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Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC)
NASDAQ:MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) AI Stock Analysis

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MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp

(NASDAQ:MGRC)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(11.55% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (growth, resilient gross margins, and improving leverage) tempered by recent net margin compression and uneven cash-flow history. Technicals are modestly supportive with neutral momentum, while valuation is mid-range with a moderate dividend. The latest earnings call reinforces a cautious-but-constructive outlook, and the CEO succession looks orderly.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Resilience
Consistent multi-year revenue growth and gross margins near the high-40% range provide durable operating leverage. This margin resilience supports sustained cash generation and reinvestment capacity, helping buffer the business through cyclical soft patches and fund dividends and targeted expansion.
Negative Factors
Net Margin Compression
Net margin deterioration in 2025, despite revenue growth, signals margin pressure from mix, utilization or cost increases. Reduced net margins weaken earnings resilience, limit cash available for reinvestment or dividends, and raise execution risk in meeting profitability targets if headwinds persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Resilience
Consistent multi-year revenue growth and gross margins near the high-40% range provide durable operating leverage. This margin resilience supports sustained cash generation and reinvestment capacity, helping buffer the business through cyclical soft patches and fund dividends and targeted expansion.
Read all positive factors

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mcgrath Rentcorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
McGrath RentCorp operates as a business to business rental company in the United States and internationally. It rents and sells relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, electronic test equipment and related accessories, and liqu...
How the Company Makes Money
McGrath RentCorp generates revenue primarily through the rental of modular buildings and portable storage containers. The company's revenue model is based on long-term and short-term rental agreements, with customers paying monthly fees for the us...

Mcgrath Rentcorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid operational and financial progress—notably strong adjusted EBITDA growth (+14%), a robust recovery at TRS (revenues +19%, EBITDA +21%), improving services revenue at Mobile Modular, and a continued commitment to capital allocation and dividends—while acknowledging meaningful headwinds from a soft nonresidential construction market, lower utilization in modulars, and pressure on portable storage profitability. Management provided a constructive but cautious 2026 guide that depends on execution of geographic expansion, sales initiatives and continued TRS momentum.
Positive Updates
Company-Level Revenue and Profitability Growth
Total company revenues rose 5% in Q4 to $257.0M and adjusted EBITDA increased 14% year-over-year to $105.0M, reflecting improved profitability across the portfolio.
Negative Updates
Challenging Nonresidential Construction Market
Persistent weakness in nonresidential construction (soft ABI) created headwinds across modular and portable storage businesses, limiting new modular unit sales (new unit sales down in Q4 and for full year) and pressuring demand in certain commercial categories.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Company-Level Revenue and Profitability Growth
Total company revenues rose 5% in Q4 to $257.0M and adjusted EBITDA increased 14% year-over-year to $105.0M, reflecting improved profitability across the portfolio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
McGrath's 2026 guidance calls for total revenue of $945–$995 million, adjusted EBITDA of $360–$378 million and gross rental equipment capital expenditures of $180–$200 million (including roughly $20 million of lifecycle/maintenance CapEx), with rental equipment depreciation of $85–$89 million, direct cost of rental operations of $122–$126 million, SG&A of $225–$229 million and interest expense of about $26–$29 million. Management expects Mobile Modular to grow adjusted EBITDA in 2026 despite starting the year at lower utilization (Q4 utilization 71.3% vs 76% a year earlier), and plans $5–$8 million of incremental operating expense to ready fleet and add targeted CapEx for geographic expansion; Portable Storage is expected to be roughly comparable to 2025 (Q4 rental revenue $17.3M, utilization ~61.2%); TRS should contribute higher adjusted EBITDA with increased capital investment after a strong Q4 (Q4 total revenue $40.6M, rental revenue $28.7M up 13%, utilization 64.5%, rental margin 44%, Q4 adj. EBITDA $23.1M); Enviroplex revenues/margins/adj. EBITDA are expected to normalize closer to 2024 levels. The company enters the year with net borrowings of $515 million and a funded debt to LTM adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.42x, and noted operational KPIs such as monthly revenue per unit on rent up 6% to $874 (12‑month new‑shipments ARPU down 3% to $1,169) that will factor into execution.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid multi-year revenue expansion and resilient gross margins, supported by a sound balance sheet with improving leverage. Offsets include the notable 2025 net margin compression and uneven cash flow history (including a significant free-cash-flow drawdown in 2023), which raise earnings/cash consistency risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue944.24M910.94M831.84M635.66M616.83M
Gross Profit434.84M435.42M393.63M259.29M266.21M
EBITDA350.77M468.35M299.40M258.26M238.91M
Net Income156.31M231.73M174.62M115.14M89.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.31B2.27B1.71B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments295.00K807.00K877.00K957.00K1.49M
Total Debt527.79M602.83M777.75M425.34M437.45M
Total Liabilities1.12B1.18B1.33B903.90M878.24M
Stockholders Equity1.24B1.12B933.80M803.95M732.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow211.30M334.15M-178.32M-10.87M78.92M
Operating Cash Flow255.68M374.38M95.34M194.43M195.74M
Investing Cash Flow-127.11M-150.75M-391.87M-131.43M-351.70M
Financing Cash Flow-129.08M-223.69M296.44M-63.53M156.20M

Mcgrath Rentcorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price113.85
Price Trends
50DMA
111.44
Positive
100DMA
108.55
Positive
200DMA
112.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Negative
RSI
60.78
Neutral
STOCH
64.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 113.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.42, above the 50-day MA of 111.44, and above the 200-day MA of 112.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGRC.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Risk Analysis

Mcgrath Rentcorp disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mcgrath Rentcorp reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mcgrath Rentcorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.80B16.5213.21%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
64
Neutral
$1.36B8.0516.94%0.82%27.90%19.25%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.75B16.0316.36%1.75%1.68%9.91%
51
Neutral
$3.38B-64.81-5.35%1.44%-3.64%867.62%
47
Neutral
$3.45B4,644.290.06%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
47
Neutral
$1.65B-42.03-3.00%7.39%34.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
113.85
11.28
11.00%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
18.67
-5.72
-23.44%
HRI
Herc Holdings
103.37
-9.26
-8.22%
R
Ryder System
222.04
85.66
62.81%
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
201.09
62.62
45.22%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
7.28
3.87
113.49%

Mcgrath Rentcorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
McGrath RentCorp announces planned CEO succession and transition
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, McGrath RentCorp announced that longtime President and Chief Executive Officer Joseph F. Hanna will retire from his executive roles effective April 3, 2026, while remaining on the company’s board of directors. The board ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026