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Compass Diversified (CODI)
NYSE:CODI
US Market

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) AI Stock Analysis

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CODI

Compass Diversified Holdings

(NYSE:CODI)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-34.88% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (downtrend across moving averages with negative MACD) and pressured fundamentals (negative free cash flow, low net margin/ROE, and elevated leverage). Corporate events add meaningful risk due to governance/reporting issues and a subsidiary bankruptcy, while the very high dividend yield provides some offset despite a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Diversified lower-middle market investment model
A diversified buy-and-hold platform across consumer, industrial and niche manufacturing spreads sector risk and provides multiple cash generation channels (dividends, capital gains, management fees). Operational focus on improving portfolio companies supports durable value creation over cycles.
High gross margin and positive core EBIT
Sustained high gross margins indicate pricing power or favorable cost structure at underlying businesses, while ~10% EBIT shows recurring operational profitability. These margins provide a durable cushion to absorb SG&A or cyclical pressures and support medium-term cash generation potential.
Restored revolver access and lender support
Regaining revolver access and negotiated waivers materially improves near-term liquidity and provides runway to execute disposition and deleveraging plans. Stricter lender controls also impose discipline that can strengthen the balance sheet over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow and poor cash conversion
Material negative FCF undermines the firm's ability to fund distributions, invest in portfolio companies, or repay debt organically. Reliance on non-operating sources or asset sales raises sustainability concerns and increases vulnerability to funding shocks over the medium term.
Elevated leverage and constrained financial flexibility
High leverage amplifies downside risk and limits strategic optionality. Credit amendment imposes tighter covenants, mandatory deleveraging and restricted payments that constrain capital allocation, making execution on acquisitions or payouts harder while addressing debt reduction.
Governance and reporting failures; subsidiary bankruptcy
Restatements, audit investigations and a subsidiary bankruptcy are structural governance and control failures that erode investor confidence, risk regulatory scrutiny, complicate financings, and can materially alter reported results and access to capital over the coming quarters.

Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Diversified Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompass Diversified is a private equity firm specializing in add on acquisitions, buyouts, industry consolidation, recapitalization, late stage and middle market investments. It seeks to invest in niche industrial or branded consumer companies, manufacturing, distribution, consumer products, business services sector, safety & security, electronic components, food, foodservice. The firm prefers to invest in companies based in North America. It seeks to invest between $100 million and $800 million in companies with an EBITDA between $15 million to $80 million. It seeks to acquire controlling ownership interests in its portfolio companies and can make additional platform acquisitions. The firm prefer to have majority stake in companies. The firm invests through its balance sheet and typically holds investments between five to seven years. Compass Diversified was founded in 2005 and is based in Westport, Connecticut with an additional office in Costa Mesa, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompass Diversified Holdings generates revenue primarily through the management and performance of its portfolio companies. The company earns income from various sources, including dividends from its subsidiaries, capital gains from the sale of investments, and management fees from its funds. CODI's revenue model is heavily reliant on the profitability of its underlying businesses, which span multiple industries such as outdoor products, specialty consumer goods, and industrial manufacturing. The firm often engages in operational improvements and strategic initiatives within its portfolio companies to enhance their profitability. Additionally, CODI benefits from its ability to leverage relationships with financial institutions and strategic partners to facilitate acquisitions and drive growth, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Compass Diversified Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Compass Diversified demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in key sectors such as consumer verticals and notable achievements in strategic acquisitions. However, challenges in the industrial segment and regulatory impacts on 5.11 present areas for concern. Despite geopolitical risks, the company's proactive measures and strong balance sheet position it well for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
For the full year 2024, Compass Diversified achieved double-digit sales growth and increased adjusted EBITDA by over 30%, with growth accelerating in the fourth quarter.
Successful M&A Activity
Acquired The Honey Pot, a business in the feminine hygiene market, and Lifoam, enhancing their presence in temperature-controlled packaging. Divested Ergobaby and Crosman to streamline operations.
Shareholder Value Initiatives
Raised over $115 million in preferred equity and bought back more than 400,000 shares of common stock, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
Consumer Vertical Growth
The consumer vertical saw pro forma revenues grow double digits with adjusted EBITDA increasing by over 27%, even excluding a $12 million inventory write-down.
Lugano's Exceptional Growth
Lugano delivered annual sales growth of more than 50% and adjusted EBITDA increased by 76.4%.
BOA's Strong Performance
BOA achieved more than 20% revenue growth and over 30% adjusted EBITDA growth for the full year.
Negative Updates
PFAS Regulatory Impact
5.11 faced significant challenges due to PFAS regulations, resulting in a $12 million inventory write-down.
Modest Industrial Segment Performance
The industrial segment experienced flat sales and a modest decline in adjusted EBITDA, though performance improved in Q4.
Geopolitical and Tariff Risks
Potential macroeconomic impact due to tariffs and trade tensions, with exposure to Mexico and Canada posing risks despite mitigation strategies.
Company Guidance
During Compass Diversified's 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted a robust financial performance, achieving more than 30% growth in adjusted EBITDA for the full year and double-digit sales growth. The fourth quarter saw an acceleration in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, surpassing expectations. Key strategic moves included the acquisition of Honey Pot and Lifoam, as well as the divestiture of Ergobaby and the Crosman airgun business to refine their focus on innovative and disruptive markets. They raised over $115 million in preferred equity to improve their capital structure, reducing their leverage ratio to 3.58x. Looking forward, Compass Diversified anticipates a stable outlook for 2025, with a CODI Momentum Index reading of 1.06, reflecting a steady economic environment. They project consolidated subsidiary adjusted EBITDA between $570 million and $610 million, with significant contributions expected from their branded consumer vertical, which is forecasted to achieve adjusted EBITDA between $440 million and $465 million.

