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Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC)
NASDAQ:MGRC
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Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) AI Stock Analysis

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MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp

(NASDAQ:MGRC)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$125.00
▲(6.96% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/12/26
MGRC’s score is primarily supported by solid underlying financial performance (healthy margins, improved leverage, and positive free cash flow), but tempered by normalization from peak profitability and uneven cash flow trends. Technical signals are neutral-to-slightly positive, while valuation appears somewhat full at ~25x earnings. The latest earnings call maintained guidance but highlighted meaningful near-term margin, utilization, and segment weakness, partially offset by strong TRS results and pricing momentum; the extended credit facility is an additional modest positive.
Positive Factors
Healthy Profitability & Margins
Sustained gross and operating margins with a mid‑teens net margin provide durable earnings power across the rental cycle. Robust margins support reinvestment in fleet, service expansion, and shareholder distributions, improving resilience to cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure / EBITDA Decline
A decline in adjusted EBITDA despite revenue growth signals margin compression from higher prep, logistics, and SG&A costs. Persistent margin pressure would erode free cash flow and limit the company's ability to fund fleet growth, dividends, and buybacks without raising leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy Profitability & Margins
Sustained gross and operating margins with a mid‑teens net margin provide durable earnings power across the rental cycle. Robust margins support reinvestment in fleet, service expansion, and shareholder distributions, improving resilience to cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mcgrath Rentcorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
McGrath RentCorp operates as a business to business rental company in the United States and internationally. It rents and sells relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, electronic test equipment and related accessories, and liqu...
How the Company Makes Money
MGRC makes money primarily by renting assets it owns to customers under contractual rental agreements and charging recurring rental fees for the duration of the rental term. Its key revenue streams are generated across its operating segments: (1) ...

Mcgrath Rentcorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reported modest company‑level revenue growth (+2%) and highlighted a strong quarter at TRS, positive pricing momentum at Mobile Modular, and deliberate capital deployment for growth (capex increase, acquisition, and share repurchases). However, those positives were offset by near‑term margin pressures (adjusted EBITDA down 1%), significant weakness at Enviroplex (sales down 51% and an EBITDA loss), compressed margins in portable storage, lower operating cash flow, and utilization declines driven by elevated returns. Management maintained full‑year guidance and emphasized balance sheet strength and vigilance on macro/geopolitical risks (Middle East conflict, higher energy costs). Overall, the results and commentary present a balanced picture of operational progress and notable headwinds.
Positive Updates
Total Company Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased 2% year-over-year to $199 million for Q1 2026, with rental revenue growth across all divisions.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Slight Decline
Total adjusted EBITDA decreased 1% year-over-year to $74 million, reflecting margin pressure despite revenue growth.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Company Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased 2% year-over-year to $199 million for Q1 2026, with rental revenue growth across all divisions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
McGrath reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance for total revenues of $945–$995 million, adjusted EBITDA of $360–$378 million, and gross rental equipment capital expenditures of $180–$200 million; for context, Q1 results were revenues of $199 million (up 2% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $74 million (down 1% YoY), net cash from operations of $42 million (vs. $54 million LY), rental equipment purchases of $45 million (vs. $12 million LY), net borrowings of $546 million and a funded‑debt-to‑LTM adjusted EBITDA ratio of ~1.51x, and the company returned $12 million in dividends and completed $12 million of share repurchases.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate solid profitability and margins with improving leverage and currently positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, profitability has normalized from an exceptionally strong 2024 level and free cash flow has been uneven with recent declines and historical variability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue947.36M944.24M910.94M831.84M635.66M616.83M
Gross Profit435.08M434.84M435.42M393.63M259.29M266.21M
EBITDA350.37M351.16M468.35M299.40M258.26M238.91M
Net Income155.13M156.31M231.73M174.62M115.14M89.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.38B2.36B2.31B2.27B1.71B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.36M295.00K807.00K877.00K957.00K1.49M
Total Debt546.00M527.79M602.83M777.75M425.34M437.45M
Total Liabilities1.14B1.12B1.18B1.33B903.90M878.24M
Stockholders Equity1.24B1.24B1.12B933.80M803.95M732.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow195.74M211.30M334.15M-178.32M-10.87M78.92M
Operating Cash Flow244.17M255.68M374.38M95.34M194.43M195.74M
Investing Cash Flow-165.42M-127.11M-150.75M-391.87M-131.43M-351.70M
Financing Cash Flow-79.78M-129.08M-223.69M296.44M-63.53M156.20M

Mcgrath Rentcorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price116.87
Price Trends
50DMA
111.31
Negative
100DMA
111.31
Negative
200DMA
111.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
42.62
Neutral
STOCH
17.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 116.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 113.53, above the 50-day MA of 111.31, and above the 200-day MA of 111.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGRC.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Risk Analysis

Mcgrath Rentcorp disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mcgrath Rentcorp reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mcgrath Rentcorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.26B11.5017.33%0.82%23.13%12.80%
71
Outperform
$9.08B21.7916.39%1.75%-0.07%4.18%
69
Neutral
$2.70B25.1012.84%1.79%3.14%-34.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$4.30B27.93-7.11%1.44%-4.12%-487.73%
56
Neutral
$4.43B-34.53-0.26%1.79%28.39%-105.83%
55
Neutral
$2.12B-90.75-2.18%9.38%43.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
109.68
-2.94
-2.61%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
24.14
-2.91
-10.77%
HRI
Herc Holdings
129.60
4.38
3.50%
R
Ryder System
238.45
90.91
61.61%
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
182.31
51.61
39.48%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
9.24
4.87
111.44%

Mcgrath Rentcorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
McGrath RentCorp Expands and Extends Revolving Credit Facility
Positive
May 11, 2026
On May 8, 2026, McGrath RentCorp entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement that refinances its prior $650 million facility and extends its revolving credit line to May 8, 2031. The new structure provides a $725 million senior revo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 12, 2026