Ryder System (R)
NYSE:R
Advertisement

Ryder System (R) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
937 Followers

Top Page

R

Ryder System

(NYSE:R)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$170.00
▲(0.41% Upside)
Ryder's overall stock score reflects a mix of solid financial performance and strategic initiatives, offset by technical weaknesses and financial risks. The company's focus on asset-light operations and shareholder returns is promising, but high leverage and weak market momentum pose challenges. Valuation remains reasonable, providing some support to the stock.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Consistent earnings growth indicates strong operational performance and effective cost management, which supports long-term profitability and shareholder value.
Supply Chain Sales Pipeline
A robust sales pipeline in the supply chain segment suggests future revenue growth, enhancing Ryder's market position and competitive advantage in logistics.
Free Cash Flow Forecast
Strong free cash flow projections enable strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting financial stability and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, particularly in volatile markets, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to reinvest in growth or reduce debt, affecting future stability.
Used Vehicle Sales Challenges
Declining used vehicle sales prices reflect market challenges, potentially impacting revenue and profitability in the vehicle sales segment.

Ryder System (R) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryder System Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyder System, Inc. operates as a logistics and transportation company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS). The FMS segment offers full service leasing and leasing with flexible maintenance options, as well as maintenance services, supplies, and related equipment for operation of the vehicles; commercial vehicle rental services; and contract or transactional maintenance services of trucks, tractors, and trailers, as well as fleet support services. This segment also provides access to diesel fuel; offers fuel planning and tax reporting, cards, and monitoring services, and centralized billing; and sells used vehicles through its 63 retail sales centers and www.ryder.com/used-trucks website. The DTS segment offers equipment, maintenance, drivers, administrative, and additional services, as well as routing and scheduling, fleet sizing, safety, regulatory compliance, risk management, and technology and communication systems support services. The SCS segment comprises distribution management services, such as designing and managing customer's distribution network and facilities; coordinating warehousing and transportation for inbound and outbound material flows; handling import and export for international shipments; coordinating just-in-time replenishment of component parts to manufacturing and final assembly; and offering shipments to customer distribution centers or end customer delivery points, as well as other value added services, such as light assembly of components. This segment also offers transportation management services, such as shipment optimization, load scheduling, and delivery confirmation services; knowledge-based professional services; and e-commerce and last mile services. Ryder System, Inc. was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyder System generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Fleet Management Solutions segment earns income from the leasing and rental of vehicles, along with maintenance and repair services. Supply Chain Solutions contributes by providing logistics and warehousing services, often through long-term contracts with clients. The Dedicated Transportation Solutions segment generates revenue by offering customized transportation services tailored to specific customer needs. Additionally, Ryder benefits from strategic partnerships with various companies that enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency, including collaborations with technology providers to improve logistics and fleet management capabilities.

Ryder System Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsRyder's revenue in the United States shows a steady upward trend, reflecting resilience amidst market challenges. Despite a complete halt in European revenue, the company’s strategic focus on the U.S. and growth in the Supply Chain segment are driving overall performance. The earnings call highlights robust financial health with increased earnings per share and free cash flow, though challenges persist in used vehicle sales and the freight market. Ryder's proactive capital deployment and strategic initiatives are expected to bolster its return profile and sustain earnings growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ryder System Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ryder's earnings call highlighted consistent earnings growth, a strong supply chain sales pipeline, and effective capital deployment strategies. However, challenges persist in rental demand, used vehicle sales, and supply chain network performance. While there are significant achievements, the headwinds in certain segments balance the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Growth
Ryder delivered its fourth consecutive quarter of earnings per share growth, with third-quarter EPS up 4% from the prior year to $3.57.
Strong Supply Chain Sales Pipeline
Supply chain sales pipeline remains strong, with potential for one of the best sales years, expected to drive revenue and earnings growth in the next year.
Return on Equity Improvement
Return on equity was 17%, up from the prior year, driven by higher contractual earnings and share repurchases.
Share Repurchase Program
Ryder's Board authorized a new discretionary 2 million share repurchase program, having returned $457 million to shareholders in 2025.
Free Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
2025 forecast for free cash flow is $900 million to $1 billion, with a focus on strategic investments and returning capital to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Rental Demand Weakness
Rental demand increased sequentially but was below historical seasonal demand trends, with rental utilization on the Powerfleet at 70%, down from 71%.
Used Vehicle Sales Challenges
Used tractor pricing declined 6% and truck pricing declined 15% year-over-year, with ongoing weakness in market conditions.
E-commerce Network Performance
Supply chain earnings decreased 8% due to e-commerce network performance issues and higher medical costs.
Dedicated Transportation Revenue Decline
Operating revenue in the Dedicated segment decreased 6% due to lower fleet count, reflecting the prolonged freight downturn.
Company Guidance
During Ryder's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the year, highlighting key metrics and strategic initiatives. Ryder expects full-year 2025 comparable earnings per share (EPS) to be between $12.85 and $13.05, driven by resilient contractual business performance and strategic initiatives, despite challenges in the freight market. The company reported a return on equity (ROE) of 17% for the trailing 12-month period and aims for low to mid-20s ROE in improved market conditions. Over 90% of Ryder's operating revenue comes from multiyear contracts, demonstrating the company's pricing discipline and value proposition. Year-to-date free cash flow increased to $496 million, contributing to a forecasted range of $900 million to $1 billion for 2025, supported by reduced capital expenditures and the reinstatement of tax bonus depreciation. Ryder has also authorized a new 2 million share repurchase program, having returned $457 million to shareholders this year through share repurchases and dividends. The company anticipates further earnings growth from its asset-light supply chain and dedicated businesses, which are expected to account for 60% of 2025 revenue, compared to 44% in 2018.

