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Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. (WSC)
NASDAQ:WSC

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (WSC) AI Stock Analysis

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WSC

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings

(NASDAQ:WSC)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(0.59% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened profitability (net loss, sharply lower EBITDA margin) and elevated leverage despite strong operating/free cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive (above key short- and mid-term averages, positive MACD) and the earnings call suggests potential improvement via commercial momentum and cost savings, but near-term guidance points to declines and restructuring-related headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently robust operating and free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility. High cash generation supports debt service, targeted capex in higher‑value assets, and shareholder returns without relying on volatile earnings, reducing refinancing risk over a multi‑year horizon.
Rapid growth in higher‑value niches
Accelerating penetration into cold storage and data center work diversifies revenue into structurally growing, higher‑value end markets. Over 2–6 months this can improve revenue mix, raise yields per unit, and create longer‑duration contracts that strengthen recurring income streams.
Focused portfolio repositioning and capex
Allocating most capex to differentiated, higher‑margin products and refurbishments is a structural move to lift long‑term yields and utilization. Over several quarters this should enhance asset productivity, improve customer value propositions, and support sustainable margin recovery.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Rising leverage and a shrinking equity cushion reduce financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to earnings volatility. If underlying profitability or cash conversion weakens, higher leverage raises refinancing and coverage risk and limits ability to fund growth without further balance sheet actions.
Material profitability deterioration
A sharp fall in EBITDA margin and a move to a net loss signal durable operating pressure or adverse mix shifts. Sustained margin erosion can impede deleveraging, constrain free cash flow durability, and necessitate ongoing cost or pricing actions to restore historical returns.
Restructuring charges and disposal cash costs
Large noncash write‑downs plus multi‑year disposal cash outlays represent execution and cash‑timing risk. While aimed at long‑term efficiency, these actions reduce near‑term reported earnings, require working capital to execute, and could disrupt service levels during fleet redeployment.

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (WSC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWillScot Holdings Corporation provides workspace and portable storage solutions in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It operates in two segments, Modular Solutions and Storage Solutions. Its modular solutions include panelized and stackable offices, single-wide modular space units, section modulars and redi-plex, classrooms, ground level offices, blast-resistant modules, clearspan structures, and other modular space; and portable storage solutions, such as portable and cold storage containers, as well as trailers. The company leases modular space and portable storage units to customers in the construction, commercial and industrial, retail and wholesale trade, energy and natural resources, education, government and institutions, and healthcare markets. The company offers its solutions primarily under the WillScot and Mobile Mini brand names. The company was formerly known as WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. and changed its name to WillScot Holdings Corporation in July 2024. WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyWillScot generates revenue primarily through the rental of modular space units and portable storage containers. The company charges customers on a monthly basis for the use of its products, creating a recurring revenue stream. Additionally, WillScot offers sales of new and used modular units and storage containers, contributing to its revenue. The company benefits from economies of scale, as it operates a large fleet of units and has extensive operational capabilities across North America. Strategic partnerships with construction firms and other industries also enhance its revenue potential by ensuring a steady demand for its services. Seasonal fluctuations in construction and other sectors can impact earnings, but the company's diversified portfolio helps mitigate risks associated with economic cycles.

