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FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP)
NASDAQ:FIP
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FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) AI Stock Analysis

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FIP

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation

(NASDAQ:FIP)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(6.80% Upside)
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation's overall stock score is driven by strong growth potential highlighted in the earnings call, despite significant financial performance challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and acquisitions provide a positive outlook, but high leverage and negative profitability metrics weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators suggest potential stability, but valuation concerns remain due to the negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and successful execution of strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions like Wheeling & Lake Erie Railway enhance market position and operational capacity, driving long-term growth.
Gas Production Expansion
Expansion in gas production strengthens energy segment capabilities, supporting sustainable revenue and diversification.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues hinder the ability to convert revenue into profit, affecting long-term shareholder value and operational efficiency.
Cash Flow Management
Weak cash flow management undermines financial stability and limits reinvestment opportunities, posing risks to sustained growth.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTAI Infrastructure Inc. focuses on acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation and energy industries. It operates a multi-modal crude oil and refined products terminal, and other related assets. The company also has a 1,630-acre deep-water port located along the Delaware River with an underground storage cavern, a multipurpose dock, a rail-to-ship transloading system, and multiple industrial development opportunities; and a 1,660-acre multi-modal port located along the Ohio River with rail, dock, and multiple industrial development opportunities, including a power plant under construction. In addition, it operates five freight railroads and one switching facility. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in New York, New York. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NasdaqGS : FIP) operates independently of Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors LLC as of August 1, 2022.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTAI Infrastructure Incorporation generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts for infrastructure projects, asset management fees, and performance-based incentives. The company partners with government entities and private sector organizations to undertake large-scale projects, allowing it to secure steady income streams. Additionally, FIP benefits from investment returns on its equity stakes in various infrastructure assets, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The combination of these revenue streams, along with strategic alliances and joint ventures, bolsters the company's financial performance.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, transformative acquisitions, and significant growth in key segments like Rail and Long Ridge. There were minor setbacks related to external factors such as the government shutdown and temporary volume declines, but overall, the company demonstrated strong growth potential.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transformative Acquisition in Rail Segment
Closed on the acquisition of the Wheeling & Lake Erie Railway, setting the stage for significant growth in the Rail segment.
Strong Financial Performance
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $70.9 million, up 55% from the previous quarter and nearly double year-over-year.
Gas Production Milestone
Commenced gas production in West Virginia, producing over 100,000 MMBtu per day, exceeding power plant consumption.
Long Ridge Segment Success
Reported EBITDA of $35.7 million, with an expected achievement of a $160 million annual EBITDA run rate in Q4.
Rail Segment Revenue Growth
Rail segment adjusted EBITDA was $29.1 million, with Wheeling contributing $8.4 million in just 5 weeks.
Repauno's Phase 3 Permit
Received a permit for the construction of the Phase 3 cavern system, signaling significant future growth potential.
Negative Updates
Federal Government Shutdown Impact
The shutdown affected the Surface Transportation Board's processing of the Wheeling acquisition, potentially delaying its full integration.
Coke Volume Decline
Coke volumes were lower due to an incident at U.S. Steel's Clairton production unit, though recovery is expected.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 FTAI Infrastructure earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant growth and strategic initiatives. The Rail segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $29.1 million, with an expectation of reaching a $220 million run rate by the end of 2026. The Wheeling & Lake Erie Railway acquisition contributed $8.4 million in just five weeks, with potential annual savings of $20 million anticipated upon gaining active control. Long Ridge's gas production exceeded 100,000 MMBtu per day, contributing to a $35.7 million EBITDA, and is expected to achieve a $160 million annual run rate in Q4. The company forecasts generating over $450 million in annual adjusted EBITDA, excluding organic growth. Strategic plans include refinancing existing debt, exploring a sale of Long Ridge, and further investments in Repauno and Jefferson segments, aiming for $80 million annual EBITDA from Repauno's Phase 2. Total group debt stood at $3.7 billion, with plans to issue new bonds to optimize capital structure.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation faces significant financial challenges. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and high leverage. The balance sheet shows high debt levels, and cash flow management is weak, with negative operating and free cash flows. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and managing its debt to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth, with a 10.84% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability remains a significant concern, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 24.11%, indicating challenges in managing cost of goods sold. Overall, while revenue is growing, the company struggles with profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.40, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and inefficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 21.00%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet highlights financial instability and high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning trend with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 27.34%, but the overall cash flow situation remains weak. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting that despite losses, the company is generating some cash flow relative to net income. Overall, cash flow management is a critical area for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue439.77M331.50M320.47M261.97M120.22M68.56M
Gross Profit376.80M331.50M-26.66M-29.90M-47.98M-45.02M
EBITDA108.84M-61.23M23.32M-59.06M-39.94M-31.83M
Net Income-134.64M-223.65M-121.34M-153.58M-79.87M-55.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.45B2.37B2.38B2.48B2.44B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.92M27.79M29.37M36.49M49.87M15.71M
Total Debt3.80B1.66B1.41B1.30B789.03M339.38M
Total Liabilities4.37B1.92B1.64B1.69B980.25M403.61M
Stockholders Equity1.24B583.87M809.52M816.21M1.46B973.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-151.19M-98.10M-95.23M-259.83M-202.61M-294.38M
Operating Cash Flow-123.31M-15.28M5.51M-42.69M-61.72M-46.86M
Investing Cash Flow-1.13B-118.14M-147.12M-267.27M-828.72M-252.22M
Financing Cash Flow1.46B193.23M79.45M157.74M1.14B337.63M

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.15
Price Trends
50DMA
4.95
Positive
100DMA
5.45
Negative
200DMA
5.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
47.40
Neutral
STOCH
8.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.44, above the 50-day MA of 4.95, and below the 200-day MA of 5.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIP.

