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Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC)
NASDAQ:MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) AI Stock Analysis

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MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp

(NASDAQ:MGRC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
▲(5.04% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant challenges in technical analysis and financial performance. While there are positive aspects such as operational efficiency and a reasonable valuation, bearish technical indicators and mixed earnings call results weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
High Margins and Operational Efficiency
Sustained high gross and operating margins demonstrate structural cost advantages and pricing power in rental and services. Strong margins support reinvestment in fleet, buffer against demand cycles, and improve long-term cash available for maintenance, growth, and strategic initiatives.
Conservative Capital Structure
Moderate leverage and a roughly 51% equity ratio provide balance-sheet flexibility to fund capital expenditures and fleet renewal without excessive refinancing risk. This conservative structure supports durability through cyclical downturns and preserves capacity for strategic investments.
Segment Diversification and Public Funding Tailwinds
Robust TRS-RenTelco growth and healthy utilization signal secular demand in communications and specialty rentals. Coupled with large education facility bonds in CA and TX, diversified end markets and public funding create durable revenue tailwinds for modular and portable space demand over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Material Decline in Free Cash Flow
A near-44% drop in free cash flow materially reduces internally generated funding for fleet capex, debt servicing, and shareholder returns. For a capital-intensive rental business, weaker FCF undermines ability to sustain investment cycles and raises reliance on external financing over several quarters.
Revenue Contraction and Margin Compression
Negative revenue growth and a sharp drop in net margin indicate deteriorating top-line strength and reduced profitability. If persistent, these trends compress earnings power and limit reinvestment capacity, weakening long-term growth prospects for fleet-heavy rental operations.
Falling Asset Productivity and Utilization
Declining ROE alongside lower Mobile Modular utilization signals reduced capital efficiency and weaker fleet monetization. Persistently lower utilization erodes returns on invested capital, raising the risk that growth investments will generate lower long-term shareholder returns.

