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AppLovin (APP)
NASDAQ:APP
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AppLovin (APP) AI Stock Analysis

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APP

AppLovin

(NASDAQ:APP)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$618.00
▼(-3.03% Downside)
AppLovin's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are significant strengths, driving the overall score. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product adoption, supporting long-term business expansion and competitive positioning.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt management, underpinning sustainable growth.
Strategic Focus Shift
Divesting non-core assets allows AppLovin to concentrate resources on its advertising platform, potentially improving operational efficiency and market focus.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability if not managed effectively.
Limited E-commerce Onboarding
Delays in onboarding new e-commerce clients could slow revenue diversification and growth in the short to medium term, impacting market expansion.
User Acquisition Challenges
Challenges in user acquisition post-lawsuit highlight potential vulnerabilities in adapting to industry changes, affecting growth in user base and revenue.

AppLovin (APP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AppLovin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAppLovin (APP) is a technology company that operates in the mobile app ecosystem, focusing primarily on app monetization and user acquisition solutions. Founded in 2012, AppLovin provides comprehensive tools and services for developers to grow and monetize their applications. The company operates in two main segments: its advertising platform, which helps app developers monetize their apps through targeted ads, and its software development kit (SDK), which offers analytics and marketing tools to optimize app performance. AppLovin has a diverse portfolio of owned and operated apps, alongside a robust marketplace for app developers and advertisers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAppLovin generates revenue primarily through its advertising platform, offering solutions for both performance-based and brand advertising. The company earns money by facilitating ad placements within mobile applications, where it charges advertisers based on impressions, clicks, or installs generated through its network. Key revenue streams include programmatic advertising and direct deals with advertisers, allowing for dynamic pricing based on market demand. Additionally, AppLovin's SDK provides valuable analytical insights and marketing capabilities to app developers, which can be monetized through subscriptions or usage fees. Significant partnerships with major advertisers and app developers enhance its market reach and revenue potential, driving further growth in its earnings.

AppLovin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Monthly Active Payers
Monthly Active Payers
Measures the number of users making payments each month, indicating the level of user engagement and monetization success within the platform.
Chart InsightsAppLovin's Monthly Active Payers have been on a declining trend since 2021, stabilizing somewhat in recent quarters but still showing a decrease. This aligns with the company's strategic pivot away from its games business, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. The sale of the games division to Tripledot Studios allows AppLovin to concentrate on its Advertising segment, which is expected to drive revenue growth through machine learning and AI advancements. While this shift may initially impact payer metrics, it positions the company for stronger performance in its core advertising operations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AppLovin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for AppLovin, driven by significant revenue and EBITDA growth, successful strategic divestitures, and promising new product launches. While there are some limitations in e-commerce onboarding, the overall trajectory is strong with future growth expected from the AXON platform and international expansion.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
AppLovin reported a 77% year-over-year revenue increase to approximately $1.260 billion, with adjusted EBITDA nearly doubling to $1.020 billion, achieving an 81% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Successful Sale of Apps Business
Completed the sale of the Apps business to Tripledot Studios, contributing $425 million in net cash, and focusing on the advertising business.
Launch of AXON Ads Manager
AXON ads manager, a self-service portal, was quietly launched and is expected to significantly contribute to growth by expanding advertiser access and capabilities.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $768 million in free cash flow, up 72% year-over-year, with significant share repurchases reducing the weighted average diluted common shares outstanding.
Positive Financial Guidance
Guidance for Q3 2025 anticipates $1.320 billion to $1.340 billion in revenue and adjusted EBITDA between $1.070 billion and $1.090 billion.
Negative Updates
Limited E-commerce Onboarding
Onboarding of new e-commerce customers was limited to focus on the preparation for the self-serve launch in Q4, potentially impacting immediate growth.
Challenges in User Acquisition Post-Apple-Epic Lawsuit
No immediate impact observed from the Apple versus Epic lawsuit on user acquisition spend from gaming companies, with expected benefits delayed.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for AppLovin's second quarter of fiscal year 2025, key guidance was provided regarding the company's future performance and strategic initiatives. AppLovin anticipates a continued strong growth trajectory, forecasting a revenue range of $1.320 billion to $1.340 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.070 billion to $1.090 billion for Q3 2025. This guidance reflects a targeted adjusted EBITDA margin of 81%. The company is poised to sustain 20% to 30% year-over-year growth in its gaming sector and is excited about expanding beyond its core market with the AXON ads manager. This self-service portal, set for a referral-based launch on October 1, 2025, will enhance accessibility and operational efficiency for advertisers. AppLovin also reported a 77% increase in revenue to $1.260 billion and an impressive adjusted EBITDA of $1.020 billion for Q2, with a free cash flow generation of $768 million. The company's strategic focus includes global expansion and opening its platform to international markets, aiming for substantial growth in its advertising business segment.

