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Valmont Industries (VMI)
:VMI

Valmont (VMI) AI Stock Analysis

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VM

Valmont

(NYSE:VMI)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$370.00
▲(15.37%Upside)
Valmont Industries' overall stock score reflects a strong financial position with effective cost management and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in infrastructure and telecommunications. The company's technical indicators show bullish momentum, supported by a fair valuation and positive corporate events, which enhance shareholder value and strategic positioning.
Positive Factors
International Market Growth
Valmont has seen positive trends in the company’s international markets, with Brazil’s volume returning to growth and the $45 million project in the Middle East remaining on track.
Operational Initiatives
Notable internal operational initiatives under new management have enhanced margins and driven more consistent financial performance.
Sustainable Infrastructure
Valmont's focus on sustainable infrastructure solutions positions the company well in markets with increasing demand for environmental resilience.
Negative Factors
Agriculture Sector Challenges
Prevailing headwinds in Agriculture could limit share price growth over the near term.
Economic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainties pose potential risks to Valmont's market performance.
Tariff Impact
Valmont management is increasingly cautious regarding the impact tariffs could have on earnings.

Valmont (VMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Valmont Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionValmont Industries, Inc. produces and sells fabricated metal products in the United States, Australia, Brazil, Denmark, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Infrastructure and Agriculture. The company manufactures and distributes engineered metal, steel, wood, aluminum, and composite poles, towers, and components for lighting, traffic, and wireless communication markets; engineered access systems; integrated structure solutions for smart cities; and highway safety products. It also offers engineered steel and concrete pole structures for utility transmission, distribution, substations, and renewable energy generation equipment; and inspection services. In addition, the company provides hot-dipped galvanizing, anodizing, and powder coating services to preserve and protect metal products; and water management solutions and technology for precision agriculture. Further, it manufactures and distributes mechanical irrigation equipment, and related parts and services under the Valley brand name for the agricultural industry; and tubular products for industrial customers. The company serves municipalities and government entities, commercial lighting fixtures manufacturing companies, contractors, telecommunications and utility companies, and large farms, as well as the general manufacturing sector. Valmont Industries, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
How the Company Makes MoneyValmont makes money through the sale of its engineered products and services across its two main segments: Infrastructure and Agriculture. In the Infrastructure segment, revenue is generated from manufacturing and selling structures such as utility support structures, lighting and traffic structures, and wireless communications structures. This segment benefits from infrastructure development and maintenance projects globally. In the Agriculture segment, Valmont earns revenue by providing mechanized irrigation equipment and technology solutions that help optimize water use and improve crop yields. Key revenue streams in this segment include sales of center pivots, linear irrigation systems, and related components and technology solutions. Additionally, Valmont's earnings are supported by strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with governments, municipalities, and private sector clients, which ensure a steady demand for its products and services.

Valmont Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite some challenges in the solar sector and North American agriculture, Valmont Industries demonstrated a strong performance in telecommunications and utility segments, with effective cost mitigation strategies keeping them on track for a positive year. The company is strategically investing in capacity expansions and expects to be cost-neutral with respect to tariffs, maintaining a strong financial outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Backlog and Stable Financial Performance
Valmont reported a growing backlog of $1.5 billion, indicating healthy demand. Despite a slight decrease in consolidated net sales, they increased modestly on a constant currency basis, with operating margins and earnings per share remaining stable.
Telecommunications Segment Growth
Telecom sales saw a strong increase of nearly 30%, driven by favorable carrier spending and ongoing 5G network expansions.
Successful Cost Mitigation Strategies
Valmont expects to be cost-neutral regarding tariffs for the fiscal year due to effective pricing strategies and supply chain adjustments, including increased use of US-sourced steel.
Capacity Expansion and Investment
Valmont invested $30 million in CapEx to increase utility production, with expansions in Brenham, Texas, and equipment upgrades in Florida and Kansas progressing as planned.
Positive Outlook for Brazilian Market
Early signs of market stabilization in Brazil, with a return to volume growth and encouraging order activity.
Negative Updates
Decline in Solar Sales
Solar sales declined by more than 50%, reflecting lower volumes and the strategic decision to exit low-margin projects.
Challenging North American Agriculture Market
Lower crop prices have pressured global agricultural markets, with North American irrigation equipment volumes and selling prices lower due to market softness.
Lower First Quarter Net Sales
First quarter net sales of $969.3 million decreased by 0.9% year over year, primarily due to softer international markets and a strategic shift impacting concrete distribution structures.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin decreased by 130 basis points from the prior year, mainly due to a higher mix of lower-margin international agricultural projects.
Company Guidance
During the Valmont Industries First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, a range of guidance metrics were provided, highlighting the company's robust performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a backlog of $1.5 billion, indicating healthy order activity and volume growth. First quarter net sales were $969.3 million, a slight 0.9% decrease year-over-year, although sales increased modestly on a constant currency basis. Valmont's gross margin was reported at 30%, down by 130 basis points from the previous year, primarily due to a higher mix of international projects in the agriculture segment, while diluted earnings per share stood at $4.32, in line with the prior year. The company reaffirmed its full-year expectations with projected net sales between $4.0 and $4.2 billion and diluted earnings per share expected to range from $17.20 to $18.80, with an expectation to land above the midpoint. Additionally, Valmont emphasized its strategic capital investments, including approximately $30 million in CapEx during the first quarter, aimed at expanding utility production and enhancing capacity across its footprint. The company also outlined cost management efforts, projecting that comprehensive plans to mitigate tariffs could lead to a cost-neutral impact for the year. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Valmont Industries remains confident in its ability to deliver strong results, bolstered by strategic growth initiatives and a focus on long-term market trends.

