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FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
(NASDAQ:FIP)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-5.44% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/30/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—large net losses, negative ROE, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and improved leverage. Offsetting this, the earnings call provides a meaningful near-term catalyst (Long Ridge sale and expected debt/interest reduction) alongside operational EBITDA growth opportunities, but with notable regulatory and execution timing risk. Limited available technical indicators and a negative P/E keep conviction moderate.
Positive Factors
Deleveraging via Long Ridge sale
The agreed $1.52B Long Ridge sale is expected to deliver net proceeds in excess of $300M to reduce parent debt by at least $300M and cut annual interest expense ~$30M. This materially improves financial flexibility, lowers interest burden and creates capacity for rail M&A and reinvestment over months.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistently negative operating and free cash flow means core operations are not funding capex, interest or growth. Over a multi-month horizon this necessitates reliance on asset sales, bridge financing or parent-level borrowing, elevating refinancing and liquidity risk until cash generation reverses.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Deleveraging via Long Ridge sale
The agreed $1.52B Long Ridge sale is expected to deliver net proceeds in excess of $300M to reduce parent debt by at least $300M and cut annual interest expense ~$30M. This materially improves financial flexibility, lowers interest burden and creates capacity for rail M&A and reinvestment over months.
Read all positive factors
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation (FIP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$440.75M
Dividend Yield3.22%
Average Volume (3M)1.87M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.44
Revenue Growth72.20%
EPS Growth-267.01%
CountryUS
Employees1,110
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConglomerates
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-4.47
Shares Outstanding118,163,550
10 Day Avg. Volume1,506,186
30 Day Avg. Volume1,872,350
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)0.48
Price to Sales (P/S)1.06
P/FCF Ratio-1.33
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$9.25Price Target Upside118.68% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)-2.73
Revenue Forecast (FY)$700.50M
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) is an infrastructure company focused on owning and operating assets in the transportation and energy infrastructure sectors. Its portfolio has included rail-related assets and equipment, and it seeks to generate cash...
How the Company Makes Money
FIP makes money primarily by (1) collecting lease and rental income from infrastructure and equipment it owns (for example, railcars or other rail-related equipment) under long-term or medium-term customer contracts, and (2) generating service and...
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a strong operational and financial performance for the quarter, highlighted by substantial adjusted EBITDA growth, an accretive sale of Long Ridge that materially deleverages the balance sheet and significant growth opportunities across rail, Jefferson and Repauno. Key execution risks discussed include the 25-day Long Ridge outage impact on Q1 results, the need for FERC approval to close the sale (timing uncertainty), near-term high parent-level interest until prepayment, and remaining execution/timing risk around Repauno Phase 2/Phase 3 and monetization timelines. On balance, the favorable results, planned deleveraging, demonstrated cost savings and sizeable future EBITDA opportunities outweigh the execution and timing risks presented.Positive Updates
Long Ridge Sale Agreed
Signed agreement to sell Long Ridge to Mara Holdings for $1.52 billion aggregate; expected net proceeds to FTAI in excess of $300 million. Transaction expected to close in mid-3Q 2026 subject to FERC approval.
