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United Rentals (URI)
NYSE:URI

United Rentals (URI) AI Stock Analysis

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UR

United Rentals

(NYSE:URI)

80Outperform
United Rentals demonstrates strong financial performance with efficient operations and robust profitability metrics. The positive earnings call highlights significant growth and strong cash flow, reinforcing the company's solid market position. While high debt levels and some technical bearish trends are concerns, the overall outlook remains favorable with a fair valuation and strategic focus on shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
URI reported a solid Q1 EBITDA of $1.67bn, up 5% YoY, and reaffirmed its FY guide.
Shareholder Returns
URI introduced a new $1.5bn repurchase program after completing its prior program.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
A softer supply/demand environment will pressure GenRent gross margins, making it difficult to pass on fleet inflation costs to customers.
Profitability Pressure
GenRent will be an overhang in 2025, with fleet growth and productivity being pressured.

United Rentals (URI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

United Rentals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Rentals, Inc. (URI) is the largest equipment rental company in the world, operating in the industrial and construction sectors. The company offers a comprehensive range of equipment for rent, including aerial work platforms, earthmoving equipment, forklifts, and general tools, serving a diverse customer base from construction and industrial companies to utilities and government agencies. United Rentals also provides related services, such as safety training and 24/7 equipment service and support, ensuring that customers have the equipment and expertise needed to complete their projects efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnited Rentals makes money primarily through the rental of equipment to various industries, including construction, industrial, and commercial sectors. The company's revenue model is based on leasing equipment to customers for short-term and long-term projects, which generates a steady income stream. Additionally, United Rentals sells new and used equipment, adding another revenue stream to its business model. The company also offers value-added services such as equipment repair, maintenance, and safety training, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with equipment manufacturers and continuous expansion into new markets further enhance United Rentals' revenue potential.

United Rentals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Rental Revenue by Type
Rental Revenue by Type
Reveals income generated from various rental categories, highlighting areas of strong demand and potential growth opportunities.
Chart InsightsUnited Rentals' Specialty segment shows remarkable growth, with a 22% year-over-year increase, reflecting strategic expansion and customer demand. This contrasts with the steadier growth in General Rentals. The earnings call highlights the company's robust start to 2025, with strong cash flow and a new share repurchase program, despite margin pressures. The strategic focus on specialty rentals and capital returns underscores confidence in navigating macroeconomic challenges and sustaining growth momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

United Rentals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
United Rentals exhibits strong financial performance with robust profitability metrics, efficient operations, and effective cash flow management. While the company shows healthy growth and a stable capital structure, the relatively high debt levels and decline in free cash flow growth are areas to watch.
Income Statement
United Rentals demonstrates a strong income statement with robust gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient operations and solid profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 38.84%, and the net profit margin is 16.37%, both suggesting a well-managed cost structure. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is moderate at 1.53%, showing consistent expansion, although slightly lower than previous years. The EBIT margin of 25.79% and EBITDA margin of 37.10% also reflect strong operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement shows solid profitability with stable growth trends.
Balance Sheet
78
The balance sheet presents a solid equity base with a moderate equity ratio of 31.33% TTM, indicating a stable capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.59, suggesting the company is leveraging debt to fuel its operations, which could pose risks if market conditions change. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 29.02%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet points to a well-capitalized company, albeit with a notable reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
United Rentals exhibits strong cash flow management, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.94 TTM, demonstrating robust cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating effective capital expenditure management. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline of 66.97% from 2024 to TTM, which warrants monitoring. Despite this decline, the company maintains a solid cash position and effective cash utilization strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.35B14.33B11.64B9.72B8.53B
Gross Profit
6.15B5.81B5.00B3.85B3.18B
EBIT
4.07B3.83B3.23B2.28B1.80B
EBITDA
6.98B6.63B5.46B2.64B2.19B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.58B2.42B2.10B1.39B890.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
457.00M363.00M106.00M144.00M202.00M
Total Assets
28.16B25.59B24.18B20.29B17.87B
Total Debt
14.79B12.66B12.01B10.31B10.23B
Net Debt
14.33B12.30B11.91B10.16B10.03B
Total Liabilities
19.54B17.46B17.12B14.30B13.32B
Stockholders Equity
8.62B8.13B7.06B5.99B4.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
419.00M634.00M743.00M491.00M1.50B
Operating Cash Flow
4.55B4.70B4.43B3.69B2.66B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.15B-2.98B-5.02B-3.61B-223.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-274.00M-1.47B552.00M-140.00M-2.29B

United Rentals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price665.40
Price Trends
50DMA
616.78
Positive
100DMA
679.06
Negative
200DMA
727.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
6.57
Negative
RSI
62.15
Neutral
STOCH
84.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 665.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 601.72, above the 50-day MA of 616.78, and below the 200-day MA of 727.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for URI.