Ryder System Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryder System demonstrates solid profitability and operational efficiency, with stable revenue growth and healthy margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow growth highlight potential financial risks. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow management and reducing debt to enhance financial stability and support future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Ryder System shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.4% TTM, with a consistent increase in gross profit margin to 25.7% TTM. The net profit margin is modest at 3.96% TTM, indicating profitability but with room for improvement. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the revenue growth has slowed compared to previous years, suggesting potential market saturation or increased competition.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.54 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity is strong at 16.34% TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial stability in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Ryder System's cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow growth and a negative free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is just covering net income, leaving limited room for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.68B12.64B11.78B12.01B9.66B8.42B
Gross Profit2.53B2.42B2.26B2.39B1.80B1.28B
EBITDA3.03B2.79B2.93B3.39B2.70B2.26B
Net Income502.00M489.00M406.00M867.00M519.00M-122.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B16.67B15.78B14.39B13.83B12.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments189.00M154.00M204.00M267.00M234.00M151.30M
Total Debt7.86B8.88B8.15B7.08B6.94B6.88B
Total Liabilities13.45B13.55B12.71B11.46B11.04B10.68B
Stockholders Equity3.09B3.12B3.07B2.94B2.80B2.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-88.00M-418.00M-881.00M-321.00M233.90M1.03B
Operating Cash Flow2.40B2.27B2.35B2.31B2.18B2.18B
Investing Cash Flow-2.38B-2.45B-2.66B-1.85B-1.45B-601.00M
Financing Cash Flow88.00M153.00M256.00M-861.00M-203.71M-1.51B

Ryder System Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price169.30
Price Trends
50DMA
180.23
Negative
100DMA
177.99
Negative
200DMA
162.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.04
Negative
RSI
42.44
Neutral
STOCH
64.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For R, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 169.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 171.22, below the 50-day MA of 180.23, and above the 200-day MA of 162.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for R.

Ryder System Risk Analysis

Ryder System disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryder System reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryder System Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$5.61B18.3811.93%1.54%10.66%13.61%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$4.64B-4.05%1.98%19.40%-120.47%
61
Neutral
$6.98B14.6616.26%1.97%1.68%9.91%
61
Neutral
$3.31B15.0321.15%1.15%-3.64%867.62%
58
Neutral
$2.54B17.5012.70%1.87%4.77%-35.44%
41
Neutral
$5.04B-1.22%-639.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
R
Ryder System
169.30
10.12
6.36%
CAR
Avis Budget
137.55
37.30
37.21%
GATX
GATX
156.35
7.05
4.72%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
17.25
-16.86
-49.43%
HRI
Herc Holdings
132.78
-80.99
-37.89%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
101.70
-13.16
-11.46%

Ryder System Corporate Events

Ryder System’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

Ryder System’s recent earnings call painted a picture of balanced optimism, underscored by consistent earnings growth and a robust supply chain sales pipeline. The company has effectively deployed capital, yet it faces challenges in rental demand, used vehicle sales, and supply chain network performance. While Ryder’s achievements are noteworthy, the headwinds in certain segments temper the overall outlook.

Ryder System Reports Steady Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Ryder System, Inc. is a prominent company specializing in supply chain, dedicated transportation, and fleet management solutions, serving various industries with advanced logistics and transportation services. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Ryder System, Inc. reported a slight increase in GAAP EPS from continuing operations to $3.33, marking a 2% rise from the previous year, while comparable EPS saw a 4% increase to $3.57. The company’s total revenue remained stable at $3.2 billion, with operating revenue experiencing a modest 1% growth, driven by contractual revenue growth in its Supply Chain Solutions and Fleet Management Solutions segments. Key financial highlights include an 11% increase in earnings before tax for Fleet Management Solutions, despite challenges in used vehicle sales and rental markets. Supply Chain Solutions saw a 5% revenue increase, although earnings before tax decreased by 8% due to e-commerce network performance and medical costs. Dedicated Transportation Solutions faced a 10% revenue decline, with earnings before tax remaining steady, reflecting acquisition synergies offset by a reduced fleet count. Looking ahead, Ryder System’s management remains optimistic about achieving earnings growth in 2025, supported by strategic initiatives, lease pricing, and maintenance cost-saving measures, despite a muted freight market environment.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Ryder System Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Ryder System, Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 2% increase in GAAP EPS from continuing operations and a 4% rise in comparable EPS, driven by higher contractual earnings and share repurchases. The company maintained total revenue at $3.2 billion, with a slight increase in operating revenue due to growth in its Supply Chain Solutions and Fleet Management Solutions segments. Despite challenges in the freight market, Ryder’s strategic initiatives and strong customer relationships have enabled consistent earnings growth and a 17% adjusted return on equity, positioning the company well for continued success in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (R) stock is a Buy with a $225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryder System stock, see the R Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025