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mcgrath Rentcorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcGrath RentCorp operates as a business to business rental company in the United States and internationally. It rents and sells relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, electronic test equipment and related accessories, and liquid and solid containment tanks and boxes. The company operates through four segments: Mobile Modular, TRS-RenTelco, Adler Tanks, and Enviroplex. The Mobile Modular segment rents and sells modular buildings designed for use as classrooms, temporary offices adjacent to existing facilities, sales offices, construction field offices, restroom buildings, health care clinics, child care facilities, office spaces, and various other purposes; and portable storage containers. The TRS-RenTelco segment rents and sells general purpose electronic test equipment, such as oscilloscopes, amplifiers, analyzers, signal source, and power source test equipment primarily to aerospace, defense, electronics, industrial, research, and semiconductor industries. It also provides communications test equipment, including network and transmission test equipment for various fiber, copper, and wireless networks to the manufacturers of communications equipment and products, electrical and communications installation contractors, field technicians, and service providers. The Adler Tanks segment rents fixed axle steel tanks for storing groundwater, wastewater, volatile organic liquids, sewage, slurry and bio sludge, oil and water mixtures, and chemicals; vacuum containers for sludge and solid materials; dewatering boxes for the separation of water contained in sludge and slurry; and roll-off and trash boxes for temporary storage and transportation of solid waste. The Enviroplex segment manufactures and sells portable classrooms directly to public school districts and other educational institutions in California. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Livermore, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcGrath RentCorp generates revenue primarily through the rental of modular buildings and portable storage containers. The company's revenue model is based on long-term and short-term rental agreements, with customers paying monthly fees for the use of their products. Key revenue streams include rental income from modular space units, storage containers, and related services such as transportation and installation. Additionally, the company benefits from the sale of products and services related to its offerings. Significant partnerships with contractors, government agencies, and various industries enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings by providing a steady demand for its rental services.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in TRS-RenTelco and positive signs of market stabilization. However, these were offset by decreases in total revenue and adjusted EBITDA, as well as lower utilization rates in Mobile Modular. The upward revision of the financial outlook and strong education sector funding provide a positive outlook, but current challenges remain significant.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
TRS-RenTelco Rental Revenue Growth
TRS-RenTelco rental revenue grew by a strong 9%, with both general purpose and communications rental revenues seeing strong growth. Utilization improved year-over-year to a healthy 65%.
Encouraging Market Stabilization
Opportunities in energy, data centers, and seasonal retail offset the flat construction market, suggesting potential market stabilization after a challenging demand contraction in 2024.
Upward Revision of Financial Outlook
The company has upwardly revised its full-year financial outlook, expecting total revenue between $935 million and $955 million, adjusted EBITDA between $350 million and $357 million.
Strong Education Sector Funding
California passed a $10 billion facility bond and Texas passed an $8 billion bond, indicating solid funding for the education sector and potential future growth in this area.
Negative Updates
Total Revenue Decrease
Total revenues decreased by 4% to $256 million, with sales revenues decreasing by 18% during the quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA decreased 7% to $96.5 million. Net income for the third quarter decreased by $3.6 million or 8% to $42.3 million, and diluted earnings per share decreased by $0.15 to $1.72.
Mobile Modular Utilization Drop
Mobile Modular saw a lower average fleet utilization of 72.6% compared to 77.1% a year earlier. This was due to softer market demand.
Company Guidance
During the McGrath RentCorp Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance emphasizing a 4% increase in total company rental operations revenues, with specific growth in their Mobile Modular and TRS-RenTelco segments. Mobile Modular saw a 2% rise in rental revenues, primarily due to infrastructure projects, despite a 5% decrease in total revenue to $181.5 million. TRS-RenTelco experienced a 9% increase in rental revenue driven by growing demand across markets, with strong utilization at 65%. Portable Storage revenues grew modestly by 1% year-over-year, with shipments increasing and stable pricing. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA decrease of 7% to $96.5 million and a net income decline of 8% to $42.3 million. Despite these challenges, McGrath revised its full-year revenue outlook upward to between $935 million and $955 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $350 million and $357 million, highlighting an optimistic stance on market stabilization and strategic growth initiatives.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McGrath Rentcorp shows strong operational efficiency with high margins, but faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but declining return on equity raises profitability concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
McGrath Rentcorp's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 47.37% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 15.62% from 25.44% in the previous year, reflecting a decline in profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative at -1.10% TTM, suggesting a contraction in sales. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a healthy EBIT margin of 24.73% and an EBITDA margin of 36.15% TTM, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has decreased to 12.59% TTM from 20.63% in the previous year, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 50.88% TTM, reflecting a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -43.92% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.14 TTM, indicating adequate cash flow relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.71 TTM, suggesting less cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue931.22M910.94M831.84M635.66M616.83M572.55M
Gross Profit441.16M435.42M393.63M259.29M266.21M263.75M
EBITDA336.67M468.35M299.40M258.26M238.91M235.40M
Net Income145.43M231.73M174.62M115.14M89.70M101.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.31B2.27B1.71B1.61B1.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.26M807.00K877.00K957.00K1.49M1.24M
Total Debt551.80M602.83M777.75M425.34M437.45M231.04M
Total Liabilities1.15B1.18B1.33B903.90M878.24M605.20M
Stockholders Equity1.20B1.12B933.80M803.95M732.02M682.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.19M334.15M-178.32M-10.87M78.92M80.45M
Operating Cash Flow211.54M374.38M95.34M194.43M195.74M180.50M
Investing Cash Flow-97.99M-150.75M-391.87M-131.43M-351.70M-53.00M
Financing Cash Flow-110.36M-223.69M296.44M-63.53M156.20M-128.45M

Mcgrath Rentcorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.15
Price Trends
50DMA
106.48
Positive
100DMA
110.33
Positive
200DMA
112.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.90
Negative
RSI
53.12
Neutral
STOCH
51.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.47, above the 50-day MA of 106.48, and above the 200-day MA of 112.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGRC.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Risk Analysis

Mcgrath Rentcorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mcgrath Rentcorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mcgrath Rentcorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$7.72B16.2216.26%1.75%1.68%9.91%
72
Outperform
$1.24B10.9118.91%0.82%27.90%19.25%
67
Neutral
$4.77B-56.95-4.05%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$3.64B16.5621.15%1.44%-3.64%867.62%
58
Neutral
$2.75B18.9112.70%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
50
Neutral
$1.43B-57.09-3.00%7.39%34.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
111.69
-8.21
-6.85%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
20.03
-15.37
-43.41%
HRI
Herc Holdings
143.34
-50.11
-25.90%
R
Ryder System
191.28
37.44
24.34%
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
182.28
-5.86
-3.11%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
6.32
1.54
32.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025