M114.55M22.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
59.73M450.48M61.27M157.13M70.74M
Total Assets
4.05B3.82B3.85B3.14B2.60B
Total Debt
1.77B1.67B1.83B1.28B899.46M
Net Debt
1.71B1.22B1.78B1.13B828.72M
Total Liabilities
2.49B2.30B2.49B1.86B1.38B
Stockholders Equity
1.30B1.33B1.14B1.11B1.10B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-124.34M22.30M-92.56M94.17M117.86M
Operating Cash Flow
-67.64M78.08M-28.29M134.05M148.63M
Investing Cash Flow
-422.45M570.50M-626.73M-317.50M-700.83M
Financing Cash Flow
100.61M-260.16M556.88M273.21M521.73M

Compass Diversified Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.39
Price Trends
50DMA
11.99
Negative
100DMA
16.02
Negative
200DMA
18.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.54
Negative
RSI
26.46
Positive
STOCH
12.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.07, below the 50-day MA of 11.99, and below the 200-day MA of 18.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.46 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CODI.

Compass Diversified Holdings Risk Analysis

Compass Diversified Holdings disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Diversified Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Diversified Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$4.52B12.345.41%3.62%4.15%-12.18%
63
Neutral
$793.79M3.5924.14%5.83%72.33%
FIFIP
58
Neutral
$702.34M-6.42%1.92%5.70%36.39%
52
Neutral
$714.44M-17.17%4.41%-9.04%-339.31%
48
Neutral
$480.76M-4.98%15.65%6.77%9.95%
TRTRC
47
Neutral
$441.12M206.650.46%7.04%268.20%
40
Underperform
$810.99M4.49635.79%32.28%-109.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
6.35
-14.71
-69.85%
MATW
Matthews International
22.59
-2.84
-11.17%
SPLP
Steel Partners Holdings
40.18
3.68
10.08%
TRC
Tejon Ranch Company
16.49
-0.12
-0.72%
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global
5.59
-4.16
-42.67%
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
6.43
-1.31
-16.93%

Compass Diversified Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Compass Diversified Holdings Director Resignation Announced
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 7, 2025, Gordon M. Burns resigned as a director of Compass Diversified Holdings, effective immediately, following his earlier decision not to seek re-election due to other commitments. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. The Board plans to reduce its size from nine to eight directors and will not appoint a successor to Mr. Burns.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Holdings Stabilizes Amid Financial Irregularities
Negative
May 27, 2025

In response to financial irregularities discovered at its subsidiary Lugano Holding, Inc., Compass Diversified Holdings has taken several actions to stabilize its financial position. These include entering a forbearance agreement with lenders, reducing management fees, restricting investments in Lugano, and suspending quarterly cash distributions to shareholders. The company is also addressing compliance issues with the NYSE due to delayed financial filings, with efforts underway to rectify the situation and maintain its listing status.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Faces Financial Statement Irregularities
Negative
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings announced that it cannot rely on its financial statements for fiscal 2024 due to an ongoing internal investigation into its subsidiary, Lugano Holding, Inc. This investigation, which has identified irregularities in Lugano’s financing and accounting practices, led to the resignation of Lugano’s CEO, Moti Ferder, and the postponement of CODI’s 2025 annual stockholders meeting. The company has delayed its Q1 2025 earnings release and Form 10-Q filing to allow more time for the investigation. Despite these challenges, CODI’s leadership remains confident in the company’s management and is committed to protecting stakeholders and maximizing value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.