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United Rentals (URI)
NYSE:URI
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United Rentals (URI) AI Stock Analysis

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URI

United Rentals

(NYSE:URI)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$1,034.00
▲(17.20%Upside)
United Rentals receives a strong score due to its robust financial performance and positive earnings outlook. The company's strategic growth initiatives, strong cash flow, and shareholder returns are significant strengths. However, high valuation and technical indicators showing overbought conditions present potential risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
URI raised elements of its 2025 guidance, expecting to deliver a new record FCF of ~$2.5bn, despite near record capex and a very soft gen rent non-res backdrop.
Innovation and Technology
The company is actively developing new products, with 27 currently in the pilot phase, showcasing its commitment to innovation.
Market Strategy
Management showcased its ability to drive outsized market share gains through leveraging the scale of its industry-leading fleet size and its differentiated one-stop-shop portfolio, including high-value niche Specialty offerings.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
URI is compounding its industry leadership at a time when #2 rental peer recently cut spending on capex on slower growth and #3 player is integrating a large acquisition.
Industry Challenges
URI continues to execute as peers cut guidance, choppy macro headlines & construction data that is incredibly volatile.
Market Risks
Any potential customer churn post the pending HEES acquisition by HRI should create additional tailwind to URI’s GenRent revenues, given high overlap with HEES locations in key markets.

United Rentals (URI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Rentals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Rentals, Inc. (NYSE: URI) is the largest equipment rental company in the world, serving a diverse customer base across various industries, including construction, industrial, utilities, and government sectors. The company offers a vast fleet of rental equipment, including general construction and industrial equipment, aerial work platforms, earthmoving machinery, and power and HVAC systems, among others. United Rentals operates an extensive network of locations across the United States, Canada, and Europe, providing customers with convenient access to equipment and services to meet their project needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnited Rentals generates revenue primarily through the rental of equipment, which accounts for the majority of its income. The company leases a wide variety of equipment on both short-term and long-term contracts, catering to industries such as construction, manufacturing, and energy. Additionally, United Rentals offers complementary services that contribute to its earnings, including equipment sales, maintenance and repair services, and safety training programs. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with equipment manufacturers and suppliers, which enhance its product offerings and operational efficiency. Furthermore, United Rentals continually invests in technology and innovation to improve customer service and operational processes, which supports its revenue growth.

United Rentals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Rental Revenue by Type
Rental Revenue by Type
Shows the revenue generated from different types of rental equipment, highlighting which categories drive the most income and indicating demand trends in various sectors.
Chart InsightsUnited Rentals' Specialty segment shows remarkable growth, with a 22% year-over-year increase, reflecting strategic expansion and customer demand. This contrasts with the steadier growth in General Rentals. The earnings call highlights the company's robust start to 2025, with strong cash flow and a new share repurchase program, despite margin pressures. The strategic focus on specialty rentals and capital returns underscores confidence in navigating macroeconomic challenges and sustaining growth momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

United Rentals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong revenue and EBITDA growth, significant free cash flow generation, and increased returns to shareholders. However, the impact of lower-margin ancillary revenue on overall margins and the challenging inflationary environment present some concerns. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and shareholder returns outweigh these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Rental Revenue and EBITDA
Total rental revenue grew by 4.5% year-over-year to $3.9 billion, with rental revenue increasing by 6.2% to $3.4 billion. Adjusted EBITDA reached a second quarter record of $1.8 billion, translating to a margin of nearly 46%.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Year-to-date free cash flow reached $1.2 billion, with an expected full-year generation between $2.4 billion and $2.6 billion. This includes benefits from recent changes in federal tax policy.
Specialty Rental Revenue Growth
Specialty rental revenue grew 14% year-over-year, with 21 cold starts in the second quarter. The company remains on track to open at least 50 specialty locations this year.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Returned $534 million to shareholders in the quarter through share buybacks and dividends. The company expects to return nearly $2.4 billion to shareholders for the full year.
Technological Advancements
Enhanced advanced telematics offerings to help customers improve productivity and reduce costs.
Negative Updates
Impact of Ancillary Revenue on Margins
The relative outgrowth of lower-margin ancillary revenue, particularly delivery and repositioning costs, continues to dilute rental margins.
Challenging Inflationary Environment
The ongoing inflationary environment is impacting costs, including higher delivery costs and investments in specialty cold starts and technology.
Company Guidance
During the United Rentals Investor Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for the remainder of 2025, reflecting confidence in ongoing demand. Key metrics included a 4.5% year-over-year increase in total rental revenue to $3.9 billion and a 6.2% rise in rental revenue to $3.4 billion, both setting second-quarter records. Fleet productivity grew by 3.3%, while adjusted EBITDA reached a record $1.8 billion, translating to a margin of nearly 46%. The company also reported an adjusted EPS of $10.47. Specialty rental revenue surged by 14% year-over-year, and the company opened 21 cold starts in the second quarter, with plans to open at least 50 for the year. Used equipment sales amounted to $600 million, on track to meet a $2.8 billion target for the year. Additionally, United Rentals boosted its free cash flow guidance to between $2.4 billion and $2.6 billion for 2025, driven by federal tax policy changes, and plans to return nearly $2.4 billion to shareholders. The company's leverage stood at 1.8x, providing flexibility for growth and capital returns. Overall, the updated guidance anticipates total revenue growth of 4% for the year, excluding used equipment sales, with EBITDA margins expected to surpass 46%.

