Cresud Sociedad (CRESY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $767.30M
• Dividend Yield: 10.18%
• Average Volume (3M): 263.29K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 3.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: -11.13%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,760
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 0.79
• Shares Outstanding: 64,874,245
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 199,031
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 263,286
• PEG Ratio: -0.09
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.93
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.58K
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.60
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.16
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.79
• 1Y Price Target: $16.00
• Price Target Upside: 29.35% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $13.00 ▲(5.09% Upside)
• Action: Downgraded Date: 02/14/26
• Date: Action: Downgraded 02/14/26

The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (very low P/E and high dividend yield) alongside improving recent operating and cash-flow performance. This is tempered by elevated leverage and historical volatility, and near-term technicals that remain weak versus short-term moving averages.

Positive Factors

Improving cash generation

Sustained and improving free cash flow (TTM FCF ~117B, +33.3%) that converts a high share of reported earnings (~82%) provides durable internal funding to service debt, fund capex and dividends, and reduces reliance on external financing—supporting long-term operational flexibility.

Strong margins & revenue growth

Double-digit TTM revenue growth alongside high gross (~40%) and net (~19%) margins indicates scalable agricultural and asset-management operations. Durable margin levels reflect pricing/operational efficiency and support persistent cash generation across cycles, bolstering resilience of core businesses.

Stable capital market access

Ability to raise meaningful local and dollar-denominated debt shows continued market access and investor appetite. A diversified funding mix and successful issuances support long-term financing of land improvements and operations, reducing near-term refinancing risk for strategic investments.

Negative Factors

High leverage

Sustained leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.55) constrains financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to interest rates, currency moves and land-value swings. With operating cash flow covering only a modest portion of debt, elevated leverage increases refinancing and liquidity risk during adverse agricultural or market cycles.

Earnings cyclicality

Earnings and cash flow volatility—driven by commodity prices, weather, asset revaluations and investee results—reduces predictability of free cash flow and debt service capacity. This cyclicality complicates capital planning and heightens probability of profit swings that can impair funding or dividend consistency.

Control concentration & dilution risk

A large controlling stake plus potential warrant-driven dilution concentrates decision-making and can limit minority influence on strategy or capital actions. The recent correction of an accounting error tied to warrant adjustments also highlights governance and reporting risks that can affect investor confidence over time.

Cresud Sociedad Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cresud Sociedad Anónima Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, produces basic agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. It operates through Agricultural Business, and Urban Properties and Investment Business segments. The Agricultural Business segment is involved in the planting, harvesting, and sale of crops, such as wheat, corn, soybeans, cotton, and sunflower, as well as sugarcane; sale of grain derivatives, including flour and oil; breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to meat processors and local livestock auction markets; provision of agricultural services; leasing of farms to third parties; disposal and development of farmlands; and brokerage activities. The Urban Properties and Investment Business segment leases, rents, and services commercial and other spaces in shopping malls; leases offices and other rental spaces; develops, maintains, and sells undeveloped parcels of land and/or trading properties; and operates hotels, as well as engages in the entertainment activities. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

How the Company Makes Money

Cresud generates revenue primarily through the sale of agricultural products, including grains and livestock. The company operates large-scale farming operations that produce a variety of crops, which are sold to both domestic and international markets. Additionally, Cresud earns income from its livestock operations, including cattle ranching. The company also benefits from its real estate activities, as it owns significant agricultural land that can be leased or sold, providing further revenue streams. Key partnerships with agricultural cooperatives and distributors enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Cresud Sociedad Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Recent fundamentals are solid with strong TTM revenue growth (+11.2%), robust margins (gross ~40%, net ~19%), and improving cash generation (TTM FCF ~117B; +33.3%). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is meaningfully leveraged (debt-to-equity ~1.55) and results have been volatile historically (including a 2021 net loss and negative FCF in 2024), which raises downside risk if conditions weaken.

Income Statement

In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), revenue grew strongly (+11.2%) and profitability looks robust (gross margin ~40% and net margin ~19%). Annual results show a meaningful step-up in scale from 2024 to 2025 (revenue rising from ~711B to ~914B) with net margin holding around ~10–11%. The main weakness is volatility across years, including a net loss in 2021 and uneven operating profitability in prior periods, which reduces confidence in consistency despite the solid recent trajectory.

