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FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP)
NASDAQ:FIP
US Market

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) AI Stock Analysis

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FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation

(NASDAQ:FIP)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(6.21%Upside)
FIP shows potential with solid technical momentum and positive corporate events. However, significant challenges in financial performance and valuation due to profitability issues and high debt levels weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Equity Value
Transtar's potential valuation suggests a substantial increase in FIP's equity value, given the asset's debt-free status and projected earnings.
Growth Potential
Management has visibility into significant growth potential with an annual adjusted EBITDA target of $220M, driven by a strong pipeline of new business opportunities.
Revenue and EBITDA
Solid 3Q24 results with increased revenue and EBITDA highlight steady performance across key assets at FTAI Infrastructure.
Negative Factors
Asset Maturity
Several underlying assets are expected to become more mature, which might slow down the pace of new growth initiatives.
Operational Challenges
The quarter included record revenue and throughput volumes, but roughly two-thirds of quarterly volume coming from refined products and the balance from crude oil could pose challenges.
Strategic Focus
Management highlighted that it is increasing focus on the strategic front, which indicates potential challenges in maintaining current operational momentum.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) is a company operating within the infrastructure sector, focusing on the development, acquisition, and management of transportation and energy-related assets. The company aims to enhance and optimize infrastructure investments to provide sustainable and efficient services. FIP primarily engages in the sectors of aviation, rail, and energy, offering a diverse portfolio of infrastructure solutions designed to meet the evolving demands of modern industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTAI Infrastructure Incorporation generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes leasing and managing transportation and energy infrastructure assets. The company earns income by leasing aviation equipment, such as aircraft and engines, to airlines and other operators. Additionally, FIP invests in rail infrastructure, providing critical transportation links and charging fees for usage. In the energy sector, the company is involved in the development and management of energy-related infrastructure, generating revenue by supplying energy and related services. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with key industry players further enhance FIP's revenue streams, allowing for shared investments and the optimization of infrastructure assets.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 32.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant growth in EBITDA, a strong future pipeline, and positive developments in key business units like Long Ridge and Repauno. However, there were challenges at Jefferson with decreased EBITDA due to operational issues and high debt levels. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to growth and strategic progress outweighing the operational challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $35.2 million, up 21% from Q4 2024 and 29% from Q1 2024. The company also recorded a non-cash gain of $120 million from the Long Ridge transaction.
Strong Pipeline and Future Projections
The company has a line of sight on approximately $190 million of incremental locked-in annual EBITDA with a potential to exceed $400 million annually, excluding new investments or acquisitions.
Positive Developments at Long Ridge
Reported EBITDA for Long Ridge increased to $18.1 million in Q1 2025. The company anticipates an annual run rate EBITDA of $160 million by mid-year.
Progress at Repauno
Repauno has signed contracts and LOIs representing approximately 80 million of annual EBITDA for Phase 2, with further developments expected in 2026.
Stable Performance at Transtar
Transtar's adjusted EBITDA was $19.9 million, with stable volumes and strategic M&A efforts ongoing.
Dividend Announcement
The board authorized a quarterly dividend of $0.03 per share.
Negative Updates
Challenges at Jefferson
Jefferson's EBITDA decreased from $11.1 million in Q4 2024 to $8 million in Q1 2025 due to 4 storage tanks being off lease. The quarter's EBITDA could have exceeded $10 million if the tanks were on lease.
Debt Levels
Total debt reported was $2.8 billion as of March 31, 2025, with specific debts at Jefferson ($975 million) and Repauno ($73 million).
Company Guidance
During the First Quarter 2025 FTAI Infrastructure Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided with a focus on several key metrics. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $35.2 million for the first quarter, a 21% increase from the previous quarter and a 29% increase from the first quarter of the previous year. A significant development was the Long Ridge transaction, which resulted in a non-cash gain of $120 million and the consolidation of Long Ridge into the company's financial statements. The company has a line of sight on $190 million of incremental locked-in annual EBITDA, contributing to a total potential annual EBITDA of over $330 million. Looking forward, the company targets an annual EBITDA potential in excess of $400 million, excluding new investments or acquisitions. Specifically, for Long Ridge, the company expects an annual run rate EBITDA of approximately $160 million by mid-year, bolstered by $30 million of annual EBITDA from higher capacity revenue starting June 1. Meanwhile, Jefferson reported a slightly lower EBITDA due to transitioning storage tanks to new contracts, but it expects $25 million of long-term annual EBITDA commencing this year. Repauno launched financing for its Phase 2 transloading project, anticipating a total of approximately $80 million of annual EBITDA upon completion of construction in late 2026. Overall, FTAI Infrastructure remains optimistic about transformational opportunities in 2025, driven by strategic developments across its business units.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability. A strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio is overshadowed by negative cash flows and net income.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation has shown some revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $345.1 million, up from $331.5 million in the previous annual period. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges. The TTM net income is negative at -$52.5 million, indicating ongoing losses. The EBIT margin is negative due to the loss on EBIT, and although EBITDA has improved, it remains a concern. Overall, revenue growth is a positive sign, but profitability remains a significant issue.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a total debt of $67.4 million against a stockholders' equity of $866.4 million, resulting in a relatively low and improving debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a strong equity base compared to total assets. However, the return on equity is negatively impacted by the company's losses. The improved cash position is a positive sign, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates that the company is experiencing difficulties with negative operating cash flow of -$107.2 million in the TTM period and a negative free cash flow of -$176.4 million. Free cash flow growth has not been favorable, which presents challenges in financing operations and investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable due to losses, highlighting the need for better cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
345.12M331.50M320.47M261.97M120.22M68.56M
Gross Profit
101.72M331.50M-26.66M53.81M-47.98M-45.02M
EBIT
-14.83M-21.70M-39.49M-40.80M-56.71M-56.55M
EBITDA
85.92M-61.23M23.32M-59.06M-39.94M-31.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-52.47M-223.65M-121.34M-153.58M-79.87M-55.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
223.41M27.79M29.37M36.49M67.07M15.71M
Total Assets
4.14B2.37B2.38B2.48B2.44B1.40B
Total Debt
67.36M1.66B1.41B1.30B789.03M339.38M
Net Debt
-156.05M1.63B1.38B1.26B739.16M323.67M
Total Liabilities
3.28B1.92B1.64B1.69B980.25M403.61M
Stockholders Equity
866.44M583.87M809.52M816.21M1.46B973.05M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-176.37M-98.10M-95.23M-259.83M-202.61M-294.38M
Operating Cash Flow
-107.18M-15.28M5.51M-42.69M-61.72M-46.86M
Investing Cash Flow
65.01M-118.14M-147.12M-267.27M-828.72M-252.22M
Financing Cash Flow
200.91M193.23M79.45M157.74M1.14B337.63M

