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Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC)
NASDAQ:MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) AI Stock Analysis

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MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp

(NASDAQ:MGRC)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(14.47% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (growth, resilient gross margins, and improving leverage) tempered by recent net margin compression and uneven cash-flow history. Technicals are modestly supportive with neutral momentum, while valuation is mid-range with a moderate dividend. The latest earnings call reinforces a cautious-but-constructive outlook, and the CEO succession looks orderly.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Resilience
Consistent multi-year revenue growth and gross margins near the high-40% range provide durable operating leverage. This margin resilience supports sustained cash generation and reinvestment capacity, helping buffer the business through cyclical soft patches and fund dividends and targeted expansion.
Improving Leverage / Balance Sheet
Debt has declined from peak levels and equity has grown, leaving funded debt at manageable ratios (net borrowings $515M; funded debt/LTM adj. EBITDA ~1.42x). That stronger leverage profile preserves financial flexibility to fund capex, geographic expansion and dividends without unduly stressing liquidity.
Segment Diversification and TRS Recovery
A recovering TRS (strong revenue and margin gains) combined with growth in Mobile Modular services increases revenue diversification into higher‑margin, less cyclical streams. This structural mix shift enhances earnings stability and allows scalable returns as management allocates targeted capital to TRS and services.
Negative Factors
Net Margin Compression
Net margin deterioration in 2025, despite revenue growth, signals margin pressure from mix, utilization or cost increases. Reduced net margins weaken earnings resilience, limit cash available for reinvestment or dividends, and raise execution risk in meeting profitability targets if headwinds persist.
Uneven Cash Flow Profile
Historic lumpiness—including a negative FCF year in 2023—shows cash generation can be volatile due to investment timing and fleet moves. This unevenness complicates predictable capital allocation, may force incremental borrowing in down cycles, and raises risk for consistent dividend and expansion funding.
Exposure to Soft Construction / Low Utilization
Structural weakness in nonresidential construction and declining utilization (Mobile 71.3% from 76%) constrain rental growth and pressure portable storage profitability. Prolonged soft end-market demand and competitive delivery pricing can depress utilization‑driven economics and curb margin recovery.