United Rentals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
United Rentals exhibits robust financial health with strong income growth, efficient asset utilization, and solid cash flows. Revenue growth is impressive, supported by a stable balance sheet with manageable debt levels and strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
United Rentals shows strong performance in revenue and profit growth. The gross profit margin is robust at 39.2% and the net profit margin is healthy at 16.1% for TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 25.5% and 36.9%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. Revenue growth is impressive, with a 10.6% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains good profitability and growth trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60, showing moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 28.1%, highlighting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is 30.9%, indicating a good balance of equity funding. However, the high debt level poses a potential risk if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement shows strong operational cash flow with a growth of 10.1% from the previous period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.15, indicating solid cash generation relative to net income. The company effectively converts its income into cash, supporting its liquidity position.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.35B14.33B11.64B9.72B8.53B
Gross Profit6.15B5.81B5.00B3.85B3.18B
EBITDA6.98B6.63B5.46B2.64B2.19B
Net Income2.58B2.42B2.10B1.39B890.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.16B25.59B24.18B20.29B17.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments457.00M363.00M106.00M144.00M202.00M
Total Debt14.79B12.66B12.01B10.31B10.23B
Total Liabilities19.54B17.46B17.12B14.30B13.32B
Stockholders Equity8.62B8.13B7.06B5.99B4.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow419.00M634.00M743.00M491.00M1.50B
Operating Cash Flow4.55B4.70B4.43B3.69B2.66B
Investing Cash Flow-4.15B-2.98B-5.02B-3.61B-223.00M
Financing Cash Flow-274.00M-1.47B552.00M-140.00M-2.29B

United Rentals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price882.24
Price Trends
50DMA
757.40
Positive
100DMA
692.04
Positive
200DMA
729.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
36.30
Negative
RSI
69.77
Neutral
STOCH
87.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 882.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 821.18, above the 50-day MA of 757.40, and above the 200-day MA of 729.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 36.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for URI.

United Rentals Risk Analysis

United Rentals disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United Rentals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United Rentals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.14B12.4423.85%1.50%8.78%117.40%
80
Outperform
$57.87B23.2629.30%0.78%6.77%2.01%
74
Outperform
$7.45B15.6016.38%1.81%3.68%6.61%
66
Neutral
€3.40B24.3811.11%4.31%0.85%-22.31%
66
Neutral
$4.98B173.731.41%2.33%11.41%-92.67%
50
Neutral
$5.18B-33.58%4.27%-120.11%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URI
United Rentals
880.42
130.15
17.35%
HRI
Herc Holdings
117.34
-35.88
-23.42%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
126.27
18.30
16.95%
R
Ryder System
178.57
41.31
30.10%
PONY
Pony AI Inc. Sponsored ADR
13.12
0.10
0.77%

United Rentals Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
United Rentals Raises 2025 Guidance Amid Strong Q2 Results
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, United Rentals announced its second-quarter financial results, reporting a total revenue of $3.943 billion and a net income of $622 million. The company raised its full-year guidance for 2025, reflecting strong performance in its general and specialty rental segments, and increased its planned share repurchases by $400 million to $1.9 billion. The announcement highlights United Rentals’ strategic focus on growth and shareholder returns, supported by increased free cash flow and customer optimism.

The most recent analyst rating on (URI) stock is a Buy with a $940.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on United Rentals stock, see the URI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
United Rentals Secures $4.5 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 10, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America N.A. and other financial institutions. This agreement provides a senior secured asset-based loan facility of $4,500 million, with specific allocations for Canadian, European, and ANZ Borrowers, and includes provisions for an uncommitted incremental increase. The agreement replaces the existing loan facility and includes various covenants and security interests in the assets of U.S. and non-U.S. Guarantors. As of July 9, 2025, $2,049 million was drawn, with $2,428 million available for additional borrowings.

The most recent analyst rating on (URI) stock is a Buy with a $920.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on United Rentals stock, see the URI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
United Rentals Extends Receivables Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into an amendment to extend their receivables purchase agreement until June 24, 2026, with the possibility of further extensions. This amendment, which adds Reliant as a new purchaser, ensures that advances under the facility will continue to be reflected as debt, with receivables in the collateral pool as assets, impacting the company’s financial structure and maintaining its operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (URI) stock is a Hold with a $658.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on United Rentals stock, see the URI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
United Rentals Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Board
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, United Rentals held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key issues. They elected ten directors to the board, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis, and rejected a proposal to improve shareholder written consent.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025