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: strong cash generation, high margins, improving commercial indicators (enterprise account wins, order book growth, sales staffing improvements) and targeted investments in higher-value offerings argue for resilience and a pathway back to growth. Offsetting that are tangible near-term headwinds — notably a $50M traditional storage revenue drag, a substantial $302M noncash restructuring charge tied to fleet optimization, anticipated cash costs for disposals (~$35M in 2026), elevated health insurance and conservative 2026 guidance (revenue and EBITDA down vs. 2025). Management framed the guidance conservatively and emphasized that upside is possible if commercial momentum sustains. Given the meaningful positive cash-flow and operational progress but material near-term charges and revenue headwinds, the net tone is cautious optimism rather than unambiguous improvement.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Cash Generation
Q4 adjusted free cash flow of $91M (16.1% margin, $0.50 per share); FY2025 adjusted free cash flow $489M (21.4% margin, $2.70 per share). Cash generation exceeded guidance and remained a core strength.
Solid Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Resilience
Q4 adjusted EBITDA $250M with a 44.2% margin; FY2025 adjusted EBITDA $971M at a 42.6% margin. Results were in line or modestly better than guidance despite headwinds.
Order Book and Enterprise Momentum
Modular pending order book up 17% year-over-year (up 5% excluding enterprise activity). Enterprise account revenue up 7% for full year 2025 and up 10% in Q4 (excl. one large seasonal container customer). Company sees large RFP wins tied to data centers, power generation and large-scale manufacturing.
Early Commercial & Sales Improvements
Sales staffing increased 13% year-over-year with improved tenure and lower turnover; first-month commission performance above targets. Modular activations grew 3% year-over-year in Q4 and portable storage order rates up 11% year-over-year over the last 13 weeks.
Portfolio Repositioning and Growth Investments
Net CapEx for FY2025 $273M (up 17% YoY) driven by investments in higher-value products (FLEX, complexes, VAPS). Net CapEx guide for 2026 is $275M, reflecting continued priority on differentiated offerings (70% toward modular refurbishments/new differentiated fleet).
Network Optimization with Expected Structural Savings
Board-approved network optimization to exit ~25% of leased acreage over 4 years, targeting $25–$30M of annual real estate cost savings and pro forma utilization improvements of over 700 bps after removing accelerated-depreciation units.
Balanced Capital Allocation and Deleveraging Actions
FY2025 deployment included ~$145M of acquisitions, $146M of debt paydown, and $151M returned to shareholders. Total debt under $3.6B with leverage ~3.6x and an amended ABL maturity extended to Oct 2030.
Rapid Growth in High-Value Niches (Cold Storage & Data Centers)
Cold storage order book up ~105% year-over-year; data center contractual revenue expected to be ~+50% year-over-year in 2026 (still a small percentage of total revenue but rapidly growing).
Negative Updates
Revenue Declines and Seasonal Storage Weakness
Q4 total revenue $566M, down $38M (6% YoY) as reported; excluding out-of-period AR adjustments, revenue declined ~2% YoY in the quarter. Portable storage leasing revenue down ~ $10M in Q4 driven by lower seasonal storage volumes from one customer. Guidance for 2026 revenue of ~$2.175B implies a decline versus FY2025 ($2.28B), ~-4.6%.
Significant Noncash Restructuring Charge and Fleet Actions
Recognized a noncash restructuring charge of $302M in Q4 from accelerated depreciation on ~53,000 units (reduced to salvage value ~ $10M). Fleet disposals and relocation will incur cash costs of ~ $60M over several years, ~ $35M expected in 2026.
Conservative 2026 Guidance and Storage Headwind
2026 guidance: adjusted EBITDA ~$900M vs $971M in 2025 (~-7.3%). Management cites an approx. $50M headwind in the traditional storage business entering 2026 and did not assume commercial inflection in guidance.
Margin Compression Drivers in Q4
Q4 margins compressed relative to expectations due to revenue mix shift (-~50 bps) and elevated health insurance costs (-~60 bps), along with some SG&A items impacting adjusted EBITDA.
Write-off Activity Increased
Write-off activity within leasing revenue was ~$25M in Q4 (flat sequentially), but up approx. $19M versus the prior year quarter, affecting reported lease revenue comparatives.
Leverage and Interest Expense Load
Total debt remains near $3.6B with leverage ~3.6x and expected interest expense of ~$215M for 2026; while maturities are manageable, leverage remains a consideration amid the fleet/real estate optimization costs.
Uncertainty Around Sustainability of Early Order Momentum
Management emphasized early encouraging signs (order book, enterprise wins) but explicitly excluded any assumed turnaround from 2026 guidance; inflection remains contingent on sustaining recent trends into the spring/summer construction season.
Company Guidance
WillScot's 2026 guidance calls for approximately $2.175 billion of revenue and $900 million of adjusted EBITDA (≈41.4% margin), with Q1 revenue ~ $515 million and Q1 adjusted EBITDA ~ $200 million; management says the outlook is conservative, does not assume a turnaround, and could be exceeded if current commercial momentum sustains. Net CapEx is guided to about $275 million (roughly 70% split evenly between modular refurbishments and new differentiated fleet purchases such as FLEX/complexes, 25% to VAPS, 5% infrastructure), adjusted free cash flow of roughly $415 million (excluding ~$35 million of 2026 network-optimization implementation costs), depreciation & amortization ≈ $400 million (~$100M/quarter; ~$310M rental equipment, ~$40M amortization, ~$50M other), and interest expense ≈ $215 million (including ~$9M noncash); effective tax rate remains ≈26% with federal cash taxes expected in 2027. The company noted an approximate $50 million headwind in traditional storage versus 2025, expects sequential revenue to rise ~7–8% into Q2 (including ~2,000 short-duration World Cup units in Q2–Q3), and is implementing a network optimization to exit ~25% leased acreage over 4 years to realize $25–30 million of annual real estate savings, while taking a $302 million noncash accelerated-depreciation charge on ~53,000 units (salvage ≈ $10M) and incurring ~ $60M of fleet disposal/relocation cash costs over several years (~$35M in 2026), which yields a pro forma utilization uplift of >700 bps after removals.