Valmont Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Valmont demonstrates a solid financial standing with competitive profit margins and a healthy balance sheet characterized by low leverage and strong equity. Despite a slight revenue decline, operational efficiency and cash flow generation remain strengths, positioning the company well for sustainable growth and resilience against potential market fluctuations.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Valmont displays a stable financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 30.14% as of the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin of 8.55% reflects moderate profitability, partly due to fluctuating revenues and net income. The revenue growth rate saw a decline of 3.11% compared to the previous year, signaling potential challenges in sales growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins at 12.79% and 14.57% respectively, suggest a solid core operating performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating low leverage and minimal financial risk. The return on equity stands at 10.30%, demonstrating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 100%, showcasing a robust capital structure with equity fully supporting total assets, further enhancing its financial stability.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Valmont exhibits a strong cash flow performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 5.37%, indicating healthy cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.77 suggests efficient cash conversion from earnings. Moreover, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.49 highlights effective cash management, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.07B4.08B4.17B4.35B3.50B2.90B
Gross Profit
1.23B1.24B1.24B1.13B883.89M765.51M
EBIT
520.16M524.58M291.56M433.25M286.79M225.95M
EBITDA
614.56M524.58M393.72M540.50M421.84M355.94M
Net Income Common Stockholders
347.70M348.26M150.85M250.86M195.63M140.69M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
184.40M164.31M203.04M185.41M177.23M400.73M
Total Assets
3.38B3.33B3.48B3.56B3.45B2.96B
Total Debt
862.79M866.84M1.27B1.03B1.11B766.33M
Net Debt
678.39M702.52M1.07B848.04M935.92M365.60M
Total Liabilities
1.68B1.74B2.06B1.92B2.03B1.75B
Stockholders Equity
1.64B1.54B1.35B1.64B1.41B1.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
519.72M493.23M210.00M232.98M-41.85M209.59M
Operating Cash Flow
614.48M572.68M306.77M326.26M65.94M316.29M
Investing Cash Flow
-90.43M-78.88M-115.28M-132.08M-417.31M-104.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-504.72M-522.56M-176.41M-181.91M133.50M-173.76M

Valmont Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price320.70
Price Trends
50DMA
306.74
Positive
100DMA
314.37
Positive
200DMA
312.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.66
Positive
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
43.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 320.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 320.46, above the 50-day MA of 306.74, and above the 200-day MA of 312.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VMI.

Valmont Risk Analysis

Valmont disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Valmont reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Valmont Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VMVMI
80
Outperform
$6.48B18.7922.84%0.84%-0.57%116.12%
HOHON
80
Outperform
$144.02B25.7433.56%2.02%6.30%0.81%
MDMDU
68
Neutral
$3.31B12.659.63%3.21%-25.50%-45.13%
GFGFF
66
Neutral
$3.22B14.18110.90%1.05%-3.38%26.22%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.225.40%3.71%4.17%-11.97%
MMMMM
57
Neutral
$78.07B18.3394.75%2.05%-24.93%
SESEB
54
Neutral
$2.64B26.952.09%0.33%-0.31%-58.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VMI
Valmont
320.70
51.98
19.34%
MMM
3M
142.51
42.91
43.08%
GFF
Griffon
67.68
2.64
4.06%
HON
Honeywell International
221.87
12.14
5.79%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
16.14
2.57
18.94%
SEB
Seaboard
2,790.08
-218.19
-7.25%

Valmont Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Valmont Highlights Growth Strategy at Blair Conference
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Valmont Industries participated in the William Blair & Company 45th Annual Growth Stock Conference in Chicago. The company highlighted its strategic focus on capitalizing on infrastructure opportunities and positioning agriculture for growth. Valmont is investing in new capabilities to meet growing demand, enhancing operational efficiencies, and aligning capital allocation with strategic growth plans. The company is also committed to increasing shareholder returns through balanced capital allocation, including a new $700 million share repurchase authorization and a 13% dividend increase announced in February 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (VMI) stock is a Buy with a $285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Valmont stock, see the VMI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Valmont Announces Executive Position Eliminations and Transitions
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Valmont Industries, Inc. announced separation agreements with John T. Donahue and Diane M. Larkin, following the elimination of their executive positions on April 29, 2025. Both transitioned to non-executive advisor roles and will remain employed until December 27, 2025, receiving their base salary, health benefits, and participating in existing incentive plans. They will receive severance payments and continue to vest in previously awarded stock units and options, but are not eligible for new incentives. This orderly transition reflects Valmont’s strategic personnel adjustments, impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (VMI) stock is a Buy with a $285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Valmont stock, see the VMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.