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The Bidvest Group Limited (BDVSY)
OTHER OTC:BDVSY

The Bidvest Group (BDVSY) AI Stock Analysis

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BDVSY

The Bidvest Group

(OTC:BDVSY)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(5.16% Upside)
The Bidvest Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. Technical indicators suggest limited short-term upside due to potential overbought conditions. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights both opportunities and challenges, but the lack of specific guidance reduces its impact.
Positive Factors
Diversified B2B business model
A diversified portfolio across foodservice, logistics, automotive and financial services reduces exposure to any single cycle. Recurring B2B contracts and frequent supply relationships support durable revenue streams and cross-selling, underpinning stable cash generation over months.
Consistent revenue growth and profitability
Sustained revenue expansion combined with stable net margins indicates the group can scale operations while maintaining profitability. Effective cost discipline suggests margins can be preserved through modest cycles, supporting longer-term earnings resilience and reinvestment capacity.
Healthy return on equity and equity funding
A healthy ROE implies management extracts good returns from invested capital, aiding shareholder value creation. Coupled with a substantial equity component to funding, this provides financial flexibility to fund growth or absorb shocks without solely relying on debt.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
An elevated and rising debt-to-equity ratio increases interest and refinancing risk, reducing financial flexibility. If macro conditions tighten or earnings soften, higher leverage could constrain capital allocation and necessitate focus on deleveraging rather than investments or dividends.
Volatile free cash flow
Material variability and a recent drop in free cash flow weaken the company's ability to reliably fund investments, pay down debt, or sustain distributions. Persistent FCF inconsistency can force reliance on external financing and heighten execution risk over the medium term.
Margin pressure in cost of goods
Declining gross and EBIT margins signal procurement or pricing pressure in trading/distribution businesses. Sustained margin compression would erode the group's earnings power and limit free cash flow, making operational improvements or pricing power essential to maintain long-term returns.

The Bidvest Group (BDVSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Bidvest Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bidvest Group Limited operates in trading, services, and distribution businesses in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through Services, Branded Products, Freight, Automotive, Commercial Products, Financial Services, and Properties segments. It is involved in the online motor retailing and vehicle auctioneering activities; provision of road assistance, vehicle towing, tyre replacement/change, fuel top up, locksmith, and legal advice services; and manufacturing, distribution, and trading of consumer and industrial day-to-day branded products. The company also distributes electrical, cable and allied products, solutions, and services to wholesale, industrial, mining, contractor, construction, engineering, and retail sectors; and provides a range of banking, insurance, foreign exchange, fleet management, asset management, trade finance, financial emigration, wealth externalization, and other financial services for the corporate, business, and individual markets. In addition, it offers freight management services; terminal operations and support, international clearing and freight forwarding, integrated logistics, supply chain solutions, and marine and insurance services; a suite of services relating to office products, office automation, and office furniture; outsourced customer communication services; facilities management, security, travel, aviation, and allied services; and commercial, industrial, financial, automotive, freight, and logistics services, as well as supplies stationery, paper or printer cartridges, and packaging and data services. Further, the company manufactures, markets, and distributes healthcare products; develops, owns, and manages various properties; and provides professional property services, as well as engages in the food and distribution business. The Bidvest Group Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Bidvest Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing logistics and distribution services, food and beverage solutions, and specialty services to various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of food products to restaurants and retail outlets, logistics services that facilitate the movement of goods, and contract services for businesses in need of facility management and maintenance. Significant partnerships with suppliers and customers enhance its revenue potential, while the company's strategic acquisitions and expansions into new markets also contribute to its growth and profitability. Additionally, Bidvest benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies that allow it to optimize its cost structure and improve margins.

The Bidvest Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 01, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment with significant achievements in terms of revenue growth, but also highlighted challenges in certain segments such as gaming and geopolitical issues impacting the China market. The overall sentiment is neutral as both positive and negative aspects were equally presented.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Summary of the revenue and growth metrics, including percentage changes and any notable achievements.
Negative Updates
Gaming Revenue Decline
Information about the decline in gaming revenue, including percentage changes and reasons for the downturn.
Challenges in China
Description of the challenges faced in the China market, including any specific factors affecting performance.
Company Guidance
The call transcript for the fourth fiscal period of 2025, dated September 1, 2025, does not provide specific guidance or metrics, as it appears to consist mainly of speaker names and lacks detailed content or financial metrics. Therefore, it is not possible to extract guidance or any specific performance metrics from the provided transcript information.

The Bidvest Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Bidvest Group shows strong revenue growth and stable profitability, supported by effective cost management. However, the balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, requiring careful monitoring. Cash flow management is variable, with a need for improved consistency in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The Bidvest Group has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue from 2020 to 2025. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, indicating some pressure on cost management. However, the company maintains a stable net profit margin, reflecting effective cost control and operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown resilience, although there was a slight decline in EBIT margin in 2025. Overall, the income statement reflects a strong growth trajectory with stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate level of leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio that has increased over the years, reaching 1.17 in 2025. This indicates a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity remains healthy, suggesting efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio indicates a balanced approach to financing, with a substantial portion of assets funded by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with some leverage-related risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The Bidvest Group's cash flow statement reveals fluctuations in free cash flow growth, with a significant decline in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating consistent cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests some variability in cash flow management. Despite these fluctuations, the company maintains a positive operating cash flow, supporting its operational needs. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights the need for improved cash flow management to ensure sustainable growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.61B126.61B122.62B114.91B99.93B88.31B
Gross Profit34.82B35.06B34.88B33.34B29.96B27.17B
EBITDA15.38B15.33B16.40B14.95B13.25B11.12B
Net Income6.07B6.07B6.37B5.97B5.07B3.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.59B124.59B112.58B107.51B96.02B86.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.19B6.19B6.97B9.25B11.52B7.44B
Total Debt44.51B44.51B36.83B33.41B30.17B25.89B
Total Liabilities83.18B83.18B74.05B71.18B64.14B57.61B
Stockholders Equity38.04B38.04B35.32B32.99B28.37B25.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.16B2.74B1.95B1.34B2.33B7.14B
Operating Cash Flow9.44B6.23B6.00B5.06B5.59B9.74B
Investing Cash Flow-12.34B-12.33B-7.14B-5.90B-2.95B-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow2.26B5.46B-1.66B-2.45B2.03B-7.08B

The Bidvest Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.43
Price Trends
50DMA
28.38
Positive
100DMA
26.98
Positive
200DMA
26.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
57.64
Neutral
STOCH
30.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDVSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.88, above the 50-day MA of 28.38, and above the 200-day MA of 26.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BDVSY.

The Bidvest Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.92B12.528.36%0.21%10.31%
70
Neutral
$5.08B15.0315.93%2.82%6.42%-1.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$3.78B74.1134.20%1.01%-3.95%-74.65%
59
Neutral
$4.16B24.686.42%2.76%-57.80%-57.40%
52
Neutral
$4.65B-9.83-12.71%27.59%-8.45%27.66%
45
Neutral
$472.48M-1.14-41.05%20.53%-15.85%-59.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDVSY
The Bidvest Group
29.91
2.35
8.53%
CODI
Compass Diversified Holdings
6.29
-14.00
-69.00%
GFF
Griffon
83.11
9.57
13.01%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
7.77
-0.75
-8.80%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
20.91
3.80
22.24%
SEB
Seaboard
5,310.51
2,850.31
115.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025