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are mixed: cash flow is strong and improving (operating cash flow and free cash flow up materially), but profitability deteriorated sharply to a net loss and EBITDA margin fell, while leverage is elevated and rising (high debt-to-equity and weakening equity cushion).
Income Statement
41
Neutral
Revenue has been essentially flat to down most recently (2025 revenue down ~1.6% vs. prior year after modest growth in 2024), while profitability has deteriorated sharply. Gross margin remains solid (~51% in 2025), but earnings swung to a net loss in 2025 (net margin ~-2.3%) versus a small profit in 2024 and very strong profitability in 2022–2023. The step-down in EBITDA margin from ~27% (2024) to ~12% (2025) signals meaningful operating pressure and/or higher costs below the gross line, making the current earnings quality and trajectory a key weakness despite still-healthy gross profitability.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is elevated and rising, with debt-to-equity increasing to ~4.4x in 2025 from ~3.9x in 2024 and ~3.0x in 2023, alongside declining equity over time. Returns to shareholders weakened materially, turning negative in 2025 (return on equity ~-6.2%) after modestly positive in 2024 and strong in 2022–2023. The asset base is sizable, but the high leverage and reduced equity cushion increase financial risk and reduce flexibility if earnings softness persists.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. Operating cash flow increased to ~$762M in 2025 from ~$562M in 2024, and free cash flow surged to ~$738M (strong growth vs. 2024), indicating improved cash conversion and/or working-capital/timing benefits. Cash flow appears supportive of debt service, with operating cash flow covering key obligations at roughly ~1.25x in 2025 (improving from ~0.96x in 2024). A notable watch-out is the disconnect between cash flow and reported earnings in 2025 (net loss alongside strong cash flow), which can be sustainable in some cases but warrants monitoring for one-time or timing-driven drivers.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.28B2.40B2.36B2.14B1.67B
Gross Profit1.07B1.30B1.33B1.14B844.70M
EBITDA597.30M648.89M1.01B854.99M585.98M
Net Income-52.99M28.13M476.46M339.54M160.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.82B6.03B6.14B5.83B5.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.59M9.00M10.96M7.39M6.39M
Total Debt4.14B3.98B3.80B3.30B2.90B
Total Liabilities4.96B5.02B4.88B4.26B3.78B
Stockholders Equity856.25M1.02B1.26B1.57B2.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow737.65M262.35M512.03M257.86M230.91M
Operating Cash Flow761.99M561.64M761.24M744.66M539.90M
Investing Cash Flow-417.47M-362.35M-350.00M-309.33M-384.05M
Financing Cash Flow-340.52M-200.12M-418.94M-429.37M-167.89M

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.87
Price Trends
50DMA
20.87
Positive
100DMA
20.58
Positive
200DMA
23.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
51.83
Neutral
STOCH
62.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WSC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.49, above the 50-day MA of 20.87, and below the 200-day MA of 23.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WSC.

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Risk Analysis

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.82B19.3812.70%1.79%4.77%-35.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.81B18.8316.15%1.75%1.68%9.91%
58
Neutral
$4.96B4,643.440.06%1.79%19.40%-120.47%
51
Neutral
$4.29B-72.51-5.65%1.44%-3.64%867.62%
50
Neutral
$1.70B-66.76-3.00%7.39%34.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
21.87
-10.62
-32.69%
HRI
Herc Holdings
141.63
-0.46
-0.32%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
115.69
-6.23
-5.11%
R
Ryder System
220.92
64.41
41.16%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
7.39
3.05
70.28%

WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
WillScot Mobile Mini Announces Chief Legal Officer Transition
Neutral
Jan 20, 2026

On January 14, 2026, WillScot Holdings Corporation entered into a Separation and Release Agreement with Hezron Lopez, its Executive Vice President, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer & ESG, under which his employment with the company is scheduled to end on February 6, 2026. Under the agreement, Lopez will receive severance benefits consistent with a termination without cause pursuant to his existing employment contract, contingent on his reaffirmation of a release of claims and other commitments, signaling an orderly leadership transition in the company’s legal, compliance, and ESG functions.

The most recent analyst rating on (WSC) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings stock, see the WSC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WillScot Launches Network Optimization and Restructuring Initiative
Negative
Dec 22, 2025

On December 18, 2025, WillScot Holdings Corporation’s board approved a multi-year Network Optimization Plan following its 2024 integration of modular and storage field operations and a detailed review of its real estate footprint and rental fleet. Under the restructuring, the company will exit about 725 acres of leased real estate over the next four years, covering 115 branch and drop lot locations—roughly a quarter of its leased acreage—and abandon rental fleet units with a net book value of up to $315 million, primarily long idle, non-standard or high-repair modular and storage units, while maintaining market coverage and sufficient idle fleet. The plan triggered around $41 million of incremental depreciation on equipment identified for disposal during the eleven months ended November 30, 2025, and will include approximately $303 million of non-cash accelerated depreciation recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025 and an estimated $40 million to $50 million of cash disposal costs through 2029, with about $20 million of net cash costs expected in 2026; management expects the initiative to curb annual real estate cost increases by $25 million to $30 million and to be accretive to profitability from 2027 onward, with all related charges reported as restructuring costs in other operating expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (WSC) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings stock, see the WSC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
WillScot Mobile Mini Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, WillScot Holdings Corporation announced the appointment of Carisa Bianchi as Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, effective January 12, 2026. Ms. Bianchi, with over 25 years of experience in finance and operations, has held significant roles at Insight Enterprises and Amkor Technology. Her appointment includes a comprehensive compensation package with both cash and equity incentives, and she will become the principal accounting officer in her starting quarter, although Mathew T. Jacobsen will handle the 2025 10-K filing.

The most recent analyst rating on (WSC) stock is a Hold with a $22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings stock, see the WSC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026