Negative Updates
Planned 25-Day Long Ridge Outage Impacted Q1
A planned 25-day inspection outage at Long Ridge reduced Q1 revenues and EBITDA; management estimates Long Ridge EBITDA would have approached $40 million in the quarter absent the outage.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Long Ridge Sale Agreed
Signed agreement to sell Long Ridge to Mara Holdings for $1.52 billion aggregate; expected net proceeds to FTAI in excess of $300 million. Transaction expected to close in mid-3Q 2026 subject to FERC approval.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the announced sale of Long Ridge for $1.52 billion is expected to close mid‑Q3 after FERC approval, producing net proceeds in excess of $300 million that will be used to reduce parent debt by at least $300 million and lower parent interest expense by about $30 million per year (the new $1.35 billion term loan carries a 9.75% coupon and is expected to be ~ $300 million smaller post‑close), improving leverage and free cash flow and creating capacity to pursue rail M&A. They expect 2026 to be an active year for rail, targeting $23 million of annual Transtar/Wheeling cost savings ( $10 million enacted in Q1, contributing ~$2.5 million of Q1 EBITDA) and estimating in excess of $50 million of incremental annual rail EBITDA from new revenue opportunities; Q1 rail revenue was $85 million with adjusted EBITDA of $40.2 million (up 31% pro forma) and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $70.6 million (would have exceeded $80 million excluding a 25‑day Long Ridge outage). Jefferson averaged 275,000 bpd in Q1 (revenue $27.3 million, EBITDA $14.4 million) with three pursued expansions totaling >$50 million of annual EBITDA, Repauno Phase 2 remains on plan for completion end‑2026 with revenue service early 2027, combined Phase 1+2 capacity of just over 80,000 bpd (≈$80 million annual EBITDA), and management expects potential monetizations of Jefferson and Repauno next year.FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
36
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 594.72M | 502.52M | 331.50M | 320.47M | 261.97M | 120.22M |
| Gross Profit | 122.14M | 55.73M | 331.50M | -26.66M | -29.90M | 120.22M |
| EBITDA | 105.75M | 243.03M | -61.23M | 23.32M | -59.06M | -39.94M |
| Net Income | -351.69M | -107.17M | -223.65M | -121.34M | -153.58M | -79.87M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.69B | 5.75B | 2.37B | 2.38B | 2.48B | 2.44B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 227.43M | 325.95M | 27.79M | 29.37M | 36.49M | 49.87M |
| Total Debt | 3.91B | 3.93B | 1.66B | 1.41B | 1.30B | 789.03M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.87B | 4.80B | 1.92B | 1.64B | 1.69B | 980.25M |
| Stockholders Equity | 999.51M | 1.11B | 583.87M | 809.52M | 816.21M | 1.46B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -362.93M | -399.26M | -98.10M | -95.23M | -259.83M | -202.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -101.74M | -118.01M | -15.28M | 5.51M | -42.69M | -61.72M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.35B | -1.14B | -118.14M | -147.12M | -267.27M | -828.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.46B | 1.44B | 193.23M | 79.45M | 157.74M | 1.14B |
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Technical Analysis
Negative
4.23
Price Trends
4.45
Negative
4.82
Negative
5.03
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.09
Positive
43.23
Neutral
60.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.26, below the 50-day MA of 4.45, and below the 200-day MA of 5.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIP.
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Risk Analysis
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
56 Neutral | $127.65M | -1.80 | -27.50% | ― | -69.74% | 63.94% | |
53 Neutral | $255.15M | -3.31 | -22.42% | ― | -3.08% | -9.56% | |
52 Neutral | $865.87M | 86.72 | 1.89% | 3.61% | -28.90% | ― | |
51 Neutral | $457.18M | 270.02 | 0.36% | ― | 19.20% | -21.40% | |
50 Neutral | $440.75M | -0.83 | -41.74% | 2.84% | 72.20% | -267.01% | |
47 Neutral | $758.38M | -2.65 | -46.27% | 2.49% | 7.52% | -1.67% |
* Industrials Sector Average
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation
3.73
-2.72
-42.14%
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
10.08
3.57
54.84%
MATW
Matthews International
27.75
5.49
24.67%
NNBR
NN
3.31
1.13
51.83%
TRC
Tejon Ranch Company
16.93
-1.31
-7.18%
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services
2.65
0.09
3.52%
FTAI Infrastructure Incorporation Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
FTAI Infrastructure Secures Bridge Loan, Refinances Jefferson Bonds
Neutral
Jul 2, 2026
On July 1, 2026, Jefferson 2020 Bond Borrower LLC entered into a secured bridge loan credit agreement for $230 million with Jefferies Finance LLC and other lenders, maturing June 30, 2027. The facility carries interest at Adjusted Term SOFR plus a...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FTAI Infrastructure Shareholders Back Director and Auditor Choices
Positive
May 29, 2026
At FTAI Infrastructure Inc.’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 29, 2026, investors elected Class I director James L. Hamilton to serve until the 2029 annual meeting, with his term extending until a successor is duly chosen and...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FTAI Infrastructure to Divest Long Ridge Energy Assets
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
On April 29, 2026, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. agreed to sell all of the membership interests in Long Ridge Energy Power LLC and certain related assets to a subsidiary of MARA Holdings in a transaction valued at about $1.52 billion, subject to custo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.