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mcgrath Rentcorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcGrath RentCorp operates as a business to business rental company in the United States and internationally. It rents and sells relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, electronic test equipment and related accessories, and liquid and solid containment tanks and boxes. The company operates through four segments: Mobile Modular, TRS-RenTelco, Adler Tanks, and Enviroplex. The Mobile Modular segment rents and sells modular buildings designed for use as classrooms, temporary offices adjacent to existing facilities, sales offices, construction field offices, restroom buildings, health care clinics, child care facilities, office spaces, and various other purposes; and portable storage containers. The TRS-RenTelco segment rents and sells general purpose electronic test equipment, such as oscilloscopes, amplifiers, analyzers, signal source, and power source test equipment primarily to aerospace, defense, electronics, industrial, research, and semiconductor industries. It also provides communications test equipment, including network and transmission test equipment for various fiber, copper, and wireless networks to the manufacturers of communications equipment and products, electrical and communications installation contractors, field technicians, and service providers. The Adler Tanks segment rents fixed axle steel tanks for storing groundwater, wastewater, volatile organic liquids, sewage, slurry and bio sludge, oil and water mixtures, and chemicals; vacuum containers for sludge and solid materials; dewatering boxes for the separation of water contained in sludge and slurry; and roll-off and trash boxes for temporary storage and transportation of solid waste. The Enviroplex segment manufactures and sells portable classrooms directly to public school districts and other educational institutions in California. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Livermore, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcGrath RentCorp generates revenue primarily through the rental of modular buildings and portable storage containers. The company's revenue model is based on long-term and short-term rental agreements, with customers paying monthly fees for the use of their products. Key revenue streams include rental income from modular space units, storage containers, and related services such as transportation and installation. Additionally, the company benefits from the sale of products and services related to its offerings. Significant partnerships with contractors, government agencies, and various industries enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings by providing a steady demand for its rental services.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid operational and financial progress—notably strong adjusted EBITDA growth (+14%), a robust recovery at TRS (revenues +19%, EBITDA +21%), improving services revenue at Mobile Modular, and a continued commitment to capital allocation and dividends—while acknowledging meaningful headwinds from a soft nonresidential construction market, lower utilization in modulars, and pressure on portable storage profitability. Management provided a constructive but cautious 2026 guide that depends on execution of geographic expansion, sales initiatives and continued TRS momentum.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Company-Level Revenue and Profitability Growth
Total company revenues rose 5% in Q4 to $257.0M and adjusted EBITDA increased 14% year-over-year to $105.0M, reflecting improved profitability across the portfolio.
Mobile Modular Strong EBITDA and Service Expansion
Mobile Modular adjusted EBITDA increased 13% to $68.7M and total revenues increased 2% to $175.8M. Rental-related services grew 10%, MM Plus revenues rose to $10.5M from $8.4M, and site-related services increased to $10.0M from $6.9M, supporting higher gross profit (total gross profit +9%).
TRS-RenTelco Recovery and Margin Expansion
TRS-RenTelco delivered a notable recovery: total revenues up 19% to $40.6M, rental revenues up 13% to $28.7M, adjusted EBITDA up 21% to $23.1M, average utilization rising to 64.5% from 59.1%, rental margins improving to 44% from 40%, and sales revenues up 42% to $10.3M with 64% gross margins.
Enviroplex and Portfolio Diversification
Enviroplex experienced a very strong quarter and full year with healthy education demand, driving revenue growth and higher gross margins versus the prior year, helping offset broader nonresidential construction weakness.
Capital Allocation, Balance Sheet and Dividend
Board announced quarterly cash dividend (35th consecutive annual dividend increase). Net borrowings were $515M at quarter end with funded debt to LTM adjusted EBITDA of 1.42:1. Interest expense decreased by $2.4M to $6.5M due to lower rates and lower average debt levels.
2026 Financial Outlook and Capital Plans
2026 guidance: total revenue $945M–$995M; adjusted EBITDA $360M–$378M; gross rental equipment capex $180M–$200M. Management expects Mobile Modular adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026 and increased TRS capital investment, with targeted $5M–$8M higher operating expenses to ready fleet for demand.
Negative Updates
Challenging Nonresidential Construction Market
Persistent weakness in nonresidential construction (soft ABI) created headwinds across modular and portable storage businesses, limiting new modular unit sales (new unit sales down in Q4 and for full year) and pressuring demand in certain commercial categories.
Utilization Declines at Mobile Modular
Mobile Modular average fleet utilization fell to 71.3% in Q4 from 76.0% a year earlier, with returns higher than new shipments during the quarter, constraining rental growth despite higher revenue per unit on rent.
Portable Storage Profitability Pressure
Portable Storage adjusted EBITDA decreased 3% to $9.6M; rental revenues grew only 3% to $17.3M and average utilization remained low at 61.2%. Management highlighted highly competitive market dynamics and lower margins on delivery/pickup services.
Reduced Operating Cash Flow (Comparative)
Net cash provided by operating activities declined to $256M for the year versus $374M a year earlier; the decrease primarily reflects the absence of a nonrecurring $180M merger termination payment received in 2024 (net of related costs).
Cautious Near-Term Outlook and Revenue Sensitivities
Management signaled no expectation of meaningful improvement in market conditions in 2026 and described guidance as conservative; upside is sensitive to Mobile Modular sales activity and geographic expansion execution, indicating execution risk to hitting the upper end of the guide.
Company Guidance
McGrath's 2026 guidance calls for total revenue of $945–$995 million, adjusted EBITDA of $360–$378 million and gross rental equipment capital expenditures of $180–$200 million (including roughly $20 million of lifecycle/maintenance CapEx), with rental equipment depreciation of $85–$89 million, direct cost of rental operations of $122–$126 million, SG&A of $225–$229 million and interest expense of about $26–$29 million. Management expects Mobile Modular to grow adjusted EBITDA in 2026 despite starting the year at lower utilization (Q4 utilization 71.3% vs 76% a year earlier), and plans $5–$8 million of incremental operating expense to ready fleet and add targeted CapEx for geographic expansion; Portable Storage is expected to be roughly comparable to 2025 (Q4 rental revenue $17.3M, utilization ~61.2%); TRS should contribute higher adjusted EBITDA with increased capital investment after a strong Q4 (Q4 total revenue $40.6M, rental revenue $28.7M up 13%, utilization 64.5%, rental margin 44%, Q4 adj. EBITDA $23.1M); Enviroplex revenues/margins/adj. EBITDA are expected to normalize closer to 2024 levels. The company enters the year with net borrowings of $515 million and a funded debt to LTM adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.42x, and noted operational KPIs such as monthly revenue per unit on rent up 6% to $874 (12‑month new‑shipments ARPU down 3% to $1,169) that will factor into execution.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid multi-year revenue expansion and resilient gross margins, supported by a sound balance sheet with improving leverage. Offsets include the notable 2025 net margin compression and uneven cash flow history (including a significant free-cash-flow drawdown in 2023), which raise earnings/cash consistency risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue expanded steadily from 2020 to 2025 (annual growth ranging from low-single-digits to strong double-digits, with a very strong jump in 2025). Profitability is solid with gross margin holding near the high-40% range in recent years. However, net margin compressed notably in 2025 versus 2024 (despite higher revenue), and profitability has shown some volatility across the period, which tempers the score.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage is moderate and improving: debt relative to equity declined meaningfully from the 2023 peak to 2025, and equity has grown over time. Returns on equity have been healthy overall, though they stepped down in 2025 versus 2024, suggesting weaker earnings efficiency most recently. Overall, the balance sheet looks sound with manageable debt levels, but earnings-related softness in the latest year is a watch item.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive, with positive free cash flow in most years and strong free cash flow growth in 2024 and 2025. Operating cash flow has covered net income well in several years, but the profile is uneven: 2023 saw weak operating cash flow and materially negative free cash flow, highlighting potential lumpiness tied to investment needs. 2025 free cash flow covered a large portion of earnings, though not as strongly as 2024.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue944.24M910.94M831.84M635.66M616.83M
Gross Profit434.84M435.42M393.63M259.29M266.21M
EBITDA350.77M468.35M299.40M258.26M238.91M
Net Income156.31M231.73M174.62M115.14M89.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.31B2.27B1.71B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments295.00K807.00K877.00K957.00K1.49M
Total Debt514.92M602.83M777.75M425.34M437.45M
Total Liabilities1.12B1.18B1.33B903.90M878.24M
Stockholders Equity1.24B1.12B933.80M803.95M732.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow211.30M334.15M-178.32M-10.87M78.92M
Operating Cash Flow255.68M374.38M95.34M194.43M195.74M
Investing Cash Flow-127.11M-150.75M-391.87M-131.43M-351.70M
Financing Cash Flow-129.08M-223.69M296.44M-63.53M156.20M

