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Seaboard Corporation (SEB)
XASE:SEB

Seaboard (SEB) AI Stock Analysis

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SEB

Seaboard

(NYSE MKT:SEB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$5,456.00
▲(17.40% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by valuation support (high dividend yield and moderate P/E) and a constructive technical trend (above key moving averages with positive MACD). Offsetting these positives is mixed financial performance—especially weak free cash flow conversion despite improved 2025 profitability.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a large equity base materially reduce solvency and refinancing risk. This balance-sheet strength gives Seaboard durable capacity to absorb commodity-cycle shocks, fund reinvestment or opportunistic M&A, and support dividends or buybacks without heavy external financing.
Diversified, integrated business model
Seaboard’s vertical integration across protein production, grain milling, logistics and global trading spreads revenue streams and captures value along the supply chain. That structural diversification reduces single-market dependency and supports more resilient cash flows across commodity cycles.
Improved profitability and ROE
The rebound in net margin and stronger ROE in 2025 indicate recovering earnings power and better capital efficiency. If sustained, higher profitability should strengthen retained earnings, improve internal funding capacity and enhance the company’s ability to invest or sustain shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Near‑zero free cash flow and an extremely low FCF-to-net-income ratio highlight weak cash quality of earnings. Poor cash conversion limits the firm’s ability to fund capex, service unexpected needs, sustain dividends or buybacks from operations, and increases reliance on external funding in stress scenarios.
Volatile revenues and uneven margins
Material top-line volatility and prior operating losses point to cyclical exposure and inconsistent demand. This makes forward revenue and margin forecasting difficult, increasing the likelihood of earnings variability and constraining management’s ability to execute long-term strategic plans with predictable cash flow.
Declining EBITDA margins and inconsistent operations
A structural trend of lower EBITDA margins and episodic operating losses reduces funds available for reinvestment and weakens competitive flexibility. Persistent margin pressure would impair ability to absorb cost inflation, invest in efficiency, or sustain durable returns to shareholders over multiple cycles.

Seaboard (SEB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Seaboard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeaboard Corporation operates as an agribusiness and transportation company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Pork, Commodity Trading and Milling (CT&M), Marine, Sugar and Alcohol, Power, and Turkey. The Pork segment produces and sells fresh and frozen pork products to further processors, foodservice operators, grocery stores, and distributors; hogs; and biodiesel. The CT&M segment sources, transports, and markets wheat, corn, soybeans, soybean meal, and other commodities; and produces wheat flour, maize meal, manufactured feed, and oilseed crush commodities. The Marine segment provides cargo shipping services in the United States, as well as in 26 countries in the Caribbean, and Central and South America; dry, refrigerated, and specialized containers, as well as other related equipment; and operates a terminal and an off-port warehouse for cargo consolidation and temporary storage. As of December 31, 2021, this segment operated through a fleet of 20 chartered and 4 owned vessels. The Sugar and Alcohol segment produces and sells sugar and alcohol; and generates and sells energy through its 51-megawatt cogeneration power plant that is fueled by sugarcane by-products, natural gas, and other biomass. The Power segment operates as an independent power producer that generates electricity for the power grid in the Dominican Republic. The Turkey segment produces and processes organic turkey products to retail stores, foodservice outlets, and industrial entities, as well as exports products to Mexico and internationally. The company also processes and sells jalapeño peppers. Seaboard Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Merriam, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneySeaboard generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its operations in food production, which includes the sale of pork and turkey products. The company also earns money from its grain milling operations by processing grains into flour and other products. Additionally, Seaboard's logistics segment contributes to its earnings through freight services, transportation of goods, and shipping operations. Key partnerships with suppliers and customers in the agribusiness sector, along with its extensive distribution network, enhance its market reach and revenue potential. The company's trading operations further diversify its income, as it engages in the buying and selling of agricultural commodities.

Seaboard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, conservative balance sheet (low leverage and sizable equity base) supports resilience, but operating performance is uneven with volatile revenue and inconsistent margins. Cash flow quality is the key weakness: free cash flow is near breakeven and far below prior years, with very low FCF-to-net-income in 2025.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile, with a sharp decline in 2025 (annual) following multiple years of contraction after the 2022 peak. Profitability is also uneven: net margin rebounded strongly in 2025 (~5.1%) versus a weak 2024 (~1.0%), but operating profitability has been inconsistent (including an operating loss in 2023). EBITDA margin has generally trended lower versus 2021–2022 levels, pointing to a less durable earnings profile despite the latest year’s net income strength.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned. Leverage is low in the latest year (debt-to-equity ~0.07 in 2025 versus ~0.33–0.40 historically), supported by a sizable equity base (~$5.2B) against ~$8.2B in assets. Returns on equity improved materially in 2025 (~9.5%) from 2024 (~1.9%), but still trail the stronger 2021–2022 levels, suggesting the capital base is solid while earnings power is somewhat cyclical.
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Cash generation is a mixed picture. Operating cash flow has been positive and relatively steady in recent years, but free cash flow has deteriorated sharply—near breakeven in 2024–2025 (~$8M and ~$6M) and meaningfully below 2022–2023 (~$202–$204M), indicating heavier reinvestment, working-capital swings, or weaker cash conversion. Free cash flow as a share of net income is extremely low in 2025 (~1.1%), raising questions about the sustainability/quality of the latest earnings despite improved profitability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.75B9.10B9.56B11.24B9.23B
Gross Profit677.00M576.00M316.00M1.03B818.00M
EBITDA607.00M464.00M203.00M890.00M624.00M
Net Income496.00M88.00M226.00M580.00M570.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.25B7.67B7.57B7.90B7.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.17B1.03B1.28B1.49B
Total Debt1.82B1.81B1.67B1.63B1.75B
Total Liabilities3.01B2.92B2.93B2.89B3.07B
Stockholders Equity5.21B4.73B4.62B5.00B4.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.00M8.00M204.00M202.00M-368.00M
Operating Cash Flow568.00M519.00M710.00M676.00M92.00M
Investing Cash Flow-543.00M-484.00M-273.00M-437.00M-302.00M
Financing Cash Flow44.00M12.00M-581.00M-116.00M213.00M

Seaboard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4647.19
Price Trends
50DMA
4801.46
Positive
100DMA
4320.69
Positive
200DMA
3760.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
37.16
Positive
RSI
49.54
Neutral
STOCH
19.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4647.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5184.48, below the 50-day MA of 4801.46, and above the 200-day MA of 3760.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 37.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEB.

Seaboard Risk Analysis

Seaboard disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Seaboard reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Seaboard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$9.12B27.5821.09%0.63%1.23%-22.77%
72
Outperform
$4.78B9.709.98%0.21%10.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$4.07B95.6226.52%1.01%-3.95%-74.65%
57
Neutral
$4.15B21.897.01%2.76%-57.80%-57.40%
52
Neutral
$4.64B-10.09-12.71%27.59%-8.45%27.66%
45
Neutral
$609.41M-1.49-41.05%20.53%-15.85%-59.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SEB
Seaboard
5,010.00
2,209.14
78.87%
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
8.21
-11.61
-58.58%
GFF
Griffon
85.48
14.59
20.58%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
7.97
-0.62
-7.22%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
20.38
4.05
24.79%
VMI
Valmont
463.82
123.72
36.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026