Avis Budget (CAR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $4.49B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.24M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.21
• Revenue Growth: -2.78%
• EPS Growth: -296.07%
• Country: US
• Employees: 17,000
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 85
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): -2.11
• Shares Outstanding: 35,192,238
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,077,847
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,241,712
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): -11.03
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.46
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.26
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.60
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.97
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.89
• 1Y Price Target: $116.50
• Price Target Upside: -8.85% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $124.00 ▼(-2.98%Downside)

Avis Budget's stock score is primarily constrained by its financial performance, particularly high leverage and negative equity. Technical indicators provide some optimism with bullish momentum, but valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends weigh heavily. The earnings call and corporate events suggest strategic improvements, but financial challenges persist.

Positive Factors

Earnings Potential

CAR is expected to achieve no less than $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA in 2025, with continued strength in leisure activity.

Financial Performance

Strong EBITDA and free cash flow are expected to allow for the allocation of capital toward shareholder-friendly initiatives.

Market Position

CAR is well positioned to gain share from Hertz, enhancing its market position.

Negative Factors

Demand Forecast

The forecast for rental days and RPD is reduced due to potential softening in demand.

Fleet Costs

4Q results were affected by disruptions from elections and storms, leading to higher fleet costs and lower volumes.

Avis Budget Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) is a leading global provider of vehicle rental services, operating primarily through its Avis and Budget brands. The company serves both the commercial and consumer markets, offering a wide range of vehicle rental options from economy cars to luxury vehicles. Avis Budget Group operates in various sectors including airport rentals, off-airport rentals, and car-sharing services, catering to diverse mobility needs worldwide.

How the Company Makes Money

Avis Budget Group generates revenue primarily through its vehicle rental services. The company's key revenue streams include rental fees charged to customers for the use of vehicles, additional fees for services such as GPS navigation, child safety seats, and fuel options, as well as insurance and protection packages. Avis Budget also earns money from selling used vehicles through its fleet management strategy. Significant partnerships with airlines, credit card companies, and travel agencies enhance its revenue by providing a steady flow of customers and facilitating broader market reach. Additionally, the company benefits from its loyalty programs and corporate accounts, which contribute to a consistent customer base and repeat business.

Avis Budget Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Avis Budget's financial health presents a mixed picture. Revenue and operating cash flow show positive aspects, but the negative net income, high leverage, and negative equity are significant concerns, suggesting a need for improved profitability and balance sheet restructuring.

Income Statement

Avis Budget shows mixed performance on its income statement. While the company achieved significant revenue growth from 2020 to 2023, the recent decline in 2024 is concerning. The gross profit margin is moderate, but net income has turned negative in 2024, leading to a negative net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have fluctuated, with EBIT showing a strong positive trend until 2024.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity and a debt-to-equity ratio that cannot be calculated meaningfully due to the negative equity. This high leverage poses risks, particularly as equity remains negative throughout. Return on equity is not calculable, and the equity ratio is negative, indicating financial instability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in operating cash flow, though free cash flow has been volatile. The company managed a strong free cash flow in 2024 compared to the previous year, signaling improvement. However, the ratio of operating cash flow to net income is problematic due to negative net income, indicating potential cash flow sustainability issues.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
11.62B	11.79B	12.01B	11.99B	9.31B	5.40B
	Gross Profit
4.71B	5.78B	4.77B	10.76B	7.80B	3.72B
	EBIT
1.67B	269.00M	3.19B	3.91B	2.13B	-529.00M
	EBITDA
1.04B	1.74B	5.66B	7.15B	4.74B	2.17B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.21B	-1.82B	1.63B	2.76B	1.28B	-684.00M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
516.00M	534.00M	555.00M	570.00M	534.00M	692.00M
	Total Assets
9.83B	29.04B	32.57B	25.93B	22.60B	17.54B
	Total Debt
8.53B	26.04B	26.45B	20.92B	17.80B	13.66B
	Net Debt
8.01B	25.51B	25.90B	20.35B	17.27B	12.97B
	Total Liabilities
11.87B	31.36B	32.91B	26.63B	22.81B	17.69B
	Stockholders Equity
-2.82B	-2.33B	-349.00M	-703.00M	-220.00M	-155.00M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-2.41B	-6.54B	-11.63B	576.00M	-2.59B	3.95B
	Operating Cash Flow
3.55B	3.52B	3.83B	4.71B	3.49B	691.00M
	Investing Cash Flow
-1.27B	-2.75B	-7.35B	-4.30B	-6.31B	3.18B
	Financing Cash Flow
-1.68B	-781.00M	3.51B	-360.00M	2.69B	-4.04B

Avis Budget Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 127.81
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.59, above the 50-day MA of 102.09, and above the 200-day MA of 89.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAR.

Avis Budget Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MGRC	78 Outperform	$2.77B	11.65	22.80%	1.73%	7.31%	91.99%
R	72 Outperform	$6.18B	13.09	16.41%	2.17%	6.21%	47.05%
HRI	66 Neutral	$3.75B	25.16	9.60%	2.48%	8.34%	-63.02%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.49B	12.22	5.40%	3.71%	4.17%	-11.97%
CAR	57 Neutral	$4.49B	8.26	78.26%	―	-2.78%	-296.07%
HTZ	47 Neutral	$1.83B	―	-244.63%	―	-6.61%	-1516.07%

Avis Budget Corporate Events

Avis Budget Appoints Daniel Cunha as New CFO

On June 9, 2025, Avis Budget Group announced the appointment of Daniel Cunha as Chief Financial Officer, effective July 1, 2025, succeeding Izzy Martins who will leave on June 30, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. Cunha, with a strong background in strategic financial leadership from his previous roles at Orion Services Group, Ocean Spray, and Heinz North America, will lead the company’s finance functions and contribute to its long-term strategic objectives. Martins will assist in the transition until August 31, 2025, after serving the company for over 20 years.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Avis Budget Issues $736.5M Asset-Backed Securities

On May 28, 2025, Avis Budget‘s subsidiary, Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, issued $736.5 million in asset-backed securities with maturities of three and five years. These securities are secured by vehicles in the company’s domestic fleet and other related assets, indicating a strategic move to leverage its existing assets for financial growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Avis Budget Approves Key Governance Changes at Meeting

On May 14, 2025, Avis Budget Group, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as auditors were approved. However, proposals to amend the charter to remove supermajority vote requirements and revise vote requirements for certain by-law amendments were not approved. Notably, the proposal to revise vote requirements for the removal of directors and allocate voting privileges over charter amendments affecting preferred stockholders were approved, indicating a shift in governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Avis Budget Issues $600M in Senior Notes

On May 19, 2025, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC and Avis Budget Finance, Inc., subsidiaries of Avis Budget Group, issued $600 million in 8.375% Senior Notes due 2032. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The issuance aims to strengthen the company’s financial position and provide flexibility in managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAR) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avis Budget stock, see the CAR Stock Forecast page.

Avis Budget Amends Cooperation Agreement with SRS

On April 30, 2025, Avis Budget Group’s subsidiary, Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, completed an amendment and extension of its asset-backed variable-funding financing facilities, increasing the Series 2010-6 Notes facility to $3.042 billion and the Series 2015-3 Notes facility to $198 million. These amendments are expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility in managing its car rental fleet in the U.S. Additionally, on May 6, 2025, Avis Budget Group amended its Cooperation Agreement with SRS Investment Management, LLC, altering the voting rights protocol for SRS’s excess shares at the 2025 annual stockholders meeting, which may influence future shareholder voting dynamics.