United Rentals Risk Analysis

United Rentals disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United Rentals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United Rentals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
URURI
80
Outperform
$43.25B17.2330.17%1.00%7.20%4.56%
74
Outperform
$2.70B11.3622.80%1.74%7.31%91.99%
RR
69
Neutral
$5.98B12.6616.41%2.17%6.21%47.05%
64
Neutral
$4.27B11.815.31%249.66%4.08%-8.61%
HRHRI
61
Neutral
$3.27B15.539.60%2.32%8.34%-63.02%
56
Neutral
$3.33B36.4315.74%1.21%-3.52%-46.60%
34
Underperform
$3.64B-33.58%4.27%-120.11%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URI
United Rentals
665.40
-11.84
-1.75%
HEES
H&E Equipment Services
90.72
43.04
90.27%
HRI
Herc Holdings
116.20
-29.28
-20.13%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
109.62
1.54
1.42%
R
Ryder System
144.71
21.70
17.64%
PONY
Pony AI Inc. Sponsored ADR
10.40
-2.62
-20.12%

United Rentals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong start to 2025 with record-breaking revenues and growth in specialty segments, robust free cash flow, and a solid balance sheet allowing for significant capital returns. However, margin compression due to cost pressures and the impact of the H&E deal termination presents challenges. Overall, positives such as revenue growth and cash flow outweigh the negatives, indicating a largely positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
United Rentals reported a total revenue growth of 6.7% year over year to $3.7 billion and rental revenue grew by 7.4% to $3.1 billion, marking first quarter records.
Strong Specialty Segment Performance
Specialty rental revenue grew 22% year over year and 15% pro forma for acquisitions, with eight specialty cold starts opened in the first quarter and plans to open at least 50 this year.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company generated nearly $1.1 billion in free cash flow, setting the stage for another year of strong cash generation.
Solid Balance Sheet and Capital Returns
Net leverage remains low at 1.7x, with $368 million returned to shareholders in the first quarter through dividends and share repurchases. A new $1.5 billion share repurchase program has been approved.
Used Equipment Market Strength
A first-quarter record of over $740 million in original equipment cost (OEC) was sold, with the company on track to sell an estimated $2.8 billion of fleet this year.
Negative Updates
Margin Compression
EBITDA margin compressed by 150 basis points year over year, influenced by factors including ancillary revenue growth outpacing core rental growth and higher delivery costs.
Impact of H&E Deal Termination
The termination of the H&E deal created a net pre-tax benefit of $39 million, but also involved $13 million in bridge financing fees.
Cost Pressures and Fleet Repositioning
Increased delivery and repositioning costs impacted margins by about 30 basis points, reflecting choices between costs and capital efficiency.
Company Guidance
During the United Rentals investor conference call, the company reported first quarter records across several key financial metrics, indicating a strong start to fiscal year 2025. Total revenue grew by 6.7% year over year to $3.7 billion, with rental revenue increasing by 7.4% to $3.1 billion. Fleet productivity rose to 3.1%, contributing to an adjusted EBITDA of $1.7 billion, which translates to a margin of nearly 45%. Adjusted EPS reached $8.86. Specialty rental revenue saw a significant year-over-year growth of 22%. The company also recorded over $740 million in OEC sales. Free cash flow was substantial at nearly $1.1 billion, reinforcing United Rentals' commitment to shareholder value through capital returns, including a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program. The call highlighted confidence in maintaining 2025 guidance amidst macroeconomic uncertainties, emphasizing strategic growth and customer partnership as key drivers of long-term success.

United Rentals Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
United Rentals Announces Q1 2025 Results and Buyback
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, United Rentals announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reaffirmed its full-year guidance, and introduced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program. The company reported a total revenue of $3.719 billion, with a net income of $518 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.671 billion. Despite a decrease in net income margin, the company saw a 7.4% increase in rental revenue year-over-year, driven by demand across its end-markets and the impact of the Yak acquisition. United Rentals plans to repurchase $1.25 billion in shares in 2025, reflecting its strategy to capitalize on growth opportunities and differentiate from competitors.

Spark’s Take on URI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, URI is a Outperform.

United Rentals presents a strong financial foundation with robust revenue growth and efficient operations, though moderate leverage needs monitoring. The technical indicators show some bearish trends, but the fair valuation and positive earnings call offset these concerns. Recent corporate events, including the decision not to pursue an acquisition and focus on shareholder returns, reinforce financial prudence.

To see Spark’s full report on URI stock, click here.

M&A Transactions
United Rentals Receives Termination Fee After Merger Ends
Negative
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. and its subsidiary UR Merger Sub VII Corporation withdrew their cash tender offer to purchase H&E Equipment Services, Inc. due to the termination of their merger agreement. As part of the termination, H&E will pay United Rentals a termination fee of over $63 million, and the bridge facility commitment letter associated with the merger has also been terminated.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
United Rentals Ends Acquisition Pursuit, Resumes Buybacks
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 18, 2025, United Rentals announced its decision not to pursue a revised acquisition proposal for H&E Equipment Services, opting instead to allow the merger agreement to be terminated following a superior offer received by H&E. This decision underlines United Rentals’ commitment to financial discipline and its strategy to focus on profitable growth and shareholder value. Subsequently, United Rentals will resume its share repurchase program, which is a key component of its capital return strategy, with $250 million remaining from its authorized $1.5 billion program.

Business Operations and Strategy
United Rentals to Present at Global Tech Conference
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, United Rentals announced its participation in Citi’s 2025 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 19, 2025. The company’s CEO Matt Flannery and CFO Ted Grace will present, potentially discussing the company’s business and prospects. This participation highlights United Rentals’ engagement with key industry stakeholders and its active role in the industrial tech and mobility sectors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.