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Risk Analysis

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$602.41M-2.14-13.99%1.69%32.39%-19.35%
53
Neutral
$451.42M15.60%6.77%9.95%
48
Neutral
$711.27M-12.81%4.30%-11.13%-351.71%
48
Neutral
$102.17M-24.62%-21.67%60.44%
47
Neutral
$419.01M-794.90-0.11%14.79%-141.14%
46
Neutral
$90.35M-24.06%-9.85%-11.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
5.15
-3.66
-41.54%
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
5.90
-16.20
-73.30%
MATW
Matthews International
23.25
-0.31
-1.32%
NNBR
NN
1.70
-1.81
-51.57%
TRC
Tejon Ranch Company
15.74
-1.09
-6.48%
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services
2.02
-1.60
-44.20%

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Corporate Events

FTAI Infrastructure Faces Compliance Challenges with Wheeling Acquisition
Nov 2, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation faces a significant business risk due to Wheeling’s status as a private company not subject to the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This exemption means Wheeling is not required to maintain the stringent internal controls over financial reporting mandated for public companies, potentially affecting the reliability of its financial statements. As FTAI seeks to integrate Wheeling, it must implement Sarbanes-Oxley compliance, which will demand substantial time and financial resources. Failure to achieve compliance could lead to regulatory sanctions, further straining the company’s resources and adversely impacting its financial standing.

FTAI Infrastructure Faces Financial Uncertainty Amid Pending Wheeling Acquisition Approval
Nov 2, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation faces significant business risk due to the pending approval of the Wheeling Acquisition by the Surface Transportation Board (STB). Without final approval, the company would be unable to control Wheeling and would need to divest its interests, potentially incurring substantial losses and expenses. Additionally, if approval is not secured by August 25, 2026, RR Holdings may be obligated to redeem certain financial instruments, which could strain its financial resources and adversely affect the company’s financial condition.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
FTAI Infrastructure Completes Acquisition of Wheeling Corporation
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

On August 25, 2025, FTAI Infrastructure Inc.’s subsidiary, FIP RR Holdings LLC, completed the acquisition of The Wheeling Corporation from WLE Management Partners, L.P. for approximately $1.05 billion. This acquisition, facilitated by a $1.25 billion secured bridge loan, involves a voting trust agreement pending regulatory approval and includes the issuance of Series A Preferred Units and Warrants to finance the deal. The transaction aims to strengthen FTAI’s position in the railway sector, with significant financial arrangements and strategic moves designed to optimize its asset management and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

FTAI Infrastructure Faces Integration Challenges with Wheeling Acquisition: Potential Impacts on Financial Health
Aug 16, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation faces significant risks in integrating Wheeling, an independent company, into its operations following the acquisition. The complexity of this process may hinder the realization of expected synergies, cost savings, and operational efficiencies, potentially affecting the company’s stock value and credit ratings. Challenges include managing a larger rail platform, integrating systems, retaining key employees, and dealing with pre-existing contracts. These factors, many beyond the company’s control, could lead to increased costs, revenue decreases, and management distractions, impacting FTAI’s financial health.

FTAI Infrastructure’s Optimistic Earnings Call Highlights
Aug 13, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure’s recent earnings call painted a highly optimistic picture for the company’s future, marked by significant growth milestones. The call highlighted a major acquisition and a substantial increase in EBITDA, although it also acknowledged potential hurdles such as regulatory challenges and integration risks.

FTAI Infrastructure Announces Delay in 10-Q Filing
Aug 12, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. has announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q (Quarter Report) for the financial period ending June 30, 2025. The primary reason for the delay is the need for additional time to complete procedures related to the company’s quarter-end financial reporting process. The company expects to file the report within the five-day extension period allowed under Rule 12b-25. FTAI Infrastructure does not anticipate any significant changes to the financial information previously disclosed in its Form 8-K filed on August 7, 2025. The company is committed to ongoing compliance efforts, and the notification was signed by Kenneth J. Nicholson, the Chief Executive Officer and President.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

FTAI Infrastructure Reports Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Moves
Aug 9, 2025

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. is a company that invests in critical infrastructure across the rail, ports and terminals, and power and gas sectors, aiming to generate stable cash flows and potential earnings growth. In its second-quarter 2025 earnings report, FTAI Infrastructure announced a net loss attributable to stockholders of $79.8 million, with a basic and diluted loss per share of $0.73. Despite the loss, the company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $45.9 million, highlighting the performance of its four core segments. The company declared a dividend of $0.03 per share of common stock.

M&A Transactions
FTAI Infrastructure Announces Acquisition of Wheeling Corporation
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. announced its agreement to acquire The Wheeling Corporation, which owns the Wheeling & Lake Erie Railway Company, for $1.05 billion. This acquisition is expected to enhance FTAI’s freight rail platform by combining Wheeling with its existing Transtar operations, potentially driving substantial growth in revenue and EBITDA. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals, with the expectation to close in the third quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation stock, see the FIP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025