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.12
Price Trends
50DMA
4.74
Positive
100DMA
5.31
Positive
200DMA
6.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
64.08
Neutral
STOCH
55.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.78, above the 50-day MA of 4.74, and below the 200-day MA of 6.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIP.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Risk Analysis

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.295.40%3.67%4.15%-12.21%
63
Neutral
$766.02M3.7124.14%5.83%72.33%
FIFIP
58
Neutral
$702.34M-6.42%1.86%5.70%36.39%
52
Neutral
$141.01M-55.95%-12.33%-738.00%
52
Neutral
$714.44M-17.17%4.34%-9.04%-339.31%
47
Neutral
$110.48M-17.87%-7.16%28.78%
TRTRC
47
Neutral
$441.12M205.900.46%7.04%268.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
6.25
-1.64
-20.79%
MATW
Matthews International
22.67
-3.30
-12.71%
NNBR
NN
2.16
-0.84
-28.00%
SPLP
Steel Partners Holdings
41.45
4.95
13.56%
TRC
Tejon Ranch Company
16.47
-0.44
-2.60%
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services
2.87
-0.67
-18.93%

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FTAI Infrastructure Completes $300M Bond Offering
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On May 28, 2025, DRP Urban Renewal 4, LLC, a subsidiary of FTAI Infrastructure Inc., completed a $300 million bond offering for the Repauno Port & Rail Terminal Project. The bonds, issued by the New Jersey Economic Development Authority, are secured by a trust estate and collateral, with repayment sourced from DRP 4’s payments to the EDA. This financial move is part of a broader strategy involving a Collateral Agency Agreement, a Lease Agreement, and a Senior Secured Credit Agreement, which collectively secure the bonds and outline financial and operational covenants. These agreements position FTAI Infrastructure to enhance its market presence and operational capacity in the infrastructure sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FTAI Infrastructure Elects Directors and Ratifies Auditor
Neutral
May 30, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 29, 2025, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. shareholders elected two Class III directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting. Additionally, the shareholders ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The election and ratification decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its future financial oversight and leadership continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
FTAI Infrastructure Prices $300M Bond Offering
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, FTAI Infrastructure Inc.’s subsidiary, DRP Urban Renewal 4, LLC, along with the New Jersey Economic Development Authority, priced a private offering of $300 million in Series 2025 Bonds for the Repauno Port & Rail Terminal Project. The bonds, maturing in 2035 and 2045, will bear fixed interest rates of 6.375% and 6.625%, respectively. The offering is limited to qualified institutional buyers and accredited investors, with the closing expected on May 28, 2025. Concurrently, Repauno plans to enter into a Senior Secured Credit Agreement for a $106 million term loan to refinance existing obligations and for general corporate purposes. This loan will have an initial maturity of 18 months, extendable by another 18 months, and will be secured by the same collateral as the Series 2025 Bonds.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FTAI Infrastructure Plans $300M Bond Offering
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, FTAI Infrastructure Inc.’s subsidiary, Delaware River Partners LLC, in collaboration with the New Jersey Economic Development Authority, plans to offer Series 2025 Bonds worth approximately $300 million. The proceeds will finance the expansion and renovation of the Repauno Port & Rail Terminal, aiming to boost its capacity and operational efficiency. This initiative is expected to enhance Repauno’s revenue and EBITDA targets, although actual results may vary due to various risks and uncertainties.

Private Placements and Financing
FTAI Infrastructure Announces $400M Financing Package
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Delaware River Partners LLC, a subsidiary of FTAI Infrastructure Inc., announced plans to market a $400 million financing package, comprising tax-exempt bonds and a term loan. The funds will support the Phase 2 expansion, debt repayment, reserve accounts, and transaction fees. Repauno aims to achieve annual revenues of up to $130 million and Adjusted EBITDA of up to $100 million post-expansion, though these targets are subject to various uncertainties and assumptions, including throughput and operating expenses.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.