Compass Diversified Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Good gross profitability (45.5% gross margin) and modest revenue growth (6.8%) are offset by thin net margin (1.9%), low ROE (3.3%), relatively high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.37), and negative free cash flow (-$129.33M) that raises cash sustainability risk.
Income Statement
The company shows a strong gross profit margin at 45.5% for 2024, indicating solid profitability from core operations. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.9%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into net income. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is modest at 6.8%, marked by fluctuating EBIT margins over recent years, currently at 10.5%.
Balance Sheet
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37, the company has relatively high leverage, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. The return on equity (ROE) is low at 3.3%, indicating limited profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is reasonably healthy at 32.0%, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
The company faces challenges with negative free cash flow of -$129.33 million in 2024, a decrease from positive figures in 2023. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating difficulties in converting net income into cash flow. These factors highlight concerns over sustainability of cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.06B2.20B1.97B2.01B1.72B1.45B
Gross Profit950.17M1.00B833.00M783.05M661.58M539.67M
EBITDA173.47M347.71M311.38M280.22M240.10M185.06M
Net Income-47.23M12.81M246.29M36.39M114.55M22.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.27B4.05B3.82B3.85B3.14B2.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.76M59.73M450.48M56.60M160.73M60.02M
Total Debt1.86B1.77B1.87B2.00B1.42B988.87M
Total Liabilities2.86B2.49B2.30B2.49B1.86B1.38B
Stockholders Equity601.88M1.30B1.33B1.14B1.11B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-81.02M-124.34M22.30M-92.56M94.17M117.86M
Operating Cash Flow-19.25M-67.64M78.08M-28.29M134.05M148.63M
Investing Cash Flow-108.56M-422.45M570.50M-626.73M-317.50M-700.83M
Financing Cash Flow97.25M100.61M-260.16M556.88M273.21M521.73M

Compass Diversified Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.91
Price Trends
50DMA
5.74
Negative
100DMA
6.51
Negative
200DMA
8.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
48.43
Neutral
STOCH
53.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CODI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.93, above the 50-day MA of 5.74, and below the 200-day MA of 8.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CODI.

