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Amgen (AMGN)
NASDAQ:AMGN
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Amgen (AMGN) AI Stock Analysis

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AMGN

Amgen

(NASDAQ:AMGN)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$376.00
▲(5.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is primarily supported by strong operating profitability and cash generation and a constructive earnings update (raised guidance and continued growth-driver momentum). It is held back by elevated leverage and only middling technical momentum, with valuation appearing fair rather than clearly compelling.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & margins
Sustained high margins and strong free cash flow provide durable funding for R&D, manufacturing scale-up, dividends and buybacks. Reliable cash conversion (~80%) supports multi-year investment and deleveraging options, underpinning long-term operational flexibility.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Material leverage elevates refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, constraining strategic flexibility. Despite cash generation, debt covers poorly by OCF (TTM ~0.43), implying deleveraging could take multiple years or require asset sales, limiting downside protection.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation & margins
Sustained high margins and strong free cash flow provide durable funding for R&D, manufacturing scale-up, dividends and buybacks. Reliable cash conversion (~80%) supports multi-year investment and deleveraging options, underpinning long-term operational flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Amgen (AMGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amgen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Amgen Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers human therapeutics worldwide. It focuses on inflammation, oncology/hematology, bone health, cardiovascular disease, nephrology, and neuroscience areas. The company's products include Enbre...
How the Company Makes Money
Amgen makes money primarily by selling branded prescription medicines to wholesalers, hospitals, pharmacies, specialty distributors, and (in some markets) government or institutional buyers. Revenue is largely driven by product sales of its commer...

Amgen Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Distinguishes between different revenue streams, such as product sales and royalties, providing insights into Amgen's business model and diversification.
Chart InsightsAmgen's product sales have shown a robust upward trend, driven by strong performances in key areas like Repatha and biosimilars, which align with the 12% revenue increase reported in the latest earnings call. The introduction of AmgenNow and a significant investment in U.S. manufacturing underscore strategic growth initiatives. However, challenges such as increased competition for Prolia and the impact of generics on rare disease products could pose risks. Overall, the company's focus on innovative therapies and financial discipline suggests a positive long-term outlook.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amgen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive tone: Amgen reported modest overall product sales growth (4%) while its six key growth drivers delivered strong momentum (24% aggregate growth and ~70% of sales), the company raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance, generated substantial free cash flow, and highlighted significant pipeline progress (notably Meritide, olpasiran, Imdeltra, TEPEZZA) and AI-driven R&D productivity gains. Material challenges were acknowledged, including steep declines in legacy osteoporosis brands (Prolia/XGEVA), rising cost-of-sales pressure, regulatory and trial uncertainties (Tabneos/paused blinatumomab enrollment), and a potentially material IRS audit adjustment for tax years 2016–2018. Overall, the positive commercial momentum, strengthened guidance, robust cash generation, and advancing late-stage pipeline outweigh the notable headwinds and risks discussed during the call.
Positive Updates
Strong Contribution from Growth Drivers
Six key growth drivers generated ~70% of product sales in Q1 and grew 24% year-over-year in aggregate, providing momentum to offset losses of exclusivity.
Negative Updates
Loss of Exclusivity Pressure on Legacy Brands
Prolia and XGEVA combined sales declined 32% YoY to $1.1 billion in Q1; company expects accelerated sales erosion through the remainder of 2026 due to multiple biosimilar competitors.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Contribution from Growth Drivers
Six key growth drivers generated ~70% of product sales in Q1 and grew 24% year-over-year in aggregate, providing momentum to offset losses of exclusivity.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Amgen raised its 2026 guidance, now targeting total revenues of $37.1–$38.5 billion and non‑GAAP EPS of $21.70–$23.10; it also expects other revenue of $1.7–$1.8 billion, non‑GAAP OI&E expense of $2.2–$2.3 billion, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 15.0–16.5%, and a full‑year non‑GAAP operating margin of roughly 45–46% of product sales (Q1 non‑GAAP operating margin was 45% and Q2 is expected to be in line with Q1). The company reiterated capex of about $2.6 billion for 2026 (Q1 capex was $700 million), said share repurchases will not exceed $3 billion, and noted Q1 metrics including $1.5 billion free cash flow, non‑GAAP R&D up 16% YoY, non‑GAAP cost of sales at 19.5% of product sales, and $480 million of non‑GAAP OI&E expense in the quarter (including an approximately $90 million gain); the guidance excludes any potential business‑development transactions.

Amgen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (TTM gross margin ~71%, EBIT margin ~29%, FCF ~$8.6B with ~80% cash conversion) are offset by a balance-sheet constraint: very high leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~6.2x) and limited debt coverage from operating cash flow (TTM ~0.43), which elevates financial risk.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.24B36.74B33.42B28.19B26.32B25.98B
Gross Profit26.61B26.01B20.57B19.77B19.92B19.52B
EBITDA17.34B15.84B13.36B14.80B12.17B11.30B
Net Income7.80B7.71B4.09B6.72B6.55B5.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.50B90.59B91.84B97.15B65.12B61.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.04B9.13B11.97B10.94B9.30B8.04B
Total Debt57.32B54.60B60.10B64.61B38.95B33.31B
Total Liabilities83.31B81.93B85.96B90.92B61.46B54.47B
Stockholders Equity9.19B8.66B5.88B6.23B3.66B6.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.60B8.10B10.39B7.36B8.79B8.38B
Operating Cash Flow10.76B9.96B11.49B8.47B9.72B9.26B
Investing Cash Flow-2.21B-1.94B-1.05B-26.20B-6.04B733.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.32B-10.86B-9.41B21.05B-4.04B-8.27B

Amgen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price355.30
Price Trends
50DMA
363.30
Negative
100DMA
347.35
Positive
200DMA
319.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.57
Negative
RSI
51.69
Neutral
STOCH
65.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 355.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 349.83, below the 50-day MA of 363.30, and above the 200-day MA of 319.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMGN.

Amgen Risk Analysis

Amgen disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amgen reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amgen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$118.87B11.5739.27%4.11%1.78%33.76%
69
Neutral
$112.68B15.5514.41%4.58%11.19%-0.23%
67
Neutral
$178.00B26.1196.65%3.00%9.84%31.14%
66
Neutral
$277.02B-17.5336.19%3.12%2.84%
65
Neutral
$163.41B17.9441.01%2.52%2.51%1682.88%
61
Neutral
$149.77B18.218.67%6.65%-1.65%-3.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMGN
Amgen
329.82
58.28
21.46%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
58.22
10.54
22.11%
GILD
Gilead Sciences
131.65
31.50
31.46%
MRK
Merck & Company
112.16
32.22
40.31%
PFE
Pfizer
26.33
4.08
18.32%
SNY
Sanofi
46.08
-6.82
-12.90%

Amgen Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amgen Announces CTO Retirement and Strategic Leadership Realignment
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 22, 2026, Amgen announced that David M. Reese, M.D., executive vice president and chief technology officer, will retire effective June 30, 2026, after a tenure that included leading research and development from 2018 to 2023 and championi...
Private Placements and Financing
Amgen Prices $4 Billion Senior Unsecured Notes Offering
Neutral
Feb 19, 2026
On February 17, 2026, Amgen Inc. issued and sold a total of $4 billion in senior unsecured notes across four tranches maturing between 2031 and 2056, carrying coupons ranging from 4.200% to 5.650%. After underwriters’ discounts and estimated...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026