Balance Sheet

Leverage is the key constraint: total debt is high and has increased materially into TTM, with debt-to-equity around ~1.55 (and consistently >1 across the years provided). Equity has grown versus earlier years, but the capital structure still looks debt-heavy for a conglomerate, leaving less flexibility if earnings or asset values swing. Return on equity is healthy in TTM (~19.9%) and 2025 (~9.9%), but the balance-sheet risk profile remains elevated due to sustained leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is positive and improving: TTM operating cash flow (~169B) and free cash flow (~117B) are both solid, with strong TTM free-cash-flow growth (+33.3%). Free cash flow also covers a large portion of earnings in TTM (~82%), suggesting earnings are translating reasonably into cash. Offsetting this, operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of debt in TTM (~0.26), and free cash flow was negative in 2024, highlighting cyclicality and the need for sustained cash generation given the leverage.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.06T	914.16B	711.37B	707.41B	767.70B	149.93B
Gross Profit	446.01B	360.70B	291.55B	386.35B	340.10B	28.24B
EBITDA	404.46B	162.55B	103.58B	113.72B	23.01B	92.86B
Net Income	234.85B	96.15B	78.46B	162.99B	297.05B	-44.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.32T	5.09T	3.47T	3.97T	1.14T	556.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	719.81B	477.07B	260.74B	307.47B	116.39B	47.46B
Total Debt	2.17T	1.46T	902.31B	1.06T	325.05B	204.69B
Total Liabilities	3.71T	2.88T	1.91T	2.18T	695.11B	382.54B
Stockholders Equity	1.10T	970.59B	696.24B	779.00B	177.43B	53.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	116.80B	105.59B	-11.93B	93.76B	141.53B	23.97B
Operating Cash Flow	169.36B	151.32B	68.61B	188.03B	174.66B	31.42B
Investing Cash Flow	28.94B	-108.47M	129.06B	55.42B	103.27B	258.54B
Financing Cash Flow	381.30B	160.87M	-310.52B	-337.14B	-296.48B	-189.64B

Cresud Sociedad Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 12.37
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRESY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.67, above the 50-day MA of 12.31, and above the 200-day MA of 10.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRESY.

Cresud Sociedad Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IRS	70 Outperform	$1.19B	2.92	32.84%	8.97%	2.00%	―
CRESY	68 Neutral	$767.30M	3.11	20.18%	10.18%	-11.13%	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
TRC	53 Neutral	$453.70M	152.48	0.63%	―	15.71%	―

Cresud Sociedad Corporate Events

Cresud Swings to Profit and Details Capital Structure Ahead of 2026 Warrant Expiry

Cresud reported that for the six-month period ended December 31, 2025, it swung to net income of ARS 193,932 million from a loss a year earlier, mainly due to gains from changes in the fair value of IRSA’s investment properties. Total comprehensive income rose to ARS 226,956 million, shareholders’ equity increased to ARS 2.61 trillion, and the company’s market capitalization stood at about USD 819.4 million as of that date, while an accounting error in past inflation adjustments on warrant-related share premium was identified and corrected.

The company detailed a capital structure of 648.7 million shares (including treasury shares) with 35.97% held, directly and indirectly, by controlling shareholder Eduardo Sergio Elsztain, and outlined the potential dilution and increase of the control group’s stake to 39.64% if all outstanding warrants expiring in March 2026 were exercised. Operationally, Cresud’s adjusted EBITDA fell 19% in the first half of fiscal 2026, but the regional 2026 agricultural campaign advanced with good weather, record wheat yields in Argentina and supportive livestock margins, while the company raised USD 117.2 million in local Series L and LI notes and paid a dividend of ARS 93,782 million on November 7, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Raises USD 87.6 Million Through New Local Note Issuances

On January 15, 2026, Cresud announced that it has raised the equivalent of USD 87.6 million in Argentina’s local capital markets through the issuance of additional Series L notes and new Series LI notes, strengthening its financing structure and confirming continued access to debt markets. The additional Series L notes, amounting to USD 40.8 million, carry a 7.25% interest rate, mature on March 10, 2029, are fully fungible with the original Series L notes issued on December 10, 2025, and will be issued at 100.75% of face value on January 20, 2026, while the USD 46.8 million Series LI notes, priced at par, bear a 5.75% interest rate, mature on January 20, 2027, and feature semiannual interest payments and bullet principal repayment at maturity, underlining Cresud’s strategy of combining medium- and shorter-term funding to support its operations and investment plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud to Pay Fourth Interest Installment on Series XLIV Notes on January 19, 2026

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an Argentine diversified group active in agriculture, real estate, commercial and financial businesses, operates from Buenos Aires and reports to U.S. investors as a foreign issuer. The company announced that on January 19, 2026, it will begin paying the fourth interest installment on its Series XLIV fixed rate notes, issued on January 17, 2024, covering the interest period from July 17, 2025 to January 17, 2026 on an outstanding principal of USD 39.77 million at a 6.00% annual nominal rate, for a total interest payment of about USD 1.20 million in U.S. dollars to noteholders of record as of January 16, 2026, underscoring its continued servicing of debt obligations and providing clarity to bondholders on cash flow timing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Pays Third Interest Installment on Series XLVI Notes