Compass Diversified Holdings Risk Analysis

Compass Diversified Holdings disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass Diversified Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Diversified Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$803.54M4.2520.18%10.18%-11.13%
77
Outperform
$1.29B3.0332.84%8.97%2.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$828.20M-5.33%3.87%-16.60%58.86%
53
Neutral
$356.62M-1.2220.53%-15.85%-59.42%
50
Neutral
$64.75M-1.07-24.06%-9.85%-11.65%
48
Neutral
$582.64M-2.10-13.99%1.90%32.39%-19.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
5.17
-15.21
-74.63%
CRESY
Cresud Sociedad
12.28
0.10
0.84%
IRS
Irsa Inversiones Y Representaciones SA
16.49
2.18
15.20%
MATW
Matthews International
27.93
-0.51
-1.79%
NNBR
NN
1.32
-1.13
-46.12%
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
5.08
-2.65
-34.28%

Compass Diversified Holdings Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Compass Diversified Flagged by NYSE for Governance Noncompliance
Negative
Jan 6, 2026

On January 2, 2026, Compass Diversified Holdings was notified by the New York Stock Exchange that it was out of compliance with NYSE corporate governance listing standards because it failed to hold an annual shareholder meeting during its 2025 fiscal year. The company attributed the missed meeting to delays caused by restating its financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, and the corresponding late filing of its amended 2024 annual report, which was ultimately submitted to the SEC on December 8, 2025. Until it regains compliance by holding an annual meeting, Compass Diversified will appear on the NYSE’s list of non-compliant issuers and have a “.BC” below-compliance indicator attached to its ticker symbols, signaling heightened governance and reporting risk for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Compass Diversified Declares Q4 2025 Preferred Share Distributions
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Compass Diversified announced that its board declared fourth-quarter 2025 cash distributions on all three of its preferred share series, reflecting the company’s continued practice of returning capital to preferred shareholders. Holders of the 7.250% Series A Preferred Shares will receive a quarterly distribution of $0.453125 per share, while holders of the 7.875% Series B and Series C Preferred Shares will each receive $0.4921875 per share, with all distributions covering the period from October 30, 2025, up to but excluding January 30, 2026, and payable on January 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026; for many investors these payments are expected to qualify as “qualified dividends” for U.S. federal income tax purposes to the extent they are paid from earnings and profits, with any excess treated as a return of capital and then capital gain, underscoring the importance of CODI’s tax profile for income-focused stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Compass Diversified Announces Retirement of Board Director
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Compass Diversified Holdings announced that director James J. Bottiglieri, who had previously notified the company on February 14, 2025 of his intention to retire and not stand for re-election at the 2025 annual shareholders’ meeting originally set for May 29, 2025, formally resigned from the board effective December 31, 2025 after the meeting could not be held as planned. The company emphasized that both Bottiglieri’s earlier decision to retire and his year-end resignation were not due to any disagreement with the company or its board regarding Compass Diversified’s operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a routine governance transition rather than a sign of internal conflict.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Compass Diversified amends credit facility, restores liquidity access
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings LLC entered into a fifth amendment to its credit agreement and related transaction letter with Bank of America and a majority of its lenders, restoring full access to its $100 million revolving credit facility and securing waivers of prior events of default tied to financial covenants and issues at subsidiary Lugano Holding, Inc., which filed for Chapter 11 protection in November 2025. The amended terms reset interest rate margins based on leverage, require aggressive application of disposition and deleveraging proceeds to debt repayment, impose tighter reporting and budgeting obligations—including detailed 13‑week cash flow forecasts and controls over the Lugano debtor-in-possession budget—and cap management fees and certain restricted payments unless leverage targets are met, while also revising financial covenants after March 31, 2025 and establishing potential milestone fees if leverage remains elevated through early 2027, collectively bolstering liquidity but placing the company under stricter lender oversight as it seeks to reduce leverage and stabilize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Secures Waiver for Financial Statement Delivery
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings announced that its lenders agreed to waive the requirement to deliver restated financial statements by December 5, 2025, as per the Fifth Forbearance Agreement. This decision, following the company’s filing of an amendment to its annual report, ensures that the Fifth Forbearance Agreement remains in effect until December 19, 2025, providing stability and compliance with the Credit Agreement terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Compass Diversified Holdings’ Subsidiary Files for Bankruptcy
Negative
Nov 24, 2025