Mcgrath Rentcorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price110.95
Price Trends
50DMA
111.71
Negative
100DMA
109.68
Positive
200DMA
113.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
42.64
Neutral
STOCH
54.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.69, below the 50-day MA of 111.71, and below the 200-day MA of 113.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGRC.

Mcgrath Rentcorp Risk Analysis

Mcgrath Rentcorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mcgrath Rentcorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mcgrath Rentcorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.39B12.1918.91%0.82%27.90%19.25%
70
Outperform
$2.73B17.4813.24%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.74B18.6716.15%1.75%1.68%9.91%
58
Neutral
$4.66B4,368.440.06%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
51
Neutral
$3.91B-71.65-5.65%1.44%-3.64%867.62%
50
Neutral
$1.62B-64.68-3.00%7.39%34.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
110.95
-8.97
-7.48%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
21.61
-10.97
-33.67%
HRI
Herc Holdings
139.79
-0.77
-0.55%
R
Ryder System
221.56
60.32
37.41%
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
203.71
3.17
1.58%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
7.16
2.73
61.63%

Mcgrath Rentcorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
McGrath RentCorp announces planned CEO succession and transition
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, McGrath RentCorp announced that longtime President and Chief Executive Officer Joseph F. Hanna will retire from his executive roles effective April 3, 2026, while remaining on the company’s board of directors. The board has appointed current Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Philip B. Hawkins to succeed Hanna as President, CEO and director as of the same date, and has amended the company’s bylaws to expand the board from six to seven members to accommodate the leadership transition. The move, described by the board as the culmination of a long-planned succession process, is intended to ensure continuity of McGrath’s strategic direction and growth trajectory, with Hawkins’ deep industry experience and long tenure at the company expected to support its ongoing momentum in key markets and provide stability for shareholders and employees during the change in leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGRC) stock is a Hold with a $124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mcgrath Rentcorp stock, see the MGRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026