AppLovin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AppLovin demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and cash flow metrics. The income statement shows high profitability with strong margins, and the cash flow statement indicates excellent cash generation. However, the balance sheet reveals high leverage, which poses a risk if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AppLovin's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 80.61% and a net profit margin of 43.72% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 3.48% increase in the latest period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 51.92% and 58.59%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy and growing business with strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.01, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is impressive at 246.45%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 19.58%, reflecting a moderate level of equity financing. While the company is profitable, the high leverage requires careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
AppLovin's cash flow statement is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth rate of 12.56% and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.61. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that net income is effectively translating into cash flow. These metrics suggest excellent cash generation and liquidity, supporting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.31B4.71B3.28B2.82B2.79B1.45B
Gross Profit4.30B3.54B2.22B1.56B1.81B895.51M
EBITDA3.11B2.34B1.15B513.77M580.54M197.12M
Net Income2.43B1.58B356.71M-192.75M35.45M-125.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.96B5.87B5.36B5.85B6.16B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.19B741.41M502.15M1.08B1.52B317.24M
Total Debt3.51B3.56B3.18B3.28B3.33B1.70B
Total Liabilities4.79B4.78B4.10B3.95B4.03B2.31B
Stockholders Equity1.17B1.09B1.26B1.90B2.14B-158.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.85B2.09B1.06B412.11M360.46M219.64M
Operating Cash Flow2.86B2.10B1.06B412.77M361.85M222.88M
Investing Cash Flow416.50M-106.75M-77.83M-1.37B-1.21B-679.89M
Financing Cash Flow-2.50B-1.75B-1.56B-526.85M3.11B377.86M

AppLovin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price637.33
Price Trends
50DMA
589.05
Positive
100DMA
482.26
Positive
200DMA
407.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.23
Negative
RSI
56.75
Neutral
STOCH
79.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 637.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 602.92, above the 50-day MA of 589.05, and above the 200-day MA of 407.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APP.

AppLovin Risk Analysis

AppLovin disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AppLovin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AppLovin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$24.58B60.6216.36%23.18%63.48%
$215.58B94.68240.30%34.33%180.24%
$7.96B63.6011.80%20.14%335.82%
$8.13B-0.63%28.97%98.96%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
$604.44M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
$16.01B-13.62%-13.74%48.10%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APP
AppLovin
637.33
478.22
300.56%
TTD
Trade Desk
50.28
-67.99
-57.49%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.27
-17.32
-62.78%
U
Unity Software
37.90
17.59
86.61%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
25.61
13.30
108.04%
GTLB
Gitlab
48.75
-7.24
-12.93%

AppLovin Corporate Events

AppLovin’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Aug 8, 2025

In the recent earnings call, AppLovin Corp. Class A showcased a robust financial performance, marked by substantial revenue and EBITDA growth. The company highlighted successful strategic shifts, including the sale of its Apps business, and promising advancements in its ad platform. Despite facing challenges in e-commerce onboarding and international expansion, the positive developments significantly overshadowed these hurdles.

AppLovin Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 7, 2025

AppLovin Corporation, a prominent marketing platform, specializes in providing end-to-end software and AI solutions to help businesses connect with their ideal customers and grow their global audiences.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025