On January 19, 2026, Cresud began paying the third interest installment on its Series XLVI fixed rate notes, originally issued on July 18, 2024 and maturing in 2027, with an outstanding principal of USD 28.55 million. The payment, handled by Caja de Valores S.A. in Argentine pesos at the applicable exchange rate, covers interest accrued between July 18, 2025 and January 18, 2026 at a 1.50% annual nominal rate, totaling USD 215,911.53 for noteholders of record as of January 16, 2026, underscoring the company’s continued fulfillment of its debt obligations and providing income certainty to its bond investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Initiates First Interest Payment on 2028 Series XLVIII Notes

On January 12, 2026, Cresud will begin paying the first interest installment on its Series XLVIII fixed-rate notes, originally issued on July 11, 2025, in the principal amount of USD 43.66 million and maturing in 2028. The payment, handled by Caja de Valores S.A., covers interest accrued between July 11, 2025, and January 11, 2026, at an annual nominal rate of 8.00%, totaling USD 1,760,600.24 in interest, with the outstanding capital on the notes standing at USD 46.66 million; interest will be paid in U.S. dollars to noteholders of record as of January 9, 2026, underscoring Cresud’s ongoing servicing of its debt obligations and its continued access to dollar-denominated funding in international markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud to Pay Seventh Interest Installment on Series XXXVIII 2026 Notes in Early January

On December 22, 2025, Cresud announced that it will begin paying the seventh interest installment on its Series XXXVIII fixed-rate notes, issued on July 8, 2022, with an outstanding principal of USD 70.57 million due in 2026. The payment, totaling USD 2.85 million in interest at an 8.00% annual nominal rate for the period from July 3, 2025 to January 3, 2026, will be made in U.S. dollars through Caja de Valores S.A. starting January 5, 2026 to noteholders of record as of January 2, 2026, underscoring the company’s continued fulfillment of its debt service obligations to bond investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud to Pay Second Principal Installment on Series XLII Notes on January 5, 2026

On December 22, 2025, Cresud announced that it will begin paying the second installment of principal on its Series XLII fixed rate notes, originally issued on April 4, 2023, in a total principal amount of USD 30,045,566 and maturing in 2026. The payment, scheduled for January 5, 2026, will cover 33% of the capital, equivalent to USD 9,915,036.78, with no interest due given the notes’ 0.00% annual nominal interest rate, and will be made in Argentine pesos via Caja de Valores S.A. to noteholders of record as of January 2, 2026, signaling ongoing compliance with Cresud’s debt service obligations and contributing to a gradual reduction of its outstanding bond liabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Initiates First Installment Payment on Series XL Notes

Cresud S.A.C.I.F. and A. announced that it will commence the payment of the first installment of capital on its Series XL Fixed Rate Notes on December 22, 2025. The notes, issued on December 21, 2022, have an outstanding capital of USD 38,210,127, with the first installment amounting to USD 12,609,341.91. This payment marks a significant financial event for the company, reflecting its commitment to fulfilling its financial obligations and potentially impacting its financial stability and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Issues USD 29.6 Million in Series L Notes

On December 4, 2025, Cresud Sociedad Anónima announced the issuance of Series L Notes in the local capital markets, raising a total of USD 29.6 million. These notes, issued at a 7.25% interest rate, will mature on March 10, 2029, with interest payments starting in September 2026. This move is expected to bolster Cresud’s financial position and enhance its market operations, providing a strategic advantage in its industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Increases Capital Stock with Warrant Exercise in November 2025

Between November 17 and 25, 2025, Cresud Sociedad Anónima saw the exercise of certain warrants by holders, resulting in the issuance of 16,898,282 ordinary shares and the collection of USD 6,199,980. This exercise increased the company’s capital stock from 631,844,155 to 648,742,437 shares, while reducing the number of outstanding warrants from 60,669,566 to 49,708,631. This development signifies a strengthening of Cresud’s capital base, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.

Cresud Sociedad Anónima Reports Q3 2025 Financial Growth

Cresud Sociedad Anónima released its unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025. The financials show an increase in investment properties and property, plant, and equipment compared to June 30, 2025, indicating growth in its asset base. This financial update provides insights into the company’s operational expansion and asset management strategies, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRESY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresud Sociedad stock, see the CRESY Stock Forecast page.