Compass Diversified Holdings, a company involved in various industries through its subsidiaries, faced significant financial and operational challenges due to irregularities at its subsidiary, Lugano Holding, Inc. These issues led to a series of forbearance agreements with lenders to delay exercising rights related to defaults under a credit agreement, allowing the company time to address financial restatements and operational concerns. The situation culminated in Lugano filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on November 17, 2025, highlighting the potential adverse effects on Compass Diversified Holdings’ business and financial condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Compass Diversified Secures NYSE Listing Extension
Negative
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) secured an extension from the New York Stock Exchange to continue listing and trading its securities until January 20, 2026. This extension allows CODI additional time to file restated financial reports for fiscal years 2022 through 2024 and quarterly reports for 2025 with the SEC. The extension is subject to ongoing reassessment by the NYSE. The announcement highlights the company’s ongoing challenges related to financial reporting and internal control issues, which are under investigation by the Audit Committee. The outcome of these investigations could significantly impact CODI’s financial statements and its compliance with NYSE listing requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Compass Diversified Supports Lugano’s Bankruptcy Process
Negative
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Lugano Holding, Inc., a subsidiary of Compass Diversified Holdings LLC, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in Delaware. Compass Diversified, as Lugano’s senior secured lender, will provide debtor-in-possession financing to support the bankruptcy process, which aims to maximize value for Lugano’s stakeholders. This development will result in Lugano no longer being consolidated with Compass Diversified’s financial results starting in the fourth quarter of 2025, while the company continues to work on financial restatements and maintain strong performance across its other subsidiaries.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Compass Diversified Enters Fourth Forbearance Agreement
Negative
Nov 10, 2025

Compass Diversified Holdings, a company involved in diverse business operations, has faced significant financial and operational challenges due to irregularities at its subsidiary, Lugano Holding, Inc. These issues have led to delays in financial reporting and potential defaults under its credit agreements. To address these challenges, Compass Diversified Holdings has entered into multiple forbearance agreements with its lenders, most recently the Fourth Forbearance Agreement on November 7, 2025, which provides temporary relief from exercising rights related to defaults. This agreement allows the company to continue discussions for waivers and relief while working on restating its financial statements. However, failure to resolve these issues could have a material adverse effect on the company’s business and financial condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Compass Diversified Extends Deadline Amid Financial Probe
Negative
Nov 3, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Compass Diversified Holdings LLC announced that its senior secured lender group extended the deadline to November 10, 2025, for the company to publish its restated financial results for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2022, 2023, and 2024. This extension is part of an ongoing investigation into financial irregularities at its Lugano Holding Inc. subsidiary, which has not affected its other subsidiaries. The company is actively working to complete the restatement process and resolve the sophisticated financial fraud perpetrated by Lugano’s founder and former CEO, with a focus on maximizing stakeholder value and maintaining strong performance across its businesses.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Compass Diversified’s Third Forbearance Agreement Announced
Negative
Oct 10, 2025

Compass Diversified Holdings announced a series of forbearance agreements due to financial irregularities discovered in its subsidiary, Lugano Holding, Inc., impacting its financial statements for 2024. The company has entered into a Third Forbearance Agreement with its lenders to delay exercising rights related to these defaults until November 24, 2025, while it works on restating its financials and negotiating waivers, which, if unsuccessful, could adversely affect its business and financial condition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CODI) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compass Diversified Holdings stock, see the CODI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026