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Alta Equipment Group (ALTG)
NYSE:ALTG
US Market

Alta Equipment Group (ALTG) AI Stock Analysis

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ALTG

Alta Equipment Group

(NYSE:ALTG)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-7.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is held down primarily by weak profitability and a highly leveraged/negative-equity balance sheet, with bearish technicals reinforcing near-term risk. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call pointed to improving 2026 EBITDA guidance and strong recent free cash flow/deleveraging progress, while valuation support is limited due to losses despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High product-support margins
Sustained, high-margin product-support revenue is a durable cash generator that buffers equipment sales cyclicality. A ~46% product-support margin driven by pricing discipline and technician productivity supports recurring cash flow, improves FCF durability, and underpins long-term margin resilience.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and negative equity
Negative equity and very high net leverage materially constrain financial flexibility and increase refinancing and covenant risk. This capital-structure weakness limits ability to invest, raises cost of capital, and makes multi-year recovery plans sensitive to cash-flow consistency and interest-rate moves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High product-support margins
Sustained, high-margin product-support revenue is a durable cash generator that buffers equipment sales cyclicality. A ~46% product-support margin driven by pricing discipline and technician productivity supports recurring cash flow, improves FCF durability, and underpins long-term margin resilience.
Read all positive factors

Alta Equipment Group (ALTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alta Equipment Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States. It operates in two segments, Material Handling and Construction Equipment. The company operates a branch network that sells, rents, and pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Alta Equipment Group primarily makes money through a mix of equipment sales, equipment rentals, and aftermarket support. (1) New and used equipment sales: The company generates revenue by selling equipment sourced from OEM relationships and also b...

Alta Equipment Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrays cautious optimism. Management reported a record quarter for equipment sales, improved product support margins, meaningful free cash flow generation, inventory normalization, and a concrete plan to delever and re-focus the business. Several multi-quarter challenges remain — notably softer Material Handling markets, equipment margin compression (down ~100 bps), ongoing rental revenue declines (~10% YoY in Q4), and elevated net leverage (4.9x) — but the balance of commentary emphasized improving market indicators, strategic discipline, and a clear path to modest EBITDA improvement in 2026 (midpoint guidance of $180M) and longer-term targets for 2028. On balance, the positive operational and financial developments and an actionable plan to address the key weaknesses lead to a positive overall tone.
Positive Updates
Record Quarter for Equipment Sales and Revenue Growth
Q4 revenue of $509,000,000, up $11,000,000 year over year; new and used equipment sales of ~$301,000,000 in Q4, up $13,800,000 versus Q4 2024 and up ~$90,000,000 sequentially from Q3 2025 — driven by improved capital investment conditions.
Negative Updates
Full-Year EBITDA and Equipment Margin Pressure
Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $164,400,000 was down modestly versus 2024. New and used equipment gross margins declined to 14.1%, down approximately 100 basis points year over year, reflecting tariff impacts, competitive discounting, and oversupply.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Quarter for Equipment Sales and Revenue Growth
Q4 revenue of $509,000,000, up $11,000,000 year over year; new and used equipment sales of ~$301,000,000 in Q4, up $13,800,000 versus Q4 2024 and up ~$90,000,000 sequentially from Q3 2025 — driven by improved capital investment conditions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Alta guided to a 2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint of $180.0M (up from $164.4M in 2025), driven by a modest, second‑half‑weighted recovery in new and used equipment volumes, modest equipment margin improvement (2025 new/used gross margins ~14.1%), renewed product‑support growth (Q4 parts & service revenue $127.4M, Q4 product‑support margin 46.1%), and continued rental rationalization (Q4 rental revenue down ~$4.7M; rental fleet gross book value reduced ~$38M in 2025 with roughly $40M more to exit); Alta finished 2025 with $1.84B revenue, Q4 revenue of ~$509M (Q4 equipment sales ~$301M), generated free cash flow of ~$105M before (and ~$103.1M after) rent‑to‑sell, exited with ~$249M liquidity and net leverage of 4.9x (net debt down ~$25M sequentially) and expects to be below 4.5x by year‑end 2026, while targeting longer‑term 2028 goals of >$200M high‑quality EBITDA, ~ $1.4B equipment sales, mid‑ to high‑single‑digit annual product‑support growth, and ~3.5x leverage.

Alta Equipment Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improved 2025 free cash flow are positives, but earnings quality is weak (recent net losses and negative EBITDA) and the balance sheet is a major risk with very high leverage and negative equity in 2025.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.88B1.88B1.57B1.21B
Gross Profit474.60M493.70M507.20M419.60M314.40M
EBITDA-19.20M159.50M192.10M154.40M102.60M
Net Income-80.30M-62.10M8.90M9.30M-20.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.48B1.57B1.29B982.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.60M13.40M31.00M2.70M2.30M
Total Debt1.17B1.20B1.18B921.80M679.40M
Total Liabilities1.35B1.40B1.42B1.15B847.90M
Stockholders Equity-8.80M77.60M149.70M139.80M134.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.40M-13.50M-16.20M-58.20M-19.70M
Operating Cash Flow33.00M57.00M58.40M18.50M30.70M
Investing Cash Flow-22.70M-56.20M-117.40M-155.10M-113.40M
Financing Cash Flow-5.30M-17.90M87.30M136.90M83.80M

Alta Equipment Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.38
Price Trends
50DMA
6.40
Negative
100DMA
5.78
Negative
200DMA
6.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
38.67
Neutral
STOCH
33.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALTG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.71, below the 50-day MA of 6.40, and below the 200-day MA of 6.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALTG.

Alta Equipment Group Risk Analysis

Alta Equipment Group disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alta Equipment Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alta Equipment Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.68B12.9613.21%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
68
Neutral
$7.28B9.9213.23%1.37%9.67%96.43%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.14B16.0316.36%1.75%1.68%9.91%
47
Neutral
$3.19B4,644.290.06%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
47
Neutral
$1.50B-42.03-3.00%7.39%34.57%
46
Neutral
$173.59M-3.18-160.65%4.88%-3.95%-47.70%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALTG
Alta Equipment Group
5.25
1.34
34.27%
AL
Air Lease
65.00
25.11
62.94%
HRI
Herc Holdings
94.17
-16.14
-14.63%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
111.53
11.81
11.84%
R
Ryder System
207.36
79.77
62.53%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
6.64
3.25
95.87%

Alta Equipment Group Corporate Events

Dividends
Alta Equipment Group Declares Quarterly Preferred Stock Dividend
Positive
Apr 3, 2026
On April 3, 2026, Alta Equipment Group Inc. announced that its board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $625 per share on its 10% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, equivalent to $0.625 per Depositary Share representing a 1/...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Alta Equipment Group Reassigns Brubaker to COO Role
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026
On December 31, 2025, Alta Equipment Group Inc. appointed Craig Brubaker as Chief Operating Officer of its Material Handling segment, with the change effective immediately and ending his status as an executive officer and Section 16 officer of the...
Dividends
Alta Equipment Group Declares Quarterly Preferred Stock Dividend
Positive
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, Alta Equipment Group Inc. announced that its board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $625 per share on its 10% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, equivalent to $0.625 per outstanding depositary share rep...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026